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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Davies

Sunderland 2–0 Watford

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.95 fair 1.96
Draw 3.40 fair 4.28
Away 4.00 fair 3.89
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.32
Over 2.5 1.80 fair 1.76

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sunderland Watford
9 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 2
9 Fouls 19
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (114 league matches this season so far).
Result Sunderland to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.73
Expected goals 1.77 – 1.19
Home / Draw / Away
SunderlandDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 9.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Sunderland before this match, all matches
1.78points / match
2.00scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 18:8
Watford before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.44scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 13:13
Sunderland all matches all matches Watford

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.44
0.89 Goals conceded 1.44
2.89 Total goals 2.89
15.56 Shots 15.11
5.33 Shots on target 4.44
11.11 Shots faced 10.22
6.78 Corners 6.33
3.89 Corners against 4.33
9.00 Fouls 11.89
1.67 Yellow cards 1.78
1.22 1st-half goals scored 0.89
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

56% Wins 22%
11% Draws 33%
33% Losses 44%
89% Over 0.5 goals 89%
78% Over 1.5 goals 67%
78% Over 2.5 goals 56%
33% Over 3.5 goals 44%
11% Over 4.5 goals 22%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
56% Both teams scored 33%
33% Clean sheets 33%
22% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 11%
56% Draws 78%
11% Losses 11%
78% Over 0.5 goals 44%
67% Over 1.5 goals 44%
33% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sunderland all matches
Watford all matches
Sunderland before this match, at home
1.50points / match
2.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 8:4
Watford before this match, away
0.33points / match
1.00scored / match
2.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:7
Sunderland at home away Watford

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 2.33
3.00 Total goals 3.33
16.25 Shots 9.33
6.00 Shots on target 3.00
9.25 Shots faced 15.33
6.25 Corners 3.00
4.00 Corners against 8.00
11.75 Fouls 13.67
1.75 Yellow cards 2.33
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%
0% Draws 33%
50% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 67%
75% Over 2.5 goals 67%
25% Over 3.5 goals 33%
25% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 33%
50% Both teams scored 33%
25% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 0%
50% Draws 100%
25% Losses 0%
75% Over 0.5 goals 33%
50% Over 1.5 goals 33%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sunderland at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sunderland all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.09.23 Sheffield Weds – Sunderland 0–3 (0–3) 3.203.402.25 1.90 1.95
24.09.23 Sunderland – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 1.83 2.03
20.09.23 Blackburn – Sunderland 1–3 (1–2) 2.253.603.00 1.67 2.20
16.09.23 QPR – Sunderland 1–3 (1–1) 3.103.502.25 1.85 2.00
02.09.23 Sunderland – Southampton 5–0 (3–0) 2.803.602.40 1.80 2.00
26.08.23 Coventry – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.50 1.88 1.98
19.08.23 Sunderland – Rotherham 2–1 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 1.80 2.05
12.08.23 Preston – Sunderland 2–1 (1–1) 2.633.402.60 1.95 1.90
06.08.23 Sunderland – Ipswich 1–2 (0–1) 2.383.303.00 1.95 1.90
08.05.23 Preston – Sunderland 0–3 (0–0) 4.003.501.91 1.80 2.05

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.90 1.93 1.93
23.09.23 Leeds – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 1.733.804.75 1.73 2.10
20.09.23 Watford – West Brom 2–2 (2–2) 2.203.253.40 2.00 1.85
16.09.23 Watford – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.304.00 2.10 1.73
02.09.23 Coventry – Watford 3–3 (1–1) 2.103.503.40 1.95 1.90
27.08.23 Watford – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.90 1.95
19.08.23 Stoke – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.25 2.03 1.83
12.08.23 Watford – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.00 1.83 2.03
05.08.23 Watford – QPR 4–0 (4–0) 1.853.604.20 2.00 1.85
08.05.23 Watford – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.00 1.73 2.10

Sunderland at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.09.23 Sunderland – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 1.83 2.03
02.09.23 Sunderland – Southampton 5–0 (3–0) 2.803.602.40 1.80 2.00
19.08.23 Sunderland – Rotherham 2–1 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 1.80 2.05
06.08.23 Sunderland – Ipswich 1–2 (0–1) 2.383.303.00 1.95 1.90
29.04.23 Sunderland – Watford 2–2 (0–1) 1.803.604.50 1.93 1.93
18.04.23 Sunderland – Huddersfield 1–1 (1–0) 1.673.755.50 2.10 1.73
15.04.23 Sunderland – Birmingham 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.504.33 2.10 1.73
07.04.23 Sunderland – Hull 4–4 (2–2) 2.003.304.00 2.10 1.73
18.03.23 Sunderland – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 2.20 1.67
15.03.23 Sunderland – Sheffield United 1–2 (1–1) 3.303.252.25 2.02 1.83

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23 Leeds – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 1.733.804.75 1.73 2.10
02.09.23 Coventry – Watford 3–3 (1–1) 2.103.503.40 1.95 1.90
19.08.23 Stoke – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.25 2.03 1.83
29.04.23 Sunderland – Watford 2–2 (0–1) 1.803.604.50 1.93 1.93
22.04.23 Hull – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.252.88 2.10 1.73
10.04.23 Coventry – Watford 2–2 (0–2) 2.403.253.00 2.20 1.67
01.04.23 Luton – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.253.60 2.38 1.57
11.03.23 QPR – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.252.30 2.10 1.73
25.02.23 Sheffield United – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.603.80 2.02 1.83
14.02.23 Burnley – Watford 1–1 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sunderland winsDrawsWatford wins
2matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.04.23E1 Sunderland – Watford 2–2 (0–1) 1.803.604.50 1.93 1.93
17.09.22E1 Watford – Sunderland 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.503.75 2.00 1.80

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 10 8 1 1 21 11 +10 25
2 Leicester 9 8 0 1 18 6 +12 24
3 Preston 9 6 2 1 13 10 +3 20
4 Sunderland 9 5 1 3 18 8 +10 16
5 West Brom 10 4 4 2 17 11 +6 16
6 Norwich 9 5 1 3 19 16 +3 16
7 Cardiff 10 5 1 4 16 14 +2 16
8 Hull 10 4 4 2 14 12 +2 16
9 Southampton 10 5 1 4 16 20 -4 16
10 Birmingham 10 4 3 3 12 10 +2 15
11 Millwall 10 4 2 4 9 11 -2 14
12 Leeds 9 3 4 2 14 10 +4 13
13 Bristol City 9 3 3 3 11 10 +1 12
14 Coventry 9 2 5 2 15 12 +3 11
15 Plymouth 10 3 2 5 17 16 +1 11
16 Middlesbrough 10 3 2 5 12 17 -5 11
17 Stoke 10 3 1 6 11 15 -4 10
18 Blackburn 9 3 1 5 13 20 -7 10
19 Huddersfield 10 2 4 4 11 18 -7 10
20 Swansea 9 2 3 4 13 12 +1 9
21 Watford 9 2 3 4 13 13 0 9
22 QPR 9 2 2 5 8 15 -7 8
23 Rotherham 9 1 2 6 8 19 -11 5
24 Sheffield Weds 10 0 2 8 5 18 -13 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 5 4 0 1 15 9 +6 12
2 Cardiff 5 4 0 1 10 5 +5 12
3 Norwich 5 4 0 1 8 4 +4 12
4 Preston 5 4 0 1 8 8 0 12
5 Birmingham 5 3 2 0 8 3 +5 11
6 West Brom 5 3 1 1 9 6 +3 10
7 Plymouth 5 3 0 2 13 7 +6 9
8 Leicester 4 3 0 1 5 3 +2 9
9 Watford 6 2 2 2 10 6 +4 8
10 Hull 5 1 4 0 7 5 +2 7
11 Middlesbrough 5 2 1 2 5 5 0 7
12 Southampton 5 2 1 2 10 11 -1 7
13 Sunderland 4 2 0 2 8 4 +4 6
14 Coventry 4 1 3 0 7 4 +3 6
15 Leeds 4 1 3 0 6 3 +3 6
16 Stoke 5 2 0 3 6 7 -1 6
17 Millwall 5 2 0 3 4 7 -3 6
18 Blackburn 5 2 0 3 7 11 -4 6
19 Swansea 4 1 2 1 6 4 +2 5
20 Bristol City 5 1 2 2 7 7 0 5
21 Rotherham 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5
22 Huddersfield 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
23 QPR 4 0 1 3 3 8 -5 1
24 Sheffield Weds 5 0 1 4 2 8 -6 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 5 5 0 0 13 3 +10 15
2 Ipswich 5 4 1 0 6 2 +4 13
3 Sunderland 5 3 1 1 10 4 +6 10
4 Hull 5 3 0 2 7 7 0 9
5 Southampton 5 3 0 2 6 9 -3 9
6 Preston 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8
7 Millwall 5 2 2 1 5 4 +1 8
8 Leeds 5 2 1 2 8 7 +1 7
9 Bristol City 4 2 1 1 4 3 +1 7
10 QPR 5 2 1 2 5 7 -2 7
11 West Brom 5 1 3 1 8 5 +3 6
12 Coventry 5 1 2 2 8 8 0 5
13 Huddersfield 5 1 2 2 6 10 -4 5
14 Norwich 4 1 1 2 11 12 -1 4
15 Swansea 5 1 1 3 7 8 -1 4
16 Blackburn 4 1 1 2 6 9 -3 4
17 Cardiff 5 1 1 3 6 9 -3 4
18 Stoke 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
19 Birmingham 5 1 1 3 4 7 -3 4
20 Middlesbrough 5 1 1 3 7 12 -5 4
21 Plymouth 5 0 2 3 4 9 -5 2
22 Watford 3 0 1 2 3 7 -4 1
23 Sheffield Weds 5 0 1 4 3 10 -7 1
24 Rotherham 5 0 0 5 2 13 -11 0

Sunderland   Watford

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Southampton 10 2 8 1.6 2.0 5 1 4 16 20 16
2 18 Blackburn 9 1 8 1.4 2.2 3 1 5 13 20 10
3 4 Sunderland 9 2 7 2.0 0.9 5 1 3 18 8 16
4 15 Plymouth 10 3 7 1.7 1.6 3 2 5 17 16 11
5 5 West Brom 10 4 6 1.7 1.1 4 4 2 17 11 16
6 6 Norwich 9 3 6 2.1 1.8 5 1 3 19 16 16
7 7 Cardiff 10 4 6 1.6 1.4 5 1 4 16 14 16
8 23 Rotherham 9 3 6 0.9 2.1 1 2 6 8 19 5
9 1 Ipswich 10 5 5 2.1 1.1 8 1 1 21 11 25
10 2 Leicester 9 4 5 2.0 0.7 8 0 1 18 6 24
11 3 Preston 9 4 5 1.4 1.1 6 2 1 13 10 20
12 8 Hull 10 5 5 1.4 1.2 4 4 2 14 12 16
13 12 Leeds 9 4 5 1.6 1.1 3 4 2 14 10 13
14 14 Coventry 9 4 5 1.7 1.3 2 5 2 15 12 11
15 16 Middlesbrough 10 5 5 1.2 1.7 3 2 5 12 17 11
16 19 Huddersfield 10 5 5 1.1 1.8 2 4 4 11 18 10
17 20 Swansea 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 2 3 4 13 12 9
18 21 Watford 9 4 5 1.4 1.4 2 3 4 13 13 9
19 22 QPR 9 4 5 0.9 1.7 2 2 5 8 15 8
20 24 Sheffield Weds 10 5 5 0.5 1.8 0 2 8 5 18 2
21 11 Millwall 10 6 4 0.9 1.1 4 2 4 9 11 14
22 17 Stoke 10 6 4 1.1 1.5 3 1 6 11 15 10
23 10 Birmingham 10 7 3 1.2 1.0 4 3 3 12 10 15
24 13 Bristol City 9 6 3 1.2 1.1 3 3 3 11 10 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Preston 5 0 5 1.6 1.6 4 0 1 8 8 12
2 18 Blackburn 5 0 5 1.4 2.2 2 0 3 7 11 6
3 1 Ipswich 5 1 4 3.0 1.8 4 0 1 15 9 12
4 9 Southampton 5 1 4 2.0 2.2 2 1 2 10 11 7
5 15 Plymouth 5 1 4 2.6 1.4 3 0 2 13 7 9
6 4 Sunderland 4 1 3 2.0 1.0 2 0 2 8 4 6
7 5 West Brom 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 1 1 9 6 10
8 7 Cardiff 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 4 0 1 10 5 12
9 11 Millwall 5 2 3 0.8 1.4 2 0 3 4 7 6
10 21 Watford 6 3 3 1.7 1.0 2 2 2 10 6 8
11 23 Rotherham 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5
12 2 Leicester 4 2 2 1.2 0.8 3 0 1 5 3 9
13 6 Norwich 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 4 0 1 8 4 12
14 10 Birmingham 5 3 2 1.6 0.6 3 2 0 8 3 11
15 12 Leeds 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 1 3 0 6 3 6
16 13 Bristol City 5 3 2 1.4 1.4 1 2 2 7 7 5
17 14 Coventry 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 1 3 0 7 4 6
18 17 Stoke 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 2 0 3 6 7 6
19 19 Huddersfield 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
20 20 Swansea 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 1 2 1 6 4 5
21 22 QPR 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 0 1 3 3 8 1
22 24 Sheffield Weds 5 3 2 0.4 1.6 0 1 4 2 8 1
23 8 Hull 5 4 1 1.4 1.0 1 4 0 7 5 7
24 16 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 1.0 1.0 2 1 2 5 5 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Sunderland 5 1 4 2.0 0.8 3 1 1 10 4 10
2 6 Norwich 4 0 4 2.8 3.0 1 1 2 11 12 4
3 8 Hull 5 1 4 1.4 1.4 3 0 2 7 7 9
4 9 Southampton 5 1 4 1.2 1.8 3 0 2 6 9 9
5 16 Middlesbrough 5 1 4 1.4 2.4 1 1 3 7 12 4
6 2 Leicester 5 2 3 2.6 0.6 5 0 0 13 3 15
7 5 West Brom 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 1 3 1 8 5 6
8 7 Cardiff 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 1 1 3 6 9 4
9 12 Leeds 5 2 3 1.6 1.4 2 1 2 8 7 7
10 14 Coventry 5 2 3 1.6 1.6 1 2 2 8 8 5
11 15 Plymouth 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 0 2 3 4 9 2
12 18 Blackburn 4 1 3 1.5 2.2 1 1 2 6 9 4
13 19 Huddersfield 5 2 3 1.2 2.0 1 2 2 6 10 5
14 20 Swansea 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 1 1 3 7 8 4
15 22 QPR 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 2 1 2 5 7 7
16 23 Rotherham 5 2 3 0.4 2.6 0 0 5 2 13 0
17 24 Sheffield Weds 5 2 3 0.6 2.0 0 1 4 3 10 1
18 17 Stoke 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
19 21 Watford 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 0 1 2 3 7 1
20 1 Ipswich 5 4 1 1.2 0.4 4 1 0 6 2 13
21 10 Birmingham 5 4 1 0.8 1.4 1 1 3 4 7 4
22 11 Millwall 5 4 1 1.0 0.8 2 2 1 5 4 8
23 13 Bristol City 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 2 1 1 4 3 7
24 3 Preston 4 4 0 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51