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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 3–1 Bologna

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.30 fair 2.34
Draw 3.40 fair 3.89
Away 3.00 fair 3.17
Under 2.5 1.91 fair 2.01
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.99 fair 1.99

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Bologna
10 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 4
5 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (350 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.46 – 1.22
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawBologna
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 1–0 10% 2–1 8.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
1.63points / match
1.57scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 55:39
Bologna before this match, all matches
1.77points / match
1.51scored / match
1.09conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 53:38
Milan all matches all matches Bologna

Per match

1.57 Goals scored 1.51
1.11 Goals conceded 1.09
2.69 Total goals 2.60
14.69 Shots 13.51
5.20 Shots on target 4.66
11.37 Shots faced 8.60
5.94 Corners 4.80
4.14 Corners against 3.29
11.03 Fouls 14.03
1.83 Yellow cards 1.51
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.46
0.51 1st-half goals conceded 0.51

How often Full Time

46% Wins 46%
26% Draws 40%
29% Losses 14%
94% Over 0.5 goals 91%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
60% Over 2.5 goals 49%
23% Over 3.5 goals 29%
9% Over 4.5 goals 11%
3% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 54%
34% Clean sheets 34%
14% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 26%
40% Draws 46%
29% Losses 29%
71% Over 0.5 goals 66%
34% Over 1.5 goals 23%
11% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Bologna all matches
Milan before this match, at home
1.65points / match
1.47scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 25:15
Bologna before this match, away
1.47points / match
1.24scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 21:23
Milan at home away Bologna

Per match

1.47 Goals scored 1.24
0.88 Goals conceded 1.35
2.35 Total goals 2.59
15.29 Shots 11.35
4.88 Shots on target 4.24
10.94 Shots faced 9.47
6.29 Corners 3.47
4.18 Corners against 3.29
11.00 Fouls 14.71
1.59 Yellow cards 1.59
0.82 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

41% Wins 35%
41% Draws 41%
18% Losses 24%
88% Over 0.5 goals 88%
71% Over 1.5 goals 82%
47% Over 2.5 goals 53%
24% Over 3.5 goals 29%
6% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
47% Both teams scored 47%
41% Clean sheets 29%
24% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 29%
41% Draws 41%
29% Losses 29%
71% Over 0.5 goals 71%
41% Over 1.5 goals 24%
18% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Bologna away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.05.25 Genoa – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 4.753.701.80 1.99 1.91
27.04.25 Venezia – Milan 0–2 (0–1) 4.754.001.70 1.73 2.10
20.04.25 Milan – Atalanta 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.75 1.67 2.20
11.04.25 Udinese – Milan 0–4 (0–2) 4.003.601.91 1.89 2.01
05.04.25 Milan – Fiorentina 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.504.20 1.73 2.10
30.03.25 Napoli – Milan 2–1 (2–0) 1.913.703.75 2.02 1.88
15.03.25 Milan – Como 2–1 (0–1) 1.803.604.50 1.73 2.10
08.03.25 Lecce – Milan 2–3 (1–0) 4.753.601.75 1.88 2.02
02.03.25 Milan – Lazio 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.603.50 1.86 2.04
27.02.25 Bologna – Milan 2–1 (0–1) 2.883.302.50 1.96 1.82

Bologna all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.05.25 Bologna – Juventus 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.103.20 2.30 1.62
28.04.25 Udinese – Bologna 0–0 (0–0) 4.503.501.85 2.20 1.67
20.04.25 Bologna – Inter 1–0 (0–0) 3.403.102.30 2.20 1.67
13.04.25 Atalanta – Bologna 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.503.90 2.05 1.85
07.04.25 Bologna – Napoli 1–1 (0–1) 2.903.002.70 2.50 1.53
29.03.25 Venezia – Bologna 0–1 (0–0) 5.003.501.75 2.20 1.67
16.03.25 Bologna – Lazio 5–0 (1–0) 2.403.103.25 2.20 1.67
09.03.25 Verona – Bologna 1–2 (0–1) 5.253.301.75 2.30 1.62
02.03.25 Bologna – Cagliari 2–1 (0–1) 1.573.756.50 2.00 1.80
27.02.25 Bologna – Milan 2–1 (0–1) 2.883.302.50 1.96 1.82

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.25 Milan – Atalanta 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.75 1.67 2.20
05.04.25 Milan – Fiorentina 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.504.20 1.73 2.10
15.03.25 Milan – Como 2–1 (0–1) 1.803.604.50 1.73 2.10
02.03.25 Milan – Lazio 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.603.50 1.86 2.04
15.02.25 Milan – Verona 1–0 (0–0) 1.334.759.50 1.57 2.38
02.02.25 Milan – Inter 1–1 (1–0) 4.003.501.91 1.80 2.00
26.01.25 Milan – Parma 3–2 (1–1) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
11.01.25 Milan – Cagliari 1–1 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.62 2.30
29.12.24 Milan – Roma 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.20 1.93 1.97
15.12.24 Milan – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20

Bologna away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.04.25 Udinese – Bologna 0–0 (0–0) 4.503.501.85 2.20 1.67
13.04.25 Atalanta – Bologna 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.503.90 2.05 1.85
29.03.25 Venezia – Bologna 0–1 (0–0) 5.003.501.75 2.20 1.67
09.03.25 Verona – Bologna 1–2 (0–1) 5.253.301.75 2.30 1.62
22.02.25 Parma – Bologna 2–0 (1–0) 4.003.501.91 1.91 1.99
09.02.25 Lecce – Bologna 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 2.20 1.67
25.01.25 Empoli – Bologna 1–1 (1–1) 3.803.302.00 2.30 1.62
15.01.25 Inter – Bologna 2–2 (2–1) 1.484.207.00 1.73 2.10
21.12.24 Torino – Bologna 0–2 (0–0) 3.302.902.45 2.63 1.50
07.12.24 Juventus – Bologna 2–2 (0–1) 1.703.605.25 2.30 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsBologna wins
7matches
2.71goals / match
43%over 2.5
57%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.02.25I1 Bologna – Milan 2–1 (0–1) 2.883.302.50 1.96 1.82
27.01.24I1 Milan – Bologna 2–2 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 2.08 1.73
21.08.23I1 Bologna – Milan 0–2 (0–2) 4.003.401.95 2.00 1.80
15.04.23I1 Bologna – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.62
27.08.22I1 Milan – Bologna 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.61 2.30
04.04.22I1 Milan – Bologna 0–0 (0–0) 1.404.508.50 1.72 2.10
23.10.21I1 Bologna – Milan 2–4 (0–2) 3.353.602.10 1.72 2.10

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 35 23 8 4 55 25 +30 77
2 Inter 35 22 8 5 73 33 +40 74
3 Atalanta 35 20 8 7 71 31 +40 68
4 Juventus 35 16 15 4 52 32 +20 63
5 Roma 35 18 9 8 50 32 +18 63
6 Lazio 35 18 9 8 58 45 +13 63
7 Bologna 35 16 14 5 53 38 +15 62
8 Fiorentina 35 17 8 10 53 35 +18 59
9 Milan 35 16 9 10 55 39 +16 57
10 Como 35 12 9 14 45 48 -3 45
11 Torino 35 10 14 11 39 40 -1 44
12 Udinese 35 12 8 15 38 49 -11 44
13 Genoa 35 9 12 14 30 43 -13 39
14 Cagliari 35 8 9 18 36 51 -15 33
15 Parma 35 6 14 15 40 54 -14 32
16 Verona 35 9 5 21 30 63 -33 32
17 Lecce 35 6 9 20 24 57 -33 27
18 Venezia 35 4 14 17 28 49 -21 26
19 Empoli 35 4 13 18 27 55 -28 25
20 Monza 35 2 9 24 25 63 -38 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 13 3 2 38 19 +19 42
2 Napoli 17 13 2 2 28 11 +17 41
3 Roma 18 12 2 4 34 14 +20 38
4 Bologna 18 10 7 1 32 15 +17 37
5 Juventus 18 10 7 1 29 15 +14 37
6 Fiorentina 18 11 4 3 29 16 +13 37
7 Atalanta 17 8 5 4 32 20 +12 29
8 Lazio 17 7 8 2 32 24 +8 29
9 Milan 17 7 7 3 25 15 +10 28
10 Como 17 7 5 5 25 23 +2 26
11 Torino 17 6 7 4 17 14 +3 25
12 Udinese 17 7 3 7 19 22 -3 24
13 Genoa 18 5 7 6 19 22 -3 22
14 Parma 18 5 5 8 25 28 -3 20
15 Cagliari 18 5 4 9 21 28 -7 19
16 Venezia 17 4 5 8 13 18 -5 17
17 Lecce 18 3 6 9 12 31 -19 15
18 Verona 17 4 3 10 13 34 -21 15
19 Empoli 17 1 7 9 7 23 -16 10
20 Monza 18 1 5 12 12 28 -16 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Atalanta 18 12 3 3 39 11 +28 39
2 Napoli 18 10 6 2 27 14 +13 36
3 Lazio 18 11 1 6 26 21 +5 34
4 Inter 17 9 5 3 35 14 +21 32
5 Milan 18 9 2 7 30 24 +6 29
6 Juventus 17 6 8 3 23 17 +6 26
7 Bologna 17 6 7 4 21 23 -2 25
8 Roma 17 6 7 4 16 18 -2 25
9 Fiorentina 17 6 4 7 24 19 +5 22
10 Udinese 18 5 5 8 19 27 -8 20
11 Torino 18 4 7 7 22 26 -4 19
12 Como 18 5 4 9 20 25 -5 19
13 Genoa 17 4 5 8 11 21 -10 17
14 Verona 18 5 2 11 17 29 -12 17
15 Empoli 18 3 6 9 20 32 -12 15
16 Cagliari 17 3 5 9 15 23 -8 14
17 Parma 17 1 9 7 15 26 -11 12
18 Lecce 17 3 3 11 12 26 -14 12
19 Venezia 18 0 9 9 15 31 -16 9
20 Monza 17 1 4 12 13 35 -22 7

Milan   Bologna

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Lazio 35 13 22 1.7 1.3 18 9 8 58 45 63
2 9 Milan 35 14 21 1.6 1.1 16 9 10 55 39 57
3 2 Inter 35 15 20 2.1 0.9 22 8 5 73 33 74
4 8 Fiorentina 35 15 20 1.5 1.0 17 8 10 53 35 59
5 15 Parma 35 16 19 1.1 1.5 6 14 15 40 54 32
6 3 Atalanta 35 17 18 2.0 0.9 20 8 7 71 31 68
7 7 Bologna 35 18 17 1.5 1.1 16 14 5 53 38 62
8 12 Udinese 35 18 17 1.1 1.4 12 8 15 38 49 44
9 14 Cagliari 35 18 17 1.0 1.5 8 9 18 36 51 33
10 16 Verona 35 18 17 0.9 1.8 9 5 21 30 63 32
11 20 Monza 35 18 17 0.7 1.8 2 9 24 25 63 15
12 1 Napoli 35 19 16 1.6 0.7 23 8 4 55 25 77
13 10 Como 35 19 16 1.3 1.4 12 9 14 45 48 45
14 4 Juventus 35 20 15 1.5 0.9 16 15 4 52 32 63
15 17 Lecce 35 20 15 0.7 1.6 6 9 20 24 57 27
16 19 Empoli 35 20 15 0.8 1.6 4 13 18 27 55 25
17 5 Roma 35 22 13 1.4 0.9 18 9 8 50 32 63
18 18 Venezia 35 22 13 0.8 1.4 4 14 17 28 49 26
19 13 Genoa 35 23 12 0.9 1.2 9 12 14 30 43 39
20 11 Torino 35 25 10 1.1 1.1 10 14 11 39 40 44
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Lazio 17 5 12 1.9 1.4 7 8 2 32 24 29
2 2 Inter 18 7 11 2.1 1.1 13 3 2 38 19 42
3 8 Fiorentina 18 7 11 1.6 0.9 11 4 3 29 16 37
4 16 Verona 17 6 11 0.8 2.0 4 3 10 13 34 15
5 14 Cagliari 18 8 10 1.2 1.6 5 4 9 21 28 19
6 15 Parma 18 8 10 1.4 1.6 5 5 8 25 28 20
7 5 Roma 18 9 9 1.9 0.8 12 2 4 34 14 38
8 1 Napoli 17 9 8 1.6 0.6 13 2 2 28 11 41
9 3 Atalanta 17 9 8 1.9 1.2 8 5 4 32 20 29
10 4 Juventus 18 10 8 1.6 0.8 10 7 1 29 15 37
11 7 Bologna 18 10 8 1.8 0.8 10 7 1 32 15 37
12 9 Milan 17 9 8 1.5 0.9 7 7 3 25 15 28
13 10 Como 17 9 8 1.5 1.4 7 5 5 25 23 26
14 12 Udinese 17 9 8 1.1 1.3 7 3 7 19 22 24
15 17 Lecce 18 10 8 0.7 1.7 3 6 9 12 31 15
16 20 Monza 18 10 8 0.7 1.6 1 5 12 12 28 8
17 13 Genoa 18 11 7 1.1 1.2 5 7 6 19 22 22
18 19 Empoli 17 12 5 0.4 1.4 1 7 9 7 23 10
19 18 Venezia 17 13 4 0.8 1.1 4 5 8 13 18 17
20 11 Torino 17 14 3 1.0 0.8 6 7 4 17 14 25
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Milan 18 5 13 1.7 1.3 9 2 7 30 24 29
2 3 Atalanta 18 8 10 2.2 0.6 12 3 3 39 11 39
3 6 Lazio 18 8 10 1.4 1.2 11 1 6 26 21 34
4 19 Empoli 18 8 10 1.1 1.8 3 6 9 20 32 15
5 2 Inter 17 8 9 2.1 0.8 9 5 3 35 14 32
6 7 Bologna 17 8 9 1.2 1.4 6 7 4 21 23 25
7 8 Fiorentina 17 8 9 1.4 1.1 6 4 7 24 19 22
8 12 Udinese 18 9 9 1.1 1.5 5 5 8 19 27 20
9 15 Parma 17 8 9 0.9 1.5 1 9 7 15 26 12
10 18 Venezia 18 9 9 0.8 1.7 0 9 9 15 31 9
11 20 Monza 17 8 9 0.8 2.1 1 4 12 13 35 7
12 1 Napoli 18 10 8 1.5 0.8 10 6 2 27 14 36
13 10 Como 18 10 8 1.1 1.4 5 4 9 20 25 19
14 4 Juventus 17 10 7 1.4 1.0 6 8 3 23 17 26
15 11 Torino 18 11 7 1.2 1.4 4 7 7 22 26 19
16 14 Cagliari 17 10 7 0.9 1.4 3 5 9 15 23 14
17 17 Lecce 17 10 7 0.7 1.5 3 3 11 12 26 12
18 16 Verona 18 12 6 0.9 1.6 5 2 11 17 29 17
19 13 Genoa 17 12 5 0.6 1.2 4 5 8 11 21 17
20 5 Roma 17 13 4 0.9 1.1 6 7 4 16 18 25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44