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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

St Pauli 1–2 Freiburg

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.70 fair 2.49
Draw 3.10 fair 4.03
Away ✓ 2.80 fair 2.85
Under 2.5 1.62 fair 2.22
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.30 fair 1.82

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

St Pauli Freiburg
12 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 6
3 Corners 2
9 Fouls 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (241 league matches this season so far).
Result St Pauli to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.72
Expected goals 1.50 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
St PauliDrawFreiburg
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 2–1 8.7% 1–0 8.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

St Pauli before this match, all matches
0.92points / match
0.88scored / match
1.62conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 23:42
Freiburg before this match, all matches
1.31points / match
1.42scored / match
1.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 37:43
St Pauli all matches all matches Freiburg

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 1.42
1.62 Goals conceded 1.65
2.50 Total goals 3.08
10.35 Shots 12.65
3.38 Shots on target 4.27
11.54 Shots faced 13.73
4.62 Corners 4.54
5.08 Corners against 4.04
10.15 Fouls 9.38
1.54 Yellow cards 1.62
0.35 1st-half goals scored 0.62
0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

23% Wins 35%
23% Draws 27%
54% Losses 38%
88% Over 0.5 goals 92%
77% Over 1.5 goals 81%
54% Over 2.5 goals 62%
19% Over 3.5 goals 35%
8% Over 4.5 goals 15%
4% Over 5.5 goals 12%
50% Both teams scored 58%
19% Clean sheets 19%
42% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 27%
46% Draws 50%
38% Losses 23%
73% Over 0.5 goals 65%
27% Over 1.5 goals 31%
0% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

St Pauli all matches
Freiburg all matches
St Pauli before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.08scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 13:18
Freiburg before this match, away
0.69points / match
1.00scored / match
2.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 13:27
St Pauli at home away Freiburg

Per match

1.08 Goals scored 1.00
1.50 Goals conceded 2.08
2.58 Total goals 3.08
10.75 Shots 10.69
4.33 Shots on target 3.08
10.42 Shots faced 16.31
5.92 Corners 4.08
3.92 Corners against 4.77
10.17 Fouls 10.00
1.58 Yellow cards 1.46
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

33% Wins 15%
33% Draws 23%
33% Losses 62%
83% Over 0.5 goals 85%
75% Over 1.5 goals 77%
67% Over 2.5 goals 54%
17% Over 3.5 goals 31%
8% Over 4.5 goals 23%
8% Over 5.5 goals 15%
58% Both teams scored 38%
17% Clean sheets 23%
42% Failed to score 54%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 15%
58% Draws 69%
25% Losses 15%
58% Over 0.5 goals 46%
25% Over 1.5 goals 15%
0% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

St Pauli at home
Freiburg away

Last 10 matches before this match

St Pauli all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.03.26 M'gladbach – St Pauli 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.404.20 2.20 1.67
08.03.26 St Pauli – Ein Frankfurt 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.402.60 2.00 1.85
28.02.26 Hoffenheim – St Pauli 0–1 (0–1) 1.484.756.00 1.80 2.00
22.02.26 St Pauli – Werder Bremen 2–1 (0–0) 2.753.102.75 2.30 1.62
14.02.26 Leverkusen – St Pauli 4–0 (2–0) 1.453.756.50 1.88 1.98
07.02.26 St Pauli – Stuttgart 2–1 (1–0) 4.333.751.80 1.93 1.93
31.01.26 Augsburg – St Pauli 2–1 (1–1) 2.003.304.10 2.30 1.62
27.01.26 St Pauli – RB Leipzig 1–1 (0–0) 4.503.501.80 2.10 1.73
23.01.26 St Pauli – Hamburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.882.902.75 2.63 1.50
17.01.26 Dortmund – St Pauli 3–2 (1–0) 1.335.2510.00 1.67 2.20

Freiburg all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.26 Freiburg – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.73
07.03.26 Freiburg – Leverkusen 3–3 (2–2) 2.903.302.40 1.91 1.91
01.03.26 Ein Frankfurt – Freiburg 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 1.80 2.00
22.02.26 Freiburg – M'gladbach 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.254.33 1.88 1.98
14.02.26 Hoffenheim – Freiburg 3–0 (0–0) 1.733.904.50 1.67 2.20
07.02.26 Freiburg – Werder Bremen 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.754.20 1.80 2.00
01.02.26 Stuttgart – Freiburg 1–0 (0–0) 1.674.104.75 1.62 2.30
25.01.26 Freiburg – FC Koln 2–1 (2–1) 1.903.753.80 1.80 2.00
18.01.26 Augsburg – Freiburg 2–2 (0–0) 2.903.302.45 1.98 1.88
14.01.26 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 2–0 (0–0) 1.704.004.50 1.57 2.38

St Pauli at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.26 St Pauli – Ein Frankfurt 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.402.60 2.00 1.85
22.02.26 St Pauli – Werder Bremen 2–1 (0–0) 2.753.102.75 2.30 1.62
07.02.26 St Pauli – Stuttgart 2–1 (1–0) 4.333.751.80 1.93 1.93
27.01.26 St Pauli – RB Leipzig 1–1 (0–0) 4.503.501.80 2.10 1.73
23.01.26 St Pauli – Hamburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.882.902.75 2.63 1.50
13.12.25 St Pauli – Heidenheim 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.67
23.11.25 St Pauli – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 St Pauli – M'gladbach 0–4 (0–2) 2.153.503.30 1.88 1.98
19.10.25 St Pauli – Hoffenheim 0–3 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 1.80 2.00
27.09.25 St Pauli – Leverkusen 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.602.20 1.88 1.98

Freiburg away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.26 Ein Frankfurt – Freiburg 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 1.80 2.00
14.02.26 Hoffenheim – Freiburg 3–0 (0–0) 1.733.904.50 1.67 2.20
01.02.26 Stuttgart – Freiburg 1–0 (0–0) 1.674.104.75 1.62 2.30
18.01.26 Augsburg – Freiburg 2–2 (0–0) 2.903.302.45 1.98 1.88
14.01.26 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 2–0 (0–0) 1.704.004.50 1.57 2.38
20.12.25 Wolfsburg – Freiburg 3–4 (1–1) 2.503.602.75 1.80 2.00
06.12.25 Heidenheim – Freiburg 2–1 (0–1) 3.903.601.91 1.91 1.91
22.11.25 Bayern Munich – Freiburg 6–2 (2–2) 1.178.0013.00 1.33 3.40
01.11.25 Union Berlin – Freiburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.302.75 2.10 1.73
26.10.25 Leverkusen – Freiburg 2–0 (1–0) 1.833.904.00 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

St Pauli winsDrawsFreiburg wins
3matches
2.33goals / match
67%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25D1 Freiburg – St Pauli 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 2.00 1.80
15.02.25D1 St Pauli – Freiburg 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.88 2.20 1.67
28.09.24D1 Freiburg – St Pauli 0–3 (0–2) 1.624.005.50 1.84 2.06

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Bayern Munich 27 22 4 1 97 25 +72 70 WWWWDW
2 Dortmund 27 18 7 2 58 28 +30 61 WDLWWW
3 RB Leipzig 27 15 5 7 53 35 +18 50 DDWWLW
4 Stuttgart 26 15 5 6 51 34 +17 50 LWDWDW
5 Hoffenheim 27 15 5 7 54 39 +15 50 WDLWDL
6 Leverkusen 27 13 7 7 52 36 +16 46 LDWDDD
7 Ein Frankfurt 27 10 8 9 50 51 -1 38 WLWDWL
8 Freiburg 26 9 7 10 37 43 -6 34 WLWLDL
9 Augsburg 26 9 4 13 31 45 -14 31 LWWWLL
10 Union Berlin 27 8 7 12 31 46 -15 31 LWLLWL
11 Mainz 27 7 9 11 33 42 -9 30 LDDDWW
12 Hamburg 27 7 9 11 31 40 -9 30 DLLWDL
13 M'gladbach 27 7 8 12 33 46 -13 29 LLWLWD
14 Werder Bremen 27 7 7 13 30 47 -17 28 LLWWLW
15 FC Koln 27 6 8 13 38 47 -9 26 LDLLDD
16 St Pauli 26 6 6 14 23 42 -19 24 WLWWDL
17 Wolfsburg 27 5 6 16 35 57 -22 21 DLLLDL
18 Heidenheim 27 3 6 18 27 61 -34 15 LDLLLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Bayern Munich 14 12 1 1 56 13 +43 37 WLWWWW
2 Dortmund 14 11 2 1 33 13 +20 35 WWWLWW
3 Stuttgart 13 10 2 1 22 12 +10 32 WDWWWW
4 RB Leipzig 14 9 2 3 34 18 +16 29 LLDDWW
5 Hoffenheim 13 8 1 4 28 15 +13 25 WWWWLD
6 Freiburg 13 7 4 2 24 16 +8 25 WWWWDL
7 Leverkusen 13 7 3 3 26 12 +14 24 WLWWDD
8 Ein Frankfurt 13 7 2 4 23 18 +5 23 DLLWWW
9 Augsburg 13 6 3 4 17 19 -2 21 DDDWWW
10 Hamburg 14 5 5 4 20 17 +3 20 DDWLLD
11 Mainz 14 4 5 5 17 17 0 17 WWWDDW
12 Union Berlin 13 4 5 4 18 21 -3 17 WDLDWL
13 FC Koln 14 4 4 6 25 24 +1 16 WWLDLD
14 M'gladbach 13 4 4 5 16 21 -5 16 LWLDWW
15 St Pauli 12 4 4 4 13 18 -5 16 WDDWWD
16 Werder Bremen 13 4 4 5 14 23 -9 16 DLDLWL
17 Heidenheim 14 2 5 7 18 34 -16 11 DLLDLD
18 Wolfsburg 14 2 3 9 20 29 -9 9 WDLLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Bayern Munich 13 10 3 0 41 12 +29 33 WWDWWD
2 Dortmund 13 7 5 1 25 15 +10 26 DDWWDW
3 Hoffenheim 14 7 4 3 26 24 +2 25 WWLDWL
4 Leverkusen 14 6 4 4 26 24 +2 22 WDLWDD
5 RB Leipzig 13 6 3 4 19 17 +2 21 LWDWWL
6 Stuttgart 13 5 3 5 29 22 +7 18 WWWLDD
7 Ein Frankfurt 14 3 6 5 27 33 -6 15 LDDLDL
8 Union Berlin 14 4 2 8 13 25 -12 14 DLLLWL
9 M'gladbach 14 3 4 7 17 25 -8 13 DDLLLD
10 Mainz 13 3 4 6 16 25 -9 13 DLWLDW
11 Werder Bremen 14 3 3 8 16 24 -8 12 LLLLWW
12 Wolfsburg 13 3 3 7 15 28 -13 12 LLLDLD
13 FC Koln 13 2 4 7 13 23 -10 10 LDLLLD
14 Augsburg 13 3 1 9 14 26 -12 10 LWLWLL
15 Hamburg 13 2 4 7 11 23 -12 10 LDWDWL
16 Freiburg 13 2 3 8 13 27 -14 9 WLDLLL
17 St Pauli 14 2 2 10 10 24 -14 8 LLLLWL
18 Heidenheim 13 1 1 11 9 27 -18 4 LDLLLL

St Pauli   Freiburg

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Bayern Munich 27 1 26 3.6 0.9 22 4 1 97 25 70 OOOOUO
2 4 Stuttgart 26 7 19 2.0 1.3 15 5 6 51 34 50 OOOOOU
3 3 RB Leipzig 27 9 18 2.0 1.3 15 5 7 53 35 50 OOOOUO
4 5 Hoffenheim 27 9 18 2.0 1.4 15 5 7 54 39 50 OOUOUO
5 17 Wolfsburg 27 9 18 1.3 2.1 5 6 16 35 57 21 OOOOUU
6 18 Heidenheim 27 9 18 1.0 2.3 3 6 18 27 61 15 UOUOUO
7 7 Ein Frankfurt 27 10 17 1.9 1.9 10 8 9 50 51 38 OOUUUO
8 2 Dortmund 27 11 16 2.1 1.0 18 7 2 58 28 61 OOOOUO
9 8 Freiburg 26 10 16 1.4 1.7 9 7 10 37 43 34 UOOUOU
10 15 FC Koln 27 11 16 1.4 1.7 6 8 13 38 47 26 OOUOUO
11 6 Leverkusen 27 12 15 1.9 1.3 13 7 7 52 36 46 UUUOUO
12 9 Augsburg 26 11 15 1.2 1.7 9 4 13 31 45 31 UUOUOU
13 10 Union Berlin 27 12 15 1.1 1.7 8 7 12 31 46 31 OUUOUO
14 13 M'gladbach 27 12 15 1.2 1.7 7 8 12 33 46 29 OOUOUO
15 11 Mainz 27 13 14 1.2 1.6 7 9 11 33 42 30 OUUOUO
16 12 Hamburg 27 13 14 1.1 1.5 7 9 11 31 40 30 UOUOUO
17 14 Werder Bremen 27 13 14 1.1 1.7 7 7 13 30 47 28 OOUOUU
18 16 St Pauli 26 12 14 0.9 1.6 6 6 14 23 42 24 OOOUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Bayern Munich 14 0 14 4.0 0.9 12 1 1 56 13 37 OOOOOO
2 3 RB Leipzig 14 3 11 2.4 1.3 9 2 3 34 18 29 OOOOOO
3 18 Heidenheim 14 3 11 1.3 2.4 2 5 7 18 34 11 OOUOOO
4 15 FC Koln 14 4 10 1.8 1.7 4 4 6 25 24 16 OUOOOO
5 17 Wolfsburg 14 4 10 1.4 2.1 2 3 9 20 29 9 OUOOOU
6 5 Hoffenheim 13 4 9 2.2 1.2 8 1 4 28 15 25 OUOOUU
7 8 Freiburg 13 4 9 1.8 1.2 7 4 2 24 16 25 OOUOOU
8 10 Union Berlin 13 4 9 1.4 1.6 4 5 4 18 21 17 OOOUUO
9 2 Dortmund 14 6 8 2.4 0.9 11 2 1 33 13 35 OOOOUO
10 16 St Pauli 12 4 8 1.1 1.5 4 4 4 13 18 16 OUUOOU
11 7 Ein Frankfurt 13 6 7 1.8 1.4 7 2 4 23 18 23 OOOOUU
12 12 Hamburg 14 7 7 1.4 1.2 5 5 4 20 17 20 UOOOUU
13 13 M'gladbach 13 6 7 1.2 1.6 4 4 5 16 21 16 OOOUUU
14 4 Stuttgart 13 7 6 1.7 0.9 10 2 1 22 12 32 OUUOOU
15 6 Leverkusen 13 7 6 2.0 0.9 7 3 3 26 12 24 UOUOUU
16 9 Augsburg 13 7 6 1.3 1.5 6 3 4 17 19 21 UUOOUU
17 14 Werder Bremen 13 7 6 1.1 1.8 4 4 5 14 23 16 OUUOUU
18 11 Mainz 14 9 5 1.2 1.2 4 5 5 17 17 17 OOUUOO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Stuttgart 13 0 13 2.2 1.7 5 3 5 29 22 18 OOOOOO
2 1 Bayern Munich 13 1 12 3.2 0.9 10 3 0 41 12 33 OOOOOU
3 7 Ein Frankfurt 14 4 10 1.9 2.4 3 6 5 27 33 15 OOUOUO
4 5 Hoffenheim 14 5 9 1.9 1.7 7 4 3 26 24 25 OUOOOO
5 6 Leverkusen 14 5 9 1.9 1.7 6 4 4 26 24 22 OUUUOO
6 9 Augsburg 13 4 9 1.1 2.0 3 1 9 14 26 10 OOUOOU
7 11 Mainz 13 4 9 1.2 1.9 3 4 6 16 25 13 OOOOUU
8 2 Dortmund 13 5 8 1.9 1.2 7 5 1 25 15 26 UOOOOO
9 13 M'gladbach 14 6 8 1.2 1.8 3 4 7 17 25 13 UUOOOO
10 14 Werder Bremen 14 6 8 1.1 1.7 3 3 8 16 24 12 OUUOOU
11 17 Wolfsburg 13 5 8 1.2 2.2 3 3 7 15 28 12 OOUOOU
12 3 RB Leipzig 13 6 7 1.5 1.3 6 3 4 19 17 21 OOUOOU
13 8 Freiburg 13 6 7 1.0 2.1 2 3 8 13 27 9 OUOUOU
14 12 Hamburg 13 6 7 0.8 1.8 2 4 7 11 23 10 OUUUOO
15 18 Heidenheim 13 6 7 0.7 2.1 1 1 11 9 27 4 OUOUUU
16 10 Union Berlin 14 8 6 0.9 1.8 4 2 8 13 25 14 UOOUUO
17 15 FC Koln 13 7 6 1.0 1.8 2 4 7 13 23 10 UOOOUU
18 16 St Pauli 14 8 6 0.7 1.7 2 2 10 10 24 8 OOOOUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10