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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Monza 2–1 Fiorentina

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 4.20 fair 3.82
Draw 3.50 fair 3.94
Away 1.85 fair 2.07
Under 2.5 1.86 fair 1.95
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.04 fair 2.06

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Monza Fiorentina
10 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 2
2 Corners 4
26 Fouls 9
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (194 league matches this season so far).
Result Fiorentina to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.93
Expected goals 1.07 – 1.55
Home / Draw / Away
MonzaDrawFiorentina
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 0–1 11.3% 1–2 9.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Monza before this match, all matches
0.53points / match
0.89scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 17:27
Fiorentina before this match, all matches
1.78points / match
1.72scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 31:18
Monza all matches all matches Fiorentina

Per match

0.89 Goals scored 1.72
1.42 Goals conceded 1.00
2.32 Total goals 2.72
9.21 Shots 12.72
2.79 Shots on target 4.83
13.16 Shots faced 11.17
3.79 Corners 4.67
4.89 Corners against 3.33
14.16 Fouls 11.22
2.68 Yellow cards 1.89
0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.89
0.84 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

5% Wins 50%
37% Draws 28%
58% Losses 22%
95% Over 0.5 goals 89%
79% Over 1.5 goals 67%
47% Over 2.5 goals 56%
11% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
63% Both teams scored 50%
11% Clean sheets 39%
32% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

11% Wins 39%
47% Draws 33%
42% Losses 28%
68% Over 0.5 goals 78%
37% Over 1.5 goals 33%
21% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Monza all matches
Fiorentina all matches
Monza before this match, at home
0.30points / match
0.80scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 8:15
Fiorentina before this match, away
1.67points / match
1.67scored / match
0.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 15:7
Monza at home away Fiorentina

Per match

0.80 Goals scored 1.67
1.50 Goals conceded 0.78
2.30 Total goals 2.44
11.00 Shots 12.00
2.70 Shots on target 4.67
13.40 Shots faced 11.44
3.90 Corners 3.78
4.10 Corners against 3.00
13.60 Fouls 11.78
2.40 Yellow cards 2.00
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.89
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

0% Wins 44%
30% Draws 33%
70% Losses 22%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
70% Over 1.5 goals 56%
50% Over 2.5 goals 33%
10% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 22%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
70% Both teams scored 33%
0% Clean sheets 56%
30% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 33%
50% Draws 44%
50% Losses 22%
80% Over 0.5 goals 67%
40% Over 1.5 goals 33%
20% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Monza at home
Fiorentina away

Last 10 matches before this match

Monza all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.01.25 Monza – Cagliari 1–2 (1–1) 2.403.253.00 2.03 1.87
28.12.24 Parma – Monza 2–1 (0–0) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.10
22.12.24 Monza – Juventus 1–2 (1–2) 6.253.501.65 2.30 1.62
15.12.24 Lecce – Monza 2–1 (2–1) 2.453.003.20 2.38 1.57
09.12.24 Monza – Udinese 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.002.88 2.38 1.57
30.11.24 Como – Monza 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.253.90 2.20 1.67
24.11.24 Torino – Monza 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.004.33 2.75 1.44
10.11.24 Monza – Lazio 0–1 (0–1) 4.103.801.83 2.10 1.73
02.11.24 Monza – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 5.003.601.70 1.90 2.00
30.10.24 Atalanta – Monza 2–0 (0–0) 1.305.0010.00 1.62 2.30

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.25 Fiorentina – Napoli 0–3 (0–1) 2.883.252.55 2.10 1.73
29.12.24 Juventus – Fiorentina 2–2 (1–1) 1.953.304.20 2.10 1.73
23.12.24 Fiorentina – Udinese 1–2 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 1.91 1.99
15.12.24 Bologna – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.75 2.10 1.73
08.12.24 Fiorentina – Cagliari 1–0 (1–0) 1.504.506.00 1.67 2.20
24.11.24 Como – Fiorentina 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.102.30 2.10 1.73
10.11.24 Fiorentina – Verona 3–1 (1–1) 1.444.507.00 1.80 2.00
03.11.24 Torino – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.302.25 2.10 1.73
31.10.24 Genoa – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.901.80 2.02 1.88
27.10.24 Fiorentina – Roma 5–1 (3–1) 2.553.402.75 2.07 1.83

Monza at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.01.25 Monza – Cagliari 1–2 (1–1) 2.403.253.00 2.03 1.87
22.12.24 Monza – Juventus 1–2 (1–2) 6.253.501.65 2.30 1.62
09.12.24 Monza – Udinese 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.002.88 2.38 1.57
10.11.24 Monza – Lazio 0–1 (0–1) 4.103.801.83 2.10 1.73
02.11.24 Monza – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 5.003.601.70 1.90 2.00
27.10.24 Monza – Venezia 2–2 (2–2) 2.153.253.60 2.20 1.67
06.10.24 Monza – Roma 1–1 (0–0) 4.203.401.91 2.10 1.73
22.09.24 Monza – Bologna 1–2 (1–1) 3.303.102.40 2.30 1.62
15.09.24 Monza – Inter 1–1 (0–0) 8.004.751.40 1.67 2.20
24.08.24 Monza – Genoa 0–1 (0–1) 2.603.102.88 2.30 1.62

Fiorentina away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.24 Juventus – Fiorentina 2–2 (1–1) 1.953.304.20 2.10 1.73
15.12.24 Bologna – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.75 2.10 1.73
24.11.24 Como – Fiorentina 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.102.30 2.10 1.73
03.11.24 Torino – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.302.25 2.10 1.73
31.10.24 Genoa – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.901.80 2.02 1.88
20.10.24 Lecce – Fiorentina 0–6 (0–3) 3.203.302.30 2.04 1.86
29.09.24 Empoli – Fiorentina 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 2.20 1.67
15.09.24 Atalanta – Fiorentina 3–2 (3–2) 1.803.604.50 1.73 2.10
17.08.24 Parma – Fiorentina 1–1 (1–0) 3.503.202.20 1.90 2.00
02.06.24 Atalanta – Fiorentina 2–3 (2–3) 1.484.756.00 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Monza winsDrawsFiorentina wins
5matches
3.00goals / match
60%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.09.24I1 Fiorentina – Monza 2–2 (1–2) 1.673.905.00 2.04 1.86
13.05.24I1 Fiorentina – Monza 2–1 (1–1) 1.554.205.75 1.73 2.10
22.12.23I1 Monza – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–1) 2.883.202.55 2.10 1.70
23.04.23I1 Monza – Fiorentina 3–2 (2–2) 3.703.402.05 2.00 1.80
04.01.23I1 Fiorentina – Monza 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.804.75 1.91 1.99

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 20 15 2 3 32 12 +20 47
2 Inter 18 13 4 1 46 15 +31 43
3 Atalanta 19 13 3 3 43 20 +23 42
4 Lazio 20 11 3 6 34 28 +6 36
5 Juventus 19 7 12 0 31 16 +15 33
6 Fiorentina 18 9 5 4 31 18 +13 32
7 Bologna 18 7 8 3 27 23 +4 29
8 Milan 18 7 7 4 27 18 +9 28
9 Udinese 20 7 5 8 23 28 -5 26
10 Roma 20 6 6 8 28 26 +2 24
11 Genoa 20 5 8 7 17 27 -10 23
12 Torino 20 5 7 8 20 25 -5 22
13 Empoli 20 4 8 8 19 25 -6 20
14 Lecce 20 5 5 10 14 32 -18 20
15 Parma 20 4 7 9 25 35 -10 19
16 Como 19 4 7 8 21 31 -10 19
17 Verona 20 6 1 13 24 44 -20 19
18 Cagliari 20 4 6 10 19 33 -14 18
19 Venezia 20 3 5 12 18 33 -15 14
20 Monza 19 1 7 11 17 27 -10 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 10 8 0 2 15 6 +9 24
2 Atalanta 8 7 0 1 25 11 +14 21
3 Lazio 10 6 3 1 19 14 +5 21
4 Inter 9 6 2 1 21 10 +11 20
5 Roma 10 6 0 4 20 10 +10 18
6 Milan 10 4 5 1 15 6 +9 17
7 Fiorentina 9 5 2 2 16 11 +5 17
8 Juventus 10 3 7 0 15 9 +6 16
9 Bologna 9 3 5 1 12 8 +4 14
10 Udinese 10 4 2 4 11 13 -2 14
11 Lecce 10 3 4 3 9 17 -8 13
12 Como 8 3 3 2 12 13 -1 12
13 Parma 10 3 2 5 16 18 -2 11
14 Venezia 10 3 2 5 11 13 -2 11
15 Torino 10 2 4 4 7 10 -3 10
16 Verona 10 3 1 6 11 22 -11 10
17 Genoa 11 1 6 4 10 16 -6 9
18 Cagliari 10 2 3 5 8 18 -10 9
19 Empoli 10 1 4 5 4 11 -7 7
20 Monza 10 0 3 7 8 15 -7 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 9 7 2 0 25 5 +20 23
2 Napoli 10 7 2 1 17 6 +11 23
3 Atalanta 11 6 3 2 18 9 +9 21
4 Juventus 9 4 5 0 16 7 +9 17
5 Fiorentina 9 4 3 2 15 7 +8 15
6 Lazio 10 5 0 5 15 14 +1 15
7 Bologna 9 4 3 2 15 15 0 15
8 Genoa 9 4 2 3 7 11 -4 14
9 Empoli 10 3 4 3 15 14 +1 13
10 Torino 10 3 3 4 13 15 -2 12
11 Udinese 10 3 3 4 12 15 -3 12
12 Milan 8 3 2 3 12 12 0 11
13 Cagliari 10 2 3 5 11 15 -4 9
14 Verona 10 3 0 7 13 22 -9 9
15 Parma 10 1 5 4 9 17 -8 8
16 Monza 9 1 4 4 9 12 -3 7
17 Como 11 1 4 6 9 18 -9 7
18 Lecce 10 2 1 7 5 15 -10 7
19 Roma 10 0 6 4 8 16 -8 6
20 Venezia 10 0 3 7 7 20 -13 3

Monza   Fiorentina

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Lazio 20 6 14 1.7 1.4 11 3 6 34 28 36
2 17 Verona 20 6 14 1.2 2.2 6 1 13 24 44 19
3 15 Parma 20 7 13 1.2 1.8 4 7 9 25 35 19
4 3 Atalanta 19 7 12 2.3 1.1 13 3 3 43 20 42
5 2 Inter 18 7 11 2.6 0.8 13 4 1 46 15 43
6 19 Venezia 20 9 11 0.9 1.6 3 5 12 18 33 14
7 6 Fiorentina 18 8 10 1.7 1.0 9 5 4 31 18 32
8 7 Bologna 18 8 10 1.5 1.3 7 8 3 27 23 29
9 8 Milan 18 8 10 1.5 1.0 7 7 4 27 18 28
10 9 Udinese 20 10 10 1.1 1.4 7 5 8 23 28 26
11 1 Napoli 20 11 9 1.6 0.6 15 2 3 32 12 47
12 5 Juventus 19 10 9 1.6 0.8 7 12 0 31 16 33
13 10 Roma 20 11 9 1.4 1.3 6 6 8 28 26 24
14 18 Cagliari 20 11 9 0.9 1.6 4 6 10 19 33 18
15 20 Monza 19 10 9 0.9 1.4 1 7 11 17 27 10
16 11 Genoa 20 12 8 0.8 1.4 5 8 7 17 27 23
17 13 Empoli 20 12 8 0.9 1.2 4 8 8 19 25 20
18 14 Lecce 20 12 8 0.7 1.6 5 5 10 14 32 20
19 12 Torino 20 13 7 1.0 1.2 5 7 8 20 25 22
20 16 Como 19 12 7 1.1 1.6 4 7 8 21 31 19
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Lazio 10 2 8 1.9 1.4 6 3 1 19 14 21
2 17 Verona 10 2 8 1.1 2.2 3 1 6 11 22 10
3 3 Atalanta 8 1 7 3.1 1.4 7 0 1 25 11 21
4 6 Fiorentina 9 2 7 1.8 1.2 5 2 2 16 11 17
5 15 Parma 10 3 7 1.6 1.8 3 2 5 16 18 11
6 10 Roma 10 4 6 2.0 1.0 6 0 4 20 10 18
7 2 Inter 9 4 5 2.3 1.1 6 2 1 21 10 20
8 5 Juventus 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 3 7 0 15 9 16
9 11 Genoa 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 1 6 4 10 16 9
10 14 Lecce 10 5 5 0.9 1.7 3 4 3 9 17 13
11 20 Monza 10 5 5 0.8 1.5 0 3 7 8 15 3
12 1 Napoli 10 6 4 1.5 0.6 8 0 2 15 6 24
13 8 Milan 10 6 4 1.5 0.6 4 5 1 15 6 17
14 9 Udinese 10 6 4 1.1 1.3 4 2 4 11 13 14
15 18 Cagliari 10 6 4 0.8 1.8 2 3 5 8 18 9
16 19 Venezia 10 6 4 1.1 1.3 3 2 5 11 13 11
17 7 Bologna 9 6 3 1.3 0.9 3 5 1 12 8 14
18 13 Empoli 10 7 3 0.4 1.1 1 4 5 4 11 7
19 16 Como 8 5 3 1.5 1.6 3 3 2 12 13 12
20 12 Torino 10 8 2 0.7 1.0 2 4 4 7 10 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Bologna 9 2 7 1.7 1.7 4 3 2 15 15 15
2 19 Venezia 10 3 7 0.7 2.0 0 3 7 7 20 3
3 2 Inter 9 3 6 2.8 0.6 7 2 0 25 5 23
4 4 Lazio 10 4 6 1.5 1.4 5 0 5 15 14 15
5 8 Milan 8 2 6 1.5 1.5 3 2 3 12 12 11
6 9 Udinese 10 4 6 1.2 1.5 3 3 4 12 15 12
7 15 Parma 10 4 6 0.9 1.7 1 5 4 9 17 8
8 17 Verona 10 4 6 1.3 2.2 3 0 7 13 22 9
9 1 Napoli 10 5 5 1.7 0.6 7 2 1 17 6 23
10 3 Atalanta 11 6 5 1.6 0.8 6 3 2 18 9 21
11 12 Torino 10 5 5 1.3 1.5 3 3 4 13 15 12
12 13 Empoli 10 5 5 1.5 1.4 3 4 3 15 14 13
13 18 Cagliari 10 5 5 1.1 1.5 2 3 5 11 15 9
14 5 Juventus 9 5 4 1.8 0.8 4 5 0 16 7 17
15 16 Como 11 7 4 0.8 1.6 1 4 6 9 18 7
16 20 Monza 9 5 4 1.0 1.3 1 4 4 9 12 7
17 6 Fiorentina 9 6 3 1.7 0.8 4 3 2 15 7 15
18 10 Roma 10 7 3 0.8 1.6 0 6 4 8 16 6
19 11 Genoa 9 6 3 0.8 1.2 4 2 3 7 11 14
20 14 Lecce 10 7 3 0.5 1.5 2 1 7 5 15 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51