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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Simpson

Bristol City 2–3 Stoke

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.30 fair 2.11
Draw 3.25 fair 3.88
Away ✓ 3.20 fair 3.73
Under 2.5 1.83 fair 1.90
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.03 fair 2.11

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bristol City Stoke
13 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 4
11 Corners 3
9 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (98 league matches this season so far).
Result Bristol City to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.96
Expected goals 1.51 – 1.06
Home / Draw / Away
Bristol CityDrawStoke
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 11.5% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Bristol City before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.13scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:7
Stoke before this match, all matches
0.88points / match
1.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 8:12
Bristol City all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 1.00
0.88 Goals conceded 1.50
2.00 Total goals 2.50
13.63 Shots 14.50
2.75 Shots on target 3.00
12.63 Shots faced 12.25
5.25 Corners 7.25
4.25 Corners against 4.13
11.50 Fouls 13.75
1.75 Yellow cards 3.00
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

38% Wins 25%
38% Draws 13%
25% Losses 63%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 63%
25% Over 2.5 goals 38%
13% Over 3.5 goals 38%
13% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 38%
25% Clean sheets 13%
38% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 13%
50% Draws 38%
38% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 75%
13% Over 1.5 goals 38%
13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bristol City all matches
Stoke all matches
Bristol City before this match, at home
1.25points / match
1.25scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:4
Stoke before this match, away
0.25points / match
0.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 2:6
Bristol City at home away Stoke

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 0.50
1.00 Goals conceded 1.50
2.25 Total goals 2.00
13.75 Shots 15.00
2.75 Shots on target 2.25
11.75 Shots faced 15.50
6.00 Corners 5.25
4.00 Corners against 5.75
10.25 Fouls 11.00
1.25 Yellow cards 2.50
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

25% Wins 0%
50% Draws 25%
25% Losses 75%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 25%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 25%
25% Clean sheets 0%
50% Failed to score 75%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 0%
50% Draws 25%
25% Losses 75%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bristol City at home
Stoke away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bristol City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23 Leicester – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 1.734.004.50 1.73 2.10
19.09.23 Bristol City – Plymouth 4–1 (3–1) 1.753.804.33 1.62 2.30
16.09.23 Bristol City – West Brom 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.88 1.98 1.88
02.09.23 Swansea – Bristol City 1–2 (1–0) 2.103.403.50 1.98 1.88
25.08.23 Hull – Bristol City 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.03 1.83
19.08.23 Bristol City – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.30 1.62
12.08.23 Millwall – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 1.833.604.33 2.10 1.73
05.08.23 Bristol City – Preston 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 2.10 1.73
08.05.23 QPR – Bristol City 0–2 (0–1) 2.253.503.00 1.73 2.10
29.04.23 Bristol City – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 3.753.502.00 1.98 1.88

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.09.23 Stoke – Hull 1–3 (0–2) 1.913.753.80 1.90 1.95
20.09.23 Huddersfield – Stoke 2–2 (1–1) 2.883.302.50 2.03 1.83
16.09.23 Norwich – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.504.20 1.83 2.03
02.09.23 Stoke – Preston 0–2 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 2.10 1.73
26.08.23 Millwall – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.67
19.08.23 Stoke – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.25 2.03 1.83
12.08.23 Ipswich – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.603.40 1.90 1.95
05.08.23 Stoke – Rotherham 4–1 (3–0) 1.623.805.75 2.00 1.85
08.05.23 Watford – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.00 1.73 2.10
29.04.23 Stoke – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 2.02 1.82

Bristol City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.23 Bristol City – Plymouth 4–1 (3–1) 1.753.804.33 1.62 2.30
16.09.23 Bristol City – West Brom 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.88 1.98 1.88
19.08.23 Bristol City – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.30 1.62
05.08.23 Bristol City – Preston 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 2.10 1.73
29.04.23 Bristol City – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 3.753.502.00 1.98 1.88
22.04.23 Bristol City – Rotherham 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.75 1.98 1.88
10.04.23 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–0) 3.603.502.05 1.90 1.95
01.04.23 Bristol City – Reading 1–1 (1–0) 1.753.505.00 2.30 1.62
11.03.23 Bristol City – Blackpool 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.604.00 2.05 1.80
25.02.23 Bristol City – Hull 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.10 2.20 1.67

Stoke away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.23 Huddersfield – Stoke 2–2 (1–1) 2.883.302.50 2.03 1.83
16.09.23 Norwich – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.504.20 1.83 2.03
26.08.23 Millwall – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.67
12.08.23 Ipswich – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.603.40 1.90 1.95
08.05.23 Watford – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.00 1.73 2.10
22.04.23 Cardiff – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 2.403.253.00 2.10 1.73
10.04.23 Birmingham – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.252.30 2.20 1.67
01.04.23 Coventry – Stoke 0–4 (0–2) 2.383.303.10 2.05 1.80
14.03.23 Middlesbrough – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 1.95
04.03.23 Sunderland – Stoke 1–5 (0–1) 2.253.253.25 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bristol City winsDrawsStoke wins
4matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.04.23E1 Stoke – Bristol City 1–2 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 2.05 1.80
17.12.22E1 Bristol City – Stoke 1–2 (1–1) 2.603.252.80 2.00 1.85
15.04.22E1 Stoke – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 1.753.804.75 1.95 1.90
24.11.21E1 Bristol City – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 3.403.402.15 2.00 1.85

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 8 7 0 1 14 5 +9 21
2 Ipswich 8 7 0 1 17 10 +7 21
3 Preston 8 6 2 0 13 6 +7 20
4 Sunderland 9 5 1 3 18 8 +10 16
5 Hull 8 4 3 1 13 8 +5 15
6 Leeds 9 3 4 2 14 10 +4 13
7 Cardiff 8 4 1 3 14 12 +2 13
8 Norwich 8 4 1 3 17 16 +1 13
9 Southampton 9 4 1 4 15 20 -5 13
10 Bristol City 8 3 3 2 9 7 +2 12
11 Birmingham 8 3 3 2 8 7 +1 12
12 Millwall 8 3 2 3 7 8 -1 11
13 Plymouth 8 3 1 4 16 13 +3 10
14 West Brom 8 2 4 2 12 11 +1 10
15 Blackburn 8 3 1 4 12 16 -4 10
16 Watford 8 2 3 3 11 10 +1 9
17 Huddersfield 8 2 3 3 9 13 -4 9
18 Coventry 8 1 5 2 12 11 +1 8
19 QPR 8 2 2 4 7 12 -5 8
20 Stoke 8 2 1 5 8 12 -4 7
21 Swansea 8 1 3 4 10 12 -2 6
22 Middlesbrough 8 1 2 5 7 15 -8 5
23 Rotherham 8 1 2 5 8 17 -9 5
24 Sheffield Weds 9 0 2 7 5 17 -12 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Preston 4 4 0 0 8 4 +4 12
2 Plymouth 4 3 0 1 13 5 +8 9
3 Ipswich 4 3 0 1 12 9 +3 9
4 Cardiff 4 3 0 1 8 5 +3 9
5 Norwich 4 3 0 1 6 4 +2 9
6 Leicester 4 3 0 1 5 3 +2 9
7 Watford 5 2 2 1 8 3 +5 8
8 Birmingham 4 2 2 0 4 2 +2 8
9 West Brom 4 2 1 1 8 6 +2 7
10 Southampton 5 2 1 2 10 11 -1 7
11 Sunderland 4 2 0 2 8 4 +4 6
12 Coventry 4 1 3 0 7 4 +3 6
13 Leeds 4 1 3 0 6 3 +3 6
14 Hull 4 1 3 0 6 4 +2 6
15 Stoke 4 2 0 2 6 6 0 6
16 Millwall 4 2 0 2 4 4 0 6
17 Blackburn 4 2 0 2 6 7 -1 6
18 Swansea 4 1 2 1 6 4 +2 5
19 Bristol City 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5
20 Rotherham 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5
21 Middlesbrough 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
22 Huddersfield 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4
23 QPR 3 0 1 2 2 5 -3 1
24 Sheffield Weds 5 0 1 4 2 8 -6 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 4 4 0 0 9 2 +7 12
2 Ipswich 4 4 0 0 5 1 +4 12
3 Sunderland 5 3 1 1 10 4 +6 10
4 Hull 4 3 0 1 7 4 +3 9
5 Preston 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8
6 Leeds 5 2 1 2 8 7 +1 7
7 Bristol City 4 2 1 1 4 3 +1 7
8 QPR 5 2 1 2 5 7 -2 7
9 Southampton 4 2 0 2 5 9 -4 6
10 Huddersfield 4 1 2 1 5 6 -1 5
11 Millwall 4 1 2 1 3 4 -1 5
12 Norwich 4 1 1 2 11 12 -1 4
13 Cardiff 4 1 1 2 6 7 -1 4
14 Birmingham 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
15 Blackburn 4 1 1 2 6 9 -3 4
16 West Brom 4 0 3 1 4 5 -1 3
17 Coventry 4 0 2 2 5 7 -2 2
18 Swansea 4 0 1 3 4 8 -4 1
19 Watford 3 0 1 2 3 7 -4 1
20 Stoke 4 0 1 3 2 6 -4 1
21 Plymouth 4 0 1 3 3 8 -5 1
22 Middlesbrough 4 0 1 3 4 10 -6 1
23 Sheffield Weds 4 0 1 3 3 9 -6 1
24 Rotherham 4 0 0 4 2 11 -9 0

Bristol City   Stoke

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Southampton 9 1 8 1.7 2.2 4 1 4 15 20 13
2 4 Sunderland 9 2 7 2.0 0.9 5 1 3 18 8 16
3 13 Plymouth 8 1 7 2.0 1.6 3 1 4 16 13 10
4 15 Blackburn 8 1 7 1.5 2.0 3 1 4 12 16 10
5 7 Cardiff 8 2 6 1.8 1.5 4 1 3 14 12 13
6 8 Norwich 8 2 6 2.1 2.0 4 1 3 17 16 13
7 23 Rotherham 8 2 6 1.0 2.1 1 2 5 8 17 5
8 6 Leeds 9 4 5 1.6 1.1 3 4 2 14 10 13
9 14 West Brom 8 3 5 1.5 1.4 2 4 2 12 11 10
10 24 Sheffield Weds 9 4 5 0.6 1.9 0 2 7 5 17 2
11 1 Leicester 8 4 4 1.8 0.6 7 0 1 14 5 21
12 2 Ipswich 8 4 4 2.1 1.2 7 0 1 17 10 21
13 3 Preston 8 4 4 1.6 0.8 6 2 0 13 6 20
14 5 Hull 8 4 4 1.6 1.0 4 3 1 13 8 15
15 16 Watford 8 4 4 1.4 1.2 2 3 3 11 10 9
16 17 Huddersfield 8 4 4 1.1 1.6 2 3 3 9 13 9
17 18 Coventry 8 4 4 1.5 1.4 1 5 2 12 11 8
18 19 QPR 8 4 4 0.9 1.5 2 2 4 7 12 8
19 21 Swansea 8 4 4 1.2 1.5 1 3 4 10 12 6
20 22 Middlesbrough 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 1 2 5 7 15 5
21 12 Millwall 8 5 3 0.9 1.0 3 2 3 7 8 11
22 20 Stoke 8 5 3 1.0 1.5 2 1 5 8 12 7
23 10 Bristol City 8 6 2 1.1 0.9 3 3 2 9 7 12
24 11 Birmingham 8 6 2 1.0 0.9 3 3 2 8 7 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Preston 4 0 4 2.0 1.0 4 0 0 8 4 12
2 9 Southampton 5 1 4 2.0 2.2 2 1 2 10 11 7
3 13 Plymouth 4 0 4 3.2 1.2 3 0 1 13 5 9
4 15 Blackburn 4 0 4 1.5 1.8 2 0 2 6 7 6
5 2 Ipswich 4 1 3 3.0 2.2 3 0 1 12 9 9
6 4 Sunderland 4 1 3 2.0 1.0 2 0 2 8 4 6
7 7 Cardiff 4 1 3 2.0 1.2 3 0 1 8 5 9
8 14 West Brom 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 2 1 1 8 6 7
9 23 Rotherham 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5
10 1 Leicester 4 2 2 1.2 0.8 3 0 1 5 3 9
11 6 Leeds 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 1 3 0 6 3 6
12 8 Norwich 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 3 0 1 6 4 9
13 12 Millwall 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 2 0 2 4 4 6
14 16 Watford 5 3 2 1.6 0.6 2 2 1 8 3 8
15 17 Huddersfield 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4
16 18 Coventry 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 1 3 0 7 4 6
17 20 Stoke 4 2 2 1.5 1.5 2 0 2 6 6 6
18 21 Swansea 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 1 2 1 6 4 5
19 24 Sheffield Weds 5 3 2 0.4 1.6 0 1 4 2 8 1
20 5 Hull 4 3 1 1.5 1.0 1 3 0 6 4 6
21 10 Bristol City 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5
22 11 Birmingham 4 3 1 1.0 0.5 2 2 0 4 2 8
23 19 QPR 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 1 2 2 5 1
24 22 Middlesbrough 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Sunderland 5 1 4 2.0 0.8 3 1 1 10 4 10
2 8 Norwich 4 0 4 2.8 3.0 1 1 2 11 12 4
3 9 Southampton 4 0 4 1.2 2.2 2 0 2 5 9 6
4 5 Hull 4 1 3 1.8 1.0 3 0 1 7 4 9
5 6 Leeds 5 2 3 1.6 1.4 2 1 2 8 7 7
6 7 Cardiff 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 1 1 2 6 7 4
7 13 Plymouth 4 1 3 0.8 2.0 0 1 3 3 8 1
8 15 Blackburn 4 1 3 1.5 2.2 1 1 2 6 9 4
9 19 QPR 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 2 1 2 5 7 7
10 22 Middlesbrough 4 1 3 1.0 2.5 0 1 3 4 10 1
11 23 Rotherham 4 1 3 0.5 2.8 0 0 4 2 11 0
12 24 Sheffield Weds 4 1 3 0.8 2.2 0 1 3 3 9 1
13 1 Leicester 4 2 2 2.2 0.5 4 0 0 9 2 12
14 14 West Brom 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 0 3 1 4 5 3
15 16 Watford 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 0 1 2 3 7 1
16 17 Huddersfield 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 2 1 5 6 5
17 18 Coventry 4 2 2 1.2 1.8 0 2 2 5 7 2
18 21 Swansea 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 0 1 3 4 8 1
19 2 Ipswich 4 3 1 1.2 0.2 4 0 0 5 1 12
20 10 Bristol City 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 2 1 1 4 3 7
21 11 Birmingham 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
22 12 Millwall 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 1 2 1 3 4 5
23 20 Stoke 4 3 1 0.5 1.5 0 1 3 2 6 1
24 3 Preston 4 4 0 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51