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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Hooper

Brentford 2–4 Newcastle

Full time · half time 0–3 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.90 fair 2.62
Draw 3.90 fair 4.59
Away ✓ 2.20 fair 2.49
Under 2.5 3.20 fair 3.38
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.36 fair 1.42

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brentford Newcastle
10 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 7
3 Corners 0
15 Fouls 11
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (370 league matches this season so far).
Result Newcastle to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.42
Expected goals 1.80 – 1.84
Home / Draw / Away
BrentfordDrawNewcastle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 8.7% 1–2 8% 2–1 7.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Brentford before this match, all matches
1.05points / match
1.46scored / match
1.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 54:61
Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.54points / match
2.19scored / match
1.62conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 81:60
Brentford all matches all matches Newcastle

Per match

1.46 Goals scored 2.19
1.65 Goals conceded 1.62
3.11 Total goals 3.81
12.51 Shots 14.57
4.51 Shots on target 5.57
14.49 Shots faced 14.16
4.92 Corners 5.22
5.92 Corners against 5.19
9.97 Fouls 10.11
2.27 Yellow cards 1.95
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.92
0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

27% Wins 46%
24% Draws 16%
49% Losses 38%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
81% Over 1.5 goals 84%
65% Over 2.5 goals 70%
41% Over 3.5 goals 59%
22% Over 4.5 goals 38%
8% Over 5.5 goals 16%
65% Both teams scored 59%
19% Clean sheets 27%
22% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 32%
51% Draws 46%
27% Losses 22%
68% Over 0.5 goals 73%
32% Over 1.5 goals 51%
14% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brentford all matches
Newcastle all matches
Brentford before this match, at home
1.22points / match
1.50scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 27:30
Newcastle before this match, away
0.94points / match
1.78scored / match
2.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 32:38
Brentford at home away Newcastle

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.78
1.67 Goals conceded 2.11
3.17 Total goals 3.89
13.89 Shots 11.61
4.44 Shots on target 4.61
14.22 Shots faced 16.11
4.94 Corners 4.50
5.72 Corners against 5.78
8.78 Fouls 10.39
1.83 Yellow cards 2.22
0.61 1st-half goals scored 0.72
0.72 1st-half goals conceded 0.72

How often Full Time

28% Wins 28%
39% Draws 11%
33% Losses 61%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 83%
67% Over 2.5 goals 72%
56% Over 3.5 goals 67%
22% Over 4.5 goals 44%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
72% Both teams scored 61%
22% Clean sheets 11%
17% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 22%
61% Draws 39%
22% Losses 39%
67% Over 0.5 goals 72%
39% Over 1.5 goals 44%
17% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brentford at home
Newcastle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brentford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.24 Bournemouth – Brentford 1–2 (0–0) 1.954.003.50 1.44 2.75
04.05.24 Brentford – Fulham 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.803.20 1.57 2.38
27.04.24 Everton – Brentford 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.503.00 1.87 2.03
20.04.24 Luton – Brentford 1–5 (0–2) 3.103.752.15 1.57 2.38
13.04.24 Brentford – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.50 1.53 2.50
06.04.24 Aston Villa – Brentford 3–3 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.53 2.50
03.04.24 Brentford – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.802.75 1.57 2.38
30.03.24 Brentford – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.802.20 1.53 2.40
16.03.24 Burnley – Brentford 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.602.15 1.75 2.05
09.03.24 Arsenal – Brentford 2–1 (1–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.44 2.70

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.05.24 Man United – Newcastle 3–2 (1–0) 2.754.002.30 1.33 3.40
11.05.24 Newcastle – Brighton 1–1 (1–1) 1.574.754.75 1.33 3.40
04.05.24 Burnley – Newcastle 1–4 (0–3) 3.404.001.95 1.50 2.63
27.04.24 Newcastle – Sheffield United 5–1 (1–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.33 3.40
24.04.24 Crystal Palace – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 2.753.602.40 1.57 2.38
13.04.24 Newcastle – Tottenham 4–0 (2–0) 2.704.002.30 1.36 3.20
06.04.24 Fulham – Newcastle 0–1 (0–0) 2.383.802.80 1.50 2.63
02.04.24 Newcastle – Everton 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.753.50 1.67 2.20
30.03.24 Newcastle – West Ham 4–3 (1–2) 1.834.203.80 1.50 2.50
11.03.24 Chelsea – Newcastle 3–2 (1–1) 1.914.003.60 1.44 2.70

Brentford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.05.24 Brentford – Fulham 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.803.20 1.57 2.38
13.04.24 Brentford – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.50 1.53 2.50
03.04.24 Brentford – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.802.75 1.57 2.38
30.03.24 Brentford – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.802.20 1.53 2.40
02.03.24 Brentford – Chelsea 2–2 (0–1) 3.103.752.15 1.53 2.40
17.02.24 Brentford – Liverpool 1–4 (0–1) 5.504.331.57 1.48 2.60
05.02.24 Brentford – Man City 1–3 (1–1) 7.004.751.40 1.57 2.35
20.01.24 Brentford – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (1–1) 1.913.604.00 1.86 2.04
27.12.23 Brentford – Wolves 1–4 (1–3) 1.953.504.20 2.03 1.87
17.12.23 Brentford – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.203.752.10 1.70 2.10

Newcastle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.05.24 Man United – Newcastle 3–2 (1–0) 2.754.002.30 1.33 3.40
04.05.24 Burnley – Newcastle 1–4 (0–3) 3.404.001.95 1.50 2.63
24.04.24 Crystal Palace – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 2.753.602.40 1.57 2.38
06.04.24 Fulham – Newcastle 0–1 (0–0) 2.383.802.80 1.50 2.63
11.03.24 Chelsea – Newcastle 3–2 (1–1) 1.914.003.60 1.44 2.70
24.02.24 Arsenal – Newcastle 4–1 (2–0) 1.365.258.00 1.48 2.60
10.02.24 Nott'm Forest – Newcastle 2–3 (2–2) 3.303.752.05 1.70 2.10
30.01.24 Aston Villa – Newcastle 1–3 (0–2) 1.854.003.80 1.50 2.50
01.01.24 Liverpool – Newcastle 4–2 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.44 2.70
23.12.23 Luton – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 4.754.201.65 1.75 2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brentford winsDrawsNewcastle wins
5matches
3.60goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.09.23E0 Newcastle – Brentford 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.206.00 1.67 2.20
08.04.23E0 Brentford – Newcastle 1–2 (1–0) 3.603.402.05 2.03 1.87
08.10.22E0 Newcastle – Brentford 5–1 (2–0) 1.833.804.20 1.72 2.10
26.02.22E0 Brentford – Newcastle 0–2 (0–2) 2.503.203.00 2.30 1.61
20.11.21E0 Newcastle – Brentford 3–3 (2–2) 2.623.402.70 2.00 1.90

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Man City 37 27 7 3 93 33 +60 88 WWWWWW
2 Arsenal 37 27 5 5 89 28 +61 86 LWWWWW
3 Liverpool 37 23 10 4 84 41 +43 79 LWLDWD
4 Aston Villa 37 20 8 9 76 56 +20 68 DWWDLD
5 Tottenham 37 19 6 12 71 61 +10 63 LLLLWL
6 Chelsea 37 17 9 11 75 62 +13 60 LDWWWW
7 Newcastle 37 17 6 14 81 60 +21 57 WLWWDL
8 Man United 37 17 6 14 55 58 -3 57 DWDLLW
9 West Ham 37 14 10 13 59 71 -12 52 WLLDLW
10 Brighton 37 12 12 13 55 60 -5 48 DLLWDL
11 Everton 37 13 9 15 39 49 -10 48 LWWWDW
12 Bournemouth 37 13 9 15 53 65 -12 48 DLWWLL
13 Crystal Palace 37 12 10 15 52 58 -6 46 WWWDWW
14 Wolves 37 13 7 17 50 63 -13 46 DLLWLL
15 Fulham 37 12 8 17 51 59 -8 44 LWLDDL
16 Brentford 37 10 9 18 54 61 -7 39 DWWLDW
17 Nott'm Forest 37 8 9 20 47 66 -19 33 LDLLWL
18 Luton 37 6 8 23 50 81 -31 26 WLLLDL
19 Burnley 37 5 9 23 40 76 -36 24 LDWDLL
20 Sheffield United 37 3 7 27 35 101 -66 16 LLLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 18 14 3 1 47 17 +30 45 WDWWLW
2 Man City 18 13 5 0 48 15 +33 44 WWDWWW
3 Arsenal 18 14 2 2 46 15 +31 44 WWWLWW
4 Newcastle 19 12 4 3 49 22 +27 40 WWDWWD
5 Aston Villa 19 12 4 3 48 28 +20 40 LWDWDD
6 Tottenham 19 13 0 6 38 27 +11 39 WWWLWL
7 Chelsea 18 10 4 4 42 25 +17 34 WDWWWW
8 Man United 19 10 3 6 31 28 +3 33 WDWDLW
9 Brighton 18 8 6 4 30 25 +5 30 DWLLWL
10 Fulham 19 9 2 8 31 24 +7 29 WWLLDL
11 West Ham 19 7 8 4 31 28 +3 29 DDDLDW
12 Everton 19 8 4 7 22 18 +4 28 LWWWWW
13 Bournemouth 19 7 6 6 27 28 -1 27 WWWDWL
14 Wolves 19 8 3 8 26 30 -4 27 WLLLWL
15 Crystal Palace 18 7 4 7 32 26 +6 25 WDLWWW
16 Brentford 18 5 7 6 27 30 -3 22 LDDDWD
17 Nott'm Forest 19 5 5 9 27 30 -3 20 LDWDLL
18 Luton 18 4 4 10 26 33 -7 16 LLDWLD
19 Burnley 18 2 4 12 18 41 -23 10 LLWDDL
20 Sheffield United 18 2 4 12 19 54 -35 10 LLDDLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Man City 19 14 2 3 45 18 +27 44 DWWWWW
2 Arsenal 19 13 3 3 43 13 +30 42 WDWWWW
3 Liverpool 19 9 7 3 37 24 +13 34 WDWLDD
4 Aston Villa 18 8 4 6 28 28 0 28 WWDLWL
5 Chelsea 19 7 5 7 33 37 -4 26 DDLDWW
6 Tottenham 18 6 6 6 33 34 -1 24 WLDLLL
7 Man United 18 7 3 8 24 30 -6 24 WLDLDL
8 West Ham 18 7 2 9 28 43 -15 23 LWLWLL
9 Bournemouth 18 6 3 9 26 37 -11 21 DWLLWL
10 Crystal Palace 19 5 6 8 20 32 -12 21 LDLWDW
11 Everton 18 5 5 8 17 31 -14 20 DLLDLD
12 Wolves 18 5 4 9 24 33 -9 19 WLLDDL
13 Brighton 19 4 6 9 25 35 -10 18 LLDDLD
14 Brentford 19 5 2 12 27 31 -4 17 LLDWLW
15 Newcastle 18 5 2 11 32 38 -6 17 LLWLWL
16 Fulham 18 3 6 9 20 35 -15 15 WLDLWD
17 Burnley 19 3 5 11 22 35 -13 14 DDLWDL
18 Nott'm Forest 18 3 4 11 20 36 -16 13 LLDLLW
19 Luton 19 2 4 13 24 48 -24 10 LLLLLL
20 Sheffield United 19 1 3 15 16 47 -31 6 DLLLLL

Brentford   Newcastle

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Tottenham 37 8 29 1.9 1.6 19 6 12 71 61 63 OOUOOU
2 4 Aston Villa 37 11 26 2.1 1.5 20 8 9 76 56 68 OUOOUO
3 6 Chelsea 37 11 26 2.0 1.7 17 9 11 75 62 60 OOUOOO
4 7 Newcastle 37 11 26 2.2 1.6 17 6 14 81 60 57 OUOOUO
5 12 Bournemouth 37 11 26 1.4 1.8 13 9 15 53 65 48 OOUOOO
6 18 Luton 37 11 26 1.4 2.2 6 8 23 50 81 26 OOOOUO
7 20 Sheffield United 37 11 26 0.9 2.7 3 7 27 35 101 16 UOOOOU
8 3 Liverpool 37 12 25 2.3 1.1 23 10 4 84 41 79 UOUOOO
9 9 West Ham 37 12 25 1.6 1.9 14 10 13 59 71 52 OUOOOO
10 8 Man United 37 13 24 1.5 1.6 17 6 14 55 58 57 OOUOUO
11 14 Wolves 37 13 24 1.4 1.7 13 7 17 50 63 46 OUUOOO
12 16 Brentford 37 13 24 1.5 1.6 10 9 18 54 61 39 OUOUUO
13 1 Man City 37 14 23 2.5 0.9 27 7 3 93 33 88 OOUOOU
14 2 Arsenal 37 14 23 2.4 0.8 27 5 5 89 28 86 UUOOOU
15 10 Brighton 37 14 23 1.5 1.6 12 12 13 55 60 48 UOOUUO
16 15 Fulham 37 14 23 1.4 1.6 12 8 17 51 59 44 UUOUUO
17 19 Burnley 37 15 22 1.1 2.1 5 9 23 40 76 24 UUOUOO
18 13 Crystal Palace 37 17 20 1.4 1.6 12 10 15 52 58 46 UOUUOO
19 17 Nott'm Forest 37 17 20 1.3 1.8 8 9 20 47 66 33 OOUUOO
20 11 Everton 37 22 15 1.1 1.3 13 9 15 39 49 48 OUUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Tottenham 19 3 16 2.0 1.4 13 0 6 38 27 39 OOOOOU
2 4 Aston Villa 19 4 15 2.5 1.5 12 4 3 48 28 40 OUOOOO
3 20 Sheffield United 18 3 15 1.1 3.0 2 4 12 19 54 10 OOOOOO
4 2 Arsenal 18 5 13 2.6 0.8 14 2 2 46 15 44 OOUUOO
5 3 Liverpool 18 5 13 2.6 0.9 14 3 1 47 17 45 OUOOUO
6 7 Newcastle 19 6 13 2.6 1.2 12 4 3 49 22 40 OOUOOU
7 8 Man United 19 6 13 1.6 1.5 10 3 6 31 28 33 UOOUUO
8 12 Bournemouth 19 7 12 1.4 1.5 7 6 6 27 28 27 OOUOOO
9 14 Wolves 19 7 12 1.4 1.6 8 3 8 26 30 27 OOUUOO
10 15 Fulham 19 7 12 1.6 1.3 9 2 8 31 24 29 OOUOUO
11 16 Brentford 18 6 12 1.5 1.7 5 7 6 27 30 22 OOUUUU
12 18 Luton 18 6 12 1.4 1.8 4 4 10 26 33 16 OOUOOU
13 6 Chelsea 18 7 11 2.3 1.4 10 4 4 42 25 34 OOOOUO
14 10 Brighton 18 7 11 1.7 1.4 8 6 4 30 25 30 UUOOUO
15 13 Crystal Palace 18 7 11 1.8 1.4 7 4 7 32 26 25 OUOOUO
16 1 Man City 18 8 10 2.7 0.8 13 5 0 48 15 44 UOUOOO
17 9 West Ham 19 9 10 1.6 1.5 7 8 4 31 28 29 OUUUOO
18 17 Nott'm Forest 19 9 10 1.4 1.6 5 5 9 27 30 20 UUOOUO
19 19 Burnley 18 8 10 1.0 2.3 2 4 12 18 41 10 OUOUUO
20 11 Everton 19 12 7 1.2 0.9 8 4 7 22 18 28 OUUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 6 Chelsea 19 4 15 1.7 1.9 7 5 7 33 37 26 OOOOOO
2 9 West Ham 18 3 15 1.6 2.4 7 2 9 28 43 23 UOOOOO
3 12 Bournemouth 18 4 14 1.4 2.1 6 3 9 26 37 21 OUOOUO
4 18 Luton 19 5 14 1.3 2.5 2 4 13 24 48 10 OOUOOO
5 1 Man City 19 6 13 2.4 0.9 14 2 3 45 18 44 UOOUOU
6 5 Tottenham 18 5 13 1.8 1.9 6 6 6 33 34 24 OOUOUO
7 7 Newcastle 18 5 13 1.8 2.1 5 2 11 32 38 17 OOUUOO
8 3 Liverpool 19 7 12 1.9 1.3 9 7 3 37 24 34 UOOUOO
9 10 Brighton 19 7 12 1.3 1.8 4 6 9 25 35 18 OOUUOU
10 14 Wolves 18 6 12 1.3 1.8 5 4 9 24 33 19 OOUUOO
11 16 Brentford 19 7 12 1.4 1.6 5 2 12 27 31 17 OOOOUO
12 19 Burnley 19 7 12 1.2 1.8 3 5 11 22 35 14 OOUOUO
13 4 Aston Villa 18 7 11 1.6 1.6 8 4 6 28 28 28 OOUOUU
14 8 Man United 18 7 11 1.3 1.7 7 3 8 24 30 24 OOUOOO
15 15 Fulham 18 7 11 1.1 1.9 3 6 9 20 35 15 OOOOUU
16 20 Sheffield United 19 8 11 0.8 2.5 1 3 15 16 47 6 OOUOOU
17 2 Arsenal 19 9 10 2.3 0.7 13 3 3 43 13 42 OUOUOU
18 17 Nott'm Forest 18 8 10 1.1 2.0 3 4 11 20 36 13 OUUOUO
19 13 Crystal Palace 19 10 9 1.1 1.7 5 6 8 20 32 21 OUUUUO
20 11 Everton 18 10 8 0.9 1.7 5 5 8 17 31 20 UUOUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47