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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Lazio 4–0 Milan

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 3.20 fair 2.24
Draw 3.40 fair 4.01
Away 2.25 fair 3.28
Under 2.5 1.98 fair 2.13
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.92 fair 1.88

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Lazio Milan
10 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 4
14 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (189 league matches this season so far).
Result Lazio to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.78
Expected goals 1.56 – 1.24
Home / Draw / Away
LazioDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 1–0 9.5% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Lazio before this match, all matches
1.89points / match
1.72scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 31:15
Milan before this match, all matches
2.11points / match
1.94scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 35:20
Lazio all matches all matches Milan

Per match

1.72 Goals scored 1.94
0.83 Goals conceded 1.11
2.56 Total goals 3.06
11.00 Shots 16.11
4.33 Shots on target 5.39
12.11 Shots faced 11.44
4.56 Corners 4.56
4.94 Corners against 4.22
9.83 Fouls 12.50
2.22 Yellow cards 2.50
0.89 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.17 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

56% Wins 61%
22% Draws 28%
22% Losses 11%
89% Over 0.5 goals 89%
78% Over 1.5 goals 89%
56% Over 2.5 goals 72%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
39% Both teams scored 78%
56% Clean sheets 22%
17% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

61% Wins 39%
28% Draws 44%
11% Losses 17%
78% Over 0.5 goals 78%
22% Over 1.5 goals 44%
6% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lazio all matches
Milan all matches
Lazio before this match, at home
1.89points / match
1.78scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 16:9
Milan before this match, away
1.78points / match
1.44scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 13:9
Lazio at home away Milan

Per match

1.78 Goals scored 1.44
1.00 Goals conceded 1.00
2.78 Total goals 2.44
11.89 Shots 14.89
4.67 Shots on target 5.11
11.67 Shots faced 11.33
4.67 Corners 4.33
4.33 Corners against 4.78
9.56 Fouls 11.00
2.22 Yellow cards 2.11
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.22 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

56% Wins 44%
22% Draws 44%
22% Losses 11%
89% Over 0.5 goals 78%
78% Over 1.5 goals 78%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
44% Over 3.5 goals 22%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 78%
44% Clean sheets 22%
11% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 22%
44% Draws 44%
11% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
22% Over 1.5 goals 44%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lazio at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Lazio all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.01.23 Sassuolo – Lazio 0–2 (0–1) 3.203.502.20 1.80 2.00
08.01.23 Lazio – Empoli 2–2 (1–0) 1.534.206.00 1.73 2.10
04.01.23 Lecce – Lazio 2–1 (0–1) 3.603.302.05 2.30 1.62
13.11.22 Juventus – Lazio 3–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.05 1.85
10.11.22 Lazio – Monza 1–0 (0–0) 1.614.205.00 1.72 2.10
06.11.22 Roma – Lazio 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.503.80 1.95 1.95
30.10.22 Lazio – Salernitana 1–3 (1–0) 1.504.506.50 1.66 2.20
23.10.22 Atalanta – Lazio 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.504.00 1.72 2.10
16.10.22 Lazio – Udinese 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.25 1.66 2.20
10.10.22 Fiorentina – Lazio 0–4 (0–2) 2.403.502.80 1.91 1.99

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.23 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (2–0) 5.753.801.62 2.03 1.87
08.01.23 Milan – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 1.833.604.33 2.09 1.81
04.01.23 Salernitana – Milan 1–2 (0–2) 7.004.331.45 1.73 2.10
13.11.22 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 2.00
08.11.22 Cremonese – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.72 2.10
05.11.22 Milan – Spezia 2–1 (1–0) 1.226.0013.00 1.57 2.37
30.10.22 Torino – Milan 2–1 (2–0) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.72
22.10.22 Milan – Monza 4–1 (2–0) 1.405.007.50 1.66 2.20
16.10.22 Verona – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 6.004.001.57 1.80 2.00
08.10.22 Milan – Juventus 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.60 2.10 1.72

Lazio at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.01.23 Lazio – Empoli 2–2 (1–0) 1.534.206.00 1.73 2.10
10.11.22 Lazio – Monza 1–0 (0–0) 1.614.205.00 1.72 2.10
30.10.22 Lazio – Salernitana 1–3 (1–0) 1.504.506.50 1.66 2.20
16.10.22 Lazio – Udinese 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.25 1.66 2.20
02.10.22 Lazio – Spezia 4–0 (2–0) 1.405.007.50 1.61 2.30
11.09.22 Lazio – Verona 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.66 2.20
03.09.22 Lazio – Napoli 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.502.37 1.72 2.10
26.08.22 Lazio – Inter 3–1 (1–0) 4.003.801.83 1.66 2.20
14.08.22 Lazio – Bologna 2–1 (0–1) 1.574.335.75 1.66 2.20
21.05.22 Lazio – Verona 3–3 (2–2) 1.754.004.33 1.53 2.50

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.23 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (2–0) 5.753.801.62 2.03 1.87
04.01.23 Salernitana – Milan 1–2 (0–2) 7.004.331.45 1.73 2.10
08.11.22 Cremonese – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.72 2.10
30.10.22 Torino – Milan 2–1 (2–0) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.72
16.10.22 Verona – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 6.004.001.57 1.80 2.00
01.10.22 Empoli – Milan 1–3 (0–0) 5.504.001.60 1.86 2.04
10.09.22 Sampdoria – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 6.004.501.50 1.72 2.10
30.08.22 Sassuolo – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 5.254.331.57 1.53 2.50
21.08.22 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.502.50 1.72 2.10
22.05.22 Sassuolo – Milan 0–3 (0–3) 6.504.751.45 1.50 2.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Lazio winsDrawsMilan wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.04.22I1 Lazio – Milan 1–2 (1–0) 2.903.402.45 1.91 1.99
12.09.21I1 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.603.10 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 19 16 2 1 46 14 +32 50
2 Milan 18 11 5 2 35 20 +15 38
3 Juventus 19 11 5 3 30 15 +15 38
4 Inter 19 12 1 6 38 25 +13 37
5 Roma 19 11 4 4 25 16 +9 37
6 Atalanta 19 10 5 4 37 23 +14 35
7 Lazio 18 10 4 4 31 15 +16 34
8 Udinese 19 7 7 5 27 21 +6 28
9 Torino 19 7 5 7 19 20 -1 26
10 Empoli 19 6 7 6 17 22 -5 25
11 Fiorentina 19 6 5 8 21 25 -4 23
12 Bologna 19 6 5 8 24 30 -6 23
13 Monza 19 6 4 9 23 28 -5 22
14 Lecce 19 4 8 7 18 22 -4 20
15 Spezia 19 4 6 9 17 30 -13 18
16 Salernitana 19 4 6 9 23 37 -14 18
17 Sassuolo 19 4 5 10 18 29 -11 17
18 Verona 19 3 3 13 17 31 -14 12
19 Sampdoria 19 2 3 14 8 32 -24 9
20 Cremonese 19 0 8 11 14 33 -19 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 9 8 1 0 26 7 +19 25
2 Juventus 10 7 3 0 24 6 +18 24
3 Inter 10 8 0 2 21 5 +16 24
4 Milan 9 7 1 1 22 11 +11 22
5 Lazio 9 5 2 2 16 9 +7 17
6 Bologna 10 4 4 2 14 9 +5 16
7 Roma 9 5 1 3 10 5 +5 16
8 Fiorentina 10 4 3 3 14 15 -1 15
9 Atalanta 9 4 2 3 19 13 +6 14
10 Monza 10 4 2 4 14 11 +3 14
11 Empoli 9 4 2 3 8 8 0 14
12 Udinese 9 3 4 2 14 9 +5 13
13 Salernitana 10 3 3 4 14 13 +1 12
14 Torino 9 3 3 3 7 6 +1 12
15 Spezia 10 2 6 2 13 14 -1 12
16 Sassuolo 9 3 2 4 12 11 +1 11
17 Lecce 9 2 5 2 11 11 0 11
18 Verona 10 3 0 7 12 17 -5 9
19 Cremonese 9 0 3 6 4 15 -11 3
20 Sampdoria 10 0 2 8 2 16 -14 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 10 8 1 1 20 7 +13 25
2 Atalanta 10 6 3 1 18 10 +8 21
3 Roma 10 6 3 1 15 11 +4 21
4 Lazio 9 5 2 2 15 6 +9 17
5 Milan 9 4 4 1 13 9 +4 16
6 Udinese 10 4 3 3 13 12 +1 15
7 Torino 10 4 2 4 12 14 -2 14
8 Juventus 9 4 2 3 6 9 -3 14
9 Inter 9 4 1 4 17 20 -3 13
10 Empoli 10 2 5 3 9 14 -5 11
11 Lecce 10 2 3 5 7 11 -4 9
12 Fiorentina 9 2 2 5 7 10 -3 8
13 Monza 9 2 2 5 9 17 -8 8
14 Sampdoria 9 2 1 6 6 16 -10 7
15 Bologna 9 2 1 6 10 21 -11 7
16 Sassuolo 10 1 3 6 6 18 -12 6
17 Spezia 9 2 0 7 4 16 -12 6
18 Salernitana 9 1 3 5 9 24 -15 6
19 Cremonese 10 0 5 5 10 18 -8 5
20 Verona 9 0 3 6 5 14 -9 3

Lazio   Milan

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Milan 18 5 13 1.9 1.1 11 5 2 35 20 38
2 4 Inter 19 6 13 2.0 1.3 12 1 6 38 25 37
3 16 Salernitana 19 7 12 1.2 1.9 4 6 9 23 37 18
4 1 Napoli 19 8 11 2.4 0.7 16 2 1 46 14 50
5 12 Bologna 19 8 11 1.3 1.6 6 5 8 24 30 23
6 17 Sassuolo 19 8 11 0.9 1.5 4 5 10 18 29 17
7 6 Atalanta 19 9 10 1.9 1.2 10 5 4 37 23 35
8 7 Lazio 18 8 10 1.7 0.8 10 4 4 31 15 34
9 8 Udinese 19 9 10 1.4 1.1 7 7 5 27 21 28
10 13 Monza 19 9 10 1.2 1.5 6 4 9 23 28 22
11 15 Spezia 19 9 10 0.9 1.6 4 6 9 17 30 18
12 11 Fiorentina 19 11 8 1.1 1.3 6 5 8 21 25 23
13 18 Verona 19 11 8 0.9 1.6 3 3 13 17 31 12
14 20 Cremonese 19 11 8 0.7 1.7 0 8 11 14 33 8
15 3 Juventus 19 12 7 1.6 0.8 11 5 3 30 15 38
16 5 Roma 19 12 7 1.3 0.8 11 4 4 25 16 37
17 9 Torino 19 12 7 1.0 1.1 7 5 7 19 20 26
18 19 Sampdoria 19 12 7 0.4 1.7 2 3 14 8 32 9
19 14 Lecce 19 13 6 0.9 1.2 4 8 7 18 22 20
20 10 Empoli 19 14 5 0.9 1.2 6 7 6 17 22 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Milan 9 2 7 2.4 1.2 7 1 1 22 11 22
2 1 Napoli 9 3 6 2.9 0.8 8 1 0 26 7 25
3 3 Juventus 10 4 6 2.4 0.6 7 3 0 24 6 24
4 7 Lazio 9 3 6 1.8 1.0 5 2 2 16 9 17
5 15 Spezia 10 4 6 1.3 1.4 2 6 2 13 14 12
6 16 Salernitana 10 4 6 1.4 1.3 3 3 4 14 13 12
7 18 Verona 10 4 6 1.2 1.7 3 0 7 12 17 9
8 4 Inter 10 5 5 2.1 0.5 8 0 2 21 5 24
9 6 Atalanta 9 4 5 2.1 1.4 4 2 3 19 13 14
10 8 Udinese 9 4 5 1.6 1.0 3 4 2 14 9 13
11 11 Fiorentina 10 5 5 1.4 1.5 4 3 3 14 15 15
12 13 Monza 10 5 5 1.4 1.1 4 2 4 14 11 14
13 17 Sassuolo 9 4 5 1.3 1.2 3 2 4 12 11 11
14 12 Bologna 10 6 4 1.4 0.9 4 4 2 14 9 16
15 14 Lecce 9 5 4 1.2 1.2 2 5 2 11 11 11
16 20 Cremonese 9 5 4 0.4 1.7 0 3 6 4 15 3
17 5 Roma 9 7 2 1.1 0.6 5 1 3 10 5 16
18 10 Empoli 9 7 2 0.9 0.9 4 2 3 8 8 14
19 19 Sampdoria 10 8 2 0.2 1.6 0 2 8 2 16 2
20 9 Torino 9 8 1 0.8 0.7 3 3 3 7 6 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Inter 9 1 8 1.9 2.2 4 1 4 17 20 13
2 12 Bologna 9 2 7 1.1 2.3 2 1 6 10 21 7
3 2 Milan 9 3 6 1.4 1.0 4 4 1 13 9 16
4 9 Torino 10 4 6 1.2 1.4 4 2 4 12 14 14
5 16 Salernitana 9 3 6 1.0 2.7 1 3 5 9 24 6
6 17 Sassuolo 10 4 6 0.6 1.8 1 3 6 6 18 6
7 1 Napoli 10 5 5 2.0 0.7 8 1 1 20 7 25
8 5 Roma 10 5 5 1.5 1.1 6 3 1 15 11 21
9 6 Atalanta 10 5 5 1.8 1.0 6 3 1 18 10 21
10 8 Udinese 10 5 5 1.3 1.2 4 3 3 13 12 15
11 13 Monza 9 4 5 1.0 1.9 2 2 5 9 17 8
12 19 Sampdoria 9 4 5 0.7 1.8 2 1 6 6 16 7
13 7 Lazio 9 5 4 1.7 0.7 5 2 2 15 6 17
14 15 Spezia 9 5 4 0.4 1.8 2 0 7 4 16 6
15 20 Cremonese 10 6 4 1.0 1.8 0 5 5 10 18 5
16 10 Empoli 10 7 3 0.9 1.4 2 5 3 9 14 11
17 11 Fiorentina 9 6 3 0.8 1.1 2 2 5 7 10 8
18 14 Lecce 10 8 2 0.7 1.1 2 3 5 7 11 9
19 18 Verona 9 7 2 0.6 1.6 0 3 6 5 14 3
20 3 Juventus 9 8 1 0.7 1.0 4 2 3 6 9 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51