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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 3–1 Inter

Full time · half time 3–1 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 3.60 fair 2.78
Draw 3.75 fair 4.36
Away 1.95 fair 2.44
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.79
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.56

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Inter
7 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 8
0.62 Expected goals (xG) 1.68
3 Corners 11
8 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (92 league matches this season so far).
Result Inter to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.53
Expected goals 1.59 – 1.71
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawInter
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10% 1–2 8.6% 2–1 8%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 18:11
Inter before this match, all matches
2.78points / match
2.78scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 25:10
Milan all matches all matches Inter

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 2.78
1.22 Goals conceded 1.11
3.22 Total goals 3.89
1.90 xG created 2.82
1.28 xG allowed 1.11
12.56 Shots 22.33
4.78 Shots on target 7.11
9.78 Shots faced 10.67
3.00 Corners 5.78
3.33 Corners against 3.11
9.78 Fouls 8.78
1.67 Yellow cards 1.44
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.89
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

56% Wins 89%
33% Draws 11%
11% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 89%
56% Over 2.5 goals 78%
33% Over 3.5 goals 56%
22% Over 4.5 goals 33%
11% Over 5.5 goals 11%
67% Both teams scored 67%
33% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 22%
44% Draws 67%
11% Losses 11%
56% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 56%
11% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Inter all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.25points / match
2.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 10:6
Inter before this match, away
2.50points / match
2.00scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 8:3
Milan at home away Inter

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 2.00
1.50 Goals conceded 0.75
4.00 Total goals 2.75
2.20 xG created 2.94
1.21 xG allowed 1.18
11.25 Shots 20.00
4.50 Shots on target 5.50
9.00 Shots faced 12.75
2.00 Corners 5.00
2.75 Corners against 4.25
7.50 Fouls 8.00
0.50 Yellow cards 2.25
1.25 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

75% Wins 75%
0% Draws 25%
25% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 75%
75% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
25% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

75% Wins 25%
25% Draws 50%
0% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Inter away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.26 Milan – Bologna 2–4 (2–1) 1.623.755.75 1.85 2.00
25.10.26 Udinese – Milan 0–2 (0–1) 5.503.701.67 1.88 1.98
18.10.26 Milan – Atalanta 3–2 (2–0) 1.803.754.33 1.73 2.10
11.10.26 Sassuolo – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 4.333.601.75 1.73 2.10
20.09.26 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (1–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.67 2.20
12.09.26 Lazio – Milan 2–2 (2–0) 3.403.202.25 2.20 1.67
06.09.26 Juventus – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.253.70 2.10 1.73
28.08.26 Milan – Venezia 2–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
23.08.26 Torino – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 4.753.601.75 1.93 1.93
24.05.26 Milan – Cagliari 1–2 (1–1) 1.295.5011.00 1.67 2.20

Inter all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.26 Venezia – Inter 0–2 (0–0) 8.505.001.36 1.36 3.20
25.10.26 Inter – Fiorentina 2–1 (0–0) 1.365.258.00 1.44 2.75
17.10.26 Bologna – Inter 1–3 (1–1) 5.504.001.62 1.67 2.20
10.10.26 Inter – Parma 3–0 (3–0) 1.148.0019.00 1.36 3.20
19.09.26 Roma – Inter 2–2 (2–0) 2.703.402.55 1.62 2.30
14.09.26 Inter – Udinese 5–3 (2–2) 1.275.7512.00 1.53 2.50
05.09.26 Inter – Napoli 3–2 (0–0) 1.673.605.50 2.05 1.80
30.08.26 Cagliari – Inter 0–1 (0–1) 7.004.501.44 1.93 1.93
22.08.26 Inter – Monza 4–1 (1–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.62 2.30
23.05.26 Bologna – Inter 3–3 (2–1) 3.103.602.20 1.57 2.38

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.26 Milan – Bologna 2–4 (2–1) 1.623.755.75 1.85 2.00
18.10.26 Milan – Atalanta 3–2 (2–0) 1.803.754.33 1.73 2.10
20.09.26 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (1–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.67 2.20
28.08.26 Milan – Venezia 2–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
24.05.26 Milan – Cagliari 1–2 (1–1) 1.295.5011.00 1.67 2.20
10.05.26 Milan – Atalanta 2–3 (0–2) 2.103.303.50 1.85 2.00
26.04.26 Milan – Juventus 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 1.98 1.88
11.04.26 Milan – Udinese 0–3 (0–2) 1.424.508.00 1.83 2.03
21.03.26 Milan – Torino 3–2 (1–1) 1.404.757.50 1.80 2.00
08.03.26 Milan – Inter 1–0 (1–0) 3.603.002.25 2.00 1.80

Inter away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.26 Venezia – Inter 0–2 (0–0) 8.505.001.36 1.36 3.20
17.10.26 Bologna – Inter 1–3 (1–1) 5.504.001.62 1.67 2.20
19.09.26 Roma – Inter 2–2 (2–0) 2.703.402.55 1.62 2.30
30.08.26 Cagliari – Inter 0–1 (0–1) 7.004.501.44 1.93 1.93
23.05.26 Bologna – Inter 3–3 (2–1) 3.103.602.20 1.57 2.38
09.05.26 Lazio – Inter 0–3 (0–2) 4.503.701.80 1.80 2.00
26.04.26 Torino – Inter 2–2 (0–1) 7.505.001.40 1.67 2.20
12.04.26 Como – Inter 3–4 (2–1) 3.103.502.25 1.91 1.91
22.03.26 Fiorentina – Inter 1–1 (0–1) 5.004.331.62 1.73 2.10
08.03.26 Milan – Inter 1–0 (1–0) 3.603.002.25 2.00 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsInter wins
10matches
2.70goals / match
50%over 2.5
70%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.26I1 Milan – Inter 1–0 (1–0) 3.603.002.25 2.00 1.80
23.11.25I1 Inter – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 1.88 1.98
02.02.25I1 Milan – Inter 1–1 (1–0) 4.003.501.91 1.80 2.00
22.09.24I1 Inter – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 1.654.005.25 1.67 2.20
22.04.24I1 Milan – Inter 1–2 (0–1) 3.753.602.00 1.73 2.10
16.09.23I1 Inter – Milan 5–1 (2–0) 2.153.503.40 1.90 2.00
05.02.23I1 Inter – Milan 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 1.85 2.05
03.09.22I1 Milan – Inter 3–2 (1–1) 2.803.252.60 1.88 2.02
05.02.22I1 Inter – Milan 1–2 (1–0) 1.803.754.50 1.66 2.20
07.11.21I1 Milan – Inter 1–1 (1–1) 3.253.502.15 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Inter 9 8 1 0 25 10 +15 25 WDWWWW
2 Lazio 9 8 1 0 22 7 +15 25 DWWWWW
3 Roma 10 7 3 0 28 10 +18 24 DDWDWW
4 Como 9 6 2 1 17 8 +9 20 WLDWWW
5 Milan 9 5 3 1 18 11 +7 18 DWDWWL
6 Frosinone 9 5 2 2 22 14 +8 17 DWLWDW
7 Napoli 9 4 2 3 17 11 +6 14 WDWLDW
8 Bologna 10 4 2 4 14 13 +1 14 DWLWWW
9 Juventus 9 4 2 3 11 10 +1 14 LWDLWL
10 Torino 9 4 1 4 14 14 0 13 LDWWWL
11 Cagliari 9 4 1 4 8 13 -5 13 WWDLLL
12 Atalanta 9 3 2 4 16 17 -1 11 LLWLDD
13 Genoa 9 3 1 5 8 13 -5 10 DLWLWW
14 Lecce 9 3 0 6 10 19 -9 9 WLLWLL
15 Sassuolo 9 2 2 5 14 22 -8 8 WLDLLL
16 Monza 10 2 1 7 17 24 -7 7 WLWLLL
17 Fiorentina 9 1 2 6 11 21 -10 5 WDLLLD
18 Parma 9 1 2 6 5 15 -10 5 LWLLLD
19 Udinese 10 1 2 7 11 23 -12 5 LLLLDL
20 Venezia 9 1 0 8 6 19 -13 3 LLLWLL
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Europa League – league phase
  • Conference League – play-off round
  • Relegation to Serie B

Coppa Italia winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Inter 5 5 0 0 17 7 +10 15 WWWWW
2 Roma 5 4 1 0 14 5 +9 13 WWDWW
3 Frosinone 5 4 0 1 14 6 +8 12 LWWWW
4 Lazio 4 3 1 0 8 4 +4 10 WDWW
5 Atalanta 5 3 1 1 11 8 +3 10 WWLWD
6 Genoa 6 3 1 2 7 8 -1 10 LLDWWW
7 Milan 4 3 0 1 10 6 +4 9 WWWL
8 Napoli 4 2 1 1 8 5 +3 7 LWWD
9 Como 3 2 1 0 4 1 +3 7 WDW
10 Juventus 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7 WDWL
11 Sassuolo 4 2 1 1 8 10 -2 7 WWDL
12 Monza 4 2 0 2 9 8 +1 6 LWWL
13 Torino 5 2 0 3 7 10 -3 6 LLWWL
14 Bologna 5 1 2 2 6 8 -2 5 LDDLW
15 Parma 5 1 2 2 3 6 -3 5 LDWLD
16 Cagliari 4 1 1 2 2 4 -2 4 LWDL
17 Lecce 4 1 0 3 4 10 -6 3 LWLL
18 Venezia 5 1 0 4 3 10 -7 3 LLLWL
19 Fiorentina 5 0 2 3 5 11 -6 2 LLDLD
20 Udinese 6 0 1 5 4 14 -10 1 DLLLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Lazio 5 5 0 0 14 3 +11 15 WWWWW
2 Como 6 4 1 1 13 7 +6 13 DWWLWW
3 Roma 5 3 2 0 14 5 +9 11 WWDDW
4 Inter 4 3 1 0 8 3 +5 10 WDWW
5 Bologna 5 3 0 2 8 5 +3 9 LLWWW
6 Milan 5 2 3 0 8 5 +3 9 WDDDW
7 Cagliari 5 3 0 2 6 9 -3 9 WWWLL
8 Napoli 5 2 1 2 9 6 +3 7 WLDLW
9 Torino 4 2 1 1 7 4 +3 7 LWDW
10 Juventus 5 2 1 2 6 6 0 7 WLDWL
11 Lecce 5 2 0 3 6 9 -3 6 WLLWL
12 Frosinone 4 1 2 1 8 8 0 5 WDLD
13 Udinese 4 1 1 2 7 9 -2 4 WLLD
14 Fiorentina 4 1 0 3 6 10 -4 3 LWLL
15 Atalanta 4 0 1 3 5 9 -4 1 LLLD
16 Sassuolo 5 0 1 4 6 12 -6 1 LDLLL
17 Monza 6 0 1 5 8 16 -8 1 LDLLLL
18 Genoa 3 0 0 3 1 5 -4 0 LLL
19 Venezia 4 0 0 4 3 9 -6 0 LLLL
20 Parma 4 0 0 4 2 9 -7 0 LLLL

Milan   Inter

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 16 Monza 10 1 9 1.7 2.4 2 1 7 17 24 7 OOOOOO
2 17 Fiorentina 9 1 8 1.2 2.3 1 2 6 11 21 5 OUOOOO
3 1 Inter 9 2 7 2.8 1.1 8 1 0 25 10 25 OOOOOU
4 3 Roma 10 3 7 2.8 1.0 7 3 0 28 10 24 OUUOOO
5 10 Torino 9 2 7 1.6 1.6 4 1 4 14 14 13 UUOOOO
6 12 Atalanta 9 2 7 1.8 1.9 3 2 4 16 17 11 OUOOOO
7 15 Sassuolo 9 2 7 1.6 2.4 2 2 5 14 22 8 OOUOUO
8 2 Lazio 9 3 6 2.4 0.8 8 1 0 22 7 25 OUOOOO
9 6 Frosinone 9 3 6 2.4 1.6 5 2 2 22 14 17 UUOOOO
10 14 Lecce 9 3 6 1.1 2.1 3 0 6 10 19 9 OOOOUO
11 19 Udinese 10 4 6 1.1 2.3 1 2 7 11 23 5 UOOUUO
12 4 Como 9 4 5 1.9 0.9 6 2 1 17 8 20 OUUOUO
13 5 Milan 9 4 5 2.0 1.2 5 3 1 18 11 18 OOUOUO
14 7 Napoli 9 4 5 1.9 1.2 4 2 3 17 11 14 UUOUOO
15 8 Bologna 10 5 5 1.4 1.3 4 2 4 14 13 14 UOOUOO
16 18 Parma 9 4 5 0.6 1.7 1 2 6 5 15 5 OOOOOU
17 11 Cagliari 9 6 3 0.9 1.4 4 1 4 8 13 13 OUUOUO
18 13 Genoa 9 6 3 0.9 1.4 3 1 5 8 13 10 UOOUUU
19 20 Venezia 9 6 3 0.7 2.1 1 0 8 6 19 3 OUOUUU
20 9 Juventus 9 7 2 1.2 1.1 4 2 3 11 10 14 OUUOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Inter 5 0 5 3.4 1.4 5 0 0 17 7 15 OOOOO
2 3 Roma 5 1 4 2.8 1.0 4 1 0 14 5 13 OOOUO
3 10 Torino 5 1 4 1.4 2.0 2 0 3 7 10 6 OUOOO
4 12 Atalanta 5 1 4 2.2 1.6 3 1 1 11 8 10 OUOOO
5 16 Monza 4 0 4 2.2 2.0 2 0 2 9 8 6 OOOO
6 17 Fiorentina 5 1 4 1.0 2.2 0 2 3 5 11 2 OOUOO
7 2 Lazio 4 1 3 2.0 1.0 3 1 0 8 4 10 UOOO
8 5 Milan 4 1 3 2.5 1.5 3 0 1 10 6 9 UOOO
9 6 Frosinone 5 2 3 2.8 1.2 4 0 1 14 6 12 UOUOO
10 7 Napoli 4 1 3 2.0 1.2 2 1 1 8 5 7 OUOO
11 8 Bologna 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 1 2 2 6 8 5 UOUOO
12 14 Lecce 4 1 3 1.0 2.5 1 0 3 4 10 3 OOOU
13 15 Sassuolo 4 1 3 2.0 2.5 2 1 1 8 10 7 OOUO
14 19 Udinese 6 3 3 0.7 2.3 0 1 5 4 14 1 UOUOUO
15 13 Genoa 6 4 2 1.2 1.3 3 1 2 7 8 10 UOUOUU
16 18 Parma 5 3 2 0.6 1.2 1 2 2 3 6 5 UUOOU
17 4 Como 3 2 1 1.3 0.3 2 1 0 4 1 7 OUU
18 9 Juventus 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7 UUUO
19 20 Venezia 5 4 1 0.6 2.0 1 0 4 3 10 3 UOUUU
20 11 Cagliari 4 4 0 0.5 1.0 1 1 2 2 4 4 UUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 16 Monza 6 1 5 1.3 2.7 0 1 5 8 16 1 OUOOOO
2 4 Como 6 2 4 2.2 1.2 4 1 1 13 7 13 UOOUOO
3 15 Sassuolo 5 1 4 1.2 2.4 0 1 4 6 12 1 OOOOU
4 17 Fiorentina 4 0 4 1.5 2.5 1 0 3 6 10 3 OOOO
5 2 Lazio 5 2 3 2.8 0.6 5 0 0 14 3 15 UOUOO
6 3 Roma 5 2 3 2.8 1.0 3 2 0 14 5 11 OUUOO
7 6 Frosinone 4 1 3 2.0 2.0 1 2 1 8 8 5 OUOO
8 10 Torino 4 1 3 1.8 1.0 2 1 1 7 4 7 OOUO
9 11 Cagliari 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 3 0 2 6 9 9 UOUOO
10 12 Atalanta 4 1 3 1.2 2.2 0 1 3 5 9 1 OUOO
11 14 Lecce 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 2 0 3 6 9 6 UUOOO
12 18 Parma 4 1 3 0.5 2.2 0 0 4 2 9 0 UOOO
13 19 Udinese 4 1 3 1.8 2.2 1 1 2 7 9 4 OOOU
14 1 Inter 4 2 2 2.0 0.8 3 1 0 8 3 10 UOOU
15 5 Milan 5 3 2 1.6 1.0 2 3 0 8 5 9 OUOUU
16 7 Napoli 5 3 2 1.8 1.2 2 1 2 9 6 7 UOUUO
17 8 Bologna 5 3 2 1.6 1.0 3 0 2 8 5 9 UUOUO
18 20 Venezia 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 0 0 4 3 9 0 UOOU
19 9 Juventus 5 4 1 1.2 1.2 2 1 2 6 6 7 UOUUU
20 13 Genoa 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 0 0 3 1 5 0 UOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47