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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Martin

Watford 5–0 Rotherham

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.45 fair 1.90
Draw 4.20 fair 4.17
Away 7.50 fair 4.27
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 2.09
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 1.92

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Watford Rotherham
14 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 2
12 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (182 league matches this season so far).
Result Watford to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.88
Expected goals 1.71 – 1.05
Home / Draw / Away
WatfordDrawRotherham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 1–0 10.8% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches
1.20points / match
1.20scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 18:18
Rotherham before this match, all matches
0.73points / match
1.00scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 15:27
Watford all matches all matches Rotherham

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 1.00
1.20 Goals conceded 1.80
2.40 Total goals 2.80
13.80 Shots 7.47
4.13 Shots on target 2.13
9.60 Shots faced 15.47
5.20 Corners 3.73
4.00 Corners against 7.20
13.20 Fouls 11.00
2.20 Yellow cards 2.07
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

27% Wins 13%
40% Draws 33%
33% Losses 53%
87% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 100%
40% Over 2.5 goals 53%
33% Over 3.5 goals 20%
13% Over 4.5 goals 7%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 67%
40% Clean sheets 7%
40% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

7% Wins 13%
73% Draws 47%
20% Losses 40%
47% Over 0.5 goals 73%
33% Over 1.5 goals 40%
20% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches
Rotherham all matches
Watford before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.63scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:8
Rotherham before this match, away
0.14points / match
0.43scored / match
2.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 3:16
Watford at home away Rotherham

Per match

1.63 Goals scored 0.43
1.00 Goals conceded 2.29
2.63 Total goals 2.71
17.38 Shots 5.57
5.00 Shots on target 1.43
8.38 Shots faced 15.57
7.38 Corners 2.86
2.75 Corners against 6.43
11.75 Fouls 13.29
1.75 Yellow cards 2.14
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.14
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 1.29

How often Full Time

38% Wins 0%
38% Draws 14%
25% Losses 86%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 43%
50% Over 3.5 goals 14%
13% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 43%
50% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 57%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 0%
75% Draws 29%
13% Losses 71%
50% Over 0.5 goals 86%
50% Over 1.5 goals 43%
38% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home
Rotherham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.23 Huddersfield – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.30 2.08 1.73
28.10.23 Watford – Millwall 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.304.00 2.20 1.65
24.10.23 Swansea – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 2.05 1.75
21.10.23 Watford – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.605.25 2.05 1.75
07.10.23 Cardiff – Watford 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.302.90 2.05 1.75
04.10.23 Sunderland – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 1.80 2.00
30.09.23 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.90 1.93 1.93
23.09.23 Leeds – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 1.733.804.75 1.73 2.10
20.09.23 Watford – West Brom 2–2 (2–2) 2.203.253.40 2.00 1.85
16.09.23 Watford – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.304.00 2.10 1.73

Rotherham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.11.23 Rotherham – Ipswich 2–2 (1–1) 5.754.501.50 1.73 2.08
04.11.23 Rotherham – QPR 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.252.70 2.10 1.70
29.10.23 Sheffield Weds – Rotherham 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.33 2.30 1.60
25.10.23 Rotherham – Coventry 2–0 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 1.98 1.88
07.10.23 Southampton – Rotherham 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.60 2.30
04.10.23 Rotherham – Bristol City 1–2 (0–0) 3.603.402.05 2.03 1.83
30.09.23 Cardiff – Rotherham 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.25 1.93 1.93
23.09.23 Rotherham – Preston 1–1 (1–1) 3.203.402.25 2.20 1.67
20.09.23 Millwall – Rotherham 3–0 (1–0) 1.733.605.00 2.03 1.83
16.09.23 Huddersfield – Rotherham 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.404.33 1.98 1.88

Watford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.23 Watford – Millwall 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.304.00 2.20 1.65
21.10.23 Watford – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.605.25 2.05 1.75
30.09.23 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.90 1.93 1.93
20.09.23 Watford – West Brom 2–2 (2–2) 2.203.253.40 2.00 1.85
16.09.23 Watford – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.304.00 2.10 1.73
27.08.23 Watford – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.90 1.95
12.08.23 Watford – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.00 1.83 2.03
05.08.23 Watford – QPR 4–0 (4–0) 1.853.604.20 2.00 1.85
08.05.23 Watford – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.00 1.73 2.10
19.04.23 Watford – Cardiff 1–3 (1–3) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.67

Rotherham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.23 Sheffield Weds – Rotherham 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.33 2.30 1.60
07.10.23 Southampton – Rotherham 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.60 2.30
30.09.23 Cardiff – Rotherham 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.25 1.93 1.93
20.09.23 Millwall – Rotherham 3–0 (1–0) 1.733.605.00 2.03 1.83
16.09.23 Huddersfield – Rotherham 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.404.33 1.98 1.88
19.08.23 Sunderland – Rotherham 2–1 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 1.80 2.05
05.08.23 Stoke – Rotherham 4–1 (3–0) 1.623.805.75 2.00 1.85
08.05.23 Wigan – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.803.25 1.88 1.98
22.04.23 Bristol City – Rotherham 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.75 1.98 1.88
10.04.23 Norwich – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 1.554.006.50 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Watford winsDrawsRotherham wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.01.23E1 Watford – Rotherham 1–1 (0–1) 1.554.206.00 1.93 1.93
03.09.22E1 Rotherham – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 3.253.302.25 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 15 13 0 2 29 9 +20 39
2 Ipswich 15 11 3 1 33 19 +14 36
3 Leeds 15 8 4 3 25 15 +10 28
4 Preston 16 8 4 4 23 24 -1 28
5 Southampton 15 8 3 4 25 25 0 27
6 Sunderland 16 8 2 6 27 17 +10 26
7 West Brom 15 7 5 3 25 15 +10 26
8 Cardiff 15 7 3 5 23 16 +7 24
9 Hull 15 6 5 4 21 19 +2 23
10 Blackburn 16 7 1 8 24 26 -2 22
11 Bristol City 15 6 3 6 16 16 0 21
12 Middlesbrough 15 6 3 6 22 23 -1 21
13 Stoke 15 6 2 7 16 18 -2 20
14 Swansea 15 5 4 6 20 18 +2 19
15 Birmingham 16 5 4 7 19 22 -3 19
16 Watford 15 4 6 5 18 18 0 18
17 Norwich 15 5 2 8 26 30 -4 17
18 Millwall 15 4 5 6 15 19 -4 17
19 Plymouth 15 4 4 7 26 25 +1 16
20 Coventry 15 3 6 6 19 21 -2 15
21 Huddersfield 15 3 6 6 14 27 -13 15
22 Rotherham 15 2 5 8 15 27 -12 11
23 QPR 15 2 3 10 11 27 -16 9
24 Sheffield Weds 15 1 3 11 7 23 -16 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 7 6 0 1 22 13 +9 18
2 Leicester 8 6 0 2 11 4 +7 18
3 West Brom 8 5 2 1 14 7 +7 17
4 Preston 8 5 2 1 14 13 +1 17
5 Cardiff 7 5 1 1 13 6 +7 16
6 Leeds 7 4 3 0 13 5 +8 15
7 Sunderland 8 5 0 3 16 10 +6 15
8 Birmingham 8 4 3 1 13 8 +5 15
9 Plymouth 8 4 1 3 20 13 +7 13
10 Stoke 8 4 1 3 9 8 +1 13
11 Watford 8 3 3 2 13 8 +5 12
12 Norwich 8 4 0 4 12 12 0 12
13 Southampton 7 3 2 2 14 13 +1 11
14 Bristol City 8 3 2 3 9 8 +1 11
15 Coventry 7 2 4 1 9 7 +2 10
16 Hull 7 2 4 1 9 7 +2 10
17 Rotherham 8 2 4 2 12 11 +1 10
18 Middlesbrough 7 3 1 3 6 7 -1 10
19 Swansea 8 2 3 3 9 9 0 9
20 Blackburn 8 3 0 5 9 14 -5 9
21 Huddersfield 8 2 3 3 7 13 -6 9
22 Millwall 8 2 1 5 7 12 -5 7
23 Sheffield Weds 7 1 2 4 4 8 -4 5
24 QPR 6 0 1 5 4 14 -10 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 7 7 0 0 18 5 +13 21
2 Ipswich 8 5 3 0 11 6 +5 18
3 Southampton 8 5 1 2 11 12 -1 16
4 Blackburn 8 4 1 3 15 12 +3 13
5 Leeds 8 4 1 3 12 10 +2 13
6 Hull 8 4 1 3 12 12 0 13
7 Sunderland 8 3 2 3 11 7 +4 11
8 Middlesbrough 8 3 2 3 16 16 0 11
9 Preston 8 3 2 3 9 11 -2 11
10 Swansea 7 3 1 3 11 9 +2 10
11 Millwall 7 2 4 1 8 7 +1 10
12 Bristol City 7 3 1 3 7 8 -1 10
13 West Brom 7 2 3 2 11 8 +3 9
14 Cardiff 8 2 2 4 10 10 0 8
15 QPR 9 2 2 5 7 13 -6 8
16 Stoke 7 2 1 4 7 10 -3 7
17 Watford 7 1 3 3 5 10 -5 6
18 Huddersfield 7 1 3 3 7 14 -7 6
19 Norwich 7 1 2 4 14 18 -4 5
20 Coventry 8 1 2 5 10 14 -4 5
21 Birmingham 8 1 1 6 6 14 -8 4
22 Plymouth 7 0 3 4 6 12 -6 3
23 Sheffield Weds 8 0 1 7 3 15 -12 1
24 Rotherham 7 0 1 6 3 16 -13 1

Watford   Rotherham

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Blackburn 16 4 12 1.5 1.6 7 1 8 24 26 22
2 5 Southampton 15 4 11 1.7 1.7 8 3 4 25 25 27
3 6 Sunderland 16 5 11 1.7 1.1 8 2 6 27 17 26
4 17 Norwich 15 4 11 1.7 2.0 5 2 8 26 30 17
5 19 Plymouth 15 4 11 1.7 1.7 4 4 7 26 25 16
6 4 Preston 16 6 10 1.4 1.5 8 4 4 23 24 28
7 2 Ipswich 15 6 9 2.2 1.3 11 3 1 33 19 36
8 1 Leicester 15 7 8 1.9 0.6 13 0 2 29 9 39
9 3 Leeds 15 7 8 1.7 1.0 8 4 3 25 15 28
10 7 West Brom 15 7 8 1.7 1.0 7 5 3 25 15 26
11 9 Hull 15 7 8 1.4 1.3 6 5 4 21 19 23
12 12 Middlesbrough 15 7 8 1.5 1.5 6 3 6 22 23 21
13 14 Swansea 15 7 8 1.3 1.2 5 4 6 20 18 19
14 21 Huddersfield 15 7 8 0.9 1.8 3 6 6 14 27 15
15 22 Rotherham 15 7 8 1.0 1.8 2 5 8 15 27 11
16 23 QPR 15 7 8 0.7 1.8 2 3 10 11 27 9
17 8 Cardiff 15 8 7 1.5 1.1 7 3 5 23 16 24
18 15 Birmingham 16 9 7 1.2 1.4 5 4 7 19 22 19
19 18 Millwall 15 8 7 1.0 1.3 4 5 6 15 19 17
20 16 Watford 15 9 6 1.2 1.2 4 6 5 18 18 18
21 20 Coventry 15 9 6 1.3 1.4 3 6 6 19 21 15
22 24 Sheffield Weds 15 9 6 0.5 1.5 1 3 11 7 23 6
23 11 Bristol City 15 10 5 1.1 1.1 6 3 6 16 16 21
24 13 Stoke 15 10 5 1.1 1.2 6 2 7 16 18 20
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Preston 8 1 7 1.8 1.6 5 2 1 14 13 17
2 19 Plymouth 8 1 7 2.5 1.6 4 1 3 20 13 13
3 2 Ipswich 7 1 6 3.1 1.9 6 0 1 22 13 18
4 6 Sunderland 8 2 6 2.0 1.2 5 0 3 16 10 15
5 10 Blackburn 8 2 6 1.1 1.8 3 0 5 9 14 9
6 5 Southampton 7 2 5 2.0 1.9 3 2 2 14 13 11
7 17 Norwich 8 3 5 1.5 1.5 4 0 4 12 12 12
8 18 Millwall 8 3 5 0.9 1.5 2 1 5 7 12 7
9 22 Rotherham 8 3 5 1.5 1.4 2 4 2 12 11 10
10 3 Leeds 7 3 4 1.9 0.7 4 3 0 13 5 15
11 7 West Brom 8 4 4 1.8 0.9 5 2 1 14 7 17
12 14 Swansea 8 4 4 1.1 1.1 2 3 3 9 9 9
13 15 Birmingham 8 4 4 1.6 1.0 4 3 1 13 8 15
14 16 Watford 8 4 4 1.6 1.0 3 3 2 13 8 12
15 21 Huddersfield 8 4 4 0.9 1.6 2 3 3 7 13 9
16 23 QPR 6 2 4 0.7 2.3 0 1 5 4 14 1
17 1 Leicester 8 5 3 1.4 0.5 6 0 2 11 4 18
18 8 Cardiff 7 4 3 1.9 0.9 5 1 1 13 6 16
19 13 Stoke 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 4 1 3 9 8 13
20 9 Hull 7 5 2 1.3 1.0 2 4 1 9 7 10
21 11 Bristol City 8 6 2 1.1 1.0 3 2 3 9 8 11
22 20 Coventry 7 5 2 1.3 1.0 2 4 1 9 7 10
23 24 Sheffield Weds 7 5 2 0.6 1.1 1 2 4 4 8 5
24 12 Middlesbrough 7 6 1 0.9 1.0 3 1 3 6 7 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Middlesbrough 8 1 7 2.0 2.0 3 2 3 16 16 11
2 5 Southampton 8 2 6 1.4 1.5 5 1 2 11 12 16
3 9 Hull 8 2 6 1.5 1.5 4 1 3 12 12 13
4 10 Blackburn 8 2 6 1.9 1.5 4 1 3 15 12 13
5 17 Norwich 7 1 6 2.0 2.6 1 2 4 14 18 5
6 1 Leicester 7 2 5 2.6 0.7 7 0 0 18 5 21
7 6 Sunderland 8 3 5 1.4 0.9 3 2 3 11 7 11
8 3 Leeds 8 4 4 1.5 1.2 4 1 3 12 10 13
9 7 West Brom 7 3 4 1.6 1.1 2 3 2 11 8 9
10 8 Cardiff 8 4 4 1.2 1.2 2 2 4 10 10 8
11 14 Swansea 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 3 1 3 11 9 10
12 19 Plymouth 7 3 4 0.9 1.7 0 3 4 6 12 3
13 20 Coventry 8 4 4 1.2 1.8 1 2 5 10 14 5
14 21 Huddersfield 7 3 4 1.0 2.0 1 3 3 7 14 6
15 23 QPR 9 5 4 0.8 1.4 2 2 5 7 13 8
16 24 Sheffield Weds 8 4 4 0.4 1.9 0 1 7 3 15 1
17 2 Ipswich 8 5 3 1.4 0.8 5 3 0 11 6 18
18 4 Preston 8 5 3 1.1 1.4 3 2 3 9 11 11
19 11 Bristol City 7 4 3 1.0 1.1 3 1 3 7 8 10
20 15 Birmingham 8 5 3 0.8 1.8 1 1 6 6 14 4
21 22 Rotherham 7 4 3 0.4 2.3 0 1 6 3 16 1
22 13 Stoke 7 5 2 1.0 1.4 2 1 4 7 10 7
23 16 Watford 7 5 2 0.7 1.4 1 3 3 5 10 6
24 18 Millwall 7 5 2 1.1 1.0 2 4 1 8 7 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44