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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: T Bramall

Southampton 0–3 Aston Villa

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 6.00 fair 4.43
Draw 4.20 fair 4.63
Away ✓ 1.55 fair 1.79
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.62
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.62

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Southampton Aston Villa
7 Shots 25
2 Shots on target 10
2 Corners 14
11 Fouls 4
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (310 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 1.20 – 2.00
Home / Draw / Away
SouthamptonDrawAston Villa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.8% 1–2 9.8% 0–1 8.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Southampton before this match, all matches
0.32points / match
0.74scored / match
2.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 23:74
Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.65points / match
1.48scored / match
1.48conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 46:46
Southampton all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

0.74 Goals scored 1.48
2.39 Goals conceded 1.48
3.13 Total goals 2.97
9.39 Shots 12.55
3.10 Shots on target 4.32
17.52 Shots faced 12.35
4.10 Corners 6.19
5.90 Corners against 4.35
12.45 Fouls 11.29
2.52 Yellow cards 1.97
0.35 1st-half goals scored 0.61
1.19 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

6% Wins 45%
13% Draws 29%
81% Losses 26%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
77% Over 1.5 goals 87%
65% Over 2.5 goals 68%
52% Over 3.5 goals 35%
19% Over 4.5 goals 10%
3% Over 5.5 goals 0%
58% Both teams scored 68%
6% Clean sheets 16%
39% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

16% Wins 29%
26% Draws 39%
58% Losses 32%
84% Over 0.5 goals 71%
42% Over 1.5 goals 32%
19% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton all matches
Aston Villa all matches
Southampton before this match, at home
0.33points / match
0.73scored / match
2.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 11:40
Aston Villa before this match, away
1.33points / match
1.27scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 19:27
Southampton at home away Aston Villa

Per match

0.73 Goals scored 1.27
2.67 Goals conceded 1.80
3.40 Total goals 3.07
9.33 Shots 9.80
3.33 Shots on target 3.13
17.33 Shots faced 14.20
3.47 Corners 4.73
5.87 Corners against 5.47
11.73 Fouls 11.67
2.07 Yellow cards 2.07
0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.40
1.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

7% Wins 40%
13% Draws 13%
80% Losses 47%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 87%
67% Over 2.5 goals 73%
53% Over 3.5 goals 33%
33% Over 4.5 goals 13%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 53%
7% Clean sheets 20%
40% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 20%
27% Draws 40%
53% Losses 40%
80% Over 0.5 goals 73%
47% Over 1.5 goals 27%
20% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton at home
Aston Villa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.25 Tottenham – Southampton 3–1 (2–0) 1.385.506.50 1.40 3.00
02.04.25 Southampton – Crystal Palace 1–1 (1–0) 5.753.801.62 1.80 2.00
15.03.25 Southampton – Wolves 1–2 (0–1) 3.703.402.00 1.84 2.06
08.03.25 Liverpool – Southampton 3–1 (0–1) 1.109.0019.00 1.29 3.75
25.02.25 Chelsea – Southampton 4–0 (3–0) 1.178.0013.00 1.29 3.75
22.02.25 Southampton – Brighton 0–4 (0–1) 6.004.101.55 1.57 2.38
15.02.25 Southampton – Bournemouth 1–3 (0–2) 6.004.501.50 1.50 2.63
01.02.25 Ipswich – Southampton 1–2 (1–1) 1.953.603.80 1.73 2.10
25.01.25 Southampton – Newcastle 1–3 (1–2) 6.505.251.42 1.41 2.70
19.01.25 Nott'm Forest – Southampton 3–2 (3–0) 1.384.758.00 1.73 2.10

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.04.25 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–0) 1.953.603.70 1.80 2.00
02.04.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 0–3 (0–0) 2.053.803.25 1.62 2.30
08.03.25 Brentford – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.802.90 1.53 2.50
25.02.25 Crystal Palace – Aston Villa 4–1 (1–0) 2.453.402.80 1.90 2.00
22.02.25 Aston Villa – Chelsea 2–1 (0–1) 2.633.402.60 1.57 2.38
19.02.25 Aston Villa – Liverpool 2–2 (2–1) 3.904.001.83 1.57 2.38
15.02.25 Aston Villa – Ipswich 1–1 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 1.57 2.38
01.02.25 Wolves – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.10
26.01.25 Aston Villa – West Ham 1–1 (1–0) 1.534.335.75 1.67 2.20
18.01.25 Arsenal – Aston Villa 2–2 (1–0) 1.504.107.00 1.87 2.03

Southampton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.04.25 Southampton – Crystal Palace 1–1 (1–0) 5.753.801.62 1.80 2.00
15.03.25 Southampton – Wolves 1–2 (0–1) 3.703.402.00 1.84 2.06
22.02.25 Southampton – Brighton 0–4 (0–1) 6.004.101.55 1.57 2.38
15.02.25 Southampton – Bournemouth 1–3 (0–2) 6.004.501.50 1.50 2.63
25.01.25 Southampton – Newcastle 1–3 (1–2) 6.505.251.42 1.41 2.70
04.01.25 Southampton – Brentford 0–5 (0–1) 3.003.402.40 1.67 2.20
26.12.24 Southampton – West Ham 0–1 (0–0) 3.253.502.20 1.67 2.20
15.12.24 Southampton – Tottenham 0–5 (0–5) 4.334.501.67 1.30 3.50
04.12.24 Southampton – Chelsea 1–5 (1–3) 8.505.251.33 1.44 2.75
24.11.24 Southampton – Liverpool 2–3 (1–1) 11.005.751.27 1.44 2.75

Aston Villa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.04.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 0–3 (0–0) 2.053.803.25 1.62 2.30
08.03.25 Brentford – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.802.90 1.53 2.50
25.02.25 Crystal Palace – Aston Villa 4–1 (1–0) 2.453.402.80 1.90 2.00
01.02.25 Wolves – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.10
18.01.25 Arsenal – Aston Villa 2–2 (1–0) 1.504.107.00 1.87 2.03
15.01.25 Everton – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 3.253.202.30 2.08 1.82
26.12.24 Newcastle – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.30
14.12.24 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 2–1 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 1.90 2.00
01.12.24 Chelsea – Aston Villa 3–0 (2–0) 1.704.104.50 1.53 2.50
09.11.24 Liverpool – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 1.425.256.50 1.44 2.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Southampton winsDrawsAston Villa wins
5matches
1.60goals / match
20%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24E0 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.44 2.75
21.01.23E0 Southampton – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.55 2.10 1.73
16.09.22E0 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.503.50 1.88 2.02
05.03.22E0 Aston Villa – Southampton 4–0 (2–0) 2.303.503.00 1.86 2.04
05.11.21E0 Southampton – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.75 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 31 22 7 2 72 30 +42 73
2 Arsenal 31 17 11 3 56 26 +30 62
3 Nott'm Forest 31 17 6 8 51 37 +14 57
4 Man City 32 16 7 9 62 42 +20 55
5 Chelsea 31 15 8 8 54 37 +17 53
6 Newcastle 30 16 5 9 52 39 +13 53
7 Aston Villa 31 14 9 8 46 46 0 51
8 Fulham 31 13 9 9 47 42 +5 48
9 Brighton 31 12 11 8 49 47 +2 47
10 Bournemouth 31 12 9 10 51 40 +11 45
11 Crystal Palace 31 11 10 10 41 40 +1 43
12 Brentford 31 12 6 13 51 47 +4 42
13 Man United 31 10 8 13 37 41 -4 38
14 Tottenham 31 11 4 16 58 45 +13 37
15 Everton 31 7 14 10 33 38 -5 35
16 West Ham 31 9 8 14 35 52 -17 35
17 Wolves 31 9 5 17 43 59 -16 32
18 Ipswich 31 4 8 19 31 65 -34 20
19 Leicester 31 4 5 22 25 70 -45 17
20 Southampton 31 2 4 25 23 74 -51 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 15 12 2 1 32 11 +21 38
2 Arsenal 15 10 4 1 30 12 +18 34
3 Man City 16 10 3 3 37 21 +16 33
4 Nott'm Forest 15 9 4 2 24 10 +14 31
5 Chelsea 15 9 4 2 28 15 +13 31
6 Aston Villa 16 8 7 1 27 19 +8 31
7 Newcastle 14 8 2 4 26 18 +8 26
8 Fulham 16 7 5 4 25 23 +2 26
9 Brentford 16 7 4 5 30 27 +3 25
10 Brighton 15 6 6 3 21 19 +2 24
11 Tottenham 16 6 3 7 33 27 +6 21
12 Bournemouth 15 6 3 6 19 14 +5 21
13 Man United 16 6 3 7 21 25 -4 21
14 Everton 16 4 8 4 22 19 +3 20
15 Crystal Palace 16 5 5 6 19 23 -4 20
16 West Ham 16 5 3 8 20 30 -10 18
17 Wolves 15 4 2 9 19 27 -8 14
18 Leicester 16 2 3 11 11 33 -22 9
19 Ipswich 16 1 4 11 13 36 -23 7
20 Southampton 15 1 2 12 11 40 -29 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 16 10 5 1 40 19 +21 35
2 Arsenal 16 7 7 2 26 14 +12 28
3 Newcastle 16 8 3 5 26 21 +5 27
4 Nott'm Forest 16 8 2 6 27 27 0 26
5 Bournemouth 16 6 6 4 32 26 +6 24
6 Crystal Palace 15 6 5 4 22 17 +5 23
7 Brighton 16 6 5 5 28 28 0 23
8 Chelsea 16 6 4 6 26 22 +4 22
9 Man City 16 6 4 6 25 21 +4 22
10 Fulham 15 6 4 5 22 19 +3 22
11 Aston Villa 15 6 2 7 19 27 -8 20
12 Wolves 16 5 3 8 24 32 -8 18
13 Brentford 15 5 2 8 21 20 +1 17
14 Man United 15 4 5 6 16 16 0 17
15 West Ham 15 4 5 6 15 22 -7 17
16 Tottenham 15 5 1 9 25 18 +7 16
17 Everton 15 3 6 6 11 19 -8 15
18 Ipswich 15 3 4 8 18 29 -11 13
19 Leicester 15 2 2 11 14 37 -23 8
20 Southampton 16 1 2 13 12 34 -22 5

Southampton   Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Brighton 31 9 22 1.6 1.5 12 11 8 49 47 47
2 17 Wolves 31 9 22 1.4 1.9 9 5 17 43 59 32
3 4 Man City 32 11 21 1.9 1.3 16 7 9 62 42 55
4 7 Aston Villa 31 10 21 1.5 1.5 14 9 8 46 46 51
5 12 Brentford 31 11 20 1.6 1.5 12 6 13 51 47 42
6 14 Tottenham 31 11 20 1.9 1.5 11 4 16 58 45 37
7 19 Leicester 31 11 20 0.8 2.3 4 5 22 25 70 17
8 20 Southampton 31 11 20 0.7 2.4 2 4 25 23 74 10
9 1 Liverpool 31 12 19 2.3 1.0 22 7 2 72 30 73
10 6 Newcastle 30 11 19 1.7 1.3 16 5 9 52 39 53
11 10 Bournemouth 31 12 19 1.6 1.3 12 9 10 51 40 45
12 5 Chelsea 31 13 18 1.7 1.2 15 8 8 54 37 53
13 8 Fulham 31 13 18 1.5 1.4 13 9 9 47 42 48
14 13 Man United 31 14 17 1.2 1.3 10 8 13 37 41 38
15 18 Ipswich 31 14 17 1.0 2.1 4 8 19 31 65 20
16 3 Nott'm Forest 31 15 16 1.6 1.2 17 6 8 51 37 57
17 16 West Ham 31 16 15 1.1 1.7 9 8 14 35 52 35
18 11 Crystal Palace 31 17 14 1.3 1.3 11 10 10 41 40 43
19 2 Arsenal 31 19 12 1.8 0.8 17 11 3 56 26 62
20 15 Everton 31 19 12 1.1 1.2 7 14 10 33 38 35
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Man City 16 4 12 2.3 1.3 10 3 3 37 21 33
2 14 Tottenham 16 4 12 2.1 1.7 6 3 7 33 27 21
3 7 Aston Villa 16 6 10 1.7 1.2 8 7 1 27 19 31
4 8 Fulham 16 6 10 1.6 1.4 7 5 4 25 23 26
5 9 Brighton 15 5 10 1.4 1.3 6 6 3 21 19 24
6 13 Man United 16 6 10 1.3 1.6 6 3 7 21 25 21
7 16 West Ham 16 6 10 1.2 1.9 5 3 8 20 30 18
8 20 Southampton 15 5 10 0.7 2.7 1 2 12 11 40 5
9 1 Liverpool 15 6 9 2.1 0.7 12 2 1 32 11 38
10 5 Chelsea 15 6 9 1.9 1.0 9 4 2 28 15 31
11 6 Newcastle 14 5 9 1.9 1.3 8 2 4 26 18 26
12 12 Brentford 16 7 9 1.9 1.7 7 4 5 30 27 25
13 17 Wolves 15 6 9 1.3 1.8 4 2 9 19 27 14
14 19 Leicester 16 7 9 0.7 2.1 2 3 11 11 33 9
15 2 Arsenal 15 7 8 2.0 0.8 10 4 1 30 12 34
16 11 Crystal Palace 16 8 8 1.2 1.4 5 5 6 19 23 20
17 15 Everton 16 8 8 1.4 1.2 4 8 4 22 19 20
18 18 Ipswich 16 8 8 0.8 2.2 1 4 11 13 36 7
19 10 Bournemouth 15 9 6 1.3 0.9 6 3 6 19 14 21
20 3 Nott'm Forest 15 10 5 1.6 0.7 9 4 2 24 10 31
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Bournemouth 16 3 13 2.0 1.6 6 6 4 32 26 24
2 17 Wolves 16 3 13 1.5 2.0 5 3 8 24 32 18
3 9 Brighton 16 4 12 1.8 1.8 6 5 5 28 28 23
4 3 Nott'm Forest 16 5 11 1.7 1.7 8 2 6 27 27 26
5 7 Aston Villa 15 4 11 1.3 1.8 6 2 7 19 27 20
6 12 Brentford 15 4 11 1.4 1.3 5 2 8 21 20 17
7 19 Leicester 15 4 11 0.9 2.5 2 2 11 14 37 8
8 1 Liverpool 16 6 10 2.5 1.2 10 5 1 40 19 35
9 6 Newcastle 16 6 10 1.6 1.3 8 3 5 26 21 27
10 20 Southampton 16 6 10 0.8 2.1 1 2 13 12 34 5
11 4 Man City 16 7 9 1.6 1.3 6 4 6 25 21 22
12 5 Chelsea 16 7 9 1.6 1.4 6 4 6 26 22 22
13 18 Ipswich 15 6 9 1.2 1.9 3 4 8 18 29 13
14 8 Fulham 15 7 8 1.5 1.3 6 4 5 22 19 22
15 14 Tottenham 15 7 8 1.7 1.2 5 1 9 25 18 16
16 13 Man United 15 8 7 1.1 1.1 4 5 6 16 16 17
17 11 Crystal Palace 15 9 6 1.5 1.1 6 5 4 22 17 23
18 16 West Ham 15 10 5 1.0 1.5 4 5 6 15 22 17
19 2 Arsenal 16 12 4 1.6 0.9 7 7 2 26 14 28
20 15 Everton 15 11 4 0.7 1.3 3 6 6 11 19 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06