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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Atalanta 1–1 Milan

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.63 fair 2.60
Draw ✓ 3.20 fair 3.61
Away 2.75 fair 2.95
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 1.75
Over 2.5 2.00 fair 2.34

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Atalanta Milan
17 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 1
9 Corners 4
9 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (81 league matches this season so far).
Result Atalanta to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.24 – 1.15
Home / Draw / Away
AtalantaDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.1% 1–0 11.4% 0–1 10.5%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Atalanta before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 12:6
Milan before this match, all matches
2.13points / match
1.63scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:6
Atalanta all matches all matches Milan

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.63
0.75 Goals conceded 0.75
2.25 Total goals 2.38
15.50 Shots 14.75
5.00 Shots on target 4.88
11.25 Shots faced 8.75
6.25 Corners 4.13
3.50 Corners against 3.63
10.00 Fouls 9.88
1.63 Yellow cards 1.38
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.13

How often Full Time

25% Wins 63%
75% Draws 25%
0% Losses 13%
88% Over 0.5 goals 88%
88% Over 1.5 goals 75%
25% Over 2.5 goals 63%
13% Over 3.5 goals 13%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 50%
25% Clean sheets 50%
13% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 38%
50% Draws 63%
13% Losses 0%
63% Over 0.5 goals 50%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta all matches
Milan all matches
Atalanta before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:3
Milan before this match, away
2.33points / match
1.67scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:0
Atalanta at home away Milan

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.67
0.75 Goals conceded 0.00
2.25 Total goals 1.67
18.00 Shots 13.33
6.00 Shots on target 5.33
9.75 Shots faced 9.67
8.25 Corners 3.00
2.50 Corners against 3.67
10.25 Fouls 7.67
1.75 Yellow cards 0.67
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

25% Wins 67%
75% Draws 33%
0% Losses 0%
75% Over 0.5 goals 67%
75% Over 1.5 goals 67%
25% Over 2.5 goals 33%
25% Over 3.5 goals 0%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 0%
25% Clean sheets 100%
25% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 33%
50% Draws 67%
25% Losses 0%
75% Over 0.5 goals 33%
25% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25 Cremonese – Atalanta 1–1 (0–0) 5.004.201.62 1.88 1.98
19.10.25 Atalanta – Lazio 0–0 (0–0) 1.734.004.50 1.80 2.00
04.10.25 Atalanta – Como 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.25 1.73 2.10
27.09.25 Juventus – Atalanta 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.20 2.03 1.83
21.09.25 Torino – Atalanta 0–3 (0–3) 3.253.402.20 2.20 1.67
14.09.25 Atalanta – Lecce 4–1 (1–0) 1.404.508.50 1.80 2.00
30.08.25 Parma – Atalanta 1–1 (0–0) 4.103.501.91 1.93 1.93
24.08.25 Atalanta – Pisa 1–1 (0–1) 1.405.007.00 1.67 2.20
25.05.25 Atalanta – Parma 2–3 (2–0) 1.753.505.00 1.73 2.10
17.05.25 Genoa – Atalanta 2–3 (1–0) 4.503.901.75 1.87 2.03

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.25 Milan – Pisa 2–2 (1–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.80 2.05
19.10.25 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.88 1.98
05.10.25 Juventus – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.10 1.73
28.09.25 Milan – Napoli 2–1 (2–0) 2.353.103.20 2.10 1.73
20.09.25 Udinese – Milan 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.83 2.10 1.73
14.09.25 Milan – Bologna 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.20 2.00 1.85
29.08.25 Lecce – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 6.003.901.57 2.00 1.85
23.08.25 Milan – Cremonese 1–2 (1–1) 1.335.259.00 1.67 2.20
24.05.25 Milan – Monza 2–0 (0–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.33 3.40
18.05.25 Roma – Milan 3–1 (1–1) 2.303.602.90 1.73 2.10

Atalanta at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.25 Atalanta – Lazio 0–0 (0–0) 1.734.004.50 1.80 2.00
04.10.25 Atalanta – Como 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.25 1.73 2.10
14.09.25 Atalanta – Lecce 4–1 (1–0) 1.404.508.50 1.80 2.00
24.08.25 Atalanta – Pisa 1–1 (0–1) 1.405.007.00 1.67 2.20
25.05.25 Atalanta – Parma 2–3 (2–0) 1.753.505.00 1.73 2.10
12.05.25 Atalanta – Roma 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.603.75 1.80 2.00
27.04.25 Atalanta – Lecce 1–1 (0–1) 1.256.0011.00 1.57 2.38
13.04.25 Atalanta – Bologna 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.503.90 2.05 1.85
06.04.25 Atalanta – Lazio 0–1 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.80 2.00
16.03.25 Atalanta – Inter 0–2 (0–0) 2.553.302.80 1.95 1.95

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.25 Juventus – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.10 1.73
20.09.25 Udinese – Milan 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.83 2.10 1.73
29.08.25 Lecce – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 6.003.901.57 2.00 1.85
18.05.25 Roma – Milan 3–1 (1–1) 2.303.602.90 1.73 2.10
05.05.25 Genoa – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 4.753.701.80 1.99 1.91
27.04.25 Venezia – Milan 0–2 (0–1) 4.754.001.70 1.73 2.10
11.04.25 Udinese – Milan 0–4 (0–2) 4.003.601.91 1.89 2.01
30.03.25 Napoli – Milan 2–1 (2–0) 1.913.703.75 2.02 1.88
08.03.25 Lecce – Milan 2–3 (1–0) 4.753.601.75 1.88 2.02
27.02.25 Bologna – Milan 2–1 (0–1) 2.883.302.50 1.96 1.82

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Atalanta winsDrawsMilan wins
8matches
2.75goals / match
38%over 2.5
63%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.25I1 Milan – Atalanta 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.75 1.67 2.20
06.12.24I1 Atalanta – Milan 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.403.30 1.73 2.10
25.02.24I1 Milan – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
09.12.23I1 Atalanta – Milan 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.203.00 2.05 1.75
26.02.23I1 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.403.40 1.94 1.96
21.08.22I1 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.502.50 1.72 2.10
15.05.22I1 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (0–0) 1.754.204.20 1.57 2.37
03.10.21I1 Atalanta – Milan 2–3 (0–2) 2.053.753.40 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 9 7 0 2 16 8 +8 21
2 Roma 8 6 0 2 8 3 +5 18
3 Milan 8 5 2 1 13 6 +7 17
4 Inter 8 5 0 3 19 11 +8 15
5 Bologna 8 4 2 2 13 7 +6 14
6 Como 8 3 4 1 9 5 +4 13
7 Atalanta 8 2 6 0 12 6 +6 12
8 Juventus 8 3 3 2 9 8 +1 12
9 Udinese 8 3 3 2 10 12 -2 12
10 Lazio 8 3 2 3 11 7 +4 11
11 Cremonese 8 2 5 1 9 10 -1 11
12 Torino 8 3 2 3 8 14 -6 11
13 Sassuolo 8 3 1 4 8 9 -1 10
14 Cagliari 8 2 3 3 8 10 -2 9
15 Parma 8 1 4 3 3 7 -4 7
16 Lecce 9 1 3 5 7 14 -7 6
17 Verona 8 0 5 3 4 11 -7 5
18 Fiorentina 8 0 4 4 7 12 -5 4
19 Pisa 8 0 4 4 5 12 -7 4
20 Genoa 8 0 3 5 4 11 -7 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 4 4 0 0 9 4 +5 12
2 Milan 5 3 1 1 8 6 +2 10
3 Inter 4 3 0 1 12 4 +8 9
4 Bologna 3 3 0 0 7 1 +6 9
5 Como 4 2 2 0 6 2 +4 8
6 Juventus 4 2 2 0 7 4 +3 8
7 Lazio 4 2 1 1 8 4 +4 7
8 Torino 4 2 1 1 3 4 -1 7
9 Atalanta 4 1 3 0 6 3 +3 6
10 Cremonese 4 1 3 0 5 4 +1 6
11 Roma 4 2 0 2 3 2 +1 6
12 Sassuolo 4 2 0 2 4 4 0 6
13 Parma 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
14 Udinese 4 1 2 1 5 7 -2 5
15 Cagliari 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
16 Verona 4 0 3 1 3 4 -1 3
17 Pisa 4 0 2 2 0 2 -2 2
18 Lecce 5 0 2 3 3 7 -4 2
19 Genoa 4 0 2 2 0 4 -4 2
20 Fiorentina 4 0 1 3 5 9 -4 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Roma 4 4 0 0 5 1 +4 12
2 Napoli 5 3 0 2 7 4 +3 9
3 Milan 3 2 1 0 5 0 +5 7
4 Udinese 4 2 1 1 5 5 0 7
5 Atalanta 4 1 3 0 6 3 +3 6
6 Inter 4 2 0 2 7 7 0 6
7 Bologna 5 1 2 2 6 6 0 5
8 Cagliari 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
9 Como 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
10 Cremonese 4 1 2 1 4 6 -2 5
11 Lazio 4 1 1 2 3 3 0 4
12 Sassuolo 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
13 Juventus 4 1 1 2 2 4 -2 4
14 Lecce 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4
15 Torino 4 1 1 2 5 10 -5 4
16 Fiorentina 4 0 3 1 2 3 -1 3
17 Parma 4 0 2 2 0 4 -4 2
18 Pisa 4 0 2 2 5 10 -5 2
19 Verona 4 0 2 2 1 7 -6 2
20 Genoa 4 0 1 3 4 7 -3 1

Atalanta   Milan

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Inter 8 2 6 2.4 1.4 5 0 3 19 11 15
2 1 Napoli 9 4 5 1.8 0.9 7 0 2 16 8 21
3 3 Milan 8 3 5 1.6 0.8 5 2 1 13 6 17
4 12 Torino 8 3 5 1.0 1.8 3 2 3 8 14 11
5 18 Fiorentina 8 3 5 0.9 1.5 0 4 4 7 12 4
6 5 Bologna 8 4 4 1.6 0.9 4 2 2 13 7 14
7 9 Udinese 8 4 4 1.2 1.5 3 3 2 10 12 12
8 16 Lecce 9 5 4 0.8 1.6 1 3 5 7 14 6
9 20 Genoa 8 4 4 0.5 1.4 0 3 5 4 11 3
10 10 Lazio 8 5 3 1.4 0.9 3 2 3 11 7 11
11 11 Cremonese 8 5 3 1.1 1.2 2 5 1 9 10 11
12 13 Sassuolo 8 5 3 1.0 1.1 3 1 4 8 9 10
13 19 Pisa 8 5 3 0.6 1.5 0 4 4 5 12 4
14 7 Atalanta 8 6 2 1.5 0.8 2 6 0 12 6 12
15 14 Cagliari 8 6 2 1.0 1.2 2 3 3 8 10 9
16 17 Verona 8 6 2 0.5 1.4 0 5 3 4 11 5
17 2 Roma 8 7 1 1.0 0.4 6 0 2 8 3 18
18 6 Como 8 7 1 1.1 0.6 3 4 1 9 5 13
19 8 Juventus 8 7 1 1.1 1.0 3 3 2 9 8 12
20 15 Parma 8 7 1 0.4 0.9 1 4 3 3 7 7
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Milan 5 1 4 1.6 1.2 3 1 1 8 6 10
2 4 Inter 4 0 4 3.0 1.0 3 0 1 12 4 9
3 18 Fiorentina 4 0 4 1.2 2.2 0 1 3 5 9 1
4 1 Napoli 4 1 3 2.2 1.0 4 0 0 9 4 12
5 5 Bologna 3 1 2 2.3 0.3 3 0 0 7 1 9
6 9 Udinese 4 2 2 1.2 1.8 1 2 1 5 7 5
7 10 Lazio 4 2 2 2.0 1.0 2 1 1 8 4 7
8 12 Torino 4 2 2 0.8 1.0 2 1 1 3 4 7
9 16 Lecce 5 3 2 0.6 1.4 0 2 3 3 7 2
10 7 Atalanta 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 1 3 0 6 3 6
11 8 Juventus 4 3 1 1.8 1.0 2 2 0 7 4 8
12 11 Cremonese 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 3 0 5 4 6
13 13 Sassuolo 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 2 0 2 4 4 6
14 15 Parma 4 3 1 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
15 17 Verona 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 0 3 1 3 4 3
16 20 Genoa 4 3 1 0.0 1.0 0 2 2 0 4 2
17 2 Roma 4 4 0 0.8 0.5 2 0 2 3 2 6
18 6 Como 4 4 0 1.5 0.5 2 2 0 6 2 8
19 14 Cagliari 4 4 0 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
20 19 Pisa 4 4 0 0.0 0.5 0 2 2 0 2 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Torino 4 1 3 1.2 2.5 1 1 2 5 10 4
2 19 Pisa 4 1 3 1.2 2.5 0 2 2 5 10 2
3 20 Genoa 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 0 1 3 4 7 1
4 1 Napoli 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 3 0 2 7 4 9
5 4 Inter 4 2 2 1.8 1.8 2 0 2 7 7 6
6 5 Bologna 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 2 6 6 5
7 9 Udinese 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 1 5 5 7
8 11 Cremonese 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 2 1 4 6 5
9 13 Sassuolo 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
10 14 Cagliari 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
11 16 Lecce 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4
12 2 Roma 4 3 1 1.2 0.2 4 0 0 5 1 12
13 3 Milan 3 2 1 1.7 0.0 2 1 0 5 0 7
14 6 Como 4 3 1 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
15 7 Atalanta 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 1 3 0 6 3 6
16 10 Lazio 4 3 1 0.8 0.8 1 1 2 3 3 4
17 17 Verona 4 3 1 0.2 1.8 0 2 2 1 7 2
18 18 Fiorentina 4 3 1 0.5 0.8 0 3 1 2 3 3
19 8 Juventus 4 4 0 0.5 1.0 1 1 2 2 4 4
20 15 Parma 4 4 0 0.0 1.0 0 2 2 0 4 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38