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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: R Jones

Southampton 1–3 Brighton

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2022/2023

Home 3.30 fair 2.61
Draw 3.50 fair 4.11
Away ✓ 2.15 fair 2.68
Under 2.5 1.96 fair 2.35
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.94 fair 1.74

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Southampton Brighton
14 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 2
9 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (147 league matches this season so far).
Result Southampton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 1.51 – 1.49
Home / Draw / Away
SouthamptonDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 2–1 8.5% 1–2 8.3%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Southampton before this match, all matches
0.80points / match
0.87scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 13:27
Brighton before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.64scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 23:19
Southampton all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

0.87 Goals scored 1.64
1.80 Goals conceded 1.36
2.67 Total goals 3.00
11.53 Shots 13.93
3.80 Shots on target 5.50
13.00 Shots faced 9.57
4.27 Corners 6.43
6.00 Corners against 4.07
10.27 Fouls 11.00
1.60 Yellow cards 1.36
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.93
0.87 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

20% Wins 43%
20% Draws 21%
60% Losses 36%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
67% Over 1.5 goals 71%
53% Over 2.5 goals 57%
33% Over 3.5 goals 36%
13% Over 4.5 goals 29%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
60% Both teams scored 57%
7% Clean sheets 29%
33% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 29%
27% Draws 50%
53% Losses 21%
73% Over 0.5 goals 71%
27% Over 1.5 goals 50%
20% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton all matches
Brighton all matches
Southampton before this match, at home
0.86points / match
1.14scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 8:12
Brighton before this match, away
1.43points / match
1.71scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 12:13
Southampton at home away Brighton

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 1.71
1.71 Goals conceded 1.86
2.86 Total goals 3.57
14.00 Shots 12.43
5.43 Shots on target 4.71
12.86 Shots faced 11.43
5.71 Corners 4.86
5.29 Corners against 5.14
9.29 Fouls 11.57
1.29 Yellow cards 1.00
0.43 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

14% Wins 43%
43% Draws 14%
43% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 100%
57% Over 2.5 goals 71%
29% Over 3.5 goals 43%
14% Over 4.5 goals 29%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
86% Both teams scored 71%
0% Clean sheets 14%
14% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 43%
43% Draws 29%
29% Losses 29%
57% Over 0.5 goals 86%
14% Over 1.5 goals 57%
14% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.11.22 Liverpool – Southampton 3–1 (3–1) 1.256.5011.00 1.40 3.00
06.11.22 Southampton – Newcastle 1–4 (0–1) 4.003.601.90 1.95 1.95
29.10.22 Crystal Palace – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.604.00 2.06 1.84
23.10.22 Southampton – Arsenal 1–1 (0–1) 6.004.001.57 1.66 2.20
19.10.22 Bournemouth – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 2.623.302.62 2.00 1.80
16.10.22 Southampton – West Ham 1–1 (1–0) 2.903.402.40 2.00 1.90
08.10.22 Man City – Southampton 4–0 (2–0) 1.1110.0017.00 1.25 4.00
01.10.22 Southampton – Everton 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.403.40 2.04 1.86
16.09.22 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.503.50 1.88 2.02
03.09.22 Wolves – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.04 1.86

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.11.22 Brighton – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 1.833.754.20 1.96 1.94
05.11.22 Wolves – Brighton 2–3 (2–2) 3.303.302.25 2.10 1.72
29.10.22 Brighton – Chelsea 4–1 (3–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.72
22.10.22 Man City – Brighton 3–1 (2–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.44 2.75
18.10.22 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 0–0 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 1.72 2.10
14.10.22 Brentford – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.30 1.97 1.93
08.10.22 Brighton – Tottenham 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.402.50 1.88 2.02
01.10.22 Liverpool – Brighton 3–3 (1–2) 1.335.258.50 1.53 2.50
04.09.22 Brighton – Leicester 5–2 (2–2) 1.833.504.50 2.01 1.89
30.08.22 Fulham – Brighton 2–1 (0–0) 3.103.302.30 2.01 1.89

Southampton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.11.22 Southampton – Newcastle 1–4 (0–1) 4.003.601.90 1.95 1.95
23.10.22 Southampton – Arsenal 1–1 (0–1) 6.004.001.57 1.66 2.20
16.10.22 Southampton – West Ham 1–1 (1–0) 2.903.402.40 2.00 1.90
01.10.22 Southampton – Everton 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.403.40 2.04 1.86
30.08.22 Southampton – Chelsea 2–1 (2–1) 5.254.001.61 1.72 2.10
27.08.22 Southampton – Man United 0–1 (0–0) 4.204.001.80 1.57 2.37
13.08.22 Southampton – Leeds 2–2 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.72 2.10
17.05.22 Southampton – Liverpool 1–2 (1–1) 7.505.501.33 1.44 2.75
30.04.22 Southampton – Crystal Palace 1–2 (1–0) 2.403.303.10 2.03 1.87
16.04.22 Southampton – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.803.601.95 1.90 2.00

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.22 Wolves – Brighton 2–3 (2–2) 3.303.302.25 2.10 1.72
22.10.22 Man City – Brighton 3–1 (2–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.44 2.75
14.10.22 Brentford – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.30 1.97 1.93
01.10.22 Liverpool – Brighton 3–3 (1–2) 1.335.258.50 1.53 2.50
30.08.22 Fulham – Brighton 2–1 (0–0) 3.103.302.30 2.01 1.89
21.08.22 West Ham – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 1.99 1.91
07.08.22 Man United – Brighton 1–2 (0–2) 1.604.205.25 1.92 1.98
15.05.22 Leeds – Brighton 1–1 (0–1) 2.623.502.62 1.84 2.06
30.04.22 Wolves – Brighton 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.202.75 2.50 1.53
20.04.22 Man City – Brighton 3–0 (0–0) 1.167.0017.00 1.61 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Southampton winsDrawsBrighton wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.04.22E0 Brighton – Southampton 2–2 (2–1) 2.103.403.60 2.02 1.88
04.12.21E0 Southampton – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.66

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 14 12 1 1 33 11 +22 37
2 Man City 14 10 2 2 40 14 +26 32
3 Newcastle 15 8 6 1 29 11 +18 30
4 Tottenham 16 9 3 4 33 23 +10 30
5 Man United 14 8 2 4 20 20 0 26
6 Liverpool 14 6 4 4 28 17 +11 22
7 Brighton 14 6 3 5 23 19 +4 21
8 Chelsea 14 6 3 5 17 17 0 21
9 Brentford 16 4 8 4 25 27 -2 20
10 Fulham 15 5 4 6 24 26 -2 19
11 Crystal Palace 14 5 4 5 15 18 -3 19
12 Aston Villa 15 5 3 7 16 22 -6 18
13 Leicester 15 5 2 8 25 25 0 17
14 Bournemouth 15 4 4 7 18 32 -14 16
15 Leeds 14 4 3 7 22 26 -4 15
16 West Ham 15 4 2 9 12 17 -5 14
17 Everton 15 3 5 7 11 17 -6 14
18 Nott'm Forest 15 3 4 8 11 30 -19 13
19 Southampton 15 3 3 9 13 27 -14 12
20 Wolves 15 2 4 9 8 24 -16 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 8 7 0 1 30 9 +21 21
2 Arsenal 6 6 0 0 19 7 +12 18
3 Newcastle 8 5 3 0 17 5 +12 18
4 Tottenham 8 6 0 2 21 11 +10 18
5 Liverpool 8 5 2 1 21 8 +13 17
6 Brentford 8 3 4 1 15 9 +6 13
7 Aston Villa 7 4 1 2 11 6 +5 13
8 Man United 6 4 1 1 9 4 +5 13
9 Crystal Palace 7 4 1 2 10 8 +2 13
10 Fulham 8 3 3 2 14 13 +1 12
11 Brighton 7 3 2 2 11 6 +5 11
12 Chelsea 6 3 2 1 10 6 +4 11
13 Leeds 7 3 2 2 12 9 +3 11
14 Bournemouth 8 3 2 3 9 8 +1 11
15 Nott'm Forest 8 3 2 3 10 11 -1 11
16 West Ham 8 3 1 4 9 10 -1 10
17 Leicester 7 2 2 3 9 6 +3 8
18 Everton 7 2 2 3 6 6 0 8
19 Wolves 8 2 2 4 5 13 -8 8
20 Southampton 7 1 3 3 8 12 -4 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 8 6 1 1 14 4 +10 19
2 Man United 8 4 1 3 11 16 -5 13
3 Newcastle 7 3 3 1 12 6 +6 12
4 Tottenham 8 3 3 2 12 12 0 12
5 Man City 6 3 2 1 10 5 +5 11
6 Brighton 7 3 1 3 12 13 -1 10
7 Chelsea 8 3 1 4 7 11 -4 10
8 Leicester 8 3 0 5 16 19 -3 9
9 Fulham 7 2 1 4 10 13 -3 7
10 Brentford 8 1 4 3 10 18 -8 7
11 Crystal Palace 7 1 3 3 5 10 -5 6
12 Everton 8 1 3 4 5 11 -6 6
13 Southampton 8 2 0 6 5 15 -10 6
14 Liverpool 6 1 2 3 7 9 -2 5
15 Aston Villa 8 1 2 5 5 16 -11 5
16 Bournemouth 7 1 2 4 9 24 -15 5
17 West Ham 7 1 1 5 3 7 -4 4
18 Leeds 7 1 1 5 10 17 -7 4
19 Wolves 7 0 2 5 3 11 -8 2
20 Nott'm Forest 7 0 2 5 1 19 -18 2

Southampton   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Fulham 15 2 13 1.6 1.7 5 4 6 24 26 19
2 2 Man City 14 4 10 2.9 1.0 10 2 2 40 14 32
3 4 Tottenham 16 6 10 2.1 1.4 9 3 4 33 23 30
4 9 Brentford 16 6 10 1.6 1.7 4 8 4 25 27 20
5 1 Arsenal 14 5 9 2.4 0.8 12 1 1 33 11 37
6 6 Liverpool 14 5 9 2.0 1.2 6 4 4 28 17 22
7 13 Leicester 15 6 9 1.7 1.7 5 2 8 25 25 17
8 14 Bournemouth 15 6 9 1.2 2.1 4 4 7 18 32 16
9 15 Leeds 14 5 9 1.6 1.9 4 3 7 22 26 15
10 5 Man United 14 6 8 1.4 1.4 8 2 4 20 20 26
11 7 Brighton 14 6 8 1.6 1.4 6 3 5 23 19 21
12 8 Chelsea 14 6 8 1.2 1.2 6 3 5 17 17 21
13 12 Aston Villa 15 7 8 1.1 1.5 5 3 7 16 22 18
14 19 Southampton 15 7 8 0.9 1.8 3 3 9 13 27 12
15 3 Newcastle 15 8 7 1.9 0.7 8 6 1 29 11 30
16 11 Crystal Palace 14 7 7 1.1 1.3 5 4 5 15 18 19
17 18 Nott'm Forest 15 9 6 0.7 2.0 3 4 8 11 30 13
18 20 Wolves 15 9 6 0.5 1.6 2 4 9 8 24 10
19 17 Everton 15 10 5 0.7 1.1 3 5 7 11 17 14
20 16 West Ham 15 12 3 0.8 1.1 4 2 9 12 17 14
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 8 0 8 3.8 1.1 7 0 1 30 9 21
2 10 Fulham 8 1 7 1.8 1.6 3 3 2 14 13 12
3 1 Arsenal 6 0 6 3.2 1.2 6 0 0 19 7 18
4 4 Tottenham 8 2 6 2.6 1.4 6 0 2 21 11 18
5 6 Liverpool 8 3 5 2.6 1.0 5 2 1 21 8 17
6 8 Chelsea 6 2 4 1.7 1.0 3 2 1 10 6 11
7 9 Brentford 8 4 4 1.9 1.1 3 4 1 15 9 13
8 11 Crystal Palace 7 3 4 1.4 1.1 4 1 2 10 8 13
9 14 Bournemouth 8 4 4 1.1 1.0 3 2 3 9 8 11
10 15 Leeds 7 3 4 1.7 1.3 3 2 2 12 9 11
11 19 Southampton 7 3 4 1.1 1.7 1 3 3 8 12 6
12 3 Newcastle 8 5 3 2.1 0.6 5 3 0 17 5 18
13 5 Man United 6 3 3 1.5 0.7 4 1 1 9 4 13
14 7 Brighton 7 4 3 1.6 0.9 3 2 2 11 6 11
15 12 Aston Villa 7 4 3 1.6 0.9 4 1 2 11 6 13
16 13 Leicester 7 4 3 1.3 0.9 2 2 3 9 6 8
17 18 Nott'm Forest 8 5 3 1.2 1.4 3 2 3 10 11 11
18 20 Wolves 8 5 3 0.6 1.6 2 2 4 5 13 8
19 16 West Ham 8 6 2 1.1 1.2 3 1 4 9 10 10
20 17 Everton 7 5 2 0.9 0.9 2 2 3 6 6 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Brentford 8 2 6 1.2 2.2 1 4 3 10 18 7
2 10 Fulham 7 1 6 1.4 1.9 2 1 4 10 13 7
3 13 Leicester 8 2 6 2.0 2.4 3 0 5 16 19 9
4 5 Man United 8 3 5 1.4 2.0 4 1 3 11 16 13
5 7 Brighton 7 2 5 1.7 1.9 3 1 3 12 13 10
6 12 Aston Villa 8 3 5 0.6 2.0 1 2 5 5 16 5
7 14 Bournemouth 7 2 5 1.3 3.4 1 2 4 9 24 5
8 15 Leeds 7 2 5 1.4 2.4 1 1 5 10 17 4
9 3 Newcastle 7 3 4 1.7 0.9 3 3 1 12 6 12
10 4 Tottenham 8 4 4 1.5 1.5 3 3 2 12 12 12
11 6 Liverpool 6 2 4 1.2 1.5 1 2 3 7 9 5
12 8 Chelsea 8 4 4 0.9 1.4 3 1 4 7 11 10
13 19 Southampton 8 4 4 0.6 1.9 2 0 6 5 15 6
14 1 Arsenal 8 5 3 1.8 0.5 6 1 1 14 4 19
15 11 Crystal Palace 7 4 3 0.7 1.4 1 3 3 5 10 6
16 17 Everton 8 5 3 0.6 1.4 1 3 4 5 11 6
17 18 Nott'm Forest 7 4 3 0.1 2.7 0 2 5 1 19 2
18 20 Wolves 7 4 3 0.4 1.6 0 2 5 3 11 2
19 2 Man City 6 4 2 1.7 0.8 3 2 1 10 5 11
20 16 West Ham 7 6 1 0.4 1.0 1 1 5 3 7 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51