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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Salisbury

Aston Villa 3–3 Brentford

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.70 fair 1.72
Draw ✓ 4.00 fair 4.97
Away 4.75 fair 4.61
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 3.12
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.47

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Brentford
11 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
11 Corners 3
15 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (304 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.55
Expected goals 2.21 – 1.29
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawBrentford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.5% 1–1 8.6% 2–0 7.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.90points / match
2.03scored / match
1.48conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 63:46
Brentford before this match, all matches
0.90points / match
1.35scored / match
1.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 42:55
Aston Villa all matches all matches Brentford

Per match

2.03 Goals scored 1.35
1.48 Goals conceded 1.77
3.52 Total goals 3.13
14.19 Shots 12.81
5.45 Shots on target 4.45
11.26 Shots faced 15.00
6.26 Corners 4.71
4.29 Corners against 5.90
11.00 Fouls 10.13
2.61 Yellow cards 2.32
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.61
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

58% Wins 23%
16% Draws 23%
26% Losses 55%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
87% Over 1.5 goals 84%
71% Over 2.5 goals 68%
55% Over 3.5 goals 42%
29% Over 4.5 goals 19%
10% Over 5.5 goals 3%
68% Both teams scored 68%
23% Clean sheets 16%
13% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 23%
29% Draws 48%
26% Losses 29%
77% Over 0.5 goals 74%
48% Over 1.5 goals 35%
19% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Brentford all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
2.27points / match
2.47scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 37:19
Brentford before this match, away
0.67points / match
1.13scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 17:25
Aston Villa at home away Brentford

Per match

2.47 Goals scored 1.13
1.27 Goals conceded 1.67
3.73 Total goals 2.80
15.13 Shots 10.87
5.93 Shots on target 4.40
9.80 Shots faced 15.47
5.87 Corners 4.47
3.67 Corners against 6.13
11.00 Fouls 11.13
2.73 Yellow cards 2.87
1.07 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

73% Wins 20%
7% Draws 7%
20% Losses 73%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
87% Over 1.5 goals 80%
73% Over 2.5 goals 60%
67% Over 3.5 goals 20%
27% Over 4.5 goals 13%
13% Over 5.5 goals 7%
67% Both teams scored 53%
27% Clean sheets 20%
7% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 27%
27% Draws 40%
13% Losses 33%
73% Over 0.5 goals 73%
40% Over 1.5 goals 27%
20% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Brentford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.24 Man City – Aston Villa 4–1 (2–1) 1.306.008.00 1.40 3.00
30.03.24 Aston Villa – Wolves 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.35
17.03.24 West Ham – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.752.45 1.57 2.35
10.03.24 Aston Villa – Tottenham 0–4 (0–0) 2.384.002.60 1.36 3.10
02.03.24 Luton – Aston Villa 2–3 (0–2) 4.334.201.73 1.44 2.70
24.02.24 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 4–2 (3–1) 1.534.505.75 1.57 2.35
17.02.24 Fulham – Aston Villa 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.752.20 1.60 2.30
11.02.24 Aston Villa – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.753.10 1.53 2.40
03.02.24 Sheffield United – Aston Villa 0–5 (0–4) 5.254.201.62 1.62 2.25
30.01.24 Aston Villa – Newcastle 1–3 (0–2) 1.854.003.80 1.50 2.50

Brentford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.24 Brentford – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.802.75 1.57 2.38
30.03.24 Brentford – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.802.20 1.53 2.40
16.03.24 Burnley – Brentford 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.602.15 1.75 2.05
09.03.24 Arsenal – Brentford 2–1 (1–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.44 2.70
02.03.24 Brentford – Chelsea 2–2 (0–1) 3.103.752.15 1.53 2.40
26.02.24 West Ham – Brentford 4–2 (2–1) 2.503.502.75 1.70 2.10
20.02.24 Man City – Brentford 1–0 (0–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.33 3.40
17.02.24 Brentford – Liverpool 1–4 (0–1) 5.504.331.57 1.48 2.60
10.02.24 Wolves – Brentford 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.603.40 1.75 2.05
05.02.24 Brentford – Man City 1–3 (1–1) 7.004.751.40 1.57 2.35

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.03.24 Aston Villa – Wolves 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.35
10.03.24 Aston Villa – Tottenham 0–4 (0–0) 2.384.002.60 1.36 3.10
24.02.24 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 4–2 (3–1) 1.534.505.75 1.57 2.35
11.02.24 Aston Villa – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.753.10 1.53 2.40
30.01.24 Aston Villa – Newcastle 1–3 (0–2) 1.854.003.80 1.50 2.50
30.12.23 Aston Villa – Burnley 3–2 (2–1) 1.365.257.50 1.57 2.35
22.12.23 Aston Villa – Sheffield United 1–1 (0–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.70
09.12.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.70 2.10
06.12.23 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 4.754.201.70 1.53 2.40
12.11.23 Aston Villa – Fulham 3–1 (2–0) 1.574.205.50 1.70 2.10

Brentford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.24 Burnley – Brentford 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.602.15 1.75 2.05
09.03.24 Arsenal – Brentford 2–1 (1–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.44 2.70
26.02.24 West Ham – Brentford 4–2 (2–1) 2.503.502.75 1.70 2.10
20.02.24 Man City – Brentford 1–0 (0–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.33 3.40
10.02.24 Wolves – Brentford 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.603.40 1.75 2.05
31.01.24 Tottenham – Brentford 3–2 (0–1) 1.674.204.75 1.50 2.50
30.12.23 Crystal Palace – Brentford 3–1 (2–1) 2.203.303.40 2.15 1.67
09.12.23 Sheffield United – Brentford 1–0 (1–0) 4.203.801.75 1.95 1.95
06.12.23 Brighton – Brentford 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.25
12.11.23 Liverpool – Brentford 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.006.50 1.44 2.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsBrentford wins
5matches
2.80goals / match
60%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.23E0 Brentford – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.203.752.10 1.70 2.10
22.04.23E0 Brentford – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.88 2.00 1.90
23.10.22E0 Aston Villa – Brentford 4–0 (3–0) 2.103.503.50 1.94 1.96
02.01.22E0 Brentford – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–1) 3.003.302.40 2.00 1.80
28.08.21E0 Aston Villa – Brentford 1–1 (1–1) 1.953.603.80 1.90 1.90

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 30 21 7 2 70 28 +42 70 WWWDWW
2 Man City 31 21 7 3 71 31 +40 70 WWDDWW
3 Arsenal 30 21 5 4 72 24 +48 68 WWWWDW
4 Aston Villa 31 18 5 8 63 46 +17 59 WWLDWL
5 Tottenham 30 17 6 7 62 44 +18 57 LWWLWD
6 Man United 30 15 3 12 43 44 -1 48 WLLWDL
7 West Ham 31 12 9 10 50 55 -5 45 WWDDLD
8 Newcastle 30 13 5 12 64 52 +12 44 DLWLWD
9 Brighton 30 11 10 9 51 46 +5 43 WDLWLD
10 Chelsea 29 12 7 10 53 50 +3 43 WDDWDW
11 Wolves 30 12 6 12 43 47 -4 42 WWLWLD
12 Bournemouth 30 11 8 11 44 53 -9 41 LWDWWW
13 Fulham 31 11 6 14 47 50 -3 39 WWLWDL
14 Everton 30 8 8 14 31 42 -11 32 DDLLLD
15 Crystal Palace 31 7 9 15 36 54 -18 30 WLDDLL
16 Nott'm Forest 31 7 8 16 39 53 -14 29 LLLDDW
17 Brentford 31 7 7 17 42 55 -13 28 LDLLDD
18 Luton 31 5 7 19 43 64 -21 22 LDLDLL
19 Burnley 31 4 7 20 32 66 -34 19 LLDWDD
20 Sheffield United 30 3 6 21 28 80 -52 15 LLLDDL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 16 13 3 0 43 14 +29 42 WWWDWW
2 Arsenal 15 12 2 1 38 13 +25 38 LWWWWW
3 Man City 16 11 5 0 38 13 +25 38 WDWWDW
4 Aston Villa 15 11 1 3 37 19 +18 34 WLLWLW
5 Newcastle 16 10 3 3 39 20 +19 33 LDDWWD
6 Tottenham 15 11 0 4 31 20 +11 33 WWWLWW
7 Fulham 15 9 1 5 29 15 +14 28 WDWLWW
8 Brighton 14 7 6 1 28 16 +12 27 DWDWDW
9 Chelsea 15 7 4 4 29 25 +4 25 WWLWDW
10 West Ham 16 6 7 3 26 23 +3 25 DLWDDD
11 Man United 14 8 1 5 21 20 +1 25 LWDWLW
12 Wolves 14 7 3 4 22 21 +1 24 WWLLWW
13 Bournemouth 16 6 5 5 21 24 -3 23 DLDWWW
14 Nott'm Forest 16 5 4 7 23 23 0 19 LLWLDW
15 Brentford 16 4 6 6 25 30 -5 18 WLLDDD
16 Crystal Palace 15 4 4 7 21 24 -3 16 WWLWDL
17 Everton 14 3 4 7 15 18 -3 13 WLDDDL
18 Luton 15 3 3 9 22 26 -4 12 LWLLLD
19 Burnley 16 2 3 11 16 36 -20 9 DDLLWD
20 Sheffield United 15 2 3 10 15 45 -30 9 LDLLLD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Man City 15 10 2 3 33 18 +15 32 WWWWDW
2 Arsenal 15 9 3 3 34 11 +23 30 LWWWWD
3 Liverpool 14 8 4 2 27 14 +13 28 WWWLWW
4 Aston Villa 16 7 4 5 26 27 -1 25 DWWWDL
5 Tottenham 15 6 6 3 31 24 +7 24 LDDWLD
6 Man United 16 7 2 7 22 24 -2 23 WWWLDL
7 West Ham 15 6 2 7 24 32 -8 20 WDLLWL
8 Everton 16 5 4 7 16 24 -8 19 DLDLLD
9 Chelsea 14 5 3 6 24 25 -1 18 LWLWDD
10 Wolves 16 5 3 8 21 26 -5 18 DWWLLD
11 Bournemouth 14 5 3 6 23 29 -6 18 WLDLDW
12 Brighton 16 4 4 8 23 30 -7 16 LLWLLD
13 Crystal Palace 16 3 5 8 15 30 -15 14 LLDLDL
14 Newcastle 14 3 2 9 25 32 -7 11 LLWWLL
15 Fulham 16 2 5 9 18 35 -17 11 LDWLDL
16 Brentford 15 3 1 11 17 25 -8 10 LWLLLL
17 Burnley 15 2 4 9 16 30 -14 10 LLLLDD
18 Nott'm Forest 15 2 4 9 16 30 -14 10 WLDLLD
19 Luton 16 2 4 10 21 38 -17 10 DLDLLL
20 Sheffield United 15 1 3 11 13 35 -22 6 LLWLDL

Aston Villa   Brentford

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Tottenham 30 6 24 2.1 1.5 17 6 7 62 44 57 OOOOOU
2 4 Aston Villa 31 9 22 2.0 1.5 18 5 8 63 46 59 OOOUUO
3 8 Newcastle 30 8 22 2.1 1.7 13 5 12 64 52 44 OOOOOU
4 13 Fulham 31 10 21 1.5 1.6 11 6 14 47 50 39 OOOOOO
5 17 Brentford 31 10 21 1.4 1.8 7 7 17 42 55 28 OOOOUU
6 18 Luton 31 10 21 1.4 2.1 5 7 19 43 64 22 OUOUOU
7 20 Sheffield United 30 9 21 0.9 2.7 3 6 21 28 80 15 OUOOOO
8 1 Liverpool 30 10 20 2.3 0.9 21 7 2 70 28 70 OOUUOO
9 7 West Ham 31 11 20 1.6 1.8 12 9 10 50 55 45 OOOUOU
10 12 Bournemouth 30 10 20 1.5 1.8 11 8 11 44 53 41 UUOOOU
11 2 Man City 31 12 19 2.3 1.0 21 7 3 71 31 70 UOUUOO
12 3 Arsenal 30 11 19 2.4 0.8 21 5 4 72 24 68 OOOOUU
13 6 Man United 30 11 19 1.4 1.5 15 3 12 43 44 48 OOOUUO
14 9 Brighton 30 11 19 1.7 1.5 11 10 9 51 46 43 OUOUOU
15 10 Chelsea 29 10 19 1.8 1.7 12 7 10 53 50 43 OUOOOO
16 11 Wolves 30 11 19 1.4 1.6 12 6 12 43 47 42 OUOOUU
17 19 Burnley 31 12 19 1.0 2.1 4 7 20 32 66 19 OUOOOU
18 15 Crystal Palace 31 14 17 1.2 1.7 7 9 15 36 54 30 OOUUUO
19 16 Nott'm Forest 31 15 16 1.3 1.7 7 8 16 39 53 29 OUUUUO
20 14 Everton 30 16 14 1.0 1.4 8 8 14 31 42 32 UUOUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Tottenham 15 2 13 2.1 1.3 11 0 4 31 20 33 OOOOOO
2 1 Liverpool 16 4 12 2.7 0.9 13 3 0 43 14 42 OOOUOO
3 17 Brentford 16 4 12 1.6 1.9 4 6 6 25 30 18 OOOOUU
4 20 Sheffield United 15 3 12 1.0 3.0 2 3 10 15 45 9 OOOOOO
5 3 Arsenal 15 4 11 2.5 0.9 12 2 1 38 13 38 UOOOOU
6 4 Aston Villa 15 4 11 2.5 1.3 11 1 3 37 19 34 OOOOOU
7 8 Newcastle 16 5 11 2.4 1.2 10 3 3 39 20 33 OOOOOU
8 6 Man United 14 4 10 1.5 1.4 8 1 5 21 20 25 OOOOOU
9 13 Fulham 15 5 10 1.9 1.0 9 1 5 29 15 28 OUOOOO
10 18 Luton 15 5 10 1.5 1.7 3 3 9 22 26 12 OOOOOU
11 10 Chelsea 15 6 9 1.9 1.7 7 4 4 29 25 25 OUOOOO
12 11 Wolves 14 5 9 1.6 1.5 7 3 4 22 21 24 OOOUUO
13 12 Bournemouth 16 7 9 1.3 1.5 6 5 5 21 24 23 UUOOOU
14 15 Crystal Palace 15 6 9 1.4 1.6 4 4 7 21 24 16 OOOOUO
15 19 Burnley 16 7 9 1.0 2.2 2 3 11 16 36 9 UOOUOU
16 2 Man City 16 8 8 2.4 0.8 11 5 0 38 13 38 UUUOUO
17 7 West Ham 16 8 8 1.6 1.4 6 7 3 26 23 25 UOOOUU
18 9 Brighton 14 6 8 2.0 1.1 7 6 1 28 16 27 UOUOUU
19 16 Nott'm Forest 16 8 8 1.4 1.4 5 4 7 23 23 19 OOUUUO
20 14 Everton 14 7 7 1.1 1.3 3 4 7 15 18 13 UOUOUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 West Ham 15 3 12 1.6 2.1 6 2 7 24 32 20 UOOUOO
2 2 Man City 15 4 11 2.2 1.2 10 2 3 33 18 32 OOOUUO
3 4 Aston Villa 16 5 11 1.6 1.7 7 4 5 26 27 25 UOOOUO
4 5 Tottenham 15 4 11 2.1 1.6 6 6 3 31 24 24 OOOOOU
5 8 Newcastle 14 3 11 1.8 2.3 3 2 9 25 32 11 UOOOOO
6 9 Brighton 16 5 11 1.4 1.9 4 4 8 23 30 16 OOOOOU
7 12 Bournemouth 14 3 11 1.6 2.1 5 3 6 23 29 18 OOUOOU
8 13 Fulham 16 5 11 1.1 2.2 2 5 9 18 35 11 UOOOOO
9 18 Luton 16 5 11 1.3 2.4 2 4 10 21 38 10 OOUOOU
10 10 Chelsea 14 4 10 1.7 1.8 5 3 6 24 25 18 OOOOUO
11 11 Wolves 16 6 10 1.3 1.6 5 3 8 21 26 18 UOOOUU
12 19 Burnley 15 5 10 1.1 2.0 2 4 9 16 30 10 OOOOOO
13 6 Man United 16 7 9 1.4 1.5 7 2 7 22 24 23 OOOOUO
14 17 Brentford 15 6 9 1.1 1.7 3 1 11 17 25 10 OUUOOO
15 20 Sheffield United 15 6 9 0.9 2.3 1 3 11 13 35 6 UOOUOO
16 1 Liverpool 14 6 8 1.9 1.0 8 4 2 27 14 28 OUOOOU
17 3 Arsenal 15 7 8 2.3 0.7 9 3 3 34 11 30 OOOOOU
18 15 Crystal Palace 16 8 8 0.9 1.9 3 5 8 15 30 14 OOUOUU
19 16 Nott'm Forest 15 7 8 1.1 2.0 2 4 9 16 30 10 OOUOUU
20 14 Everton 16 9 7 1.0 1.5 5 4 7 16 24 19 UUUUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47