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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Mainz 0–1 Freiburg

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.25 fair 2.25
Draw 3.10 fair 4.16
Away ✓ 3.50 fair 3.17
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 2.36
Over 2.5 1.88 fair 1.74

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Mainz Freiburg
10 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 4
10 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (260 league matches this season so far).
Result Mainz to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.67
Expected goals 1.65 – 1.35
Home / Draw / Away
MainzDrawFreiburg
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 2–1 9.1% 1–0 8.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Mainz before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
1.25scored / match
1.54conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 35:43
Freiburg before this match, all matches
1.32points / match
1.46scored / match
1.68conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 41:47
Mainz all matches all matches Freiburg

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.46
1.54 Goals conceded 1.68
2.79 Total goals 3.14
11.32 Shots 12.75
3.75 Shots on target 4.32
14.68 Shots faced 13.93
4.96 Corners 4.46
4.54 Corners against 4.14
11.07 Fouls 9.25
2.21 Yellow cards 1.64
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

29% Wins 36%
32% Draws 25%
39% Losses 39%
96% Over 0.5 goals 93%
82% Over 1.5 goals 82%
54% Over 2.5 goals 64%
32% Over 3.5 goals 36%
7% Over 4.5 goals 18%
4% Over 5.5 goals 11%
61% Both teams scored 61%
11% Clean sheets 18%
32% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 25%
36% Draws 50%
32% Losses 25%
82% Over 0.5 goals 64%
39% Over 1.5 goals 29%
7% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz all matches
Freiburg all matches
Mainz before this match, at home
1.21points / match
1.21scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 17:17
Freiburg before this match, away
0.86points / match
1.07scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 15:28
Mainz at home away Freiburg

Per match

1.21 Goals scored 1.07
1.21 Goals conceded 2.00
2.43 Total goals 3.07
13.29 Shots 11.00
4.00 Shots on target 3.29
12.64 Shots faced 16.00
6.29 Corners 3.93
3.43 Corners against 4.64
11.86 Fouls 9.71
1.86 Yellow cards 1.43
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

29% Wins 21%
36% Draws 21%
36% Losses 57%
93% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 79%
36% Over 2.5 goals 57%
21% Over 3.5 goals 29%
7% Over 4.5 goals 21%
7% Over 5.5 goals 14%
57% Both teams scored 43%
14% Clean sheets 21%
36% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 14%
29% Draws 64%
36% Losses 21%
79% Over 0.5 goals 50%
21% Over 1.5 goals 14%
7% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz at home
Freiburg away

Last 10 matches before this match

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.26 Hoffenheim – Mainz 1–2 (1–1) 1.704.004.75 1.57 2.38
22.03.26 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.703.25 1.73 2.10
15.03.26 Werder Bremen – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.73 2.10
07.03.26 Mainz – Stuttgart 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.602.15 1.62 2.30
28.02.26 Leverkusen – Mainz 1–1 (0–0) 1.704.004.50 1.67 2.20
20.02.26 Mainz – Hamburg 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.50 1.80 2.00
13.02.26 Dortmund – Mainz 4–0 (3–0) 1.534.505.50 1.53 2.50
07.02.26 Mainz – Augsburg 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.603.50 1.80 2.00
31.01.26 RB Leipzig – Mainz 1–2 (1–1) 1.554.505.50 1.53 2.50
24.01.26 Mainz – Wolfsburg 3–1 (0–1) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.10

Freiburg all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.26 Freiburg – Bayern Munich 2–3 (0–0) 6.505.501.40 1.36 3.20
22.03.26 St Pauli – Freiburg 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.102.80 2.30 1.62
15.03.26 Freiburg – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.73
07.03.26 Freiburg – Leverkusen 3–3 (2–2) 2.903.302.40 1.91 1.91
01.03.26 Ein Frankfurt – Freiburg 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 1.80 2.00
22.02.26 Freiburg – M'gladbach 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.254.33 1.88 1.98
14.02.26 Hoffenheim – Freiburg 3–0 (0–0) 1.733.904.50 1.67 2.20
07.02.26 Freiburg – Werder Bremen 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.754.20 1.80 2.00
01.02.26 Stuttgart – Freiburg 1–0 (0–0) 1.674.104.75 1.62 2.30
25.01.26 Freiburg – FC Koln 2–1 (2–1) 1.903.753.80 1.80 2.00

Mainz at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.03.26 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.703.25 1.73 2.10
07.03.26 Mainz – Stuttgart 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.602.15 1.62 2.30
20.02.26 Mainz – Hamburg 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.50 1.80 2.00
07.02.26 Mainz – Augsburg 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.603.50 1.80 2.00
24.01.26 Mainz – Wolfsburg 3–1 (0–1) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.10
13.01.26 Mainz – Heidenheim 2–1 (1–0) 1.753.804.33 1.73 2.10
21.12.25 Mainz – St Pauli 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.10 2.10 1.73
05.12.25 Mainz – M'gladbach 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.402.63 1.73 2.10
21.11.25 Mainz – Hoffenheim 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.602.70 1.67 2.20
01.11.25 Mainz – Werder Bremen 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.903.50 1.57 2.38

Freiburg away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.03.26 St Pauli – Freiburg 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.102.80 2.30 1.62
01.03.26 Ein Frankfurt – Freiburg 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 1.80 2.00
14.02.26 Hoffenheim – Freiburg 3–0 (0–0) 1.733.904.50 1.67 2.20
01.02.26 Stuttgart – Freiburg 1–0 (0–0) 1.674.104.75 1.62 2.30
18.01.26 Augsburg – Freiburg 2–2 (0–0) 2.903.302.45 1.98 1.88
14.01.26 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 2–0 (0–0) 1.704.004.50 1.57 2.38
20.12.25 Wolfsburg – Freiburg 3–4 (1–1) 2.503.602.75 1.80 2.00
06.12.25 Heidenheim – Freiburg 2–1 (0–1) 3.903.601.91 1.91 1.91
22.11.25 Bayern Munich – Freiburg 6–2 (2–2) 1.178.0013.00 1.33 3.40
01.11.25 Union Berlin – Freiburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.302.75 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Mainz winsDrawsFreiburg wins
9matches
2.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
56%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.25D1 Freiburg – Mainz 4–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.20 2.00 1.80
15.03.25D1 Mainz – Freiburg 2–2 (1–0) 1.953.304.10 2.10 1.73
03.11.24D1 Freiburg – Mainz 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.73 2.10
21.04.24D1 Freiburg – Mainz 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.502.60 1.73 2.10
03.12.23D1 Mainz – Freiburg 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.96 1.94
19.03.23D1 Mainz – Freiburg 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.30 2.00 1.90
01.10.22D1 Freiburg – Mainz 2–1 (2–0) 2.103.603.40 1.92 1.98
12.02.22D1 Freiburg – Mainz 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.50 2.03 1.87
18.09.21D1 Mainz – Freiburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.80 2.00

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 29 24 4 1 105 27 +78 76
2 Dortmund 29 19 7 3 60 29 +31 64
3 Stuttgart 29 17 5 7 60 38 +22 56
4 RB Leipzig 29 17 5 7 56 36 +20 56
5 Leverkusen 29 15 7 7 59 39 +20 52
6 Hoffenheim 29 15 6 8 57 43 +14 51
7 Ein Frankfurt 29 11 9 9 54 54 0 42
8 Freiburg 28 10 7 11 41 47 -6 37
9 Mainz 28 8 9 11 35 43 -8 33
10 Augsburg 29 9 6 14 36 53 -17 33
11 Union Berlin 29 8 8 13 33 50 -17 32
12 Hamburg 29 7 10 12 32 45 -13 31
13 FC Koln 29 7 9 13 43 50 -7 30
14 M'gladbach 29 7 9 13 35 49 -14 30
15 Werder Bremen 29 7 7 15 32 52 -20 28
16 St Pauli 29 6 7 16 25 50 -25 25
17 Wolfsburg 29 5 6 18 39 65 -26 21
18 Heidenheim 29 4 7 18 32 64 -32 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 14 12 1 1 56 13 +43 37
2 Dortmund 15 11 2 2 33 14 +19 35
3 Stuttgart 15 11 2 2 26 14 +12 35
4 RB Leipzig 15 10 2 3 35 18 +17 32
5 Leverkusen 14 8 3 3 32 15 +17 27
6 Hoffenheim 14 8 1 5 29 17 +12 25
7 Freiburg 14 7 4 3 26 19 +7 25
8 Ein Frankfurt 14 7 3 4 25 20 +5 24
9 Augsburg 15 6 4 5 21 26 -5 22
10 Hamburg 15 5 6 4 21 18 +3 21
11 FC Koln 15 5 4 6 28 25 +3 19
12 Union Berlin 14 4 6 4 19 22 -3 18
13 Mainz 14 4 5 5 17 17 0 17
14 M'gladbach 14 4 5 5 18 23 -5 17
15 Werder Bremen 14 4 4 6 15 25 -10 16
16 St Pauli 14 4 4 6 14 25 -11 16
17 Heidenheim 15 3 5 7 21 35 -14 14
18 Wolfsburg 15 2 3 10 21 31 -10 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 15 12 3 0 49 14 +35 39
2 Dortmund 14 8 5 1 27 15 +12 29
3 Hoffenheim 15 7 5 3 28 26 +2 26
4 Leverkusen 15 7 4 4 27 24 +3 25
5 RB Leipzig 14 7 3 4 21 18 +3 24
6 Stuttgart 14 6 3 5 34 24 +10 21
7 Ein Frankfurt 15 4 6 5 29 34 -5 18
8 Mainz 14 4 4 6 18 26 -8 16
9 Union Berlin 15 4 2 9 14 28 -14 14
10 M'gladbach 15 3 4 8 17 26 -9 13
11 Werder Bremen 15 3 3 9 17 27 -10 12
12 Freiburg 14 3 3 8 15 28 -13 12
13 Wolfsburg 14 3 3 8 18 34 -16 12
14 FC Koln 14 2 5 7 15 25 -10 11
15 Augsburg 14 3 2 9 15 27 -12 11
16 Hamburg 14 2 4 8 11 27 -16 10
17 St Pauli 15 2 3 10 11 25 -14 9
18 Heidenheim 14 1 2 11 11 29 -18 5

Mainz   Freiburg

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 29 1 28 3.6 0.9 24 4 1 105 27 76
2 3 Stuttgart 29 8 21 2.1 1.3 17 5 7 60 38 56
3 6 Hoffenheim 29 9 20 2.0 1.5 15 6 8 57 43 51
4 17 Wolfsburg 29 9 20 1.3 2.2 5 6 18 39 65 21
5 18 Heidenheim 29 9 20 1.1 2.2 4 7 18 32 64 19
6 4 RB Leipzig 29 10 19 1.9 1.2 17 5 7 56 36 56
7 7 Ein Frankfurt 29 10 19 1.9 1.9 11 9 9 54 54 42
8 8 Freiburg 28 10 18 1.5 1.7 10 7 11 41 47 37
9 13 FC Koln 29 11 18 1.5 1.7 7 9 13 43 50 30
10 10 Augsburg 29 12 17 1.2 1.8 9 6 14 36 53 33
11 2 Dortmund 29 13 16 2.1 1.0 19 7 3 60 29 64
12 5 Leverkusen 29 13 16 2.0 1.3 15 7 7 59 39 52
13 11 Union Berlin 29 13 16 1.1 1.7 8 8 13 33 50 32
14 14 M'gladbach 29 13 16 1.2 1.7 7 9 13 35 49 30
15 15 Werder Bremen 29 13 16 1.1 1.8 7 7 15 32 52 28
16 16 St Pauli 29 13 16 0.9 1.7 6 7 16 25 50 25
17 9 Mainz 28 13 15 1.2 1.5 8 9 11 35 43 33
18 12 Hamburg 29 14 15 1.1 1.6 7 10 12 32 45 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 14 0 14 4.0 0.9 12 1 1 56 13 37
2 18 Heidenheim 15 3 12 1.4 2.3 3 5 7 21 35 14
3 4 RB Leipzig 15 4 11 2.3 1.2 10 2 3 35 18 32
4 13 FC Koln 15 4 11 1.9 1.7 5 4 6 28 25 19
5 17 Wolfsburg 15 4 11 1.4 2.1 2 3 10 21 31 9
6 6 Hoffenheim 14 4 10 2.1 1.2 8 1 5 29 17 25
7 8 Freiburg 14 4 10 1.9 1.4 7 4 3 26 19 25
8 16 St Pauli 14 4 10 1.0 1.8 4 4 6 14 25 16
9 11 Union Berlin 14 5 9 1.4 1.6 4 6 4 19 22 18
10 2 Dortmund 15 7 8 2.2 0.9 11 2 2 33 14 35
11 7 Ein Frankfurt 14 6 8 1.8 1.4 7 3 4 25 20 24
12 10 Augsburg 15 7 8 1.4 1.7 6 4 5 21 26 22
13 14 M'gladbach 14 6 8 1.3 1.6 4 5 5 18 23 17
14 3 Stuttgart 15 8 7 1.7 0.9 11 2 2 26 14 35
15 5 Leverkusen 14 7 7 2.3 1.1 8 3 3 32 15 27
16 12 Hamburg 15 8 7 1.4 1.2 5 6 4 21 18 21
17 15 Werder Bremen 14 7 7 1.1 1.8 4 4 6 15 25 16
18 9 Mainz 14 9 5 1.2 1.2 4 5 5 17 17 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 15 1 14 3.3 0.9 12 3 0 49 14 39
2 3 Stuttgart 14 0 14 2.4 1.7 6 3 5 34 24 21
3 7 Ein Frankfurt 15 4 11 1.9 2.3 4 6 5 29 34 18
4 6 Hoffenheim 15 5 10 1.9 1.7 7 5 3 28 26 26
5 9 Mainz 14 4 10 1.3 1.9 4 4 6 18 26 16
6 5 Leverkusen 15 6 9 1.8 1.6 7 4 4 27 24 25
7 10 Augsburg 14 5 9 1.1 1.9 3 2 9 15 27 11
8 15 Werder Bremen 15 6 9 1.1 1.8 3 3 9 17 27 12
9 17 Wolfsburg 14 5 9 1.3 2.4 3 3 8 18 34 12
10 2 Dortmund 14 6 8 1.9 1.1 8 5 1 27 15 29
11 4 RB Leipzig 14 6 8 1.5 1.3 7 3 4 21 18 24
12 8 Freiburg 14 6 8 1.1 2.0 3 3 8 15 28 12
13 12 Hamburg 14 6 8 0.8 1.9 2 4 8 11 27 10
14 14 M'gladbach 15 7 8 1.1 1.7 3 4 8 17 26 13
15 18 Heidenheim 14 6 8 0.8 2.1 1 2 11 11 29 5
16 11 Union Berlin 15 8 7 0.9 1.9 4 2 9 14 28 14
17 13 FC Koln 14 7 7 1.1 1.8 2 5 7 15 25 11
18 16 St Pauli 15 9 6 0.7 1.7 2 3 10 11 25 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51