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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: D England

Leeds 1–1 Man United

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2026/2027

Home 2.35 fair 2.14
Draw ✓ 3.60 fair 4.08
Away 2.90 fair 3.48
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.18
Over 2.5 1.67 fair 1.85

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Man United
12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
1.41 Expected goals (xG) 0.92
2 Corners 3
16 Fouls 5
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (65 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.77
Expected goals 1.62 – 1.22
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawMan United
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 1–0 9.4% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.33scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 8:5
Man United before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 9:9
Leeds all matches all matches Man United

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.50
0.83 Goals conceded 1.50
2.17 Total goals 3.00
1.37 xG created 1.75
1.44 xG allowed 1.39
12.00 Shots 20.83
3.83 Shots on target 5.33
14.33 Shots faced 10.83
4.33 Corners 6.67
4.33 Corners against 3.83
12.17 Fouls 10.33
1.83 Yellow cards 1.67
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.17
0.17 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

33% Wins 17%
50% Draws 50%
17% Losses 33%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 83%
33% Over 2.5 goals 33%
17% Over 3.5 goals 33%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
67% Both teams scored 67%
33% Clean sheets 0%
17% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 0%
50% Draws 83%
17% Losses 17%
50% Over 0.5 goals 33%
17% Over 1.5 goals 33%
17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Man United all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.67scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:2
Man United before this match, away
0.67points / match
1.00scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:5
Leeds at home away Man United

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.00
0.67 Goals conceded 1.67
2.33 Total goals 2.67
1.55 xG created 1.37
1.16 xG allowed 1.21
13.33 Shots 21.33
3.33 Shots on target 4.67
13.67 Shots faced 12.67
4.67 Corners 7.33
4.67 Corners against 2.67
7.67 Fouls 8.33
1.00 Yellow cards 1.33
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

33% Wins 0%
67% Draws 67%
0% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
33% Over 2.5 goals 33%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 67%
33% Clean sheets 0%
33% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 0%
33% Draws 67%
33% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 33%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Man United away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.26 Arsenal – Leeds 2–1 (0–0) 1.405.007.50 1.85 2.00
20.09.26 Leeds – Crystal Palace 0–0 (0–0) 1.733.904.75 1.73 2.10
14.09.26 Leeds – Newcastle 4–1 (3–0) 2.383.502.88 1.80 2.00
05.09.26 Brighton – Leeds 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.503.90 1.91 1.91
30.08.26 Leeds – Brentford 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 1.90 1.95
22.08.26 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.98 1.88
24.05.26 West Ham – Leeds 3–0 (0–0) 1.854.003.75 1.67 2.20
17.05.26 Leeds – Brighton 1–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.20
11.05.26 Tottenham – Leeds 1–1 (0–0) 1.834.103.75 1.73 2.10
01.05.26 Leeds – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.67 2.20

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.26 Man United – Tottenham 1–1 (0–0) 1.704.204.50 1.53 2.50
20.09.26 Fulham – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.802.00 1.57 2.38
13.09.26 Man United – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 3.253.802.10 1.53 2.50
06.09.26 Everton – Man United 2–2 (0–0) 3.303.502.10 1.73 2.10
30.08.26 Man United – Ipswich 5–2 (1–1) 1.425.007.00 1.57 2.38
22.08.26 Hull – Man United 2–0 (2–0) 8.505.001.36 1.67 2.20
24.05.26 Brighton – Man United 0–3 (0–2) 1.854.203.60 1.50 2.63
17.05.26 Man United – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (1–0) 1.604.205.25 1.62 2.30
09.05.26 Sunderland – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 3.903.751.85 1.73 2.10
03.05.26 Man United – Liverpool 3–2 (2–0) 2.303.802.75 1.50 2.63

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.26 Leeds – Crystal Palace 0–0 (0–0) 1.733.904.75 1.73 2.10
14.09.26 Leeds – Newcastle 4–1 (3–0) 2.383.502.88 1.80 2.00
30.08.26 Leeds – Brentford 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 1.90 1.95
17.05.26 Leeds – Brighton 1–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.20
01.05.26 Leeds – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.67 2.20
18.04.26 Leeds – Wolves 3–0 (2–0) 1.623.905.75 1.90 1.95
21.03.26 Leeds – Brentford 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.502.88 1.88 1.98
03.03.26 Leeds – Sunderland 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.404.33 2.10 1.73
28.02.26 Leeds – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.331.62 1.62 2.30
06.02.26 Leeds – Nott'm Forest 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.73

Man United away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.26 Fulham – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.802.00 1.57 2.38
06.09.26 Everton – Man United 2–2 (0–0) 3.303.502.10 1.73 2.10
22.08.26 Hull – Man United 2–0 (2–0) 8.505.001.36 1.67 2.20
24.05.26 Brighton – Man United 0–3 (0–2) 1.854.203.60 1.50 2.63
09.05.26 Sunderland – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 3.903.751.85 1.73 2.10
18.04.26 Chelsea – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.57 2.38
20.03.26 Bournemouth – Man United 2–2 (0–0) 3.203.802.10 1.57 2.38
04.03.26 Newcastle – Man United 2–1 (1–1) 2.633.502.60 1.57 2.38
23.02.26 Everton – Man United 0–1 (0–0) 3.703.751.91 1.73 2.10
10.02.26 West Ham – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 4.504.201.70 1.50 2.63

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leeds winsDrawsMan United wins
6matches
3.83goals / match
67%over 2.5
83%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.26E0 Man United – Leeds 1–2 (0–2) 1.624.105.00 1.73 2.10
04.01.26E0 Leeds – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.302.63 1.83 2.03
12.02.23E0 Leeds – Man United 0–2 (0–0) 3.753.801.91 1.67 2.20
08.02.23E0 Man United – Leeds 2–2 (0–1) 1.455.006.00 1.57 2.38
20.02.22E0 Leeds – Man United 2–4 (0–2) 3.903.801.85 1.61 2.30
14.08.21E0 Man United – Leeds 5–1 (1–0) 1.534.505.75 1.61 2.30

England Premier League table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 7 7 0 0 19 7 +12 21
2 Arsenal 6 5 0 1 10 5 +5 15
3 Brighton 6 4 1 1 18 5 +13 13
4 Chelsea 7 4 1 2 17 13 +4 13
5 Liverpool 7 3 3 1 9 8 +1 12
6 Brentford 7 2 4 1 13 8 +5 10
7 Everton 7 2 4 1 8 7 +1 10
8 Leeds 6 2 3 1 8 5 +3 9
9 Hull 7 2 3 2 8 7 +1 9
10 Ipswich 7 3 0 4 11 15 -4 9
11 Newcastle 7 2 2 3 10 14 -4 8
12 Aston Villa 7 2 2 3 7 11 -4 8
13 Crystal Palace 6 2 1 3 9 12 -3 7
14 Man United 6 1 3 2 9 9 0 6
15 Coventry 6 2 0 4 5 11 -6 6
16 Fulham 7 1 2 4 7 10 -3 5
17 Nott'm Forest 6 1 2 3 5 8 -3 5
18 Sunderland 6 1 1 4 6 12 -6 4
19 Bournemouth 6 0 3 3 7 13 -6 3
20 Tottenham 6 0 3 3 3 9 -6 3
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Europa League – league phase
  • Relegation to Championship

FA Cup and EFL Cup winners also qualify for Europe, so places can move down the table (6th or 7th can qualify).

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 4 4 0 0 11 6 +5 12
2 Arsenal 3 3 0 0 7 2 +5 9
3 Brighton 3 2 1 0 8 1 +7 7
4 Chelsea 3 2 1 0 11 6 +5 7
5 Brentford 4 2 1 1 8 3 +5 7
6 Everton 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
7 Ipswich 3 2 0 1 4 4 0 6
8 Leeds 3 1 2 0 5 2 +3 5
9 Hull 3 1 2 0 4 2 +2 5
10 Newcastle 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5
11 Man United 3 1 1 1 6 4 +2 4
12 Fulham 4 1 1 2 6 7 -1 4
13 Crystal Palace 3 1 0 2 6 8 -2 3
14 Coventry 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3
15 Sunderland 3 1 0 2 1 4 -3 3
16 Bournemouth 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
17 Liverpool 3 0 2 1 2 5 -3 2
18 Aston Villa 3 0 1 2 3 5 -2 1
19 Nott'm Forest 3 0 1 2 0 2 -2 1
20 Tottenham 3 0 1 2 2 5 -3 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 4 3 1 0 7 3 +4 10
2 Man City 3 3 0 0 8 1 +7 9
3 Aston Villa 4 2 1 1 4 6 -2 7
4 Brighton 3 2 0 1 10 4 +6 6
5 Arsenal 3 2 0 1 3 3 0 6
6 Chelsea 4 2 0 2 6 7 -1 6
7 Leeds 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
8 Nott'm Forest 3 1 1 1 5 6 -1 4
9 Hull 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
10 Crystal Palace 3 1 1 1 3 4 -1 4
11 Brentford 3 0 3 0 5 5 0 3
12 Everton 3 0 3 0 3 3 0 3
13 Coventry 3 1 0 2 1 4 -3 3
14 Ipswich 4 1 0 3 7 11 -4 3
15 Newcastle 3 1 0 2 4 8 -4 3
16 Man United 3 0 2 1 3 5 -2 2
17 Tottenham 3 0 2 1 1 4 -3 2
18 Fulham 3 0 1 2 1 3 -2 1
19 Sunderland 3 0 1 2 5 8 -3 1
20 Bournemouth 3 0 1 2 4 9 -5 1

Leeds   Man United

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Chelsea 7 1 6 2.4 1.9 4 1 2 17 13 13
2 1 Man City 7 2 5 2.7 1.0 7 0 0 19 7 21
3 6 Brentford 7 2 5 1.9 1.1 2 4 1 13 8 10
4 10 Ipswich 7 2 5 1.6 2.1 3 0 4 11 15 9
5 11 Newcastle 7 2 5 1.4 2.0 2 2 3 10 14 8
6 2 Arsenal 6 2 4 1.7 0.8 5 0 1 10 5 15
7 3 Brighton 6 2 4 3.0 0.8 4 1 1 18 5 13
8 5 Liverpool 7 3 4 1.3 1.1 3 3 1 9 8 12
9 12 Aston Villa 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 2 2 3 7 11 8
10 13 Crystal Palace 6 2 4 1.5 2.0 2 1 3 9 12 7
11 19 Bournemouth 6 2 4 1.2 2.2 0 3 3 7 13 3
12 9 Hull 7 4 3 1.1 1.0 2 3 2 8 7 9
13 15 Coventry 6 3 3 0.8 1.8 2 0 4 5 11 6
14 16 Fulham 7 4 3 1.0 1.4 1 2 4 7 10 5
15 17 Nott'm Forest 6 3 3 0.8 1.3 1 2 3 5 8 5
16 7 Everton 7 5 2 1.1 1.0 2 4 1 8 7 10
17 8 Leeds 6 4 2 1.3 0.8 2 3 1 8 5 9
18 14 Man United 6 4 2 1.5 1.5 1 3 2 9 9 6
19 18 Sunderland 6 4 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 4 6 12 4
20 20 Tottenham 6 4 2 0.5 1.5 0 3 3 3 9 3
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 4 1 3 2.8 1.5 4 0 0 11 6 12
2 2 Arsenal 3 0 3 2.3 0.7 3 0 0 7 2 9
3 4 Chelsea 3 0 3 3.7 2.0 2 1 0 11 6 7
4 6 Brentford 4 1 3 2.0 0.8 2 1 1 8 3 7
5 11 Newcastle 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5
6 13 Crystal Palace 3 0 3 2.0 2.7 1 0 2 6 8 3
7 3 Brighton 3 1 2 2.7 0.3 2 1 0 8 1 7
8 5 Liverpool 3 1 2 0.7 1.7 0 2 1 2 5 2
9 10 Ipswich 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 2 0 1 4 4 6
10 12 Aston Villa 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 0 1 2 3 5 1
11 15 Coventry 3 1 2 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3
12 16 Fulham 4 2 2 1.5 1.8 1 1 2 6 7 4
13 7 Everton 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
14 8 Leeds 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 1 2 0 5 2 5
15 9 Hull 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 1 2 0 4 2 5
16 14 Man United 3 2 1 2.0 1.3 1 1 1 6 4 4
17 19 Bournemouth 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
18 20 Tottenham 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 1 2 2 5 1
19 17 Nott'm Forest 3 3 0 0.0 0.7 0 1 2 0 2 1
20 18 Sunderland 3 3 0 0.3 1.3 1 0 2 1 4 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Chelsea 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 2 0 2 6 7 6
2 10 Ipswich 4 1 3 1.8 2.8 1 0 3 7 11 3
3 17 Nott'm Forest 3 0 3 1.7 2.0 1 1 1 5 6 4
4 19 Bournemouth 3 0 3 1.3 3.0 0 1 2 4 9 1
5 1 Man City 3 1 2 2.7 0.3 3 0 0 8 1 9
6 3 Brighton 3 1 2 3.3 1.3 2 0 1 10 4 6
7 5 Liverpool 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 3 1 0 7 3 10
8 6 Brentford 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 0 3 0 5 5 3
9 9 Hull 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
10 11 Newcastle 3 1 2 1.3 2.7 1 0 2 4 8 3
11 12 Aston Villa 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 2 1 1 4 6 7
12 18 Sunderland 3 1 2 1.7 2.7 0 1 2 5 8 1
13 2 Arsenal 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 2 0 1 3 3 6
14 7 Everton 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 0 3 0 3 3 3
15 8 Leeds 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
16 13 Crystal Palace 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 1 1 3 4 4
17 14 Man United 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 0 2 1 3 5 2
18 15 Coventry 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 1 0 2 1 4 3
19 16 Fulham 3 2 1 0.3 1.0 0 1 2 1 3 1
20 20 Tottenham 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 0 2 1 1 4 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44