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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 1–2 Cagliari

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.29 fair 1.91
Draw 5.50 fair 3.96
Away ✓ 11.00 fair 4.45
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 1.86
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 2.16

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Cagliari
16 Shots 25
3 Shots on target 10
5 Corners 5
8 Fouls 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (375 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.58 – 0.94
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawCagliari
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12.7% 1–1 11.9% 2–0 10%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
1.89points / match
1.41scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 52:33
Cagliari before this match, all matches
1.08points / match
1.03scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 38:52
Milan all matches all matches Cagliari

Per match

1.41 Goals scored 1.03
0.89 Goals conceded 1.41
2.30 Total goals 2.43
13.19 Shots 10.54
4.30 Shots on target 3.30
11.19 Shots faced 12.84
4.24 Corners 3.84
4.27 Corners against 5.16
10.16 Fouls 13.92
1.68 Yellow cards 2.14
0.51 1st-half goals scored 0.41
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

54% Wins 27%
27% Draws 27%
19% Losses 46%
95% Over 0.5 goals 92%
65% Over 1.5 goals 76%
43% Over 2.5 goals 49%
19% Over 3.5 goals 19%
8% Over 4.5 goals 5%
0% Over 5.5 goals 3%
46% Both teams scored 49%
41% Clean sheets 22%
19% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 16%
54% Draws 51%
19% Losses 32%
59% Over 0.5 goals 59%
30% Over 1.5 goals 22%
5% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Cagliari all matches
Milan before this match, at home
1.78points / match
1.33scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 24:19
Cagliari before this match, away
0.83points / match
0.89scored / match
1.61conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 16:29
Milan at home away Cagliari

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 0.89
1.06 Goals conceded 1.61
2.39 Total goals 2.50
16.11 Shots 10.33
5.00 Shots on target 3.17
9.89 Shots faced 14.06
4.94 Corners 3.33
3.61 Corners against 5.28
10.33 Fouls 14.00
1.89 Yellow cards 2.50
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

50% Wins 17%
28% Draws 33%
22% Losses 50%
94% Over 0.5 goals 89%
61% Over 1.5 goals 83%
50% Over 2.5 goals 61%
22% Over 3.5 goals 17%
11% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 61%
39% Clean sheets 11%
17% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 17%
50% Draws 44%
22% Losses 39%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 22%
0% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Cagliari away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.05.26 Genoa – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 4.503.701.70 1.98 1.88
10.05.26 Milan – Atalanta 2–3 (0–2) 2.103.303.50 1.85 2.00
03.05.26 Sassuolo – Milan 2–0 (1–0) 4.504.101.73 1.73 2.10
26.04.26 Milan – Juventus 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 1.98 1.88
19.04.26 Verona – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 6.253.901.57 2.05 1.80
11.04.26 Milan – Udinese 0–3 (0–2) 1.424.508.00 1.83 2.03
06.04.26 Napoli – Milan 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.003.00 2.30 1.62
21.03.26 Milan – Torino 3–2 (1–1) 1.404.757.50 1.80 2.00
15.03.26 Lazio – Milan 1–0 (1–0) 4.103.301.95 2.20 1.67
08.03.26 Milan – Inter 1–0 (1–0) 3.603.002.25 2.00 1.80

Cagliari all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.05.26 Cagliari – Torino 2–1 (2–1) 2.303.103.20 2.20 1.67
09.05.26 Cagliari – Udinese 0–2 (0–0) 2.503.202.90 2.20 1.67
03.05.26 Bologna – Cagliari 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
27.04.26 Cagliari – Atalanta 3–2 (2–2) 4.503.601.80 1.91 1.91
17.04.26 Inter – Cagliari 3–0 (0–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.57 2.38
11.04.26 Cagliari – Cremonese 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.103.60 2.30 1.62
04.04.26 Sassuolo – Cagliari 2–1 (0–1) 1.953.104.50 2.10 1.73
20.03.26 Cagliari – Napoli 0–1 (0–1) 5.253.401.75 2.50 1.53
15.03.26 Pisa – Cagliari 3–1 (1–0) 2.553.003.10 2.50 1.53
07.03.26 Cagliari – Como 1–2 (0–1) 5.754.001.57 2.00 1.80

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.05.26 Milan – Atalanta 2–3 (0–2) 2.103.303.50 1.85 2.00
26.04.26 Milan – Juventus 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 1.98 1.88
11.04.26 Milan – Udinese 0–3 (0–2) 1.424.508.00 1.83 2.03
21.03.26 Milan – Torino 3–2 (1–1) 1.404.757.50 1.80 2.00
08.03.26 Milan – Inter 1–0 (1–0) 3.603.002.25 2.00 1.80
22.02.26 Milan – Parma 0–1 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.80 2.00
18.02.26 Milan – Como 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.25 2.00 1.85
18.01.26 Milan – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.295.0013.00 1.91 1.91
08.01.26 Milan – Genoa 1–1 (0–1) 1.444.507.50 2.00 1.80
28.12.25 Milan – Verona 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.80 2.00

Cagliari away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.26 Bologna – Cagliari 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
17.04.26 Inter – Cagliari 3–0 (0–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.57 2.38
04.04.26 Sassuolo – Cagliari 2–1 (0–1) 1.953.104.50 2.10 1.73
15.03.26 Pisa – Cagliari 3–1 (1–0) 2.553.003.10 2.50 1.53
27.02.26 Parma – Cagliari 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.003.70 2.38 1.57
09.02.26 Roma – Cagliari 2–0 (1–0) 1.484.107.50 2.10 1.73
24.01.26 Fiorentina – Cagliari 1–2 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 2.00 1.80
12.01.26 Genoa – Cagliari 3–0 (1–0) 2.103.004.20 2.63 1.50
08.01.26 Cremonese – Cagliari 2–2 (2–0) 2.403.103.20 2.30 1.62
27.12.25 Torino – Cagliari 1–2 (1–1) 1.913.204.20 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsCagliari wins
7matches
3.57goals / match
57%over 2.5
71%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.01.26I1 Cagliari – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 6.003.901.60 2.10 1.73
11.01.25I1 Milan – Cagliari 1–1 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.62 2.30
09.11.24I1 Cagliari – Milan 3–3 (1–2) 5.504.101.60 1.67 2.20
11.05.24I1 Milan – Cagliari 5–1 (1–0) 1.405.256.50 1.57 2.38
27.09.23I1 Cagliari – Milan 1–3 (1–2) 5.253.801.67 1.99 1.91
19.03.22I1 Cagliari – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 5.254.001.60 1.92 1.98
29.08.21I1 Milan – Cagliari 4–1 (4–1) 1.444.507.00 1.57 2.37

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 89 35 +54 87
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 58 36 +22 76
3 Roma 37 22 4 11 57 31 +26 70
4 Milan 37 20 10 7 52 33 +19 70
5 Como 37 19 11 7 61 28 +33 68
6 Juventus 37 19 11 7 59 32 +27 68
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 51 36 +15 59
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 49 46 +3 56
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 41 40 +1 54
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 45 48 -3 50
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 46 50 -4 49
12 Parma 38 11 12 15 28 46 -18 45
13 Torino 37 12 8 17 42 61 -19 44
14 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 41 50 -9 42
15 Genoa 37 10 11 16 41 50 -9 41
16 Cagliari 37 10 10 17 38 52 -14 40
17 Lecce 37 9 8 20 27 50 -23 35
18 Cremonese 37 8 10 19 31 53 -22 34
19 Verona 37 3 12 22 25 59 -34 21
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 26 71 -45 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 19 14 3 2 50 16 +34 45
2 Napoli 19 13 4 2 33 18 +15 43
3 Roma 19 13 3 3 33 10 +23 42
4 Juventus 19 10 7 2 35 16 +19 37
5 Como 19 10 6 3 35 15 +20 36
6 Atalanta 19 9 6 4 25 15 +10 33
7 Milan 18 9 5 4 24 19 +5 32
8 Lazio 19 8 6 5 27 25 +2 30
9 Sassuolo 19 9 2 8 25 26 -1 29
10 Torino 18 8 3 7 25 27 -2 27
11 Cagliari 19 7 4 8 22 23 -1 25
12 Udinese 19 6 5 8 18 21 -3 23
13 Genoa 19 6 4 9 22 26 -4 22
14 Bologna 19 6 4 9 19 23 -4 22
15 Fiorentina 19 4 9 6 21 21 0 21
16 Parma 19 5 6 8 16 25 -9 21
17 Lecce 18 4 5 9 12 24 -12 17
18 Cremonese 18 3 7 8 17 25 -8 16
19 Pisa 19 2 4 13 9 26 -17 10
20 Verona 18 1 5 12 12 26 -14 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 19 13 3 3 39 19 +20 42
2 Milan 19 11 5 3 28 14 +14 38
3 Bologna 19 10 4 5 30 23 +7 34
4 Napoli 19 10 3 6 25 18 +7 33
5 Como 18 9 5 4 26 13 +13 32
6 Juventus 18 9 4 5 24 16 +8 31
7 Roma 18 9 1 8 24 21 +3 28
8 Udinese 19 8 3 8 27 27 0 27
9 Atalanta 19 6 8 5 26 21 +5 26
10 Lazio 19 6 6 7 14 15 -1 24
11 Parma 19 6 6 7 12 21 -9 24
12 Fiorentina 19 5 6 8 20 29 -9 21
13 Sassuolo 19 5 5 9 21 24 -3 20
14 Genoa 18 4 7 7 19 24 -5 19
15 Lecce 19 5 3 11 15 26 -11 18
16 Cremonese 19 5 3 11 14 28 -14 18
17 Torino 19 4 5 10 17 34 -17 17
18 Cagliari 18 3 6 9 16 29 -13 15
19 Verona 19 2 7 10 13 33 -20 13
20 Pisa 19 0 8 11 17 45 -28 8

Milan   Cagliari

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Torino 37 14 23 1.1 1.6 12 8 17 42 61 44
2 1 Inter 38 17 21 2.3 0.9 27 6 5 89 35 87
3 11 Sassuolo 38 17 21 1.2 1.3 14 7 17 46 50 49
4 2 Napoli 38 18 20 1.5 0.9 23 7 8 58 36 76
5 15 Genoa 37 17 20 1.1 1.4 10 11 16 41 50 41
6 20 Pisa 38 18 20 0.7 1.9 2 12 24 26 71 18
7 14 Fiorentina 38 19 19 1.1 1.3 9 15 14 41 50 42
8 19 Verona 37 18 19 0.7 1.6 3 12 22 25 59 21
9 16 Cagliari 37 19 18 1.0 1.4 10 10 17 38 52 40
10 8 Bologna 38 21 17 1.3 1.2 16 8 14 49 46 56
11 10 Udinese 38 21 17 1.2 1.3 14 8 16 45 48 50
12 4 Milan 37 21 16 1.4 0.9 20 10 7 52 33 70
13 5 Como 37 21 16 1.6 0.8 19 11 7 61 28 68
14 18 Cremonese 37 21 16 0.8 1.4 8 10 19 31 53 34
15 3 Roma 37 23 14 1.5 0.8 22 4 11 57 31 70
16 6 Juventus 37 23 14 1.6 0.9 19 11 7 59 32 68
17 7 Atalanta 38 24 14 1.3 0.9 15 14 9 51 36 59
18 17 Lecce 37 23 14 0.7 1.4 9 8 20 27 50 35
19 9 Lazio 38 26 12 1.1 1.1 14 12 12 41 40 54
20 12 Parma 38 27 11 0.7 1.2 11 12 15 28 46 45
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 19 7 12 2.6 0.8 14 3 2 50 16 45
2 2 Napoli 19 7 12 1.7 0.9 13 4 2 33 18 43
3 13 Torino 18 6 12 1.4 1.5 8 3 7 25 27 27
4 11 Sassuolo 19 8 11 1.3 1.4 9 2 8 25 26 29
5 15 Genoa 19 8 11 1.2 1.4 6 4 9 22 26 22
6 4 Milan 18 9 9 1.3 1.1 9 5 4 24 19 32
7 9 Lazio 19 10 9 1.4 1.3 8 6 5 27 25 30
8 5 Como 19 11 8 1.8 0.8 10 6 3 35 15 36
9 6 Juventus 19 11 8 1.8 0.8 10 7 2 35 16 37
10 14 Fiorentina 19 11 8 1.1 1.1 4 9 6 21 21 21
11 17 Lecce 18 10 8 0.7 1.3 4 5 9 12 24 17
12 18 Cremonese 18 10 8 0.9 1.4 3 7 8 17 25 16
13 19 Verona 18 10 8 0.7 1.4 1 5 12 12 26 8
14 7 Atalanta 19 12 7 1.3 0.8 9 6 4 25 15 33
15 8 Bologna 19 12 7 1.0 1.2 6 4 9 19 23 22
16 10 Udinese 19 12 7 0.9 1.1 6 5 8 18 21 23
17 16 Cagliari 19 12 7 1.2 1.2 7 4 8 22 23 25
18 20 Pisa 19 12 7 0.5 1.4 2 4 13 9 26 10
19 3 Roma 19 13 6 1.7 0.5 13 3 3 33 10 42
20 12 Parma 19 13 6 0.8 1.3 5 6 8 16 25 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Pisa 19 6 13 0.9 2.4 0 8 11 17 45 8
2 13 Torino 19 8 11 0.9 1.8 4 5 10 17 34 17
3 14 Fiorentina 19 8 11 1.1 1.5 5 6 8 20 29 21
4 16 Cagliari 18 7 11 0.9 1.6 3 6 9 16 29 15
5 19 Verona 19 8 11 0.7 1.7 2 7 10 13 33 13
6 8 Bologna 19 9 10 1.6 1.2 10 4 5 30 23 34
7 10 Udinese 19 9 10 1.4 1.4 8 3 8 27 27 27
8 11 Sassuolo 19 9 10 1.1 1.3 5 5 9 21 24 20
9 1 Inter 19 10 9 2.1 1.0 13 3 3 39 19 42
10 15 Genoa 18 9 9 1.1 1.3 4 7 7 19 24 19
11 2 Napoli 19 11 8 1.3 0.9 10 3 6 25 18 33
12 3 Roma 18 10 8 1.3 1.2 9 1 8 24 21 28
13 5 Como 18 10 8 1.4 0.7 9 5 4 26 13 32
14 18 Cremonese 19 11 8 0.7 1.5 5 3 11 14 28 18
15 4 Milan 19 12 7 1.5 0.7 11 5 3 28 14 38
16 7 Atalanta 19 12 7 1.4 1.1 6 8 5 26 21 26
17 6 Juventus 18 12 6 1.3 0.9 9 4 5 24 16 31
18 17 Lecce 19 13 6 0.8 1.4 5 3 11 15 26 18
19 12 Parma 19 14 5 0.6 1.1 6 6 7 12 21 24
20 9 Lazio 19 16 3 0.7 0.8 6 6 7 14 15 24

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40