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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Salisbury

Brighton 1–2 Chelsea

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.30 fair 2.34
Draw 4.00 fair 4.54
Away ✓ 1.95 fair 2.84
Under 2.5 3.00 fair 3.21
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.45

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brighton Chelsea
12 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 6
4 Corners 6
13 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (368 league matches this season so far).
Result Brighton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.45
Expected goals 1.87 – 1.69
Home / Draw / Away
BrightonDrawChelsea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9% 2–1 8.4% 1–2 7.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.50scored / match
1.61conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 54:58
Chelsea before this match, all matches
1.58points / match
2.03scored / match
1.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 73:61
Brighton all matches all matches Chelsea

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 2.03
1.61 Goals conceded 1.69
3.11 Total goals 3.72
14.81 Shots 14.42
5.64 Shots on target 5.64
12.31 Shots faced 14.50
5.42 Corners 5.31
4.33 Corners against 5.06
10.86 Fouls 11.83
2.39 Yellow cards 2.78
0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.97
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

33% Wins 44%
33% Draws 25%
33% Losses 31%
92% Over 0.5 goals 97%
86% Over 1.5 goals 89%
61% Over 2.5 goals 69%
42% Over 3.5 goals 58%
22% Over 4.5 goals 39%
6% Over 5.5 goals 11%
67% Both teams scored 64%
17% Clean sheets 22%
25% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
31% Draws 53%
36% Losses 14%
81% Over 0.5 goals 81%
42% Over 1.5 goals 56%
19% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches
Chelsea all matches
Brighton before this match, at home
1.76points / match
1.71scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 29:23
Chelsea before this match, away
1.28points / match
1.72scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 31:36
Brighton at home away Chelsea

Per match

1.71 Goals scored 1.72
1.35 Goals conceded 2.00
3.06 Total goals 3.72
16.12 Shots 12.33
6.35 Shots on target 4.72
10.24 Shots faced 15.89
7.24 Corners 4.50
3.47 Corners against 5.33
11.47 Fouls 12.78
1.94 Yellow cards 3.11
0.76 1st-half goals scored 0.72
0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.72

How often Full Time

47% Wins 33%
35% Draws 28%
18% Losses 39%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
82% Over 1.5 goals 94%
59% Over 2.5 goals 78%
47% Over 3.5 goals 67%
18% Over 4.5 goals 39%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
71% Both teams scored 78%
18% Clean sheets 11%
18% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 22%
29% Draws 56%
29% Losses 22%
82% Over 0.5 goals 83%
35% Over 1.5 goals 61%
18% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home
Chelsea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.24 Newcastle – Brighton 1–1 (1–1) 1.574.754.75 1.33 3.40
05.05.24 Brighton – Aston Villa 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.752.45 1.50 2.63
28.04.24 Bournemouth – Brighton 3–0 (1–0) 2.253.802.90 1.44 2.75
25.04.24 Brighton – Man City 0–4 (0–3) 6.505.001.40 1.50 2.63
13.04.24 Burnley – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.752.00 1.67 2.20
06.04.24 Brighton – Arsenal 0–3 (0–1) 5.004.331.62 1.62 2.30
03.04.24 Brentford – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.802.75 1.57 2.38
31.03.24 Liverpool – Brighton 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.50 1.36 3.10
10.03.24 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 1–0 (1–0) 1.804.004.00 1.62 2.25
02.03.24 Fulham – Brighton 3–0 (2–0) 2.553.602.63 1.62 2.25

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.24 Nott'm Forest – Chelsea 2–3 (1–1) 3.403.802.00 1.50 2.63
05.05.24 Chelsea – West Ham 5–0 (3–0) 1.654.504.50 1.40 3.00
02.05.24 Chelsea – Tottenham 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.803.00 1.30 3.50
27.04.24 Aston Villa – Chelsea 2–2 (2–0) 2.153.803.00 1.44 2.75
23.04.24 Arsenal – Chelsea 5–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.00 1.53 2.50
15.04.24 Chelsea – Everton 6–0 (4–0) 1.704.204.50 1.53 2.50
07.04.24 Sheffield United – Chelsea 2–2 (1–1) 7.005.251.40 1.40 3.00
04.04.24 Chelsea – Man United 4–3 (2–2) 2.004.003.40 1.40 3.00
30.03.24 Chelsea – Burnley 2–2 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.48 2.60
11.03.24 Chelsea – Newcastle 3–2 (1–1) 1.914.003.60 1.44 2.70

Brighton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.05.24 Brighton – Aston Villa 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.752.45 1.50 2.63
25.04.24 Brighton – Man City 0–4 (0–3) 6.505.001.40 1.50 2.63
06.04.24 Brighton – Arsenal 0–3 (0–1) 5.004.331.62 1.62 2.30
10.03.24 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 1–0 (1–0) 1.804.004.00 1.62 2.25
24.02.24 Brighton – Everton 1–1 (0–0) 1.833.804.20 1.65 2.20
03.02.24 Brighton – Crystal Palace 4–1 (3–0) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.08
22.01.24 Brighton – Wolves 0–0 (0–0) 1.654.335.00 1.62 2.25
28.12.23 Brighton – Tottenham 4–2 (2–0) 2.503.602.60 1.44 2.70
09.12.23 Brighton – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 1.504.756.00 1.57 2.35
06.12.23 Brighton – Brentford 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.25

Chelsea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.24 Nott'm Forest – Chelsea 2–3 (1–1) 3.403.802.00 1.50 2.63
27.04.24 Aston Villa – Chelsea 2–2 (2–0) 2.153.803.00 1.44 2.75
23.04.24 Arsenal – Chelsea 5–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.00 1.53 2.50
07.04.24 Sheffield United – Chelsea 2–2 (1–1) 7.005.251.40 1.40 3.00
02.03.24 Brentford – Chelsea 2–2 (0–1) 3.103.752.15 1.53 2.40
17.02.24 Man City – Chelsea 1–1 (0–1) 1.335.508.00 1.44 2.70
12.02.24 Crystal Palace – Chelsea 1–3 (1–0) 4.203.801.85 1.86 2.04
31.01.24 Liverpool – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.574.335.25 1.44 2.70
30.12.23 Luton – Chelsea 2–3 (0–2) 6.504.201.50 1.65 2.20
24.12.23 Wolves – Chelsea 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.751.91 1.86 2.04

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brighton winsDrawsChelsea wins
5matches
3.40goals / match
60%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.23E0 Chelsea – Brighton 3–2 (2–1) 1.734.204.20 1.53 2.40
15.04.23E0 Chelsea – Brighton 1–2 (1–1) 2.633.402.63 1.94 1.96
29.10.22E0 Brighton – Chelsea 4–1 (3–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.72
18.01.22E0 Brighton – Chelsea 1–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.72 2.10 1.72
29.12.21E0 Chelsea – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.404.507.50 1.93 1.97

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Man City 37 27 7 3 93 33 +60 88 WWWWWW
2 Arsenal 37 27 5 5 89 28 +61 86 LWWWWW
3 Liverpool 37 23 10 4 84 41 +43 79 LWLDWD
4 Aston Villa 37 20 8 9 76 56 +20 68 DWWDLD
5 Tottenham 37 19 6 12 71 61 +10 63 LLLLWL
6 Newcastle 36 17 6 13 79 57 +22 57 WWLWWD
7 Chelsea 36 16 9 11 73 61 +12 57 WLDWWW
8 Man United 36 16 6 14 52 56 -4 54 DDWDLL
9 West Ham 37 14 10 13 59 71 -12 52 WLLDLW
10 Brighton 36 12 12 12 54 58 -4 48 LDLLWD
11 Everton 37 13 9 15 39 49 -10 48 LWWWDW
12 Bournemouth 37 13 9 15 53 65 -12 48 DLWWLL
13 Crystal Palace 37 12 10 15 52 58 -6 46 WWWDWW
14 Wolves 37 13 7 17 50 63 -13 46 DLLWLL
15 Fulham 37 12 8 17 51 59 -8 44 LWLDDL
16 Brentford 37 10 9 18 54 61 -7 39 DWWLDW
17 Nott'm Forest 37 8 9 20 47 66 -19 33 LDLLWL
18 Luton 37 6 8 23 50 81 -31 26 WLLLDL
19 Burnley 37 5 9 23 40 76 -36 24 LDWDLL
20 Sheffield United 37 3 7 27 35 101 -66 16 LLLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 18 14 3 1 47 17 +30 45 WDWWLW
2 Man City 18 13 5 0 48 15 +33 44 WWDWWW
3 Arsenal 18 14 2 2 46 15 +31 44 WWWLWW
4 Newcastle 19 12 4 3 49 22 +27 40 WWDWWD
5 Aston Villa 19 12 4 3 48 28 +20 40 LWDWDD
6 Tottenham 19 13 0 6 38 27 +11 39 WWWLWL
7 Chelsea 18 10 4 4 42 25 +17 34 WDWWWW
8 Brighton 17 8 6 3 29 23 +6 30 WDWLLW
9 Man United 18 9 3 6 28 26 +2 30 LWDWDL
10 Fulham 19 9 2 8 31 24 +7 29 WWLLDL
11 West Ham 19 7 8 4 31 28 +3 29 DDDLDW
12 Everton 19 8 4 7 22 18 +4 28 LWWWWW
13 Bournemouth 19 7 6 6 27 28 -1 27 WWWDWL
14 Wolves 19 8 3 8 26 30 -4 27 WLLLWL
15 Crystal Palace 18 7 4 7 32 26 +6 25 WDLWWW
16 Brentford 18 5 7 6 27 30 -3 22 LDDDWD
17 Nott'm Forest 19 5 5 9 27 30 -3 20 LDWDLL
18 Luton 18 4 4 10 26 33 -7 16 LLDWLD
19 Burnley 18 2 4 12 18 41 -23 10 LLWDDL
20 Sheffield United 18 2 4 12 19 54 -35 10 LLDDLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Man City 19 14 2 3 45 18 +27 44 DWWWWW
2 Arsenal 19 13 3 3 43 13 +30 42 WDWWWW
3 Liverpool 19 9 7 3 37 24 +13 34 WDWLDD
4 Aston Villa 18 8 4 6 28 28 0 28 WWDLWL
5 Tottenham 18 6 6 6 33 34 -1 24 WLDLLL
6 Man United 18 7 3 8 24 30 -6 24 WLDLDL
7 Chelsea 18 6 5 7 31 36 -5 23 DDDLDW
8 West Ham 18 7 2 9 28 43 -15 23 LWLWLL
9 Bournemouth 18 6 3 9 26 37 -11 21 DWLLWL
10 Crystal Palace 19 5 6 8 20 32 -12 21 LDLWDW
11 Everton 18 5 5 8 17 31 -14 20 DLLDLD
12 Wolves 18 5 4 9 24 33 -9 19 WLLDDL
13 Brighton 19 4 6 9 25 35 -10 18 LLDDLD
14 Brentford 19 5 2 12 27 31 -4 17 LLDWLW
15 Newcastle 17 5 2 10 30 35 -5 17 WLLWLW
16 Fulham 18 3 6 9 20 35 -15 15 WLDLWD
17 Burnley 19 3 5 11 22 35 -13 14 DDLWDL
18 Nott'm Forest 18 3 4 11 20 36 -16 13 LLDLLW
19 Luton 19 2 4 13 24 48 -24 10 LLLLLL
20 Sheffield United 19 1 3 15 16 47 -31 6 DLLLLL

Brighton   Chelsea

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Tottenham 37 8 29 1.9 1.6 19 6 12 71 61 63 OOUOOU
2 4 Aston Villa 37 11 26 2.1 1.5 20 8 9 76 56 68 OUOOUO
3 12 Bournemouth 37 11 26 1.4 1.8 13 9 15 53 65 48 OOUOOO
4 18 Luton 37 11 26 1.4 2.2 6 8 23 50 81 26 OOOOUO
5 20 Sheffield United 37 11 26 0.9 2.7 3 7 27 35 101 16 UOOOOU
6 3 Liverpool 37 12 25 2.3 1.1 23 10 4 84 41 79 UOUOOO
7 6 Newcastle 36 11 25 2.2 1.6 17 6 13 79 57 57 UOUOOU
8 7 Chelsea 36 11 25 2.0 1.7 16 9 11 73 61 57 OOOUOO
9 9 West Ham 37 12 25 1.6 1.9 14 10 13 59 71 52 OUOOOO
10 14 Wolves 37 13 24 1.4 1.7 13 7 17 50 63 46 OUUOOO
11 16 Brentford 37 13 24 1.5 1.6 10 9 18 54 61 39 OUOUUO
12 1 Man City 37 14 23 2.5 0.9 27 7 3 93 33 88 OOUOOU
13 2 Arsenal 37 14 23 2.4 0.8 27 5 5 89 28 86 UUOOOU
14 8 Man United 36 13 23 1.4 1.6 16 6 14 52 56 54 OOOUOU
15 15 Fulham 37 14 23 1.4 1.6 12 8 17 51 59 44 UUOUUO
16 10 Brighton 36 14 22 1.5 1.6 12 12 12 54 58 48 OUOOUU
17 19 Burnley 37 15 22 1.1 2.1 5 9 23 40 76 24 UUOUOO
18 13 Crystal Palace 37 17 20 1.4 1.6 12 10 15 52 58 46 UOUUOO
19 17 Nott'm Forest 37 17 20 1.3 1.8 8 9 20 47 66 33 OOUUOO
20 11 Everton 37 22 15 1.1 1.3 13 9 15 39 49 48 OUUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Tottenham 19 3 16 2.0 1.4 13 0 6 38 27 39 OOOOOU
2 4 Aston Villa 19 4 15 2.5 1.5 12 4 3 48 28 40 OUOOOO
3 20 Sheffield United 18 3 15 1.1 3.0 2 4 12 19 54 10 OOOOOO
4 2 Arsenal 18 5 13 2.6 0.8 14 2 2 46 15 44 OOUUOO
5 3 Liverpool 18 5 13 2.6 0.9 14 3 1 47 17 45 OUOOUO
6 6 Newcastle 19 6 13 2.6 1.2 12 4 3 49 22 40 OOUOOU
7 8 Man United 18 6 12 1.6 1.4 9 3 6 28 26 30 OUOOUU
8 12 Bournemouth 19 7 12 1.4 1.5 7 6 6 27 28 27 OOUOOO
9 14 Wolves 19 7 12 1.4 1.6 8 3 8 26 30 27 OOUUOO
10 15 Fulham 19 7 12 1.6 1.3 9 2 8 31 24 29 OOUOUO
11 16 Brentford 18 6 12 1.5 1.7 5 7 6 27 30 22 OOUUUU
12 18 Luton 18 6 12 1.4 1.8 4 4 10 26 33 16 OOUOOU
13 7 Chelsea 18 7 11 2.3 1.4 10 4 4 42 25 34 OOOOUO
14 13 Crystal Palace 18 7 11 1.8 1.4 7 4 7 32 26 25 OUOOUO
15 1 Man City 18 8 10 2.7 0.8 13 5 0 48 15 44 UOUOOO
16 9 West Ham 19 9 10 1.6 1.5 7 8 4 31 28 29 OUUUOO
17 10 Brighton 17 7 10 1.7 1.4 8 6 3 29 23 30 OUUOOU
18 17 Nott'm Forest 19 9 10 1.4 1.6 5 5 9 27 30 20 UUOOUO
19 19 Burnley 18 8 10 1.0 2.3 2 4 12 18 41 10 OUOUUO
20 11 Everton 19 12 7 1.2 0.9 8 4 7 22 18 28 OUUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 9 West Ham 18 3 15 1.6 2.4 7 2 9 28 43 23 UOOOOO
2 7 Chelsea 18 4 14 1.7 2.0 6 5 7 31 36 23 UOOOOO
3 12 Bournemouth 18 4 14 1.4 2.1 6 3 9 26 37 21 OUOOUO
4 18 Luton 19 5 14 1.3 2.5 2 4 13 24 48 10 OOUOOO
5 1 Man City 19 6 13 2.4 0.9 14 2 3 45 18 44 UOOUOU
6 5 Tottenham 18 5 13 1.8 1.9 6 6 6 33 34 24 OOUOUO
7 3 Liverpool 19 7 12 1.9 1.3 9 7 3 37 24 34 UOOUOO
8 6 Newcastle 17 5 12 1.8 2.1 5 2 10 30 35 17 OOOUUO
9 10 Brighton 19 7 12 1.3 1.8 4 6 9 25 35 18 OOUUOU
10 14 Wolves 18 6 12 1.3 1.8 5 4 9 24 33 19 OOUUOO
11 16 Brentford 19 7 12 1.4 1.6 5 2 12 27 31 17 OOOOUO
12 19 Burnley 19 7 12 1.2 1.8 3 5 11 22 35 14 OOUOUO
13 4 Aston Villa 18 7 11 1.6 1.6 8 4 6 28 28 28 OOUOUU
14 8 Man United 18 7 11 1.3 1.7 7 3 8 24 30 24 OOUOOO
15 15 Fulham 18 7 11 1.1 1.9 3 6 9 20 35 15 OOOOUU
16 20 Sheffield United 19 8 11 0.8 2.5 1 3 15 16 47 6 OOUOOU
17 2 Arsenal 19 9 10 2.3 0.7 13 3 3 43 13 42 OUOUOU
18 17 Nott'm Forest 18 8 10 1.1 2.0 3 4 11 20 36 13 OUUOUO
19 13 Crystal Palace 19 10 9 1.1 1.7 5 6 8 20 32 21 OUUUUO
20 11 Everton 18 10 8 0.9 1.7 5 5 8 17 31 20 UUOUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10