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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Ajax 1–0 Willem II

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.29 fair 1.91
Draw 6.00 fair 4.38
Away 9.50 fair 4.01
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.40 fair 2.41
Over 2.5 1.53 fair 1.71

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ajax Willem II
11 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 1
10 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (86 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.70
Expected goals 1.84 – 1.20
Home / Draw / Away
AjaxDrawWillem II
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.6% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 8.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Ajax before this match, all matches
2.29points / match
2.43scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 17:7
Willem II before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.22scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 11:9
Ajax all matches all matches Willem II

Per match

2.43 Goals scored 1.22
1.00 Goals conceded 1.00
3.43 Total goals 2.22
17.00 Shots 7.67
6.29 Shots on target 2.44
7.86 Shots faced 15.89
6.71 Corners 4.22
2.43 Corners against 6.78
9.71 Fouls 11.33
1.57 Yellow cards 2.22
0.86 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

71% Wins 33%
14% Draws 33%
14% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
86% Over 1.5 goals 78%
57% Over 2.5 goals 33%
43% Over 3.5 goals 11%
29% Over 4.5 goals 11%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 44%
43% Clean sheets 44%
0% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 22%
57% Draws 67%
0% Losses 11%
57% Over 0.5 goals 56%
29% Over 1.5 goals 44%
14% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax all matches
Willem II all matches
Ajax before this match, at home
3.00points / match
3.00scored / match
0.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 9:1
Willem II before this match, away
1.25points / match
1.25scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:5
Ajax at home away Willem II

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 1.25
0.33 Goals conceded 1.25
3.33 Total goals 2.50
18.00 Shots 6.00
8.67 Shots on target 2.00
7.67 Shots faced 18.50
8.33 Corners 5.25
1.33 Corners against 8.75
8.67 Fouls 14.50
1.00 Yellow cards 3.25
1.33 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 25%
0% Draws 50%
0% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 75%
67% Over 2.5 goals 25%
67% Over 3.5 goals 25%
33% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 75%
67% Clean sheets 25%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 75%
0% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
33% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax at home
Willem II away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.10.24 Heracles – Ajax 3–4 (2–2) 6.255.001.45 1.50 2.50
06.10.24 Ajax – Groningen 3–1 (1–0) 1.365.258.00 1.57 2.35
29.09.24 Waalwijk – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 6.505.751.38 1.44 2.70
21.09.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Ajax 1–1 (0–0) 4.204.001.75 1.67 2.15
18.09.24 Ajax – For Sittard 5–0 (2–0) 1.405.006.50 1.50 2.50
18.08.24 NAC Breda – Ajax 2–1 (0–0) 8.506.501.29 1.33 3.40
11.08.24 Ajax – Heerenveen 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.506.50 1.40 2.88
19.05.24 Vitesse – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 5.254.201.57 1.36 3.10
12.05.24 Ajax – Almere City 3–0 (3–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.40 2.88
05.05.24 Volendam – Ajax 1–4 (0–1) 8.005.501.36 1.29 3.60

Willem II all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.10.24 Willem II – For Sittard 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 2.10 1.70
04.10.24 Almere City – Willem II 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.15 1.67
28.09.24 Willem II – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–0) 10.007.001.22 1.33 3.40
21.09.24 Utrecht – Willem II 3–2 (2–2) 1.574.005.75 1.80 2.00
15.09.24 Willem II – Waalwijk 3–0 (2–0) 1.913.604.00 1.88 1.98
31.08.24 Willem II – Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.90 1.95
25.08.24 Heracles – Willem II 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.602.75 1.70 2.15
18.08.24 Willem II – Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 (2–0) 3.103.502.30 1.75 2.05
10.08.24 Feyenoord – Willem II 1–1 (1–0) 1.138.0021.00 1.36 3.10
15.05.22 Willem II – Utrecht 3–0 (1–0) 2.153.503.00 1.57 2.35

Ajax at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.10.24 Ajax – Groningen 3–1 (1–0) 1.365.258.00 1.57 2.35
18.09.24 Ajax – For Sittard 5–0 (2–0) 1.405.006.50 1.50 2.50
11.08.24 Ajax – Heerenveen 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.506.50 1.40 2.88
12.05.24 Ajax – Almere City 3–0 (3–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.40 2.88
24.04.24 Ajax – Excelsior 2–2 (1–1) 1.295.5010.00 1.40 2.88
14.04.24 Ajax – Twente 2–1 (0–1) 2.803.402.55 1.60 2.30
04.04.24 Ajax – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (1–0) 1.504.755.75 1.48 2.60
10.03.24 Ajax – For Sittard 2–2 (1–0) 1.444.756.50 1.57 2.35
03.03.24 Ajax – Utrecht 2–0 (1–0) 1.804.004.00 1.53 2.40
18.02.24 Ajax – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–0) 1.405.506.00 1.36 3.10

Willem II away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.24 Almere City – Willem II 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.15 1.67
21.09.24 Utrecht – Willem II 3–2 (2–2) 1.574.005.75 1.80 2.00
25.08.24 Heracles – Willem II 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.602.75 1.70 2.15
10.08.24 Feyenoord – Willem II 1–1 (1–0) 1.138.0021.00 1.36 3.10
11.05.22 Cambuur – Willem II 1–1 (1–0) 2.603.752.50 1.66 2.15
01.05.22 PSV Eindhoven – Willem II 4–2 (3–1) 1.148.0017.00 1.40 2.87
08.04.22 Go Ahead Eagles – Willem II 4–0 (2–0) 2.053.253.80 2.10 1.70
02.04.22 Feyenoord – Willem II 2–0 (0–0) 1.167.0019.00 1.40 2.87
13.03.22 For Sittard – Willem II 1–0 (0–0) 2.373.253.10 2.05 1.80
26.02.22 Groningen – Willem II 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.504.20 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ajax winsDrawsWillem II wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.02.22N1 Willem II – Ajax 0–1 (0–0) 26.0010.001.09 1.33 3.40
02.12.21N1 Ajax – Willem II 5–0 (3–0) 1.0813.0019.00 1.22 4.20

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 10 10 0 0 35 6 +29 30
2 Utrecht 9 7 1 1 15 10 +5 22
3 Feyenoord 9 5 4 0 21 8 +13 19
4 Twente 10 5 3 2 21 9 +12 18
5 AZ Alkmaar 9 5 1 3 18 7 +11 16
6 Ajax 7 5 1 1 17 7 +10 16
7 NAC Breda 10 5 0 5 12 16 -4 15
8 For Sittard 10 4 2 4 9 13 -4 14
9 Go Ahead Eagles 9 4 1 4 11 15 -4 13
10 Willem II 9 3 3 3 11 9 +2 12
11 Sparta Rotterdam 10 2 5 3 11 13 -2 11
12 Heerenveen 10 3 2 5 12 20 -8 11
13 Nijmegen 10 3 1 6 10 10 0 10
14 Groningen 10 2 3 5 11 13 -2 9
15 Heracles 10 2 3 5 10 22 -12 9
16 Zwolle 10 2 2 6 9 19 -10 8
17 Almere City 10 1 3 6 5 21 -16 6
18 Waalwijk 10 0 1 9 8 28 -20 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 5 5 0 0 18 2 +16 15
2 NAC Breda 5 4 0 1 9 4 +5 12
3 Utrecht 5 4 0 1 9 7 +2 12
4 Twente 5 3 2 0 10 2 +8 11
5 Heerenveen 5 3 2 0 10 3 +7 11
6 Ajax 3 3 0 0 9 1 +8 9
7 For Sittard 5 3 0 2 6 6 0 9
8 Feyenoord 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
9 Nijmegen 5 2 1 2 7 5 +2 7
10 Willem II 5 2 1 2 6 4 +2 7
11 Go Ahead Eagles 5 2 1 2 8 9 -1 7
12 AZ Alkmaar 4 2 0 2 12 5 +7 6
13 Zwolle 5 2 0 3 7 9 -2 6
14 Groningen 5 1 2 2 6 5 +1 5
15 Heracles 5 1 2 2 7 9 -2 5
16 Sparta Rotterdam 5 0 4 1 5 6 -1 4
17 Almere City 6 1 1 4 3 15 -12 4
18 Waalwijk 5 0 1 4 4 11 -7 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 5 5 0 0 17 4 +13 15
2 Feyenoord 6 3 3 0 16 6 +10 12
3 AZ Alkmaar 5 3 1 1 6 2 +4 10
4 Utrecht 4 3 1 0 6 3 +3 10
5 Twente 5 2 1 2 11 7 +4 7
6 Ajax 4 2 1 1 8 6 +2 7
7 Sparta Rotterdam 5 2 1 2 6 7 -1 7
8 Go Ahead Eagles 4 2 0 2 3 6 -3 6
9 Willem II 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
10 For Sittard 5 1 2 2 3 7 -4 5
11 Groningen 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
12 Heracles 5 1 1 3 3 13 -10 4
13 Nijmegen 5 1 0 4 3 5 -2 3
14 NAC Breda 5 1 0 4 3 12 -9 3
15 Almere City 4 0 2 2 2 6 -4 2
16 Zwolle 5 0 2 3 2 10 -8 2
17 Waalwijk 5 0 0 5 4 17 -13 0
18 Heerenveen 5 0 0 5 2 17 -15 0

Ajax   Willem II

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 10 2 8 3.5 0.6 10 0 0 35 6 30
2 18 Waalwijk 10 2 8 0.8 2.8 0 1 9 8 28 1
3 15 Heracles 10 3 7 1.0 2.2 2 3 5 10 22 9
4 4 Twente 10 4 6 2.1 0.9 5 3 2 21 9 18
5 7 NAC Breda 10 4 6 1.2 1.6 5 0 5 12 16 15
6 2 Utrecht 9 4 5 1.7 1.1 7 1 1 15 10 22
7 5 AZ Alkmaar 9 4 5 2.0 0.8 5 1 3 18 7 16
8 11 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 5 1.1 1.3 2 5 3 11 13 11
9 12 Heerenveen 10 5 5 1.2 2.0 3 2 5 12 20 11
10 14 Groningen 10 5 5 1.1 1.3 2 3 5 11 13 9
11 16 Zwolle 10 5 5 0.9 1.9 2 2 6 9 19 8
12 3 Feyenoord 9 5 4 2.3 0.9 5 4 0 21 8 19
13 6 Ajax 7 3 4 2.4 1.0 5 1 1 17 7 16
14 8 For Sittard 10 6 4 0.9 1.3 4 2 4 9 13 14
15 9 Go Ahead Eagles 9 5 4 1.2 1.7 4 1 4 11 15 13
16 13 Nijmegen 10 6 4 1.0 1.0 3 1 6 10 10 10
17 17 Almere City 10 6 4 0.5 2.1 1 3 6 5 21 6
18 10 Willem II 9 6 3 1.2 1.0 3 3 3 11 9 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 5 1 4 3.6 0.4 5 0 0 18 2 15
2 16 Zwolle 5 1 4 1.4 1.8 2 0 3 7 9 6
3 18 Waalwijk 5 1 4 0.8 2.2 0 1 4 4 11 1
4 2 Utrecht 5 2 3 1.8 1.4 4 0 1 9 7 12
5 5 AZ Alkmaar 4 1 3 3.0 1.2 2 0 2 12 5 6
6 7 NAC Breda 5 2 3 1.8 0.8 4 0 1 9 4 12
7 8 For Sittard 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 3 0 2 6 6 9
8 13 Nijmegen 5 2 3 1.4 1.0 2 1 2 7 5 7
9 15 Heracles 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 1 2 2 7 9 5
10 6 Ajax 3 1 2 3.0 0.3 3 0 0 9 1 9
11 9 Go Ahead Eagles 5 3 2 1.6 1.8 2 1 2 8 9 7
12 10 Willem II 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 2 1 2 6 4 7
13 11 Sparta Rotterdam 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 0 4 1 5 6 4
14 12 Heerenveen 5 3 2 2.0 0.6 3 2 0 10 3 11
15 14 Groningen 5 3 2 1.2 1.0 1 2 2 6 5 5
16 17 Almere City 6 4 2 0.5 2.5 1 1 4 3 15 4
17 3 Feyenoord 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
18 4 Twente 5 4 1 2.0 0.4 3 2 0 10 2 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Twente 5 0 5 2.2 1.4 2 1 2 11 7 7
2 1 PSV Eindhoven 5 1 4 3.4 0.8 5 0 0 17 4 15
3 15 Heracles 5 1 4 0.6 2.6 1 1 3 3 13 4
4 18 Waalwijk 5 1 4 0.8 3.4 0 0 5 4 17 0
5 3 Feyenoord 6 3 3 2.7 1.0 3 3 0 16 6 12
6 7 NAC Breda 5 2 3 0.6 2.4 1 0 4 3 12 3
7 11 Sparta Rotterdam 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 2 1 2 6 7 7
8 12 Heerenveen 5 2 3 0.4 3.4 0 0 5 2 17 0
9 14 Groningen 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
10 2 Utrecht 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 3 1 0 6 3 10
11 5 AZ Alkmaar 5 3 2 1.2 0.4 3 1 1 6 2 10
12 6 Ajax 4 2 2 2.0 1.5 2 1 1 8 6 7
13 9 Go Ahead Eagles 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 2 0 2 3 6 6
14 17 Almere City 4 2 2 0.5 1.5 0 2 2 2 6 2
15 8 For Sittard 5 4 1 0.6 1.4 1 2 2 3 7 5
16 10 Willem II 4 3 1 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
17 13 Nijmegen 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 0 4 3 5 3
18 16 Zwolle 5 4 1 0.4 2.0 0 2 3 2 10 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51