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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Nijmegen 1–1 Willem II

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.57 fair 1.81
Draw ✓ 4.33 fair 4.47
Away 5.25 fair 4.45
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.15 fair 2.39
Over 2.5 1.67 fair 1.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nijmegen Willem II
21 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 2
15 Fouls 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (272 league matches this season so far).
Result Nijmegen to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.74
Expected goals 1.89 – 1.13
Home / Draw / Away
NijmegenDrawWillem II
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.4% 2–1 9.9% 1–0 9.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Nijmegen before this match, all matches
1.10points / match
1.40scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 42:44
Willem II before this match, all matches
0.80points / match
1.00scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 30:50
Nijmegen all matches all matches Willem II

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 1.00
1.47 Goals conceded 1.67
2.87 Total goals 2.67
12.73 Shots 8.57
4.20 Shots on target 3.00
13.70 Shots faced 17.20
5.03 Corners 3.77
5.67 Corners against 6.73
10.90 Fouls 10.27
1.47 Yellow cards 1.83
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.77 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

30% Wins 20%
20% Draws 20%
50% Losses 60%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
73% Over 1.5 goals 77%
57% Over 2.5 goals 43%
27% Over 3.5 goals 27%
23% Over 4.5 goals 13%
10% Over 5.5 goals 3%
47% Both teams scored 50%
27% Clean sheets 17%
30% Failed to score 37%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 23%
47% Draws 40%
37% Losses 37%
67% Over 0.5 goals 70%
40% Over 1.5 goals 33%
17% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nijmegen all matches
Willem II all matches
Nijmegen before this match, at home
1.33points / match
2.13scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 32:23
Willem II before this match, away
0.80points / match
0.80scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 12:27
Nijmegen at home away Willem II

Per match

2.13 Goals scored 0.80
1.53 Goals conceded 1.80
3.67 Total goals 2.60
14.80 Shots 7.07
5.20 Shots on target 2.47
12.27 Shots faced 18.13
5.13 Corners 3.67
5.33 Corners against 7.80
11.20 Fouls 11.13
1.07 Yellow cards 1.93
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

33% Wins 20%
33% Draws 20%
33% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
93% Over 1.5 goals 67%
80% Over 2.5 goals 33%
40% Over 3.5 goals 27%
33% Over 4.5 goals 13%
20% Over 5.5 goals 7%
80% Both teams scored 47%
20% Clean sheets 13%
0% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 13%
53% Draws 47%
27% Losses 40%
73% Over 0.5 goals 73%
47% Over 1.5 goals 33%
20% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nijmegen at home
Willem II away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nijmegen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.25 Heerenveen – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.703.75 1.70 2.10
11.04.25 Nijmegen – Waalwijk 2–1 (0–0) 1.674.004.75 1.57 2.35
06.04.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Nijmegen 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.503.70 1.98 1.88
29.03.25 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 3–3 (1–2) 3.403.502.10 1.90 1.95
15.03.25 Utrecht – Nijmegen 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.754.20 1.67 2.15
09.03.25 Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles 2–3 (0–1) 2.153.503.30 1.69 2.07
01.03.25 Feyenoord – Nijmegen 0–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.00 1.57 2.35
23.02.25 Twente – Nijmegen 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.205.25 1.62 2.25
16.02.25 Nijmegen – Almere City 2–2 (1–1) 1.504.007.00 1.90 1.95
08.02.25 Groningen – Nijmegen 2–1 (2–0) 3.103.252.38 2.05 1.75

Willem II all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.25 For Sittard – Willem II 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.754.33 2.05 1.75
13.04.25 Willem II – Ajax 1–2 (1–0) 7.005.251.36 1.70 2.10
04.04.25 Heerenveen – Willem II 3–1 (2–0) 1.454.507.00 1.75 2.05
29.03.25 Willem II – Almere City 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.30 2.15 1.67
16.03.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Willem II 1–0 (0–0) 1.553.906.00 1.80 2.00
09.03.25 Willem II – Utrecht 2–3 (1–0) 4.103.301.95 2.00 1.85
02.03.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Willem II 4–0 (1–0) 1.653.805.25 2.00 1.85
15.02.25 Willem II – Groningen 1–3 (0–3) 2.503.103.00 2.35 1.57
08.02.25 PSV Eindhoven – Willem II 1–1 (0–0) 1.119.0019.00 1.30 3.50
02.02.25 Willem II – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–2) 5.003.501.73 2.03 1.83

Nijmegen at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.25 Nijmegen – Waalwijk 2–1 (0–0) 1.674.004.75 1.57 2.35
29.03.25 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 3–3 (1–2) 3.403.502.10 1.90 1.95
09.03.25 Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles 2–3 (0–1) 2.153.503.30 1.69 2.07
16.02.25 Nijmegen – Almere City 2–2 (1–1) 1.504.007.00 1.90 1.95
01.02.25 Nijmegen – PSV Eindhoven 3–3 (0–0) 5.755.001.48 1.44 2.70
19.01.25 Nijmegen – For Sittard 4–1 (1–1) 1.833.604.33 1.98 1.88
15.12.24 Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.90 1.90 1.95
01.12.24 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (1–1) 4.334.001.70 1.67 2.15
24.11.24 Nijmegen – Utrecht 1–2 (0–1) 2.633.252.70 1.90 1.95
03.11.24 Nijmegen – Groningen 6–0 (3–0) 1.853.304.75 1.93 1.93

Willem II away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.25 For Sittard – Willem II 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.754.33 2.05 1.75
04.04.25 Heerenveen – Willem II 3–1 (2–0) 1.454.507.00 1.75 2.05
16.03.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Willem II 1–0 (0–0) 1.553.906.00 1.80 2.00
02.03.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Willem II 4–0 (1–0) 1.653.805.25 2.00 1.85
08.02.25 PSV Eindhoven – Willem II 1–1 (0–0) 1.119.0019.00 1.30 3.50
26.01.25 Waalwijk – Willem II 2–0 (1–0) 2.553.402.70 1.98 1.88
12.01.25 Twente – Willem II 6–2 (2–2) 1.385.007.50 1.67 2.15
13.12.24 Zwolle – Willem II 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.254.20 2.10 1.70
30.11.24 Groningen – Willem II 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.253.40 2.25 1.62
10.11.24 AZ Alkmaar – Willem II 1–2 (0–2) 1.484.207.00 1.75 2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nijmegen winsDrawsWillem II wins
3matches
2.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.24N1 Willem II – Nijmegen 4–1 (2–1) 2.803.602.40 2.10 1.70
22.12.21N1 Willem II – Nijmegen 0–1 (0–1) 2.503.202.87 1.93 1.93
12.09.21N1 Nijmegen – Willem II 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.302.50 1.85 1.95

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Ajax 31 23 5 3 63 27 +36 74 DWWWLD
2 PSV Eindhoven 30 21 4 5 89 34 +55 67 WWLWWW
3 Feyenoord 30 18 8 4 68 32 +36 62 WWWWWW
4 Utrecht 31 18 8 5 61 42 +19 62 LWDWWW
5 Twente 30 13 9 8 56 44 +12 48 WLLDDL
6 AZ Alkmaar 30 13 8 9 48 34 +14 47 DDDLLD
7 Go Ahead Eagles 30 13 8 9 52 46 +6 47 WWLDDD
8 Heerenveen 31 11 7 13 39 53 -14 40 DLWLWW
9 For Sittard 30 10 6 14 34 49 -15 36 WLLDLW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 30 8 11 11 34 37 -3 35 DDWWWD
11 Groningen 30 9 8 13 32 45 -13 35 WDLLLW
12 Heracles 30 8 11 11 37 52 -15 35 LDWDWL
13 Nijmegen 30 9 6 15 42 44 -2 33 LWDLWL
14 NAC Breda 30 8 8 14 32 50 -18 32 DDDLDD
15 Zwolle 30 7 10 13 35 48 -13 31 LDWDDL
16 Willem II 30 6 6 18 30 50 -20 24 LLLLLL
17 Almere City 31 4 8 19 21 59 -38 20 DWDLLD
18 Waalwijk 30 4 7 19 35 62 -27 19 LLDDLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Ajax 15 12 3 0 36 11 +25 39 WWWDWD
2 PSV Eindhoven 15 11 3 1 47 13 +34 36 WDDWLW
3 Feyenoord 15 10 3 2 34 15 +19 33 WWDWWW
4 Heerenveen 16 9 6 1 28 15 +13 33 DWDWWW
5 Twente 15 9 4 2 32 18 +14 31 WWWLDL
6 Go Ahead Eagles 15 9 4 2 31 19 +12 31 WDWWWD
7 Utrecht 16 9 2 5 27 23 +4 29 LWLWWW
8 Groningen 15 7 5 3 19 11 +8 26 WWDWLW
9 Heracles 15 6 7 2 27 21 +6 25 DDWWWW
10 AZ Alkmaar 15 7 3 5 26 16 +10 24 LWWDLD
11 NAC Breda 15 6 5 4 19 18 +1 23 WDDDDD
12 Zwolle 15 6 3 6 21 19 +2 21 WDDLWD
13 For Sittard 15 7 0 8 16 24 -8 21 LLWLLW
14 Nijmegen 15 5 5 5 32 23 +9 20 WDDLDW
15 Sparta Rotterdam 15 4 6 5 19 19 0 18 DWWDWW
16 Willem II 15 3 3 9 18 23 -5 12 DLLLLL
17 Waalwijk 15 3 3 9 17 27 -10 12 WWLLDL
18 Almere City 15 2 4 9 12 32 -20 10 LLLDDD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Ajax 16 11 2 3 27 16 +11 35 WWWWWL
2 Utrecht 15 9 6 0 34 19 +15 33 DDDWDW
3 PSV Eindhoven 15 10 1 4 42 21 +21 31 LDLWWW
4 Feyenoord 15 8 5 2 34 17 +17 29 DLDWWW
5 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 5 4 22 18 +4 23 DWLDDL
6 Twente 15 4 5 6 24 26 -2 17 LDDDLD
7 Sparta Rotterdam 15 4 5 6 15 18 -3 17 WLLDWD
8 Go Ahead Eagles 15 4 4 7 21 27 -6 16 LLWLDD
9 For Sittard 15 3 6 6 18 25 -7 15 LDLWLD
10 Nijmegen 15 4 1 10 10 21 -11 13 LLDWLL
11 Willem II 15 3 3 9 12 27 -15 12 LDLLLL
12 Zwolle 15 1 7 7 14 29 -15 10 WLLDDL
13 Almere City 16 2 4 10 9 27 -18 10 DLLWLL
14 Heracles 15 2 4 9 10 31 -21 10 DLLDDL
15 NAC Breda 15 2 3 10 13 32 -19 9 LLLDLD
16 Groningen 15 2 3 10 13 34 -21 9 DLWDLL
17 Waalwijk 15 1 4 10 18 35 -17 7 DWLLDL
18 Heerenveen 15 2 1 12 11 38 -27 7 WLDLLL

Nijmegen   Willem II

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 30 5 25 3.0 1.1 21 4 5 89 34 67 OOUOOO
2 4 Utrecht 31 11 20 2.0 1.4 18 8 5 61 42 62 UUOOOO
3 18 Waalwijk 30 10 20 1.2 2.1 4 7 19 35 62 19 OUOUOO
4 7 Go Ahead Eagles 30 11 19 1.7 1.5 13 8 9 52 46 47 OUOOUU
5 3 Feyenoord 30 12 18 2.3 1.1 18 8 4 68 32 62 OOOUUO
6 1 Ajax 31 14 17 2.0 0.9 23 5 3 63 27 74 OUOOOU
7 5 Twente 30 13 17 1.9 1.5 13 9 8 56 44 48 UOOUUO
8 6 AZ Alkmaar 30 13 17 1.6 1.1 13 8 9 48 34 47 OOOUUU
9 8 Heerenveen 31 14 17 1.3 1.7 11 7 13 39 53 40 UUOOOU
10 13 Nijmegen 30 13 17 1.4 1.5 9 6 15 42 44 33 OUOUOU
11 9 For Sittard 30 14 16 1.1 1.6 10 6 14 34 49 36 UUOUUU
12 12 Heracles 30 15 15 1.2 1.7 8 11 11 37 52 35 UUOUUO
13 14 NAC Breda 30 15 15 1.1 1.7 8 8 14 32 50 32 UUUOUU
14 17 Almere City 31 16 15 0.7 1.9 4 8 19 21 59 20 UUOOOU
15 11 Groningen 30 16 14 1.1 1.5 9 8 13 32 45 35 UUOOOO
16 15 Zwolle 30 17 13 1.2 1.6 7 10 13 35 48 31 UUUOUO
17 16 Willem II 30 17 13 1.0 1.7 6 6 18 30 50 24 OUUOOU
18 10 Sparta Rotterdam 30 18 12 1.1 1.2 8 11 11 34 37 35 UUOUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 15 3 12 3.1 0.9 11 3 1 47 13 36 OUOOUO
2 13 Nijmegen 15 3 12 2.1 1.5 5 5 5 32 23 20 OOOOOO
3 1 Ajax 15 5 10 2.4 0.7 12 3 0 36 11 39 OOUOOU
4 3 Feyenoord 15 5 10 2.3 1.0 10 3 2 34 15 33 OOUOOO
5 7 Go Ahead Eagles 15 5 10 2.1 1.3 9 4 2 31 19 31 OOUOUO
6 18 Waalwijk 15 5 10 1.1 1.8 3 3 9 17 27 12 UOOOUO
7 9 For Sittard 15 6 9 1.1 1.6 7 0 8 16 24 21 OUUOUU
8 4 Utrecht 16 8 8 1.7 1.4 9 2 5 27 23 29 UUUUOO
9 6 AZ Alkmaar 15 7 8 1.7 1.1 7 3 5 26 16 24 OUUOUU
10 12 Heracles 15 7 8 1.8 1.4 6 7 2 27 21 25 UUOOOU
11 16 Willem II 15 7 8 1.2 1.5 3 3 9 18 23 12 UUOOUO
12 8 Heerenveen 16 9 7 1.8 0.9 9 6 1 28 15 33 OOUOOU
13 14 NAC Breda 15 8 7 1.3 1.2 6 5 4 19 18 23 OUUUUU
14 15 Zwolle 15 8 7 1.4 1.3 6 3 6 21 19 21 OOUUUU
15 17 Almere City 15 8 7 0.8 2.1 2 4 9 12 32 10 UOUUOU
16 5 Twente 15 9 6 2.1 1.2 9 4 2 32 18 31 UUUOUO
17 10 Sparta Rotterdam 15 9 6 1.3 1.3 4 6 5 19 19 18 UUOUUO
18 11 Groningen 15 10 5 1.3 0.7 7 5 3 19 11 26 UOUUOO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 15 2 13 2.8 1.4 10 1 4 42 21 31 OOOOOO
2 4 Utrecht 15 3 12 2.3 1.3 9 6 0 34 19 33 UOOOOO
3 5 Twente 15 4 11 1.6 1.7 4 5 6 24 26 17 OOOUOU
4 8 Heerenveen 15 5 10 0.7 2.5 2 1 12 11 38 7 OUUOUO
5 18 Waalwijk 15 5 10 1.2 2.3 1 4 10 18 35 7 UOUUOO
6 6 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 9 1.5 1.2 6 5 4 22 18 23 UUOOOU
7 7 Go Ahead Eagles 15 6 9 1.4 1.8 4 4 7 21 27 16 OUOOUU
8 11 Groningen 15 6 9 0.9 2.3 2 3 10 13 34 9 UUOUOO
9 3 Feyenoord 15 7 8 2.3 1.1 8 5 2 34 17 29 UOUOUU
10 14 NAC Breda 15 7 8 0.9 2.1 2 3 10 13 32 9 OOUUOU
11 17 Almere City 16 8 8 0.6 1.7 2 4 10 9 27 10 OOUUOO
12 1 Ajax 16 9 7 1.7 1.0 11 2 3 27 16 35 UUUUOO
13 9 For Sittard 15 8 7 1.2 1.7 3 6 6 18 25 15 OOUOUU
14 12 Heracles 15 8 7 0.7 2.1 2 4 9 10 31 10 UOUUUO
15 10 Sparta Rotterdam 15 9 6 1.0 1.2 4 5 6 15 18 17 OOUUOU
16 15 Zwolle 15 9 6 0.9 1.9 1 7 7 14 29 10 OUOUOO
17 13 Nijmegen 15 10 5 0.7 1.4 4 1 10 10 21 13 OUUUUU
18 16 Willem II 15 10 5 0.8 1.8 3 3 9 12 27 12 UUOUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11