Watford 2–2 Millwall – England Championship, 28 Oct 2023

Match facts

Watford Millwall

19 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

7 Corners 2

13 Fouls 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (157 league matches this season so far).

Result Watford to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.97

Expected goals 1.41 – 1.12

Home / Draw / Away

44% 27% 30%

WatfordDrawMillwall

Under / Over 2.5 goals

54% 46%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

49% 51%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

26% 2

22% 3

14% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.6% 1–0 11.3% 0–1 9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches

1.23points / match

1.23scored / match

1.23conceded / match

4 4 5

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 16:16

Millwall before this match, all matches

1.23points / match

1.00scored / match

1.23conceded / match

4 4 5

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 13:16

Watford all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

1.23 Goals scored 1.00

1.23 Goals conceded 1.23

2.46 Total goals 2.23

13.77 Shots 12.62

4.08 Shots on target 3.69

9.85 Shots faced 13.38

5.23 Corners 5.08

4.38 Corners against 4.92

12.69 Fouls 13.46

2.15 Yellow cards 1.85

0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.46

0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

31% Wins 31%

31% Draws 31%

38% Losses 38%

92% Over 0.5 goals 92%

62% Over 1.5 goals 69%

38% Over 2.5 goals 46%

31% Over 3.5 goals 15%

15% Over 4.5 goals 0%

8% Over 5.5 goals 0%

31% Both teams scored 38%

38% Clean sheets 38%

38% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

8% Wins 23%

69% Draws 46%

23% Losses 31%

46% Over 0.5 goals 69%

31% Over 1.5 goals 23%

23% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches

1

L

3

D

2

W

2

D

3

L

2

3

L

2

L

1

D

1

W

1

W

Millwall all matches

1

W

1

D

3

L

3

W

D

3

L

2

W

2

D

1

D

1

2

L

Watford before this match, at home

1.57points / match

1.57scored / match

0.86conceded / match

3 2 2

WonDrawnLost 7 played · 11:6

Millwall before this match, away

1.50points / match

1.00scored / match

0.83conceded / match

2 3 1

WonDrawnLost 6 played · 6:5

Watford at home away Millwall

Per match

1.57 Goals scored 1.00

0.86 Goals conceded 0.83

2.43 Total goals 1.83

17.14 Shots 9.00

4.86 Shots on target 2.67

8.00 Shots faced 16.33

7.43 Corners 3.83

2.86 Corners against 6.33

11.57 Fouls 13.33

1.57 Yellow cards 2.50

1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.33

0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

43% Wins 33%

29% Draws 50%

29% Losses 17%

86% Over 0.5 goals 83%

57% Over 1.5 goals 67%

43% Over 2.5 goals 17%

43% Over 3.5 goals 17%

14% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

29% Both teams scored 50%

57% Clean sheets 50%

29% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 17%

71% Draws 67%

14% Losses 17%

43% Over 0.5 goals 50%

43% Over 1.5 goals 17%

43% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home

2

W

1

3

L

2

W

4

W

D

1

L

2

W

2

D

2

3

L

1

W

Millwall away

D

1

L

1

2

L

3

2

W

1

W

1

3

L

1

D

2

W

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.10.23	Swansea – Watford	0–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.30	3.10	2.05	1.75
21.10.23	Watford – Sheffield Weds	1–0 (0–0)	1.67	3.60	5.25	2.05	1.75
07.10.23	Cardiff – Watford	1–1 (1–0)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.05	1.75
04.10.23	Sunderland – Watford	2–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.40	4.00	1.80	2.00
30.09.23	Watford – Middlesbrough	2–3 (1–2)	2.45	3.40	2.90	1.93	1.93
23.09.23	Leeds – Watford	3–0 (0–0)	1.73	3.80	4.75	1.73	2.10
20.09.23	Watford – West Brom	2–2 (2–2)	2.20	3.25	3.40	2.00	1.85
16.09.23	Watford – Birmingham	2–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.30	4.00	2.10	1.73
02.09.23	Coventry – Watford	3–3 (1–1)	2.10	3.50	3.40	1.95	1.90
27.08.23	Watford – Blackburn	0–1 (0–0)	2.00	3.50	3.75	1.90	1.95

Millwall all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.10.23	Millwall – Blackburn	1–2 (1–1)	2.45	3.50	2.88	1.88	1.98
21.10.23	Preston – Millwall	1–1 (1–1)	2.38	3.20	3.10	2.30	1.60
07.10.23	Millwall – Hull	2–2 (1–2)	2.30	3.40	3.10	2.03	1.83
03.10.23	Plymouth – Millwall	0–2 (0–0)	2.40	3.50	2.80	1.73	2.08
30.09.23	Millwall – Swansea	0–3 (0–1)	2.10	3.30	3.75	2.08	1.73
23.09.23	West Brom – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.40	3.60	2.10	1.73
20.09.23	Millwall – Rotherham	3–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.60	5.00	2.03	1.83
17.09.23	Millwall – Leeds	0–3 (0–1)	3.00	3.40	2.38	2.00	1.80
02.09.23	Birmingham – Millwall	1–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.20	3.25	2.38	1.57
26.08.23	Millwall – Stoke	1–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.20	2.20	1.67

Watford at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.10.23	Watford – Sheffield Weds	1–0 (0–0)	1.67	3.60	5.25	2.05	1.75
30.09.23	Watford – Middlesbrough	2–3 (1–2)	2.45	3.40	2.90	1.93	1.93
20.09.23	Watford – West Brom	2–2 (2–2)	2.20	3.25	3.40	2.00	1.85
16.09.23	Watford – Birmingham	2–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.30	4.00	2.10	1.73
27.08.23	Watford – Blackburn	0–1 (0–0)	2.00	3.50	3.75	1.90	1.95
12.08.23	Watford – Plymouth	0–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.75	5.00	1.83	2.03
05.08.23	Watford – QPR	4–0 (4–0)	1.85	3.60	4.20	2.00	1.85
08.05.23	Watford – Stoke	2–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.20	3.00	1.73	2.10
19.04.23	Watford – Cardiff	1–3 (1–3)	1.95	3.40	4.20	2.20	1.67
15.04.23	Watford – Bristol City	2–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	2.00	1.80

Millwall away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.10.23	Preston – Millwall	1–1 (1–1)	2.38	3.20	3.10	2.30	1.60
03.10.23	Plymouth – Millwall	0–2 (0–0)	2.40	3.50	2.80	1.73	2.08
23.09.23	West Brom – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.40	3.60	2.10	1.73
02.09.23	Birmingham – Millwall	1–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.20	3.25	2.38	1.57
20.08.23	Norwich – Millwall	3–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.60	3.60	2.03	1.83
05.08.23	Middlesbrough – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.30	4.33	2.00	1.80
28.04.23	Blackpool – Millwall	2–3 (1–1)	3.30	3.40	2.20	2.00	1.80
22.04.23	Wigan – Millwall	2–1 (1–1)	3.80	3.40	2.00	2.38	1.57
10.04.23	Hull – Millwall	1–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.25	2.45	2.38	1.57
01.04.23	West Brom – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.50	2.30	1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2

Watford winsDrawsMillwall wins

2matches

2.50goals / match

50%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.22E1	Watford – Millwall	0–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.30	3.75	2.20	1.67
19.10.22E1	Millwall – Watford	3–0 (3–0)	2.60	3.20	2.80	2.20	1.66

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	13	12	0	1	27	7	+20	36
2	Ipswich	12	10	1	1	26	13	+13	31
3	Leeds	14	7	4	3	24	15	+9	25
4	Southampton	14	7	3	4	24	25	-1	24
5	Preston	13	6	4	3	18	20	-2	22
6	West Brom	13	5	5	3	20	14	+6	20
7	Cardiff	13	6	2	5	21	16	+5	20
8	Hull	13	5	5	3	19	16	+3	20
9	Middlesbrough	13	6	2	5	19	18	+1	20
10	Sunderland	13	6	1	6	21	15	+6	19
11	Blackburn	13	6	1	6	20	22	-2	19
12	Bristol City	13	5	3	5	15	14	+1	18
13	Birmingham	14	5	3	6	16	17	-1	18
14	Norwich	13	5	2	6	24	24	0	17
15	Watford	13	4	4	5	16	16	0	16
16	Millwall	13	4	4	5	13	16	-3	16
17	Stoke	13	5	1	7	14	18	-4	16
18	Plymouth	13	4	3	6	21	19	+2	15
19	Swansea	13	4	3	6	19	18	+1	15
20	Coventry	13	3	6	4	17	16	+1	15
21	Huddersfield	14	3	5	6	14	27	-13	14
22	Rotherham	12	2	3	7	12	22	-10	9
23	QPR	13	2	2	9	9	24	-15	8
24	Sheffield Weds	13	0	3	10	5	22	-17	3

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	7	6	0	1	11	3	+8	18
2	Ipswich	6	5	0	1	19	11	+8	15
3	Leeds	7	4	3	0	13	5	+8	15
4	Birmingham	7	4	2	1	11	6	+5	14
5	West Brom	7	4	2	1	11	6	+5	14
6	Preston	7	4	2	1	11	11	0	14
7	Cardiff	6	4	1	1	11	6	+5	13
8	Plymouth	7	4	0	3	17	10	+7	12
9	Norwich	7	4	0	3	11	9	+2	12
10	Stoke	7	4	0	3	9	8	+1	12
11	Watford	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
12	Southampton	7	3	2	2	14	13	+1	11
13	Coventry	6	2	4	0	9	5	+4	10
14	Middlesbrough	6	3	1	2	6	5	+1	10
15	Sunderland	6	3	0	3	10	8	+2	9
16	Blackburn	6	3	0	3	8	11	-3	9
17	Rotherham	6	2	2	2	9	8	+1	8
18	Swansea	7	2	2	3	9	9	0	8
19	Bristol City	7	2	2	3	8	8	0	8
20	Huddersfield	7	2	2	3	7	13	-6	8
21	Hull	6	1	4	1	8	7	+1	7
22	Millwall	7	2	1	4	7	11	-4	7
23	Sheffield Weds	6	0	2	4	2	8	-6	2
24	QPR	5	0	1	4	3	12	-9	1

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	6	6	0	0	16	4	+12	18
2	Ipswich	6	5	1	0	7	2	+5	16
3	Hull	7	4	1	2	11	9	+2	13
4	Southampton	7	4	1	2	10	12	-2	13
5	Sunderland	7	3	1	3	11	7	+4	10
6	Blackburn	7	3	1	3	12	11	+1	10
7	Leeds	7	3	1	3	11	10	+1	10
8	Bristol City	6	3	1	2	7	6	+1	10
9	Middlesbrough	7	3	1	3	13	13	0	10
10	Millwall	6	2	3	1	6	5	+1	9
11	Preston	6	2	2	2	7	9	-2	8
12	Swansea	6	2	1	3	10	9	+1	7
13	Cardiff	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
14	QPR	8	2	1	5	6	12	-6	7
15	West Brom	6	1	3	2	9	8	+1	6
16	Huddersfield	7	1	3	3	7	14	-7	6
17	Norwich	6	1	2	3	13	15	-2	5
18	Coventry	7	1	2	4	8	11	-3	5
19	Watford	6	1	2	3	5	10	-5	5
20	Stoke	6	1	1	4	5	10	-5	4
21	Birmingham	7	1	1	5	5	11	-6	4
22	Plymouth	6	0	3	3	4	9	-5	3
23	Rotherham	6	0	1	5	3	14	-11	1
24	Sheffield Weds	7	0	1	6	3	14	-11	1

Watford Millwall

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Southampton	14	3	11	1.7	1.8	7	3	4	24	25	24
2	11	Blackburn	13	3	10	1.5	1.7	6	1	6	20	22	19
3	10	Sunderland	13	4	9	1.6	1.2	6	1	6	21	15	19
4	14	Norwich	13	4	9	1.8	1.8	5	2	6	24	24	17
5	18	Plymouth	13	4	9	1.6	1.5	4	3	6	21	19	15
6	3	Leeds	14	6	8	1.7	1.1	7	4	3	24	15	25
7	5	Preston	13	5	8	1.4	1.5	6	4	3	18	20	22
8	19	Swansea	13	5	8	1.5	1.4	4	3	6	19	18	15
9	21	Huddersfield	14	6	8	1.0	1.9	3	5	6	14	27	14
10	1	Leicester	13	6	7	2.1	0.5	12	0	1	27	7	36
11	6	West Brom	13	6	7	1.5	1.1	5	5	3	20	14	20
12	7	Cardiff	13	6	7	1.6	1.2	6	2	5	21	16	20
13	8	Hull	13	6	7	1.5	1.2	5	5	3	19	16	20
14	9	Middlesbrough	13	6	7	1.5	1.4	6	2	5	19	18	20
15	22	Rotherham	12	5	7	1.0	1.8	2	3	7	12	22	9
16	23	QPR	13	6	7	0.7	1.8	2	2	9	9	24	8
17	2	Ipswich	12	6	6	2.2	1.1	10	1	1	26	13	31
18	16	Millwall	13	7	6	1.0	1.2	4	4	5	13	16	16
19	24	Sheffield Weds	13	7	6	0.4	1.7	0	3	10	5	22	3
20	12	Bristol City	13	8	5	1.2	1.1	5	3	5	15	14	18
21	13	Birmingham	14	9	5	1.1	1.2	5	3	6	16	17	18
22	15	Watford	13	8	5	1.2	1.2	4	4	5	16	16	16
23	17	Stoke	13	8	5	1.1	1.4	5	1	7	14	18	16
24	20	Coventry	13	8	5	1.3	1.2	3	6	4	17	16	15

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Preston	7	1	6	1.6	1.6	4	2	1	11	11	14
2	18	Plymouth	7	1	6	2.4	1.4	4	0	3	17	10	12
3	2	Ipswich	6	1	5	3.2	1.8	5	0	1	19	11	15
4	4	Southampton	7	2	5	2.0	1.9	3	2	2	14	13	11
5	11	Blackburn	6	1	5	1.3	1.8	3	0	3	8	11	9
6	16	Millwall	7	2	5	1.0	1.6	2	1	4	7	11	7
7	3	Leeds	7	3	4	1.9	0.7	4	3	0	13	5	15
8	10	Sunderland	6	2	4	1.7	1.3	3	0	3	10	8	9
9	14	Norwich	7	3	4	1.6	1.3	4	0	3	11	9	12
10	19	Swansea	7	3	4	1.3	1.3	2	2	3	9	9	8
11	21	Huddersfield	7	3	4	1.0	1.9	2	2	3	7	13	8
12	22	Rotherham	6	2	4	1.5	1.3	2	2	2	9	8	8
13	1	Leicester	7	4	3	1.6	0.4	6	0	1	11	3	18
14	6	West Brom	7	4	3	1.6	0.9	4	2	1	11	6	14
15	7	Cardiff	6	3	3	1.8	1.0	4	1	1	11	6	13
16	13	Birmingham	7	4	3	1.6	0.9	4	2	1	11	6	14
17	15	Watford	7	4	3	1.6	0.9	3	2	2	11	6	11
18	17	Stoke	7	4	3	1.3	1.1	4	0	3	9	8	12
19	23	QPR	5	2	3	0.6	2.4	0	1	4	3	12	1
20	8	Hull	6	4	2	1.3	1.2	1	4	1	8	7	7
21	12	Bristol City	7	5	2	1.1	1.1	2	2	3	8	8	8
22	20	Coventry	6	4	2	1.5	0.8	2	4	0	9	5	10
23	24	Sheffield Weds	6	4	2	0.3	1.3	0	2	4	2	8	2
24	9	Middlesbrough	6	5	1	1.0	0.8	3	1	2	6	5	10

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Southampton	7	1	6	1.4	1.7	4	1	2	10	12	13
2	9	Middlesbrough	7	1	6	1.9	1.9	3	1	3	13	13	10
3	8	Hull	7	2	5	1.6	1.3	4	1	2	11	9	13
4	10	Sunderland	7	2	5	1.6	1.0	3	1	3	11	7	10
5	11	Blackburn	7	2	5	1.7	1.6	3	1	3	12	11	10
6	14	Norwich	6	1	5	2.2	2.5	1	2	3	13	15	5
7	1	Leicester	6	2	4	2.7	0.7	6	0	0	16	4	18
8	3	Leeds	7	3	4	1.6	1.4	3	1	3	11	10	10
9	6	West Brom	6	2	4	1.5	1.3	1	3	2	9	8	6
10	7	Cardiff	7	3	4	1.4	1.4	2	1	4	10	10	7
11	19	Swansea	6	2	4	1.7	1.5	2	1	3	10	9	7
12	21	Huddersfield	7	3	4	1.0	2.0	1	3	3	7	14	6
13	23	QPR	8	4	4	0.8	1.5	2	1	5	6	12	7
14	24	Sheffield Weds	7	3	4	0.4	2.0	0	1	6	3	14	1
15	12	Bristol City	6	3	3	1.2	1.0	3	1	2	7	6	10
16	18	Plymouth	6	3	3	0.7	1.5	0	3	3	4	9	3
17	20	Coventry	7	4	3	1.1	1.6	1	2	4	8	11	5
18	22	Rotherham	6	3	3	0.5	2.3	0	1	5	3	14	1
19	5	Preston	6	4	2	1.2	1.5	2	2	2	7	9	8
20	13	Birmingham	7	5	2	0.7	1.6	1	1	5	5	11	4
21	15	Watford	6	4	2	0.8	1.7	1	2	3	5	10	5
22	17	Stoke	6	4	2	0.8	1.7	1	1	4	5	10	4
23	2	Ipswich	6	5	1	1.2	0.3	5	1	0	7	2	16
24	16	Millwall	6	5	1	1.0	0.8	2	3	1	6	5	9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.