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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Inter 2–1 Fiorentina

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.48 fair 2.16
Draw 4.75 fair 4.25
Away 6.50 fair 3.32
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.46
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.68

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Inter Fiorentina
22 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 2
8 Corners 1
16 Fouls 15
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (238 league matches this season so far).
Result Inter to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.73 – 1.35
Home / Draw / Away
InterDrawFiorentina
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 9.3% 1–0 8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Inter before this match, all matches
2.22points / match
2.43scored / match
0.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 56:22
Fiorentina before this match, all matches
1.83points / match
1.74scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 40:23
Inter all matches all matches Fiorentina

Per match

2.43 Goals scored 1.74
0.96 Goals conceded 1.00
3.39 Total goals 2.74
15.26 Shots 12.35
5.70 Shots on target 4.78
9.13 Shots faced 11.61
6.22 Corners 4.39
3.30 Corners against 4.09
11.13 Fouls 11.61
1.39 Yellow cards 1.96
1.13 1st-half goals scored 0.91
0.39 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

65% Wins 52%
26% Draws 26%
9% Losses 22%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
87% Over 1.5 goals 74%
65% Over 2.5 goals 61%
48% Over 3.5 goals 26%
22% Over 4.5 goals 13%
9% Over 5.5 goals 9%
48% Both teams scored 57%
48% Clean sheets 35%
4% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

48% Wins 43%
48% Draws 30%
4% Losses 26%
65% Over 0.5 goals 78%
48% Over 1.5 goals 35%
22% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Inter all matches
Fiorentina all matches
Inter before this match, at home
2.18points / match
2.36scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 26:13
Fiorentina before this match, away
1.64points / match
1.64scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 18:10
Inter at home away Fiorentina

Per match

2.36 Goals scored 1.64
1.18 Goals conceded 0.91
3.55 Total goals 2.55
16.55 Shots 11.45
5.82 Shots on target 4.27
8.91 Shots faced 12.27
7.82 Corners 3.64
2.73 Corners against 3.91
11.36 Fouls 11.55
1.27 Yellow cards 2.09
1.18 1st-half goals scored 0.91
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

64% Wins 45%
27% Draws 27%
9% Losses 27%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
91% Over 1.5 goals 64%
64% Over 2.5 goals 45%
55% Over 3.5 goals 27%
18% Over 4.5 goals 18%
9% Over 5.5 goals 9%
64% Both teams scored 45%
36% Clean sheets 45%
0% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

55% Wins 36%
45% Draws 36%
0% Losses 27%
73% Over 0.5 goals 73%
55% Over 1.5 goals 36%
27% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Inter at home
Fiorentina away

Last 10 matches before this match

Inter all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.02.25 Fiorentina – Inter 3–0 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.80 2.00
02.02.25 Milan – Inter 1–1 (1–0) 4.003.501.91 1.80 2.00
26.01.25 Lecce – Inter 0–4 (0–2) 9.505.251.33 1.67 2.20
19.01.25 Inter – Empoli 3–1 (0–0) 1.255.7513.00 1.57 2.38
15.01.25 Inter – Bologna 2–2 (2–1) 1.484.207.00 1.73 2.10
12.01.25 Venezia – Inter 0–1 (0–1) 11.005.251.29 1.57 2.38
28.12.24 Cagliari – Inter 0–3 (0–0) 6.504.751.44 1.62 2.30
23.12.24 Inter – Como 2–0 (0–0) 1.206.5015.00 1.53 2.50
16.12.24 Lazio – Inter 0–6 (0–2) 3.603.402.10 1.99 1.91
06.12.24 Inter – Parma 3–1 (1–0) 1.187.0015.00 1.33 3.40

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.02.25 Fiorentina – Inter 3–0 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.80 2.00
02.02.25 Fiorentina – Genoa 2–1 (2–0) 1.653.905.25 2.00 1.80
26.01.25 Lazio – Fiorentina 1–2 (0–2) 2.003.503.80 2.04 1.86
19.01.25 Fiorentina – Torino 1–1 (1–0) 1.733.405.50 2.20 1.67
13.01.25 Monza – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 4.203.501.85 2.04 1.86
04.01.25 Fiorentina – Napoli 0–3 (0–1) 2.883.252.55 2.10 1.73
29.12.24 Juventus – Fiorentina 2–2 (1–1) 1.953.304.20 2.10 1.73
23.12.24 Fiorentina – Udinese 1–2 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 1.91 1.99
15.12.24 Bologna – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.75 2.10 1.73
08.12.24 Fiorentina – Cagliari 1–0 (1–0) 1.504.506.00 1.67 2.20

Inter at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.01.25 Inter – Empoli 3–1 (0–0) 1.255.7513.00 1.57 2.38
15.01.25 Inter – Bologna 2–2 (2–1) 1.484.207.00 1.73 2.10
23.12.24 Inter – Como 2–0 (0–0) 1.206.5015.00 1.53 2.50
06.12.24 Inter – Parma 3–1 (1–0) 1.187.0015.00 1.33 3.40
10.11.24 Inter – Napoli 1–1 (1–1) 1.853.704.10 1.90 2.00
03.11.24 Inter – Venezia 1–0 (0–0) 1.177.0015.00 1.44 2.75
27.10.24 Inter – Juventus 4–4 (3–2) 1.723.505.00 2.20 1.67
05.10.24 Inter – Torino 3–2 (2–1) 1.305.0011.00 1.67 2.20
22.09.24 Inter – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 1.654.005.25 1.67 2.20
30.08.24 Inter – Atalanta 4–0 (2–0) 1.574.335.50 1.62 2.30

Fiorentina away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.01.25 Lazio – Fiorentina 1–2 (0–2) 2.003.503.80 2.04 1.86
13.01.25 Monza – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 4.203.501.85 2.04 1.86
29.12.24 Juventus – Fiorentina 2–2 (1–1) 1.953.304.20 2.10 1.73
15.12.24 Bologna – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.75 2.10 1.73
24.11.24 Como – Fiorentina 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.102.30 2.10 1.73
03.11.24 Torino – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.302.25 2.10 1.73
31.10.24 Genoa – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.901.80 2.02 1.88
20.10.24 Lecce – Fiorentina 0–6 (0–3) 3.203.302.30 2.04 1.86
29.09.24 Empoli – Fiorentina 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 2.20 1.67
15.09.24 Atalanta – Fiorentina 3–2 (3–2) 1.803.604.50 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Inter winsDrawsFiorentina wins
7matches
3.14goals / match
57%over 2.5
43%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.02.25I1 Fiorentina – Inter 3–0 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.80 2.00
28.01.24I1 Fiorentina – Inter 0–1 (0–1) 4.203.601.85 1.97 1.93
03.09.23I1 Inter – Fiorentina 4–0 (1–0) 1.653.805.25 1.80 2.00
01.04.23I1 Inter – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–0) 1.753.804.50 1.80 2.00
22.10.22I1 Fiorentina – Inter 3–4 (1–2) 3.603.502.05 1.80 2.00
19.03.22I1 Inter – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.506.50 1.61 2.30
21.09.21I1 Fiorentina – Inter 1–3 (1–0) 3.753.601.90 1.72 2.10

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 24 17 4 3 39 17 +22 55
2 Inter 23 15 6 2 56 22 +34 51
3 Atalanta 24 15 5 4 54 26 +28 50
4 Lazio 24 14 3 7 45 32 +13 45
5 Juventus 24 10 13 1 41 21 +20 43
6 Fiorentina 23 12 6 5 40 23 +17 42
7 Milan 23 10 8 5 35 24 +11 38
8 Bologna 23 9 11 3 35 27 +8 38
9 Roma 24 9 7 8 35 29 +6 34
10 Udinese 24 8 6 10 29 37 -8 30
11 Torino 24 6 10 8 25 28 -3 28
12 Genoa 24 6 9 9 22 33 -11 27
13 Cagliari 24 6 6 12 26 39 -13 24
14 Lecce 24 6 6 12 18 41 -23 24
15 Verona 24 7 2 15 26 53 -27 23
16 Como 24 5 7 12 28 40 -12 22
17 Empoli 24 4 9 11 22 35 -13 21
18 Parma 24 4 8 12 30 44 -14 20
19 Venezia 24 3 7 14 22 39 -17 16
20 Monza 24 2 7 15 21 39 -18 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 12 9 1 2 18 8 +10 28
2 Inter 11 7 3 1 26 13 +13 24
3 Fiorentina 12 7 3 2 22 13 +9 24
4 Lazio 12 7 3 2 25 17 +8 24
5 Atalanta 11 7 2 2 29 16 +13 23
6 Roma 12 7 1 4 24 12 +12 22
7 Juventus 12 5 7 0 21 10 +11 22
8 Milan 12 5 6 1 19 9 +10 21
9 Bologna 11 5 5 1 17 9 +8 20
10 Udinese 12 5 2 5 15 17 -2 17
11 Como 12 4 3 5 19 20 -1 15
12 Cagliari 13 4 3 6 15 22 -7 15
13 Torino 12 3 5 4 10 11 -1 14
14 Lecce 12 3 5 4 9 21 -12 14
15 Venezia 12 3 3 6 12 15 -3 12
16 Parma 12 3 3 6 18 22 -4 12
17 Genoa 12 2 6 4 12 16 -4 12
18 Verona 12 3 1 8 11 30 -19 10
19 Empoli 12 1 5 6 5 14 -9 8
20 Monza 12 1 3 8 10 17 -7 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 12 8 3 1 30 9 +21 27
2 Atalanta 13 8 3 2 25 10 +15 27
3 Napoli 12 8 3 1 21 9 +12 27
4 Juventus 12 5 6 1 20 11 +9 21
5 Lazio 12 7 0 5 20 15 +5 21
6 Fiorentina 11 5 3 3 18 10 +8 18
7 Bologna 12 4 6 2 18 18 0 18
8 Milan 11 5 2 4 16 15 +1 17
9 Genoa 12 4 3 5 10 17 -7 15
10 Torino 12 3 5 4 15 17 -2 14
11 Empoli 12 3 4 5 17 21 -4 13
12 Udinese 12 3 4 5 14 20 -6 13
13 Verona 12 4 1 7 15 23 -8 13
14 Roma 12 2 6 4 11 17 -6 12
15 Lecce 12 3 1 8 9 20 -11 10
16 Cagliari 11 2 3 6 11 17 -6 9
17 Parma 12 1 5 6 12 22 -10 8
18 Monza 12 1 4 7 11 22 -11 7
19 Como 12 1 4 7 9 20 -11 7
20 Venezia 12 0 4 8 10 24 -14 4

Inter   Fiorentina

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Lazio 24 6 18 1.9 1.3 14 3 7 45 32 45
2 15 Verona 24 8 16 1.1 2.2 7 2 15 26 53 23
3 18 Parma 24 8 16 1.2 1.8 4 8 12 30 44 20
4 2 Inter 23 8 15 2.4 1.0 15 6 2 56 22 51
5 3 Atalanta 24 9 15 2.2 1.1 15 5 4 54 26 50
6 6 Fiorentina 23 9 14 1.7 1.0 12 6 5 40 23 42
7 10 Udinese 24 11 13 1.2 1.5 8 6 10 29 37 30
8 5 Juventus 24 12 12 1.7 0.9 10 13 1 41 21 43
9 7 Milan 23 11 12 1.5 1.0 10 8 5 35 24 38
10 8 Bologna 23 11 12 1.5 1.2 9 11 3 35 27 38
11 13 Cagliari 24 12 12 1.1 1.6 6 6 12 26 39 24
12 19 Venezia 24 12 12 0.9 1.6 3 7 14 22 39 16
13 20 Monza 24 12 12 0.9 1.6 2 7 15 21 39 13
14 1 Napoli 24 13 11 1.6 0.7 17 4 3 39 17 55
15 9 Roma 24 13 11 1.5 1.2 9 7 8 35 29 34
16 14 Lecce 24 13 11 0.8 1.7 6 6 12 18 41 24
17 16 Como 24 13 11 1.2 1.7 5 7 12 28 40 22
18 12 Genoa 24 14 10 0.9 1.4 6 9 9 22 33 27
19 17 Empoli 24 14 10 0.9 1.5 4 9 11 22 35 21
20 11 Torino 24 17 7 1.0 1.2 6 10 8 25 28 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Lazio 12 2 10 2.1 1.4 7 3 2 25 17 24
2 15 Verona 12 2 10 0.9 2.5 3 1 8 11 30 10
3 6 Fiorentina 12 3 9 1.8 1.1 7 3 2 22 13 24
4 3 Atalanta 11 3 8 2.6 1.5 7 2 2 29 16 23
5 18 Parma 12 4 8 1.5 1.8 3 3 6 18 22 12
6 2 Inter 11 4 7 2.4 1.2 7 3 1 26 13 24
7 9 Roma 12 5 7 2.0 1.0 7 1 4 24 12 22
8 13 Cagliari 13 6 7 1.2 1.7 4 3 6 15 22 15
9 16 Como 12 5 7 1.6 1.7 4 3 5 19 20 15
10 5 Juventus 12 6 6 1.8 0.8 5 7 0 21 10 22
11 10 Udinese 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 5 2 5 15 17 17
12 14 Lecce 12 6 6 0.8 1.8 3 5 4 9 21 14
13 20 Monza 12 6 6 0.8 1.4 1 3 8 10 17 6
14 1 Napoli 12 7 5 1.5 0.7 9 1 2 18 8 28
15 7 Milan 12 7 5 1.6 0.8 5 6 1 19 9 21
16 12 Genoa 12 7 5 1.0 1.3 2 6 4 12 16 12
17 8 Bologna 11 7 4 1.5 0.8 5 5 1 17 9 20
18 19 Venezia 12 8 4 1.0 1.2 3 3 6 12 15 12
19 17 Empoli 12 9 3 0.4 1.2 1 5 6 5 14 8
20 11 Torino 12 10 2 0.8 0.9 3 5 4 10 11 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Inter 12 4 8 2.5 0.8 8 3 1 30 9 27
2 4 Lazio 12 4 8 1.7 1.2 7 0 5 20 15 21
3 8 Bologna 12 4 8 1.5 1.5 4 6 2 18 18 18
4 18 Parma 12 4 8 1.0 1.8 1 5 6 12 22 8
5 19 Venezia 12 4 8 0.8 2.0 0 4 8 10 24 4
6 3 Atalanta 13 6 7 1.9 0.8 8 3 2 25 10 27
7 7 Milan 11 4 7 1.5 1.4 5 2 4 16 15 17
8 10 Udinese 12 5 7 1.2 1.7 3 4 5 14 20 13
9 17 Empoli 12 5 7 1.4 1.8 3 4 5 17 21 13
10 1 Napoli 12 6 6 1.8 0.8 8 3 1 21 9 27
11 5 Juventus 12 6 6 1.7 0.9 5 6 1 20 11 21
12 15 Verona 12 6 6 1.2 1.9 4 1 7 15 23 13
13 20 Monza 12 6 6 0.9 1.8 1 4 7 11 22 7
14 6 Fiorentina 11 6 5 1.6 0.9 5 3 3 18 10 18
15 11 Torino 12 7 5 1.2 1.4 3 5 4 15 17 14
16 12 Genoa 12 7 5 0.8 1.4 4 3 5 10 17 15
17 13 Cagliari 11 6 5 1.0 1.5 2 3 6 11 17 9
18 14 Lecce 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 3 1 8 9 20 10
19 9 Roma 12 8 4 0.9 1.4 2 6 4 11 17 12
20 16 Como 12 8 4 0.8 1.7 1 4 7 9 20 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40