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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Harrington

Burnley 2–1 Norwich

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.60 fair 1.62
Draw 3.90 fair 4.09
Away 5.50 fair 7.21
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 1.62
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.61

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burnley Norwich
8 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 2
5 Corners 5
14 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (492 league matches this season so far).
Result Burnley to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.58
Expected goals 1.61 – 0.61
Home / Draw / Away
BurnleyDrawNorwich
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 17.4% 2–0 14.1% 0–0 10.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Burnley before this match, all matches
2.07points / match
1.34scored / match
0.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 41 played · 55:12
Norwich before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.51scored / match
1.37conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 41 played · 62:56
Burnley all matches all matches Norwich

Per match

1.34 Goals scored 1.51
0.29 Goals conceded 1.37
1.63 Total goals 2.88
11.63 Shots 11.90
3.76 Shots on target 4.17
9.12 Shots faced 11.24
5.39 Corners 4.93
3.78 Corners against 4.90
11.83 Fouls 11.71
1.76 Yellow cards 1.76
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.22 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

56% Wins 32%
39% Draws 34%
5% Losses 34%
71% Over 0.5 goals 95%
49% Over 1.5 goals 80%
24% Over 2.5 goals 49%
12% Over 3.5 goals 29%
7% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 12%
24% Both teams scored 63%
71% Clean sheets 17%
34% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 29%
51% Draws 32%
10% Losses 39%
59% Over 0.5 goals 80%
27% Over 1.5 goals 41%
5% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley all matches
Norwich all matches
Burnley before this match, at home
2.10points / match
1.40scored / match
0.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 28:5
Norwich before this match, away
0.90points / match
0.85scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 17:29
Burnley at home away Norwich

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 0.85
0.25 Goals conceded 1.45
1.65 Total goals 2.30
12.45 Shots 10.35
3.60 Shots on target 3.20
7.90 Shots faced 12.55
6.55 Corners 4.35
2.85 Corners against 5.70
10.60 Fouls 12.10
1.50 Yellow cards 1.90
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.35
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.90

How often Full Time

55% Wins 20%
45% Draws 30%
0% Losses 50%
70% Over 0.5 goals 95%
50% Over 1.5 goals 75%
25% Over 2.5 goals 40%
15% Over 3.5 goals 15%
5% Over 4.5 goals 5%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 50%
75% Clean sheets 20%
30% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 15%
55% Draws 35%
5% Losses 50%
60% Over 0.5 goals 75%
30% Over 1.5 goals 35%
0% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley at home
Norwich away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.04.25 Derby – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.301.82 2.75 1.44
05.04.25 Coventry – Burnley 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.202.38 2.20 1.67
29.03.25 Burnley – Bristol City 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.505.00 2.30 1.62
15.03.25 Swansea – Burnley 0–2 (0–2) 3.603.202.10 2.50 1.53
11.03.25 Burnley – West Brom 1–1 (1–1) 1.873.204.33 2.63 1.50
08.03.25 Burnley – Luton 4–0 (2–0) 1.623.606.00 2.38 1.57
04.03.25 Cardiff – Burnley 1–2 (1–2) 4.203.401.90 2.57 1.46
21.02.25 Burnley – Sheffield Weds 4–0 (1–0) 1.773.255.00 2.38 1.57
15.02.25 Preston – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 3.753.252.05 2.75 1.44
12.02.25 Burnley – Hull 2–0 (2–0) 1.673.505.50 2.38 1.57

Norwich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.04.25 Norwich – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 2.373.502.80 1.88 1.98
05.04.25 Plymouth – Norwich 2–1 (2–0) 4.333.601.80 1.93 1.93
29.03.25 Norwich – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.30 2.03 1.83
14.03.25 Bristol City – Norwich 2–1 (2–0) 2.103.403.60 1.95 1.90
11.03.25 Norwich – Sheffield Weds 2–3 (2–0) 2.203.253.25 1.90 1.95
07.03.25 Norwich – Oxford 1–1 (1–1) 1.544.005.50 1.93 1.93
01.03.25 Blackburn – Norwich 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.70 2.05 1.80
22.02.25 Norwich – Stoke 4–2 (1–1) 1.654.005.00 1.93 1.93
15.02.25 Hull – Norwich 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.252.63 1.98 1.88
11.02.25 Norwich – Preston 0–1 (0–1) 1.753.504.75 2.10 1.73

Burnley at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.25 Burnley – Bristol City 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.505.00 2.30 1.62
11.03.25 Burnley – West Brom 1–1 (1–1) 1.873.204.33 2.63 1.50
08.03.25 Burnley – Luton 4–0 (2–0) 1.623.606.00 2.38 1.57
21.02.25 Burnley – Sheffield Weds 4–0 (1–0) 1.773.255.00 2.38 1.57
12.02.25 Burnley – Hull 2–0 (2–0) 1.673.505.50 2.38 1.57
04.02.25 Burnley – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 1.483.807.50 2.20 1.67
27.01.25 Burnley – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.30 2.50 1.53
17.01.25 Burnley – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.40 2.63 1.50
01.01.25 Burnley – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 1.533.806.50 2.20 1.67
21.12.24 Burnley – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 1.703.705.25 2.10 1.73

Norwich away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.04.25 Plymouth – Norwich 2–1 (2–0) 4.333.601.80 1.93 1.93
14.03.25 Bristol City – Norwich 2–1 (2–0) 2.103.403.60 1.95 1.90
01.03.25 Blackburn – Norwich 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.70 2.05 1.80
15.02.25 Hull – Norwich 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.252.63 1.98 1.88
01.02.25 Watford – Norwich 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 1.88 1.98
22.01.25 Leeds – Norwich 2–0 (1–0) 1.384.508.00 1.68 2.05
18.01.25 Sheffield United – Norwich 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.00 1.80
01.01.25 Luton – Norwich 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.70 1.93 1.93
21.12.24 Sunderland – Norwich 2–1 (0–1) 1.803.504.33 1.93 1.93
10.12.24 Portsmouth – Norwich 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.402.15 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burnley winsDrawsNorwich wins
5matches
1.80goals / match
40%over 2.5
20%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.12.24E1 Norwich – Burnley 1–2 (1–0) 2.883.202.50 2.10 1.73
04.02.23E1 Norwich – Burnley 0–3 (0–1) 2.603.302.75 2.00 1.85
25.10.22E1 Burnley – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 1.90 1.95
10.04.22E0 Norwich – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 2.873.202.55 2.30 1.61
02.10.21E0 Burnley – Norwich 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.604.33 1.90 1.90

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 41 24 13 4 80 28 +52 85
2 Burnley 41 23 16 2 55 12 +43 85
3 Sheffield United 41 26 7 8 56 31 +25 85
4 Sunderland 41 21 13 7 57 37 +20 76
5 Bristol City 41 16 15 10 53 44 +9 63
6 Coventry 41 18 8 15 58 53 +5 62
7 Middlesbrough 41 17 9 15 61 50 +11 60
8 West Brom 41 13 18 10 49 38 +11 57
9 Millwall 41 15 12 14 40 41 -1 57
10 Watford 41 16 8 17 49 53 -4 56
11 Norwich 41 13 14 14 62 56 +6 53
12 Blackburn 41 15 8 18 44 45 -1 53
13 Sheffield Weds 41 14 11 16 56 63 -7 53
14 Swansea 41 14 9 18 44 51 -7 51
15 QPR 41 12 13 16 48 54 -6 49
16 Preston 41 10 19 12 42 49 -7 49
17 Portsmouth 41 12 9 20 48 64 -16 45
18 Oxford 41 11 12 18 42 60 -18 45
19 Hull 41 11 11 19 40 49 -9 44
20 Stoke 41 10 14 17 42 54 -12 44
21 Derby 41 11 9 21 42 52 -10 42
22 Cardiff 41 9 15 17 45 65 -20 42
23 Luton 41 10 10 21 37 62 -25 40
24 Plymouth 41 8 13 20 42 81 -39 37
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 20 15 4 1 49 11 +38 49
2 Sheffield United 21 14 3 4 30 16 +14 45
3 Sunderland 20 12 7 1 32 15 +17 43
4 Burnley 20 11 9 0 28 5 +23 42
5 Bristol City 21 12 6 3 32 17 +15 42
6 Coventry 21 12 3 6 36 24 +12 39
7 Watford 21 12 3 6 25 19 +6 39
8 Norwich 21 9 8 4 45 27 +18 35
9 West Brom 20 9 8 3 25 13 +12 35
10 Portsmouth 20 10 5 5 29 18 +11 35
11 Middlesbrough 21 10 5 6 29 22 +7 35
12 Oxford 21 10 5 6 29 28 +1 35
13 Blackburn 21 10 4 7 28 21 +7 34
14 Preston 21 7 12 2 24 18 +6 33
15 Swansea 21 9 5 7 29 21 +8 32
16 Derby 21 9 4 8 25 17 +8 31
17 Millwall 20 9 4 7 22 18 +4 31
18 Stoke 21 7 9 5 27 23 +4 30
19 QPR 20 7 7 6 29 26 +3 28
20 Luton 20 7 7 6 21 20 +1 28
21 Plymouth 20 7 7 6 34 35 -1 28
22 Cardiff 20 7 4 9 23 25 -2 25
23 Sheffield Weds 20 5 7 8 27 29 -2 22
24 Hull 20 4 7 9 21 25 -4 19
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 21 12 7 2 27 7 +20 43
2 Sheffield United 20 12 4 4 26 15 +11 40
3 Leeds 21 9 9 3 31 17 +14 36
4 Sunderland 21 9 6 6 25 22 +3 33
5 Sheffield Weds 21 9 4 8 29 34 -5 31
6 Millwall 21 6 8 7 18 23 -5 26
7 Middlesbrough 20 7 4 9 32 28 +4 25
8 Hull 21 7 4 10 19 24 -5 25
9 Coventry 20 6 5 9 22 29 -7 23
10 West Brom 21 4 10 7 24 25 -1 22
11 Bristol City 20 4 9 7 21 27 -6 21
12 QPR 21 5 6 10 19 28 -9 21
13 Blackburn 20 5 4 11 16 24 -8 19
14 Swansea 20 5 4 11 15 30 -15 19
15 Norwich 20 4 6 10 17 29 -12 18
16 Watford 20 4 5 11 24 34 -10 17
17 Cardiff 21 2 11 8 22 40 -18 17
18 Preston 20 3 7 10 18 31 -13 16
19 Stoke 20 3 5 12 15 31 -16 14
20 Luton 21 3 3 15 16 42 -26 12
21 Derby 20 2 5 13 17 35 -18 11
22 Oxford 20 1 7 12 13 32 -19 10
23 Portsmouth 21 2 4 15 19 46 -27 10
24 Plymouth 21 1 6 14 8 46 -38 9

Burnley   Norwich

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Portsmouth 41 15 26 1.2 1.6 12 9 20 48 64 45
2 6 Coventry 41 18 23 1.4 1.3 18 8 15 58 53 62
3 10 Watford 41 18 23 1.2 1.3 16 8 17 49 53 56
4 13 Sheffield Weds 41 18 23 1.4 1.5 14 11 16 56 63 53
5 24 Plymouth 41 18 23 1.0 2.0 8 13 20 42 81 37
6 15 QPR 41 20 21 1.2 1.3 12 13 16 48 54 49
7 11 Norwich 41 21 20 1.5 1.4 13 14 14 62 56 53
8 4 Sunderland 41 22 19 1.4 0.9 21 13 7 57 37 76
9 7 Middlesbrough 41 22 19 1.5 1.2 17 9 15 61 50 60
10 14 Swansea 41 22 19 1.1 1.2 14 9 18 44 51 51
11 22 Cardiff 41 22 19 1.1 1.6 9 15 17 45 65 42
12 23 Luton 41 23 18 0.9 1.5 10 10 21 37 62 40
13 1 Leeds 41 24 17 2.0 0.7 24 13 4 80 28 85
14 5 Bristol City 41 24 17 1.3 1.1 16 15 10 53 44 63
15 16 Preston 41 24 17 1.0 1.2 10 19 12 42 49 49
16 12 Blackburn 41 25 16 1.1 1.1 15 8 18 44 45 53
17 18 Oxford 41 25 16 1.0 1.5 11 12 18 42 60 45
18 20 Stoke 41 25 16 1.0 1.3 10 14 17 42 54 44
19 21 Derby 41 25 16 1.0 1.3 11 9 21 42 52 42
20 3 Sheffield United 41 27 14 1.4 0.8 26 7 8 56 31 85
21 8 West Brom 41 27 14 1.2 0.9 13 18 10 49 38 57
22 19 Hull 41 28 13 1.0 1.2 11 11 19 40 49 44
23 9 Millwall 41 30 11 1.0 1.0 15 12 14 40 41 57
24 2 Burnley 41 31 10 1.3 0.3 23 16 2 55 12 85
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Coventry 21 6 15 1.7 1.1 12 3 6 36 24 39
2 24 Plymouth 20 6 14 1.7 1.8 7 7 6 34 35 28
3 11 Norwich 21 9 12 2.1 1.3 9 8 4 45 27 35
4 15 QPR 20 8 12 1.4 1.3 7 7 6 29 26 28
5 17 Portsmouth 20 8 12 1.4 0.9 10 5 5 29 18 35
6 1 Leeds 20 9 11 2.5 0.6 15 4 1 49 11 49
7 10 Watford 21 10 11 1.2 0.9 12 3 6 25 19 39
8 5 Bristol City 21 11 10 1.5 0.8 12 6 3 32 17 42
9 4 Sunderland 20 11 9 1.6 0.8 12 7 1 32 15 43
10 14 Swansea 21 12 9 1.4 1.0 9 5 7 29 21 32
11 20 Stoke 21 12 9 1.3 1.1 7 9 5 27 23 30
12 7 Middlesbrough 21 13 8 1.4 1.0 10 5 6 29 22 35
13 12 Blackburn 21 13 8 1.3 1.0 10 4 7 28 21 34
14 13 Sheffield Weds 20 12 8 1.4 1.4 5 7 8 27 29 22
15 18 Oxford 21 13 8 1.4 1.3 10 5 6 29 28 35
16 23 Luton 20 12 8 1.1 1.0 7 7 6 21 20 28
17 3 Sheffield United 21 14 7 1.4 0.8 14 3 4 30 16 45
18 16 Preston 21 14 7 1.1 0.9 7 12 2 24 18 33
19 19 Hull 20 13 7 1.1 1.2 4 7 9 21 25 19
20 21 Derby 21 14 7 1.2 0.8 9 4 8 25 17 31
21 22 Cardiff 20 13 7 1.1 1.2 7 4 9 23 25 25
22 9 Millwall 20 14 6 1.1 0.9 9 4 7 22 18 31
23 2 Burnley 20 15 5 1.4 0.2 11 9 0 28 5 42
24 8 West Brom 20 15 5 1.2 0.7 9 8 3 25 13 35
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Sheffield Weds 21 6 15 1.4 1.6 9 4 8 29 34 31
2 17 Portsmouth 21 7 14 0.9 2.2 2 4 15 19 46 10
3 10 Watford 20 8 12 1.2 1.7 4 5 11 24 34 17
4 22 Cardiff 21 9 12 1.0 1.9 2 11 8 22 40 17
5 7 Middlesbrough 20 9 11 1.6 1.4 7 4 9 32 28 25
6 4 Sunderland 21 11 10 1.2 1.0 9 6 6 25 22 33
7 14 Swansea 20 10 10 0.8 1.5 5 4 11 15 30 19
8 16 Preston 20 10 10 0.9 1.6 3 7 10 18 31 16
9 23 Luton 21 11 10 0.8 2.0 3 3 15 16 42 12
10 8 West Brom 21 12 9 1.1 1.2 4 10 7 24 25 22
11 15 QPR 21 12 9 0.9 1.3 5 6 10 19 28 21
12 21 Derby 20 11 9 0.8 1.8 2 5 13 17 35 11
13 24 Plymouth 21 12 9 0.4 2.2 1 6 14 8 46 9
14 6 Coventry 20 12 8 1.1 1.4 6 5 9 22 29 23
15 11 Norwich 20 12 8 0.8 1.4 4 6 10 17 29 18
16 12 Blackburn 20 12 8 0.8 1.2 5 4 11 16 24 19
17 18 Oxford 20 12 8 0.7 1.6 1 7 12 13 32 10
18 3 Sheffield United 20 13 7 1.3 0.8 12 4 4 26 15 40
19 5 Bristol City 20 13 7 1.1 1.4 4 9 7 21 27 21
20 20 Stoke 20 13 7 0.8 1.6 3 5 12 15 31 14
21 1 Leeds 21 15 6 1.5 0.8 9 9 3 31 17 36
22 19 Hull 21 15 6 0.9 1.1 7 4 10 19 24 25
23 2 Burnley 21 16 5 1.3 0.3 12 7 2 27 7 43
24 9 Millwall 21 16 5 0.9 1.1 6 8 7 18 23 26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51