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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Dortmund 4–0 Mainz

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.53 fair 1.72
Draw 4.50 fair 4.73
Away 5.50 fair 4.85
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 2.59
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.63

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Dortmund Mainz
14 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 5
7 Corners 2
10 Fouls 5
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (188 league matches this season so far).
Result Dortmund to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.70
Expected goals 2.04 – 1.13
Home / Draw / Away
DortmundDrawMainz
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.9% 1–1 9.7% 2–0 8.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Dortmund before this match, all matches
2.29points / match
2.05scored / match
0.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 43:20
Mainz before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.19scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 25:33
Dortmund all matches all matches Mainz

Per match

2.05 Goals scored 1.19
0.95 Goals conceded 1.57
3.00 Total goals 2.76
13.19 Shots 11.24
4.76 Shots on target 3.57
10.81 Shots faced 15.05
5.38 Corners 5.29
4.67 Corners against 4.14
11.52 Fouls 11.67
1.76 Yellow cards 2.43
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.19 1st-half goals conceded 0.76

How often Full Time

67% Wins 24%
29% Draws 29%
5% Losses 48%
100% Over 0.5 goals 95%
86% Over 1.5 goals 76%
52% Over 2.5 goals 52%
24% Over 3.5 goals 33%
24% Over 4.5 goals 10%
14% Over 5.5 goals 5%
52% Both teams scored 57%
48% Clean sheets 10%
0% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

71% Wins 29%
24% Draws 33%
5% Losses 38%
90% Over 0.5 goals 81%
29% Over 1.5 goals 38%
0% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Dortmund all matches
Mainz all matches
Dortmund before this match, at home
2.60points / match
2.20scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 22:8
Mainz before this match, away
0.90points / match
1.30scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 13:20
Dortmund at home away Mainz

Per match

2.20 Goals scored 1.30
0.80 Goals conceded 2.00
3.00 Total goals 3.30
14.40 Shots 9.30
5.50 Shots on target 3.30
10.00 Shots faced 17.60
7.20 Corners 4.00
4.20 Corners against 5.00
11.50 Fouls 11.40
1.40 Yellow cards 3.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.70
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

80% Wins 20%
20% Draws 30%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 90%
50% Over 2.5 goals 80%
30% Over 3.5 goals 50%
30% Over 4.5 goals 10%
10% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 70%
60% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

70% Wins 30%
30% Draws 40%
0% Losses 30%
90% Over 0.5 goals 90%
30% Over 1.5 goals 60%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Dortmund at home
Mainz away

Last 10 matches before this match

Dortmund all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.02.26 Wolfsburg – Dortmund 1–2 (0–1) 4.204.201.73 1.57 2.38
01.02.26 Dortmund – Heidenheim 3–2 (1–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75
24.01.26 Union Berlin – Dortmund 0–3 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 1.91 1.91
17.01.26 Dortmund – St Pauli 3–2 (1–0) 1.335.2510.00 1.67 2.20
13.01.26 Dortmund – Werder Bremen 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.00 1.50 2.63
09.01.26 Ein Frankfurt – Dortmund 3–3 (1–1) 3.603.801.95 1.62 2.30
19.12.25 Dortmund – M'gladbach 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.505.50 1.50 2.63
14.12.25 Freiburg – Dortmund 1–1 (0–1) 3.253.502.15 1.83 2.03
07.12.25 Dortmund – Hoffenheim 2–0 (1–0) 1.624.504.75 1.50 2.63
29.11.25 Leverkusen – Dortmund 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.602.63 1.57 2.38

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.02.26 Mainz – Augsburg 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.603.50 1.80 2.00
31.01.26 RB Leipzig – Mainz 1–2 (1–1) 1.554.505.50 1.53 2.50
24.01.26 Mainz – Wolfsburg 3–1 (0–1) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.10
17.01.26 FC Koln – Mainz 2–1 (0–1) 2.153.503.25 1.73 2.10
13.01.26 Mainz – Heidenheim 2–1 (1–0) 1.753.804.33 1.73 2.10
10.01.26 Union Berlin – Mainz 2–2 (0–1) 2.153.253.70 2.20 1.65
21.12.25 Mainz – St Pauli 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.10 2.10 1.73
14.12.25 Bayern Munich – Mainz 2–2 (1–1) 1.0911.0021.00 1.22 4.33
05.12.25 Mainz – M'gladbach 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.402.63 1.73 2.10
30.11.25 Freiburg – Mainz 4–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.20 2.00 1.80

Dortmund at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.26 Dortmund – Heidenheim 3–2 (1–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75
17.01.26 Dortmund – St Pauli 3–2 (1–0) 1.335.2510.00 1.67 2.20
13.01.26 Dortmund – Werder Bremen 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.00 1.50 2.63
19.12.25 Dortmund – M'gladbach 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.505.50 1.50 2.63
07.12.25 Dortmund – Hoffenheim 2–0 (1–0) 1.624.504.75 1.50 2.63
22.11.25 Dortmund – Stuttgart 3–3 (2–0) 1.754.004.33 1.53 2.50
25.10.25 Dortmund – FC Koln 1–0 (0–0) 1.445.256.50 1.40 3.00
04.10.25 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 1–1 (1–1) 1.704.504.20 1.36 3.20
21.09.25 Dortmund – Wolfsburg 1–0 (1–0) 1.505.005.50 1.44 2.75
31.08.25 Dortmund – Union Berlin 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.256.50 1.50 2.63

Mainz away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.26 RB Leipzig – Mainz 1–2 (1–1) 1.554.505.50 1.53 2.50
17.01.26 FC Koln – Mainz 2–1 (0–1) 2.153.503.25 1.73 2.10
10.01.26 Union Berlin – Mainz 2–2 (0–1) 2.153.253.70 2.20 1.65
14.12.25 Bayern Munich – Mainz 2–2 (1–1) 1.0911.0021.00 1.22 4.33
30.11.25 Freiburg – Mainz 4–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.20 2.00 1.80
09.11.25 Ein Frankfurt – Mainz 1–0 (0–0) 1.834.003.90 1.57 2.38
26.10.25 Stuttgart – Mainz 2–1 (1–1) 1.754.004.33 1.57 2.38
05.10.25 Hamburg – Mainz 4–0 (2–0) 2.803.502.40 1.73 2.10
20.09.25 Augsburg – Mainz 1–4 (0–2) 2.703.402.60 1.93 1.93
31.08.25 Wolfsburg – Mainz 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.50 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Dortmund winsDrawsMainz wins
9matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.25D1 Mainz – Dortmund 0–2 (0–2) 3.203.702.10 1.62 2.30
30.03.25D1 Dortmund – Mainz 3–1 (2–0) 1.623.905.00 1.67 2.20
09.11.24D1 Mainz – Dortmund 3–1 (2–1) 3.503.602.00 1.62 2.30
11.05.24D1 Mainz – Dortmund 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.603.10 1.50 2.63
19.12.23D1 Dortmund – Mainz 1–1 (1–1) 1.554.755.25 1.44 2.75
27.05.23D1 Dortmund – Mainz 2–2 (0–2) 1.148.5015.00 1.22 4.33
25.01.23D1 Mainz – Dortmund 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.602.30 1.67 2.20
16.03.22D1 Mainz – Dortmund 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.801.85 1.61 2.30
16.10.21D1 Dortmund – Mainz 3–1 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.44 2.75

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 21 17 3 1 79 19 +60 54
2 Dortmund 21 14 6 1 43 20 +23 48
3 Hoffenheim 21 13 3 5 44 28 +16 42
4 RB Leipzig 21 12 3 6 40 28 +12 39
5 Stuttgart 21 12 3 6 38 28 +10 39
6 Leverkusen 20 11 3 6 39 27 +12 36
7 Freiburg 21 8 6 7 32 33 -1 30
8 Ein Frankfurt 21 7 7 7 41 46 -5 28
9 Union Berlin 21 6 7 8 26 34 -8 25
10 FC Koln 21 6 5 10 30 34 -4 23
11 Hamburg 20 5 7 8 21 29 -8 22
12 M'gladbach 21 5 7 9 25 34 -9 22
13 Augsburg 21 6 4 11 24 39 -15 22
14 Mainz 21 5 6 10 25 33 -8 21
15 Wolfsburg 21 5 4 12 29 44 -15 19
16 Werder Bremen 21 4 7 10 22 39 -17 19
17 St Pauli 21 4 5 12 20 35 -15 17
18 Heidenheim 21 3 4 14 19 47 -28 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 11 9 1 1 45 10 +35 28
2 Dortmund 10 8 2 0 22 8 +14 26
3 Stuttgart 10 7 2 1 14 11 +3 23
4 Hoffenheim 10 7 0 3 24 13 +11 21
5 RB Leipzig 10 7 0 3 23 13 +10 21
6 Freiburg 10 6 3 1 19 11 +8 21
7 Leverkusen 10 6 1 3 20 10 +10 19
8 Hamburg 10 4 4 2 15 11 +4 16
9 Augsburg 11 4 3 4 14 19 -5 15
10 FC Koln 11 4 2 5 19 17 +2 14
11 Ein Frankfurt 10 4 2 4 17 18 -1 14
12 Union Berlin 11 3 5 3 16 17 -1 14
13 Werder Bremen 10 3 4 3 12 18 -6 13
14 Mainz 11 3 3 5 12 13 -1 12
15 St Pauli 10 3 3 4 11 17 -6 12
16 M'gladbach 11 2 4 5 13 21 -8 10
17 Wolfsburg 11 2 3 6 17 23 -6 9
18 Heidenheim 11 2 3 6 10 24 -14 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 10 8 2 0 34 9 +25 26
2 Dortmund 11 6 4 1 21 12 +9 22
3 Hoffenheim 11 6 3 2 20 15 +5 21
4 RB Leipzig 11 5 3 3 17 15 +2 18
5 Leverkusen 10 5 2 3 19 17 +2 17
6 Stuttgart 11 5 1 5 24 17 +7 16
7 Ein Frankfurt 11 3 5 3 24 28 -4 14
8 M'gladbach 10 3 3 4 12 13 -1 12
9 Union Berlin 10 3 2 5 10 17 -7 11
10 Wolfsburg 10 3 1 6 12 21 -9 10
11 FC Koln 10 2 3 5 11 17 -6 9
12 Mainz 10 2 3 5 13 20 -7 9
13 Freiburg 11 2 3 6 13 22 -9 9
14 Augsburg 10 2 1 7 10 20 -10 7
15 Werder Bremen 11 1 3 7 10 21 -11 6
16 Hamburg 10 1 3 6 6 18 -12 6
17 St Pauli 11 1 2 8 9 18 -9 5
18 Heidenheim 10 1 1 8 9 23 -14 4

Dortmund   Mainz

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 21 0 21 3.8 0.9 17 3 1 79 19 54
2 5 Stuttgart 21 6 15 1.8 1.3 12 3 6 38 28 39
3 18 Heidenheim 21 6 15 0.9 2.2 3 4 14 19 47 13
4 3 Hoffenheim 21 7 14 2.1 1.3 13 3 5 44 28 42
5 8 Ein Frankfurt 21 7 14 2.0 2.2 7 7 7 41 46 28
6 15 Wolfsburg 21 7 14 1.4 2.1 5 4 12 29 44 19
7 4 RB Leipzig 21 8 13 1.9 1.3 12 3 6 40 28 39
8 7 Freiburg 21 8 13 1.5 1.6 8 6 7 32 33 30
9 13 Augsburg 21 8 13 1.1 1.9 6 4 11 24 39 22
10 6 Leverkusen 20 8 12 1.9 1.4 11 3 6 39 27 36
11 9 Union Berlin 21 9 12 1.2 1.6 6 7 8 26 34 25
12 10 FC Koln 21 9 12 1.4 1.6 6 5 10 30 34 23
13 17 St Pauli 21 9 12 1.0 1.7 4 5 12 20 35 17
14 2 Dortmund 21 10 11 2.0 1.0 14 6 1 43 20 48
15 12 M'gladbach 21 10 11 1.2 1.6 5 7 9 25 34 22
16 14 Mainz 21 10 11 1.2 1.6 5 6 10 25 33 21
17 16 Werder Bremen 21 10 11 1.0 1.9 4 7 10 22 39 19
18 11 Hamburg 20 10 10 1.1 1.4 5 7 8 21 29 22
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 11 0 11 4.1 0.9 9 1 1 45 10 28
2 3 Hoffenheim 10 2 8 2.4 1.3 7 0 3 24 13 21
3 9 Union Berlin 11 3 8 1.5 1.5 3 5 3 16 17 14
4 15 Wolfsburg 11 3 8 1.5 2.1 2 3 6 17 23 9
5 18 Heidenheim 11 3 8 0.9 2.2 2 3 6 10 24 9
6 4 RB Leipzig 10 3 7 2.3 1.3 7 0 3 23 13 21
7 7 Freiburg 10 3 7 1.9 1.1 6 3 1 19 11 21
8 10 FC Koln 11 4 7 1.7 1.5 4 2 5 19 17 14
9 12 M'gladbach 11 4 7 1.2 1.9 2 4 5 13 21 10
10 17 St Pauli 10 3 7 1.1 1.7 3 3 4 11 17 12
11 8 Ein Frankfurt 10 4 6 1.7 1.8 4 2 4 17 18 14
12 13 Augsburg 11 5 6 1.3 1.7 4 3 4 14 19 15
13 2 Dortmund 10 5 5 2.2 0.8 8 2 0 22 8 26
14 6 Leverkusen 10 5 5 2.0 1.0 6 1 3 20 10 19
15 11 Hamburg 10 5 5 1.5 1.1 4 4 2 15 11 16
16 16 Werder Bremen 10 5 5 1.2 1.8 3 4 3 12 18 13
17 5 Stuttgart 10 6 4 1.4 1.1 7 2 1 14 11 23
18 14 Mainz 11 8 3 1.1 1.2 3 3 5 12 13 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Stuttgart 11 0 11 2.2 1.5 5 1 5 24 17 16
2 1 Bayern Munich 10 0 10 3.4 0.9 8 2 0 34 9 26
3 8 Ein Frankfurt 11 3 8 2.2 2.5 3 5 3 24 28 14
4 14 Mainz 10 2 8 1.3 2.0 2 3 5 13 20 9
5 6 Leverkusen 10 3 7 1.9 1.7 5 2 3 19 17 17
6 13 Augsburg 10 3 7 1.0 2.0 2 1 7 10 20 7
7 18 Heidenheim 10 3 7 0.9 2.3 1 1 8 9 23 4
8 2 Dortmund 11 5 6 1.9 1.1 6 4 1 21 12 22
9 3 Hoffenheim 11 5 6 1.8 1.4 6 3 2 20 15 21
10 4 RB Leipzig 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 5 3 3 17 15 18
11 7 Freiburg 11 5 6 1.2 2.0 2 3 6 13 22 9
12 15 Wolfsburg 10 4 6 1.2 2.1 3 1 6 12 21 10
13 16 Werder Bremen 11 5 6 0.9 1.9 1 3 7 10 21 6
14 10 FC Koln 10 5 5 1.1 1.7 2 3 5 11 17 9
15 11 Hamburg 10 5 5 0.6 1.8 1 3 6 6 18 6
16 17 St Pauli 11 6 5 0.8 1.6 1 2 8 9 18 5
17 9 Union Berlin 10 6 4 1.0 1.7 3 2 5 10 17 11
18 12 M'gladbach 10 6 4 1.2 1.3 3 3 4 12 13 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40