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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Robinson

Middlesbrough 2–1 Southampton

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.50 fair 2.45
Draw 3.40 fair 4.08
Away 2.80 fair 2.88
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.29
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.77

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough Southampton
14 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 7
16 Fouls 7
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (85 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.69
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.40
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawSouthampton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 2–1 8.8% 1–0 8.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
0.29points / match
0.71scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 5:14
Southampton before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
1.57scored / match
2.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 11:17
Middlesbrough all matches all matches Southampton

Per match

0.71 Goals scored 1.57
2.00 Goals conceded 2.43
2.71 Total goals 4.00
15.57 Shots 17.86
4.86 Shots on target 6.14
11.71 Shots faced 13.29
6.86 Corners 8.43
5.43 Corners against 3.71
8.14 Fouls 10.71
1.14 Yellow cards 3.57
0.14 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.86 1st-half goals conceded 1.57

How often Full Time

0% Wins 43%
29% Draws 14%
71% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 86%
43% Over 2.5 goals 86%
14% Over 3.5 goals 43%
14% Over 4.5 goals 43%
14% Over 5.5 goals 14%
57% Both teams scored 71%
0% Clean sheets 0%
43% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 14%
29% Draws 29%
71% Losses 57%
71% Over 0.5 goals 86%
14% Over 1.5 goals 57%
14% Over 2.5 goals 43%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
Southampton all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
0.33points / match
0.33scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 1:4
Southampton before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.33scored / match
2.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:7
Middlesbrough at home away Southampton

Per match

0.33 Goals scored 1.33
1.33 Goals conceded 2.33
1.67 Total goals 3.67
16.33 Shots 18.33
6.00 Shots on target 6.00
13.00 Shots faced 13.67
8.67 Corners 8.00
6.33 Corners against 4.33
7.33 Fouls 11.67
1.00 Yellow cards 3.33
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 67%
33% Draws 0%
67% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 100%
0% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 67%
0% Clean sheets 0%
67% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 33%
67% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
33% Over 0.5 goals 67%
0% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
Southampton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.23 Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.502.15 1.90 1.95
16.09.23 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.252.75 1.73 2.10
02.09.23 Middlesbrough – QPR 0–2 (0–1) 1.604.005.50 1.73 2.10
26.08.23 West Brom – Middlesbrough 4–2 (2–1) 2.203.503.20 1.95 1.90
19.08.23 Middlesbrough – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.80 2.00
12.08.23 Coventry – Middlesbrough 3–0 (1–0) 2.383.303.00 1.98 1.88
05.08.23 Middlesbrough – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.304.33 2.00 1.80
08.05.23 Middlesbrough – Coventry 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.602.63 1.80 2.00
01.05.23 Rotherham – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 3.753.302.05 1.95 1.90
24.04.23 Luton – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 2.05 1.80

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.23 Southampton – Ipswich 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.10 1.67 2.20
15.09.23 Southampton – Leicester 1–4 (1–3) 2.453.402.80 1.73 2.10
02.09.23 Sunderland – Southampton 5–0 (3–0) 2.803.602.40 1.80 2.00
26.08.23 Southampton – QPR 2–1 (1–1) 1.364.759.00 1.62 2.30
19.08.23 Plymouth – Southampton 1–2 (0–0) 3.803.751.91 1.73 2.10
12.08.23 Southampton – Norwich 4–4 (2–3) 1.833.754.00 1.88 1.98
04.08.23 Sheffield Weds – Southampton 1–2 (0–1) 3.103.402.30 2.00 1.85
28.05.23E0 Southampton – Liverpool 4–4 (2–2) 6.504.751.44 1.40 3.00
21.05.23E0 Brighton – Southampton 3–1 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00
13.05.23E0 Southampton – Fulham 0–2 (0–0) 2.753.302.50 1.91 1.99

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.23 Middlesbrough – QPR 0–2 (0–1) 1.604.005.50 1.73 2.10
19.08.23 Middlesbrough – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.80 2.00
05.08.23 Middlesbrough – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.304.33 2.00 1.80
08.05.23 Middlesbrough – Coventry 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.602.63 1.80 2.00
19.04.23 Middlesbrough – Hull 3–1 (0–1) 1.454.506.50 1.67 2.20
14.04.23 Middlesbrough – Norwich 5–1 (4–1) 1.913.753.80 1.80 2.00
07.04.23 Middlesbrough – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 2.05 1.80
18.03.23 Middlesbrough – Preston 4–0 (1–0) 1.553.806.50 2.02 1.83
14.03.23 Middlesbrough – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 1.95
04.03.23 Middlesbrough – Reading 5–0 (2–0) 1.454.506.50 1.85 2.00

Southampton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.23 Sunderland – Southampton 5–0 (3–0) 2.803.602.40 1.80 2.00
19.08.23 Plymouth – Southampton 1–2 (0–0) 3.803.751.91 1.73 2.10
04.08.23 Sheffield Weds – Southampton 1–2 (0–1) 3.103.402.30 2.00 1.85
21.05.23E0 Brighton – Southampton 3–1 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00
08.05.23E0 Nott'm Forest – Southampton 4–3 (3–1) 2.103.603.40 2.03 1.87
30.04.23E0 Newcastle – Southampton 3–1 (0–1) 1.305.2510.00 1.73 2.10
21.04.23E0 Arsenal – Southampton 3–3 (1–2) 1.207.0013.00 1.50 2.63
02.04.23E0 West Ham – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.605.00 2.00 1.80
12.03.23E0 Man United – Southampton 0–0 (0–0) 1.365.009.00 1.62 2.30
25.02.23E0 Leeds – Southampton 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 2.05 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Preston 7 6 1 0 12 5 +7 19
2 Leicester 7 6 0 1 13 5 +8 18
3 Ipswich 7 6 0 1 13 7 +6 18
4 Sunderland 7 4 1 2 15 7 +8 13
5 Norwich 7 4 1 2 15 10 +5 13
6 Hull 7 3 3 1 10 7 +3 12
7 Bristol City 7 3 3 1 9 6 +3 12
8 Birmingham 8 3 3 2 8 7 +1 12
9 Leeds 7 2 4 1 10 7 +3 10
10 Cardiff 7 3 1 3 13 12 +1 10
11 Millwall 7 3 1 3 7 8 -1 10
12 Blackburn 7 3 1 3 9 12 -3 10
13 Southampton 7 3 1 3 11 17 -6 10
14 Watford 7 2 3 2 11 7 +4 9
15 West Brom 7 2 3 2 12 11 +1 9
16 Huddersfield 7 2 2 3 8 12 -4 8
17 QPR 8 2 2 4 7 12 -5 8
18 Coventry 7 1 4 2 11 10 +1 7
19 Plymouth 7 2 1 4 10 11 -1 7
20 Stoke 7 2 1 4 7 9 -2 7
21 Rotherham 7 1 1 5 7 16 -9 4
22 Swansea 7 0 3 4 7 12 -5 3
23 Sheffield Weds 7 0 2 5 5 11 -6 2
24 Middlesbrough 7 0 2 5 5 14 -9 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Preston 4 4 0 0 8 4 +4 12
2 Cardiff 4 3 0 1 8 5 +3 9
3 Norwich 4 3 0 1 6 4 +2 9
4 Watford 5 2 2 1 8 3 +5 8
5 Birmingham 4 2 2 0 4 2 +2 8
6 Sunderland 3 2 0 1 8 3 +5 6
7 Plymouth 3 2 0 1 7 3 +4 6
8 Ipswich 3 2 0 1 8 6 +2 6
9 West Brom 3 2 0 1 8 6 +2 6
10 Hull 4 1 3 0 6 4 +2 6
11 Stoke 3 2 0 1 5 3 +2 6
12 Leicester 3 2 0 1 4 3 +1 6
13 Millwall 4 2 0 2 4 4 0 6
14 Blackburn 4 2 0 2 6 7 -1 6
15 Coventry 3 1 2 0 6 3 +3 5
16 Bristol City 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5
17 Rotherham 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
18 Southampton 4 1 1 2 7 10 -3 4
19 Huddersfield 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4
20 Leeds 3 0 3 0 3 3 0 3
21 Swansea 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
22 QPR 3 0 1 2 2 5 -3 1
23 Sheffield Weds 4 0 1 3 2 5 -3 1
24 Middlesbrough 3 0 1 2 1 4 -3 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 4 4 0 0 9 2 +7 12
2 Ipswich 4 4 0 0 5 1 +4 12
3 Leeds 4 2 1 1 7 4 +3 7
4 Sunderland 4 2 1 1 7 4 +3 7
5 Preston 3 2 1 0 4 1 +3 7
6 Bristol City 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
7 QPR 5 2 1 2 5 7 -2 7
8 Hull 3 2 0 1 4 3 +1 6
9 Southampton 3 2 0 1 4 7 -3 6
10 Norwich 3 1 1 1 9 6 +3 4
11 Birmingham 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
12 Huddersfield 3 1 1 1 4 5 -1 4
13 Millwall 3 1 1 1 3 4 -1 4
14 Blackburn 3 1 1 1 3 5 -2 4
15 West Brom 4 0 3 1 4 5 -1 3
16 Coventry 4 0 2 2 5 7 -2 2
17 Watford 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
18 Cardiff 3 0 1 2 5 7 -2 1
19 Sheffield Weds 3 0 1 2 3 6 -3 1
20 Swansea 4 0 1 3 4 8 -4 1
21 Stoke 4 0 1 3 2 6 -4 1
22 Plymouth 4 0 1 3 3 8 -5 1
23 Middlesbrough 4 0 1 3 4 10 -6 1
24 Rotherham 4 0 0 4 2 11 -9 0

Middlesbrough   Southampton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Sunderland 7 1 6 2.1 1.0 4 1 2 15 7 13
2 10 Cardiff 7 1 6 1.9 1.7 3 1 3 13 12 10
3 12 Blackburn 7 1 6 1.3 1.7 3 1 3 9 12 10
4 13 Southampton 7 1 6 1.6 2.4 3 1 3 11 17 10
5 19 Plymouth 7 1 6 1.4 1.6 2 1 4 10 11 7
6 21 Rotherham 7 1 6 1.0 2.3 1 1 5 7 16 4
7 5 Norwich 7 2 5 2.1 1.4 4 1 2 15 10 13
8 15 West Brom 7 2 5 1.7 1.6 2 3 2 12 11 9
9 1 Preston 7 3 4 1.7 0.7 6 1 0 12 5 19
10 2 Leicester 7 3 4 1.9 0.7 6 0 1 13 5 18
11 16 Huddersfield 7 3 4 1.1 1.7 2 2 3 8 12 8
12 17 QPR 8 4 4 0.9 1.5 2 2 4 7 12 8
13 18 Coventry 7 3 4 1.6 1.4 1 4 2 11 10 7
14 3 Ipswich 7 4 3 1.9 1.0 6 0 1 13 7 18
15 6 Hull 7 4 3 1.4 1.0 3 3 1 10 7 12
16 9 Leeds 7 4 3 1.4 1.0 2 4 1 10 7 10
17 11 Millwall 7 4 3 1.0 1.1 3 1 3 7 8 10
18 14 Watford 7 4 3 1.6 1.0 2 3 2 11 7 9
19 22 Swansea 7 4 3 1.0 1.7 0 3 4 7 12 3
20 23 Sheffield Weds 7 4 3 0.7 1.6 0 2 5 5 11 2
21 24 Middlesbrough 7 4 3 0.7 2.0 0 2 5 5 14 2
22 7 Bristol City 7 5 2 1.3 0.9 3 3 1 9 6 12
23 8 Birmingham 8 6 2 1.0 0.9 3 3 2 8 7 12
24 20 Stoke 7 5 2 1.0 1.3 2 1 4 7 9 7
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Preston 4 0 4 2.0 1.0 4 0 0 8 4 12
2 12 Blackburn 4 0 4 1.5 1.8 2 0 2 6 7 6
3 4 Sunderland 3 0 3 2.7 1.0 2 0 1 8 3 6
4 10 Cardiff 4 1 3 2.0 1.2 3 0 1 8 5 9
5 13 Southampton 4 1 3 1.8 2.5 1 1 2 7 10 4
6 15 West Brom 3 0 3 2.7 2.0 2 0 1 8 6 6
7 19 Plymouth 3 0 3 2.3 1.0 2 0 1 7 3 6
8 21 Rotherham 3 0 3 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
9 2 Leicester 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 2 0 1 4 3 6
10 3 Ipswich 3 1 2 2.7 2.0 2 0 1 8 6 6
11 5 Norwich 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 3 0 1 6 4 9
12 11 Millwall 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 2 0 2 4 4 6
13 14 Watford 5 3 2 1.6 0.6 2 2 1 8 3 8
14 16 Huddersfield 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4
15 18 Coventry 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 1 2 0 6 3 5
16 6 Hull 4 3 1 1.5 1.0 1 3 0 6 4 6
17 7 Bristol City 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5
18 8 Birmingham 4 3 1 1.0 0.5 2 2 0 4 2 8
19 9 Leeds 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 0 3 0 3 3 3
20 17 QPR 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 1 2 2 5 1
21 20 Stoke 3 2 1 1.7 1.0 2 0 1 5 3 6
22 22 Swansea 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
23 23 Sheffield Weds 4 3 1 0.5 1.2 0 1 3 2 5 1
24 24 Middlesbrough 3 3 0 0.3 1.3 0 1 2 1 4 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Sunderland 4 1 3 1.8 1.0 2 1 1 7 4 7
2 5 Norwich 3 0 3 3.0 2.0 1 1 1 9 6 4
3 10 Cardiff 3 0 3 1.7 2.3 0 1 2 5 7 1
4 13 Southampton 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 2 0 1 4 7 6
5 17 QPR 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 2 1 2 5 7 7
6 19 Plymouth 4 1 3 0.8 2.0 0 1 3 3 8 1
7 21 Rotherham 4 1 3 0.5 2.8 0 0 4 2 11 0
8 24 Middlesbrough 4 1 3 1.0 2.5 0 1 3 4 10 1
9 2 Leicester 4 2 2 2.2 0.5 4 0 0 9 2 12
10 6 Hull 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 2 0 1 4 3 6
11 9 Leeds 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 2 1 1 7 4 7
12 12 Blackburn 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 1 1 3 5 4
13 15 West Brom 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 0 3 1 4 5 3
14 16 Huddersfield 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 1 1 4 5 4
15 18 Coventry 4 2 2 1.2 1.8 0 2 2 5 7 2
16 22 Swansea 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 0 1 3 4 8 1
17 23 Sheffield Weds 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 0 1 2 3 6 1
18 3 Ipswich 4 3 1 1.2 0.2 4 0 0 5 1 12
19 7 Bristol City 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7
20 8 Birmingham 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
21 11 Millwall 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 1 1 3 4 4
22 14 Watford 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
23 20 Stoke 4 3 1 0.5 1.5 0 1 3 2 6 1
24 1 Preston 3 3 0 1.3 0.3 2 1 0 4 1 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51