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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 3–1 Roma

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 1.90 fair 2.25
Draw 3.70 fair 4.25
Away 3.80 fair 3.11
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.52
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.72 fair 1.66

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Roma
19 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 9
6 Fouls 20
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 2

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (193 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.61
Expected goals 1.70 – 1.42
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawRoma
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 9.1% 1–2 7.6%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
2.21points / match
2.11scored / match
1.16conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 40:22
Roma before this match, all matches
1.68points / match
1.63scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 31:21
Milan all matches all matches Roma

Per match

2.11 Goals scored 1.63
1.16 Goals conceded 1.11
3.26 Total goals 2.74
14.89 Shots 15.89
4.42 Shots on target 5.00
11.21 Shots faced 9.47
4.63 Corners 6.11
4.79 Corners against 3.74
12.79 Fouls 13.16
1.89 Yellow cards 2.95
1.05 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

68% Wins 53%
16% Draws 11%
16% Losses 37%
100% Over 0.5 goals 95%
84% Over 1.5 goals 74%
53% Over 2.5 goals 53%
37% Over 3.5 goals 32%
32% Over 4.5 goals 21%
16% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 47%
32% Clean sheets 37%
5% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 47%
16% Draws 26%
32% Losses 26%
89% Over 0.5 goals 74%
53% Over 1.5 goals 21%
16% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Roma all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.11points / match
1.78scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 16:8
Roma before this match, away
1.33points / match
2.00scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 18:13
Milan at home away Roma

Per match

1.78 Goals scored 2.00
0.89 Goals conceded 1.44
2.67 Total goals 3.44
15.67 Shots 17.67
3.78 Shots on target 5.67
9.89 Shots faced 8.11
5.44 Corners 6.56
4.56 Corners against 2.78
12.67 Fouls 14.44
1.33 Yellow cards 3.11
1.11 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

67% Wins 44%
11% Draws 0%
22% Losses 56%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 78%
33% Over 2.5 goals 67%
33% Over 3.5 goals 56%
22% Over 4.5 goals 44%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 56%
44% Clean sheets 22%
11% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 33%
22% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
89% Over 0.5 goals 67%
56% Over 1.5 goals 33%
22% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 9 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Roma away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.21 Empoli – Milan 2–4 (1–2) 4.503.901.75 1.57 2.37
19.12.21 Milan – Napoli 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 1.80 2.00
11.12.21 Udinese – Milan 1–1 (1–0) 4.203.501.90 1.98 1.92
04.12.21 Milan – Salernitana 2–0 (2–0) 1.187.0015.00 1.50 2.62
01.12.21 Genoa – Milan 0–3 (0–2) 5.004.001.66 1.72 2.10
28.11.21 Milan – Sassuolo 1–3 (1–2) 1.534.505.50 1.53 2.50
20.11.21 Fiorentina – Milan 4–3 (2–0) 3.103.502.25 1.87 2.03
07.11.21 Milan – Inter 1–1 (1–1) 3.253.502.15 1.66 2.20
31.10.21 Roma – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 2.303.503.00 1.72 2.10
26.10.21 Milan – Torino 1–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 1.72 2.10

Roma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.21 Roma – Sampdoria 1–1 (0–0) 1.554.335.50 1.61 2.30
18.12.21 Atalanta – Roma 1–4 (1–2) 1.704.334.33 1.57 2.37
13.12.21 Roma – Spezia 2–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.53 2.50
04.12.21 Roma – Inter 0–3 (0–3) 3.803.801.90 1.72 2.10
01.12.21 Bologna – Roma 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.72 2.10
28.11.21 Roma – Torino 1–0 (1–0) 1.724.004.50 1.80 2.00
21.11.21 Genoa – Roma 0–2 (0–0) 4.753.901.70 1.61 2.30
07.11.21 Venezia – Roma 3–2 (1–2) 5.754.501.53 1.66 2.20
31.10.21 Roma – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 2.303.503.00 1.72 2.10
27.10.21 Cagliari – Roma 1–2 (0–0) 5.004.201.61 1.57 2.37

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.12.21 Milan – Napoli 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 1.80 2.00
04.12.21 Milan – Salernitana 2–0 (2–0) 1.187.0015.00 1.50 2.62
28.11.21 Milan – Sassuolo 1–3 (1–2) 1.534.505.50 1.53 2.50
07.11.21 Milan – Inter 1–1 (1–1) 3.253.502.15 1.66 2.20
26.10.21 Milan – Torino 1–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 1.72 2.10
16.10.21 Milan – Verona 3–2 (0–2) 1.554.205.75 1.61 2.30
22.09.21 Milan – Venezia 2–0 (0–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.44 2.75
12.09.21 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.603.10 1.66 2.20
29.08.21 Milan – Cagliari 4–1 (4–1) 1.444.507.00 1.57 2.37

Roma away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.12.21 Atalanta – Roma 1–4 (1–2) 1.704.334.33 1.57 2.37
01.12.21 Bologna – Roma 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.72 2.10
21.11.21 Genoa – Roma 0–2 (0–0) 4.753.901.70 1.61 2.30
07.11.21 Venezia – Roma 3–2 (1–2) 5.754.501.53 1.66 2.20
27.10.21 Cagliari – Roma 1–2 (0–0) 5.004.201.61 1.57 2.37
17.10.21 Juventus – Roma 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.804.00 1.72 2.10
26.09.21 Lazio – Roma 3–2 (2–1) 2.623.502.60 1.72 2.10
19.09.21 Verona – Roma 3–2 (0–1) 4.003.801.83 1.72 2.10
29.08.21 Salernitana – Roma 0–4 (0–0) 5.504.331.55 1.57 2.37

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsRoma wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.10.21I1 Roma – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 2.303.503.00 1.72 2.10

Italy Serie A table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 19 14 4 1 49 15 +34 46
2 Milan 19 13 3 3 40 22 +18 42
3 Napoli 19 12 3 4 35 14 +21 39
4 Atalanta 19 11 5 3 38 24 +14 38
5 Juventus 19 10 4 5 27 17 +10 34
6 Roma 19 10 2 7 31 21 +10 32
7 Fiorentina 19 10 2 7 34 25 +9 32
8 Lazio 20 9 5 6 42 37 +5 32
9 Empoli 20 8 4 8 33 37 -4 28
10 Verona 20 7 6 7 36 33 +3 27
11 Bologna 19 8 3 8 27 31 -4 27
12 Torino 19 7 4 8 23 19 +4 25
13 Sassuolo 20 6 7 7 31 32 -1 25
14 Udinese 18 4 8 6 26 28 -2 20
15 Sampdoria 20 5 5 10 28 37 -9 20
16 Venezia 19 4 5 10 18 34 -16 17
17 Spezia 20 4 4 12 20 41 -21 16
18 Cagliari 20 2 7 11 19 41 -22 13
19 Genoa 20 1 9 10 20 38 -18 12
20 Salernitana 18 2 2 14 11 42 -31 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 9 7 2 0 25 6 +19 23
2 Lazio 10 6 3 1 28 16 +12 21
3 Torino 10 6 2 2 19 10 +9 20
4 Roma 10 6 2 2 13 8 +5 20
5 Fiorentina 9 6 1 2 23 12 +11 19
6 Napoli 10 6 1 3 17 7 +10 19
7 Milan 9 6 1 2 16 8 +8 19
8 Verona 10 5 2 3 20 14 +6 17
9 Juventus 9 5 1 3 11 7 +4 16
10 Bologna 10 5 1 4 16 14 +2 16
11 Sassuolo 11 3 4 4 13 15 -2 13
12 Atalanta 9 3 3 3 18 15 +3 12
13 Udinese 9 2 5 2 11 12 -1 11
14 Empoli 10 3 1 6 16 24 -8 10
15 Spezia 10 2 3 5 11 14 -3 9
16 Sampdoria 11 2 3 6 15 23 -8 9
17 Venezia 9 2 2 5 12 17 -5 8
18 Cagliari 10 1 4 5 12 19 -7 7
19 Genoa 9 0 4 5 8 17 -9 4
20 Salernitana 9 1 1 7 5 21 -16 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Atalanta 10 8 2 0 20 9 +11 26
2 Inter 10 7 2 1 24 9 +15 23
3 Milan 10 7 2 1 24 14 +10 23
4 Napoli 9 6 2 1 18 7 +11 20
5 Juventus 10 5 3 2 16 10 +6 18
6 Empoli 10 5 3 2 17 13 +4 18
7 Fiorentina 10 4 1 5 11 13 -2 13
8 Roma 9 4 0 5 18 13 +5 12
9 Sassuolo 9 3 3 3 18 17 +1 12
10 Sampdoria 9 3 2 4 13 14 -1 11
11 Bologna 9 3 2 4 11 17 -6 11
12 Lazio 10 3 2 5 14 21 -7 11
13 Verona 10 2 4 4 16 19 -3 10
14 Udinese 9 2 3 4 15 16 -1 9
15 Venezia 10 2 3 5 6 17 -11 9
16 Genoa 11 1 5 5 12 21 -9 8
17 Spezia 10 2 1 7 9 27 -18 7
18 Cagliari 10 1 3 6 7 22 -15 6
19 Torino 9 1 2 6 4 9 -5 5
20 Salernitana 9 1 1 7 6 21 -15 4

Milan   Roma

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Lazio 20 4 16 2.1 1.9 9 5 6 42 37 32
2 13 Sassuolo 20 4 16 1.6 1.6 6 7 7 31 32 25
3 15 Sampdoria 20 5 15 1.4 1.9 5 5 10 28 37 20
4 4 Atalanta 19 5 14 2.0 1.3 11 5 3 38 24 38
5 7 Fiorentina 19 5 14 1.8 1.3 10 2 7 34 25 32
6 9 Empoli 20 6 14 1.6 1.9 8 4 8 33 37 28
7 10 Verona 20 6 14 1.8 1.6 7 6 7 36 33 27
8 1 Inter 19 7 12 2.6 0.8 14 4 1 49 15 46
9 17 Spezia 20 8 12 1.0 2.0 4 4 12 20 41 16
10 18 Cagliari 20 8 12 0.9 2.0 2 7 11 19 41 13
11 19 Genoa 20 8 12 1.0 1.9 1 9 10 20 38 12
12 11 Bologna 19 8 11 1.4 1.6 8 3 8 27 31 27
13 2 Milan 19 9 10 2.1 1.2 13 3 3 40 22 42
14 3 Napoli 19 9 10 1.8 0.7 12 3 4 35 14 39
15 6 Roma 19 9 10 1.6 1.1 10 2 7 31 21 32
16 20 Salernitana 18 8 10 0.6 2.3 2 2 14 11 42 8
17 14 Udinese 18 9 9 1.4 1.6 4 8 6 26 28 20
18 16 Venezia 19 10 9 0.9 1.8 4 5 10 18 34 17
19 12 Torino 19 11 8 1.2 1.0 7 4 8 23 19 25
20 5 Juventus 19 13 6 1.4 0.9 10 4 5 27 17 34
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Fiorentina 9 0 9 2.6 1.3 6 1 2 23 12 19
2 9 Empoli 10 1 9 1.6 2.4 3 1 6 16 24 10
3 15 Sampdoria 11 2 9 1.4 2.1 2 3 6 15 23 9
4 8 Lazio 10 2 8 2.8 1.6 6 3 1 28 16 21
5 10 Verona 10 2 8 2.0 1.4 5 2 3 20 14 17
6 4 Atalanta 9 2 7 2.0 1.7 3 3 3 18 15 12
7 12 Torino 10 3 7 1.9 1.0 6 2 2 19 10 20
8 13 Sassuolo 11 4 7 1.2 1.4 3 4 4 13 15 13
9 18 Cagliari 10 4 6 1.2 1.9 1 4 5 12 19 7
10 19 Genoa 9 3 6 0.9 1.9 0 4 5 8 17 4
11 1 Inter 9 4 5 2.8 0.7 7 2 0 25 6 23
12 11 Bologna 10 5 5 1.6 1.4 5 1 4 16 14 16
13 16 Venezia 9 4 5 1.3 1.9 2 2 5 12 17 8
14 17 Spezia 10 5 5 1.1 1.4 2 3 5 11 14 9
15 3 Napoli 10 6 4 1.7 0.7 6 1 3 17 7 19
16 6 Roma 10 6 4 1.3 0.8 6 2 2 13 8 20
17 14 Udinese 9 5 4 1.2 1.3 2 5 2 11 12 11
18 20 Salernitana 9 5 4 0.6 2.3 1 1 7 5 21 4
19 2 Milan 9 6 3 1.8 0.9 6 1 2 16 8 19
20 5 Juventus 9 7 2 1.2 0.8 5 1 3 11 7 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Sassuolo 9 0 9 2.0 1.9 3 3 3 18 17 12
2 8 Lazio 10 2 8 1.4 2.1 3 2 5 14 21 11
3 1 Inter 10 3 7 2.4 0.9 7 2 1 24 9 23
4 2 Milan 10 3 7 2.4 1.4 7 2 1 24 14 23
5 4 Atalanta 10 3 7 2.0 0.9 8 2 0 20 9 26
6 17 Spezia 10 3 7 0.9 2.7 2 1 7 9 27 7
7 3 Napoli 9 3 6 2.0 0.8 6 2 1 18 7 20
8 6 Roma 9 3 6 2.0 1.4 4 0 5 18 13 12
9 10 Verona 10 4 6 1.6 1.9 2 4 4 16 19 10
10 11 Bologna 9 3 6 1.2 1.9 3 2 4 11 17 11
11 15 Sampdoria 9 3 6 1.4 1.6 3 2 4 13 14 11
12 18 Cagliari 10 4 6 0.7 2.2 1 3 6 7 22 6
13 19 Genoa 11 5 6 1.1 1.9 1 5 5 12 21 8
14 20 Salernitana 9 3 6 0.7 2.3 1 1 7 6 21 4
15 7 Fiorentina 10 5 5 1.1 1.3 4 1 5 11 13 13
16 9 Empoli 10 5 5 1.7 1.3 5 3 2 17 13 18
17 14 Udinese 9 4 5 1.7 1.8 2 3 4 15 16 9
18 5 Juventus 10 6 4 1.6 1.0 5 3 2 16 10 18
19 16 Venezia 10 6 4 0.6 1.7 2 3 5 6 17 9
20 12 Torino 9 8 1 0.4 1.0 1 2 6 4 9 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51