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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Fiorentina 1–0 Cagliari

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.50 fair 1.75
Draw 4.50 fair 4.55
Away 6.00 fair 4.82
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.37
Over 2.5 1.67 fair 1.73

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Fiorentina Cagliari
8 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 1
6 Corners 4
9 Fouls 20
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (143 league matches this season so far).
Result Fiorentina to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.78
Expected goals 1.93 – 1.07
Home / Draw / Away
FiorentinaDrawCagliari
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.3% 2–1 9.9% 1–0 9.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Fiorentina before this match, all matches
2.15points / match
2.08scored / match
0.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 27:10
Cagliari before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.07scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 15:24
Fiorentina all matches all matches Cagliari

Per match

2.08 Goals scored 1.07
0.77 Goals conceded 1.71
2.85 Total goals 2.79
13.23 Shots 13.86
5.46 Shots on target 3.36
10.85 Shots faced 14.86
4.54 Corners 6.21
3.38 Corners against 4.64
11.31 Fouls 12.79
2.00 Yellow cards 2.14
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.79

How often Full Time

62% Wins 21%
31% Draws 36%
8% Losses 43%
85% Over 0.5 goals 93%
69% Over 1.5 goals 79%
54% Over 2.5 goals 43%
38% Over 3.5 goals 36%
23% Over 4.5 goals 21%
15% Over 5.5 goals 7%
54% Both teams scored 50%
46% Clean sheets 14%
15% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 14%
31% Draws 36%
31% Losses 50%
77% Over 0.5 goals 86%
38% Over 1.5 goals 29%
31% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina all matches
Cagliari all matches
Fiorentina before this match, at home
2.33points / match
2.33scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 14:6
Cagliari before this match, away
0.83points / match
1.17scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 7:10
Fiorentina at home away Cagliari

Per match

2.33 Goals scored 1.17
1.00 Goals conceded 1.67
3.33 Total goals 2.83
14.17 Shots 11.17
6.17 Shots on target 2.50
11.50 Shots faced 18.17
5.00 Corners 5.17
4.17 Corners against 5.00
10.00 Fouls 12.00
1.83 Yellow cards 3.33
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.83 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

67% Wins 17%
33% Draws 33%
0% Losses 50%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 83%
83% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 33%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
17% Over 5.5 goals 0%
83% Both teams scored 67%
17% Clean sheets 0%
17% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 17%
33% Draws 33%
33% Losses 50%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 33%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina at home
Cagliari away

Last 10 matches before this match

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.11.24 Como – Fiorentina 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.102.30 2.10 1.73
10.11.24 Fiorentina – Verona 3–1 (1–1) 1.444.507.00 1.80 2.00
03.11.24 Torino – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.302.25 2.10 1.73
31.10.24 Genoa – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.901.80 2.02 1.88
27.10.24 Fiorentina – Roma 5–1 (3–1) 2.553.402.75 2.07 1.83
20.10.24 Lecce – Fiorentina 0–6 (0–3) 3.203.302.30 2.04 1.86
06.10.24 Fiorentina – Milan 2–1 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.73 2.10
29.09.24 Empoli – Fiorentina 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 2.20 1.67
22.09.24 Fiorentina – Lazio 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 2.06 1.84
15.09.24 Atalanta – Fiorentina 3–2 (3–2) 1.803.604.50 1.73 2.10

Cagliari all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.24 Cagliari – Verona 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.10 1.89 2.01
24.11.24 Genoa – Cagliari 2–2 (1–1) 2.633.102.90 2.20 1.67
09.11.24 Cagliari – Milan 3–3 (1–2) 5.504.101.60 1.67 2.20
04.11.24 Lazio – Cagliari 2–1 (1–1) 1.503.757.50 1.84 2.06
29.10.24 Cagliari – Bologna 0–2 (0–1) 3.003.252.35 2.10 1.73
25.10.24 Udinese – Cagliari 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.303.30 2.10 1.73
20.10.24 Cagliari – Torino 3–2 (1–1) 2.803.102.70 2.10 1.73
06.10.24 Juventus – Cagliari 1–1 (1–0) 1.385.008.00 1.99 1.91
30.09.24 Parma – Cagliari 2–3 (0–1) 2.103.603.40 1.73 2.10
20.09.24 Cagliari – Empoli 0–2 (0–1) 2.153.403.40 2.20 1.67

Fiorentina at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.11.24 Fiorentina – Verona 3–1 (1–1) 1.444.507.00 1.80 2.00
27.10.24 Fiorentina – Roma 5–1 (3–1) 2.553.402.75 2.07 1.83
06.10.24 Fiorentina – Milan 2–1 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.73 2.10
22.09.24 Fiorentina – Lazio 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 2.06 1.84
01.09.24 Fiorentina – Monza 2–2 (1–2) 1.673.905.00 2.04 1.86
25.08.24 Fiorentina – Venezia 0–0 (0–0) 1.424.757.00 1.88 2.02
17.05.24 Fiorentina – Napoli 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.403.10 1.73 2.10
13.05.24 Fiorentina – Monza 2–1 (1–1) 1.554.205.75 1.73 2.10
28.04.24 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 5–1 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.73 2.10
15.04.24 Fiorentina – Genoa 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.504.33 2.10 1.73

Cagliari away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.11.24 Genoa – Cagliari 2–2 (1–1) 2.633.102.90 2.20 1.67
04.11.24 Lazio – Cagliari 2–1 (1–1) 1.503.757.50 1.84 2.06
25.10.24 Udinese – Cagliari 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.303.30 2.10 1.73
06.10.24 Juventus – Cagliari 1–1 (1–0) 1.385.008.00 1.99 1.91
30.09.24 Parma – Cagliari 2–3 (0–1) 2.103.603.40 1.73 2.10
31.08.24 Lecce – Cagliari 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.40 2.30 1.62
19.05.24 Sassuolo – Cagliari 0–2 (0–0) 2.353.303.10 1.84 2.06
11.05.24 Milan – Cagliari 5–1 (1–0) 1.405.256.50 1.57 2.38
29.04.24 Genoa – Cagliari 3–0 (2–0) 2.253.103.50 2.30 1.62
14.04.24 Inter – Cagliari 2–2 (1–0) 1.188.0012.00 1.44 2.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Fiorentina winsDrawsCagliari wins
4matches
3.25goals / match
75%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.05.24I1 Cagliari – Fiorentina 2–3 (0–1) 4.203.751.80 1.73 2.10
02.10.23I1 Fiorentina – Cagliari 3–0 (2–0) 1.504.207.00 1.88 2.02
23.01.22I1 Cagliari – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–0) 5.254.101.61 1.80 2.00
24.10.21I1 Fiorentina – Cagliari 3–0 (2–0) 1.654.005.25 1.72 2.10

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Atalanta 15 11 1 3 38 17 +21 34
2 Napoli 14 10 2 2 21 9 +12 32
3 Inter 14 9 4 1 34 15 +19 31
4 Fiorentina 13 8 4 1 27 10 +17 28
5 Lazio 14 9 1 4 29 17 +12 28
6 Juventus 15 6 9 0 24 10 +14 27
7 Milan 14 6 4 4 24 16 +8 22
8 Bologna 14 5 7 2 20 18 +2 22
9 Udinese 14 5 2 7 16 21 -5 17
10 Roma 15 4 4 7 18 21 -3 16
11 Torino 15 4 4 7 16 20 -4 16
12 Empoli 14 3 7 4 10 14 -4 16
13 Parma 15 3 6 6 21 25 -4 15
14 Genoa 15 3 6 6 13 24 -11 15
15 Cagliari 14 3 5 6 15 24 -9 14
16 Lecce 15 3 4 8 8 26 -18 13
17 Verona 14 4 0 10 17 33 -16 12
18 Como 14 2 5 7 14 26 -12 11
19 Monza 14 1 7 6 12 17 -5 10
20 Venezia 14 2 2 10 11 25 -14 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lazio 7 6 1 0 17 6 +11 19
2 Atalanta 7 6 0 1 22 9 +13 18
3 Napoli 7 6 0 1 12 5 +7 18
4 Inter 8 5 2 1 19 10 +9 17
5 Milan 7 4 2 1 13 4 +9 14
6 Fiorentina 6 4 2 0 14 6 +8 14
7 Juventus 8 3 5 0 11 5 +6 14
8 Roma 8 4 0 4 13 10 +3 12
9 Udinese 7 4 0 3 8 8 0 12
10 Bologna 6 2 4 0 7 3 +4 10
11 Cagliari 8 2 3 3 8 14 -6 9
12 Verona 7 3 0 4 10 17 -7 9
13 Lecce 7 2 3 2 6 14 -8 9
14 Torino 7 2 2 3 6 7 -1 8
15 Parma 8 2 2 4 12 14 -2 8
16 Empoli 7 1 4 2 2 5 -3 7
17 Venezia 6 2 0 4 6 8 -2 6
18 Como 6 1 3 2 8 13 -5 6
19 Genoa 9 0 6 3 8 14 -6 6
20 Monza 7 0 3 4 5 9 -4 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Atalanta 8 5 1 2 16 8 +8 16
2 Inter 6 4 2 0 15 5 +10 14
3 Fiorentina 7 4 2 1 13 4 +9 14
4 Napoli 7 4 2 1 9 4 +5 14
5 Juventus 7 3 4 0 13 5 +8 13
6 Bologna 8 3 3 2 13 15 -2 12
7 Lazio 7 3 0 4 12 11 +1 9
8 Empoli 7 2 3 2 8 9 -1 9
9 Genoa 6 3 0 3 5 10 -5 9
10 Milan 7 2 2 3 11 12 -1 8
11 Torino 8 2 2 4 10 13 -3 8
12 Monza 7 1 4 2 7 8 -1 7
13 Parma 7 1 4 2 9 11 -2 7
14 Cagliari 6 1 2 3 7 10 -3 5
15 Udinese 7 1 2 4 8 13 -5 5
16 Como 8 1 2 5 6 13 -7 5
17 Roma 7 0 4 3 5 11 -6 4
18 Lecce 8 1 1 6 2 12 -10 4
19 Verona 7 1 0 6 7 16 -9 3
20 Venezia 8 0 2 6 5 17 -12 2

Fiorentina   Cagliari

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Lazio 14 2 12 2.1 1.2 9 1 4 29 17 28
2 1 Atalanta 15 4 11 2.5 1.1 11 1 3 38 17 34
3 17 Verona 14 3 11 1.2 2.4 4 0 10 17 33 12
4 7 Milan 14 4 10 1.7 1.1 6 4 4 24 16 22
5 13 Parma 15 5 10 1.4 1.7 3 6 6 21 25 15
6 3 Inter 14 5 9 2.4 1.1 9 4 1 34 15 31
7 8 Bologna 14 6 8 1.4 1.3 5 7 2 20 18 22
8 20 Venezia 14 6 8 0.8 1.8 2 2 10 11 25 8
9 4 Fiorentina 13 6 7 2.1 0.8 8 4 1 27 10 28
10 10 Roma 15 8 7 1.2 1.4 4 4 7 18 21 16
11 2 Napoli 14 8 6 1.5 0.6 10 2 2 21 9 32
12 6 Juventus 15 9 6 1.6 0.7 6 9 0 24 10 27
13 9 Udinese 14 8 6 1.1 1.5 5 2 7 16 21 17
14 11 Torino 15 9 6 1.1 1.3 4 4 7 16 20 16
15 14 Genoa 15 9 6 0.9 1.6 3 6 6 13 24 15
16 15 Cagliari 14 8 6 1.1 1.7 3 5 6 15 24 14
17 18 Como 14 8 6 1.0 1.9 2 5 7 14 26 11
18 16 Lecce 15 10 5 0.5 1.7 3 4 8 8 26 13
19 12 Empoli 14 10 4 0.7 1.0 3 7 4 10 14 16
20 19 Monza 14 10 4 0.9 1.2 1 7 6 12 17 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Lazio 7 0 7 2.4 0.9 6 1 0 17 6 19
2 17 Verona 7 0 7 1.4 2.4 3 0 4 10 17 9
3 1 Atalanta 7 1 6 3.1 1.3 6 0 1 22 9 18
4 3 Inter 8 3 5 2.4 1.2 5 2 1 19 10 17
5 4 Fiorentina 6 1 5 2.3 1.0 4 2 0 14 6 14
6 10 Roma 8 3 5 1.6 1.2 4 0 4 13 10 12
7 13 Parma 8 3 5 1.5 1.8 2 2 4 12 14 8
8 2 Napoli 7 3 4 1.7 0.7 6 0 1 12 5 18
9 7 Milan 7 3 4 1.9 0.6 4 2 1 13 4 14
10 14 Genoa 9 5 4 0.9 1.6 0 6 3 8 14 6
11 6 Juventus 8 5 3 1.4 0.6 3 5 0 11 5 14
12 15 Cagliari 8 5 3 1.0 1.8 2 3 3 8 14 9
13 16 Lecce 7 4 3 0.9 2.0 2 3 2 6 14 9
14 18 Como 6 3 3 1.3 2.2 1 3 2 8 13 6
15 9 Udinese 7 5 2 1.1 1.1 4 0 3 8 8 12
16 11 Torino 7 5 2 0.9 1.0 2 2 3 6 7 8
17 19 Monza 7 5 2 0.7 1.3 0 3 4 5 9 3
18 20 Venezia 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 2 0 4 6 8 6
19 8 Bologna 6 5 1 1.2 0.5 2 4 0 7 3 10
20 12 Empoli 7 6 1 0.3 0.7 1 4 2 2 5 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Bologna 8 1 7 1.6 1.9 3 3 2 13 15 12
2 7 Milan 7 1 6 1.6 1.7 2 2 3 11 12 8
3 20 Venezia 8 2 6 0.6 2.1 0 2 6 5 17 2
4 1 Atalanta 8 3 5 2.0 1.0 5 1 2 16 8 16
5 5 Lazio 7 2 5 1.7 1.6 3 0 4 12 11 9
6 13 Parma 7 2 5 1.3 1.6 1 4 2 9 11 7
7 3 Inter 6 2 4 2.5 0.8 4 2 0 15 5 14
8 9 Udinese 7 3 4 1.1 1.9 1 2 4 8 13 5
9 11 Torino 8 4 4 1.2 1.6 2 2 4 10 13 8
10 17 Verona 7 3 4 1.0 2.3 1 0 6 7 16 3
11 6 Juventus 7 4 3 1.9 0.7 3 4 0 13 5 13
12 12 Empoli 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 2 3 2 8 9 9
13 15 Cagliari 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 1 2 3 7 10 5
14 18 Como 8 5 3 0.8 1.6 1 2 5 6 13 5
15 2 Napoli 7 5 2 1.3 0.6 4 2 1 9 4 14
16 4 Fiorentina 7 5 2 1.9 0.6 4 2 1 13 4 14
17 10 Roma 7 5 2 0.7 1.6 0 4 3 5 11 4
18 14 Genoa 6 4 2 0.8 1.7 3 0 3 5 10 9
19 16 Lecce 8 6 2 0.2 1.5 1 1 6 2 12 4
20 19 Monza 7 5 2 1.0 1.1 1 4 2 7 8 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44