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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Simpson

Plymouth 1–2 Leeds

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 9.50 fair 5.10
Draw 6.25 fair 4.69
Away ✓ 1.25 fair 1.69
Under 2.5 2.63 fair 2.44
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.70

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Plymouth Leeds
6 Shots 25
0 Shots on target 4
1 Corners 7
16 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (540 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.77
Expected goals 1.06 – 2.00
Home / Draw / Away
PlymouthDrawLeeds
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10% 1–2 9.9% 0–1 9.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Plymouth before this match, all matches
1.02points / match
1.11scored / match
1.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 45 played · 50:86
Leeds before this match, all matches
2.16points / match
2.07scored / match
0.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 45 played · 93:29
Plymouth all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

1.11 Goals scored 2.07
1.91 Goals conceded 0.64
3.02 Total goals 2.71
9.18 Shots 16.33
3.13 Shots on target 5.73
15.47 Shots faced 6.73
3.00 Corners 7.13
6.56 Corners against 3.00
11.67 Fouls 10.31
1.76 Yellow cards 1.51
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.96
0.93 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

24% Wins 62%
29% Draws 29%
47% Losses 9%
96% Over 0.5 goals 93%
82% Over 1.5 goals 78%
60% Over 2.5 goals 44%
36% Over 3.5 goals 29%
18% Over 4.5 goals 11%
9% Over 5.5 goals 11%
56% Both teams scored 36%
7% Clean sheets 56%
42% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 51%
36% Draws 24%
47% Losses 24%
71% Over 0.5 goals 82%
36% Over 1.5 goals 33%
18% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Plymouth all matches
Leeds all matches
Plymouth before this match, at home
1.55points / match
1.77scored / match
1.68conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 39:37
Leeds before this match, away
1.77points / match
1.45scored / match
0.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 32:17
Plymouth at home away Leeds

Per match

1.77 Goals scored 1.45
1.68 Goals conceded 0.77
3.45 Total goals 2.23
11.27 Shots 13.95
4.23 Shots on target 4.77
12.32 Shots faced 8.27
3.73 Corners 5.91
5.27 Corners against 3.45
10.45 Fouls 10.64
1.59 Yellow cards 1.68
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.91 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

41% Wins 45%
32% Draws 41%
27% Losses 14%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
86% Over 1.5 goals 59%
73% Over 2.5 goals 27%
45% Over 3.5 goals 27%
27% Over 4.5 goals 9%
14% Over 5.5 goals 9%
77% Both teams scored 36%
5% Clean sheets 50%
18% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 32%
23% Draws 32%
50% Losses 36%
77% Over 0.5 goals 77%
36% Over 1.5 goals 27%
18% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Plymouth at home
Leeds away

Last 10 matches before this match

Plymouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.04.25 Preston – Plymouth 1–2 (0–1) 1.753.604.75 2.03 1.83
21.04.25 Plymouth – Coventry 3–1 (2–1) 4.753.701.73 1.80 2.00
18.04.25 Middlesbrough – Plymouth 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.007.00 1.57 2.38
12.04.25 Plymouth – Sheffield United 2–1 (0–1) 5.254.001.60 1.93 1.93
09.04.25 Swansea – Plymouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.584.005.00 2.03 1.83
05.04.25 Plymouth – Norwich 2–1 (2–0) 4.333.601.80 1.93 1.93
29.03.25 Watford – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 1.573.905.75 2.03 1.83
15.03.25 Plymouth – Derby 2–3 (1–2) 2.803.202.55 2.50 1.53
12.03.25 Portsmouth – Plymouth 1–2 (0–1) 1.673.705.00 1.93 1.93
08.03.25 Plymouth – Sheffield Weds 0–3 (0–2) 3.603.502.00 1.94 1.79

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.04.25 Leeds – Bristol City 4–0 (1–0) 1.603.905.75 1.83 2.03
21.04.25 Leeds – Stoke 6–0 (5–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.67 2.20
18.04.25 Oxford – Leeds 0–1 (0–1) 8.005.001.36 1.83 2.03
12.04.25 Leeds – Preston 2–1 (2–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.67 2.20
08.04.25 Middlesbrough – Leeds 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.901.67 1.80 2.00
05.04.25 Luton – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 5.254.101.60 2.00 1.85
29.03.25 Leeds – Swansea 2–2 (1–0) 1.226.0012.00 1.73 2.10
15.03.25 QPR – Leeds 2–2 (2–1) 6.004.331.50 2.00 1.85
12.03.25 Leeds – Millwall 2–0 (1–0) 1.295.2510.00 1.98 1.88
09.03.25 Portsmouth – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 7.504.501.40 1.73 2.10

Plymouth at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.04.25 Plymouth – Coventry 3–1 (2–1) 4.753.701.73 1.80 2.00
12.04.25 Plymouth – Sheffield United 2–1 (0–1) 5.254.001.60 1.93 1.93
05.04.25 Plymouth – Norwich 2–1 (2–0) 4.333.601.80 1.93 1.93
15.03.25 Plymouth – Derby 2–3 (1–2) 2.803.202.55 2.50 1.53
08.03.25 Plymouth – Sheffield Weds 0–3 (0–2) 3.603.502.00 1.94 1.79
22.02.25 Plymouth – Cardiff 1–1 (0–1) 2.633.502.50 2.00 1.85
12.02.25 Plymouth – Millwall 5–1 (2–0) 3.403.102.20 2.50 1.53
01.02.25 Plymouth – West Brom 2–1 (0–0) 5.003.751.67 1.90 1.95
22.01.25 Plymouth – Burnley 0–5 (0–5) 6.003.601.60 2.05 1.68
18.01.25 Plymouth – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.252.40 2.05 1.80

Leeds away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.25 Oxford – Leeds 0–1 (0–1) 8.005.001.36 1.83 2.03
08.04.25 Middlesbrough – Leeds 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.901.67 1.80 2.00
05.04.25 Luton – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 5.254.101.60 2.00 1.85
15.03.25 QPR – Leeds 2–2 (2–1) 6.004.331.50 2.00 1.85
09.03.25 Portsmouth – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 7.504.501.40 1.73 2.10
24.02.25 Sheffield United – Leeds 1–3 (1–0) 3.903.701.85 2.05 1.80
11.02.25 Watford – Leeds 0–4 (0–3) 10.004.751.33 1.73 2.10
05.02.25 Coventry – Leeds 0–2 (0–2) 4.003.601.85 1.93 1.93
27.01.25 Burnley – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.30 2.50 1.53
04.01.25 Hull – Leeds 3–3 (1–0) 5.504.201.55 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Plymouth winsDrawsLeeds wins
3matches
2.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24E1 Leeds – Plymouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.188.0011.00 1.44 2.75
17.02.24E1 Plymouth – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 6.504.751.44 1.48 2.60
11.11.23E1 Leeds – Plymouth 2–1 (2–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.36 3.10

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leeds 45 28 13 4 93 29 +64 97 DWWWWW
2 Burnley 45 27 16 2 66 15 +51 97 WDWWWW
3 Sheffield United 45 28 7 10 62 35 +27 91 LLLWLW
4 Sunderland 45 21 13 11 58 43 +15 76 WDLLLL
5 Bristol City 45 17 16 12 57 53 +4 67 WWDWLL
6 Coventry 45 19 9 17 62 58 +4 66 LWDWLL
7 Millwall 45 18 12 15 46 46 0 66 WWWLWW
8 Blackburn 45 19 8 18 52 47 +5 65 LDWWWW
9 Middlesbrough 45 18 10 17 64 54 +10 64 WLLWLD
10 West Brom 45 14 19 12 52 44 +8 61 LLWLLD
11 Swansea 45 17 9 19 48 53 -5 60 WWWWWL
12 Sheffield Weds 45 15 12 18 59 68 -9 57 LDLLWD
13 Watford 45 16 8 21 52 60 -8 56 LWLLLL
14 Norwich 45 13 15 17 67 66 +1 54 LDLLLD
15 QPR 45 13 14 18 52 63 -11 53 DWDWLL
16 Portsmouth 45 14 11 20 57 70 -13 53 LLDWWD
17 Oxford 45 13 13 19 46 62 -16 52 WLWLDW
18 Stoke 45 12 14 19 45 62 -17 50 DDWWLL
19 Derby 45 13 10 22 48 56 -8 49 LDDLWW
20 Preston 45 10 19 16 46 57 -11 49 DDLLLL
21 Luton 45 13 10 22 42 64 -22 49 DDLWWW
22 Hull 45 12 12 21 43 53 -10 48 WLDLWL
23 Plymouth 45 11 13 21 50 86 -36 46 WLWLWW
24 Cardiff 45 9 17 19 46 69 -23 44 DDLLDD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leeds 23 18 4 1 61 12 +49 58 DWDWWW
2 Burnley 22 13 9 0 32 7 +25 48 WWDWWW
3 Sheffield United 22 15 3 4 32 16 +16 48 LWDWLW
4 Bristol City 22 13 6 3 34 18 +16 45 WDWWWW
5 Sunderland 22 12 7 3 32 17 +15 43 LWDWLL
6 Coventry 22 13 3 6 38 24 +14 42 WWWLWW
7 Blackburn 23 12 4 7 34 23 +11 40 DLLDWW
8 Millwall 23 12 4 7 27 19 +8 40 LWWWWW
9 Portsmouth 22 11 6 5 32 20 +12 39 WWLWDW
10 Middlesbrough 23 11 6 6 31 23 +8 39 WWWLWD
11 Watford 22 12 3 7 26 21 +5 39 WLWDWL
12 West Brom 22 10 8 4 28 17 +11 38 WWDLWL
13 Oxford 23 11 5 7 31 29 +2 38 LWWLLW
14 Norwich 22 9 8 5 48 32 +16 35 WDLWDL
15 Swansea 22 10 5 7 30 21 +9 35 WWLWWW
16 Luton 23 9 7 7 25 22 +3 34 WDDLWW
17 Plymouth 22 9 7 6 39 37 +2 34 DLLWWW
18 Stoke 23 8 9 6 29 25 +4 33 DWWDWL
19 Preston 23 7 12 4 26 22 +4 33 DWDDLL
20 Derby 22 9 4 9 25 18 +7 31 LWWWDL
21 QPR 23 7 8 8 31 34 -3 29 LDDDLL
22 Cardiff 23 7 6 10 24 27 -3 27 LLDLDD
23 Sheffield Weds 23 6 8 9 30 32 -2 26 LLLLWD
24 Hull 23 5 8 10 24 28 -4 23 WWLDWL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Burnley 23 14 7 2 34 8 +26 49 WWWDWW
2 Sheffield United 23 13 4 6 30 19 +11 43 WWLLLW
3 Leeds 22 10 9 3 32 17 +15 39 WLDDWW
4 Sunderland 23 9 6 8 26 26 0 33 WLWDLL
5 Sheffield Weds 22 9 4 9 29 36 -7 31 LWWDDL
6 Millwall 22 6 8 8 19 27 -8 26 WWLLWL
7 Middlesbrough 22 7 4 11 33 31 +2 25 WLDWLL
8 Hull 22 7 4 11 19 25 -6 25 LDDWLL
9 Blackburn 22 7 4 11 18 24 -6 25 LLLLWW
10 Swansea 23 7 4 12 18 32 -14 25 DLDWWL
11 QPR 22 6 6 10 21 29 -8 24 LLLLWW
12 Coventry 23 6 6 11 24 34 -10 24 WLLDLL
13 West Brom 23 4 11 8 24 27 -3 23 DDLLLD
14 Bristol City 23 4 10 9 23 35 -12 22 WDLDLL
15 Norwich 23 4 7 12 19 34 -15 19 DLLLLD
16 Derby 23 4 6 13 23 38 -15 18 LWLDWW
17 Watford 23 4 5 14 26 39 -13 17 DLLLLL
18 Cardiff 22 2 11 9 22 42 -20 17 DLWDDL
19 Stoke 22 4 5 13 16 37 -21 17 LLLDWL
20 Preston 22 3 7 12 20 35 -15 16 LLDLLL
21 Luton 22 4 3 15 17 42 -25 15 LLWWDW
22 Oxford 22 2 8 12 15 33 -18 14 LDLLWD
23 Portsmouth 23 3 5 15 25 50 -25 14 LLLLWD
24 Plymouth 23 2 6 15 11 49 -38 12 LWDLLW

Plymouth   Leeds

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 16 Portsmouth 45 17 28 1.3 1.6 14 11 20 57 70 53 OUOOUU
2 23 Plymouth 45 18 27 1.1 1.9 11 13 21 50 86 46 OOOOOO
3 13 Watford 45 19 26 1.2 1.3 16 8 21 52 60 56 OUOOUO
4 6 Coventry 45 21 24 1.4 1.3 19 9 17 62 58 66 OUUUOU
5 12 Sheffield Weds 45 21 24 1.3 1.5 15 12 18 59 68 57 UOUUOU
6 15 QPR 45 21 24 1.2 1.4 13 14 18 52 63 53 UOUOOO
7 14 Norwich 45 22 23 1.5 1.5 13 15 17 67 66 54 OUOOOU
8 9 Middlesbrough 45 24 21 1.4 1.2 18 10 17 64 54 64 UUUOOU
9 20 Preston 45 24 21 1.0 1.3 10 19 16 46 57 49 UOOOOO
10 1 Leeds 45 25 20 2.1 0.6 28 13 4 93 29 97 UUOUOO
11 4 Sunderland 45 25 20 1.3 1.0 21 13 11 58 43 76 UUUOUU
12 5 Bristol City 45 25 20 1.3 1.2 17 16 12 57 53 67 OOUOOO
13 11 Swansea 45 25 20 1.1 1.2 17 9 19 48 53 60 UOUUOU
14 21 Luton 45 26 19 0.9 1.4 13 10 22 42 64 49 UUUUOU
15 24 Cardiff 45 26 19 1.0 1.5 9 17 19 46 69 44 UOUUUU
16 8 Blackburn 45 27 18 1.2 1.0 19 8 18 52 47 65 UOUOUO
17 19 Derby 45 27 18 1.1 1.2 13 10 22 48 56 49 UUOUOU
18 18 Stoke 45 28 17 1.0 1.4 12 14 19 45 62 50 UUUUOU
19 3 Sheffield United 45 29 16 1.4 0.8 28 7 10 62 35 91 UUOUOU
20 10 West Brom 45 29 16 1.2 1.0 14 19 12 52 44 61 UOOUOU
21 17 Oxford 45 29 16 1.0 1.4 13 13 19 46 62 52 UOUUUU
22 2 Burnley 45 31 14 1.5 0.3 27 16 2 66 15 97 OUOOOO
23 22 Hull 45 31 14 1.0 1.2 12 12 21 43 53 48 UUUUOU
24 7 Millwall 45 32 13 1.0 1.0 18 12 15 46 46 66 OUUOOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 23 Plymouth 22 6 16 1.8 1.7 9 7 6 39 37 34 UOOOOO
2 6 Coventry 22 7 15 1.7 1.1 13 3 6 38 24 42 OOOOUU
3 1 Leeds 23 9 14 2.7 0.5 18 4 1 61 12 58 UUOOOO
4 15 QPR 23 9 14 1.3 1.5 7 8 8 31 34 29 OOUUOO
5 14 Norwich 22 9 13 2.2 1.5 9 8 5 48 32 35 OUOUUO
6 16 Portsmouth 22 9 13 1.5 0.9 11 6 5 32 20 39 OUOUOU
7 13 Watford 22 10 12 1.2 1.0 12 3 7 26 21 39 UOUUUO
8 5 Bristol City 22 11 11 1.5 0.8 13 6 3 34 18 45 OUOOOO
9 8 Blackburn 23 13 10 1.5 1.0 12 4 7 34 23 40 UOUOOO
10 4 Sunderland 22 13 9 1.5 0.8 12 7 3 32 17 43 UOUUUU
11 9 Middlesbrough 23 14 9 1.3 1.0 11 6 6 31 23 39 UOOUOU
12 11 Swansea 22 13 9 1.4 1.0 10 5 7 30 21 35 OUUUOU
13 12 Sheffield Weds 23 14 9 1.3 1.4 6 8 9 30 32 26 OUUUOU
14 18 Stoke 23 14 9 1.3 1.1 8 9 6 29 25 33 UUOUUU
15 20 Preston 23 14 9 1.1 1.0 7 12 4 26 22 33 UOUOOO
16 21 Luton 23 14 9 1.1 1.0 9 7 7 25 22 34 UUUUOU
17 17 Oxford 23 15 8 1.3 1.3 11 5 7 31 29 38 OUUOUU
18 22 Hull 23 15 8 1.0 1.2 5 8 10 24 28 23 UOUUOU
19 2 Burnley 22 15 7 1.5 0.3 13 9 0 32 7 48 OOUUOO
20 3 Sheffield United 22 15 7 1.5 0.7 15 3 4 32 16 48 OUUOUU
21 7 Millwall 23 16 7 1.2 0.8 12 4 7 27 19 40 UUOUOU
22 10 West Brom 22 15 7 1.3 0.8 10 8 4 28 17 38 UUUUOO
23 19 Derby 22 15 7 1.1 0.8 9 4 9 25 18 31 UOUUUU
24 24 Cardiff 23 16 7 1.0 1.2 7 6 10 24 27 27 OOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 12 Sheffield Weds 22 7 15 1.3 1.6 9 4 9 29 36 31 OOOUOU
2 16 Portsmouth 23 8 15 1.1 2.2 3 5 15 25 50 14 UOOUOU
3 13 Watford 23 9 14 1.1 1.7 4 5 14 26 39 17 UUOOUO
4 9 Middlesbrough 22 10 12 1.5 1.4 7 4 11 33 31 25 OUUUUO
5 20 Preston 22 10 12 0.9 1.6 3 7 12 20 35 16 OUUUOO
6 24 Cardiff 22 10 12 1.0 1.9 2 11 9 22 42 17 UOOUOU
7 4 Sunderland 23 12 11 1.1 1.1 9 6 8 26 26 33 OOUUOU
8 11 Swansea 23 12 11 0.8 1.4 7 4 12 18 32 25 UUOUOU
9 19 Derby 23 12 11 1.0 1.7 4 6 13 23 38 18 UOUOOU
10 23 Plymouth 23 12 11 0.5 2.1 2 6 15 11 49 12 UOUOOO
11 14 Norwich 23 13 10 0.8 1.5 4 7 12 19 34 19 UOOOOU
12 15 QPR 22 12 10 1.0 1.3 6 6 10 21 29 24 OUOOOO
13 21 Luton 22 12 10 0.8 1.9 4 3 15 17 42 15 UOOUUU
14 3 Sheffield United 23 14 9 1.3 0.8 13 4 6 30 19 43 OUUOOU
15 5 Bristol City 23 14 9 1.0 1.5 4 10 9 23 35 22 UUUUOO
16 6 Coventry 23 14 9 1.0 1.5 6 6 11 24 34 24 OUOUOU
17 10 West Brom 23 14 9 1.0 1.2 4 11 8 24 27 23 UUUOUU
18 8 Blackburn 22 14 8 0.8 1.1 7 4 11 18 24 25 OOUUUU
19 17 Oxford 22 14 8 0.7 1.5 2 8 12 15 33 14 UUOOUU
20 18 Stoke 22 14 8 0.7 1.7 4 5 13 16 37 17 OOUUUO
21 2 Burnley 23 16 7 1.5 0.3 14 7 2 34 8 49 OUOUOO
22 1 Leeds 22 16 6 1.5 0.8 10 9 3 32 17 39 OUOUUU
23 7 Millwall 22 16 6 0.9 1.2 6 8 8 19 27 26 UOUUUO
24 22 Hull 22 16 6 0.9 1.1 7 4 11 19 25 25 UUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11