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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Taylor

Liverpool 4–2 Newcastle

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.45 fair 1.80
Draw 4.50 fair 4.66
Away 7.00 fair 4.34
Under 2.5 2.70 fair 2.71
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.59

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Liverpool Newcastle
34 Shots 5
15 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 3
16 Fouls 15
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (196 league matches this season so far).
Result Liverpool to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.63
Expected goals 2.02 – 1.23
Home / Draw / Away
LiverpoolDrawNewcastle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.7% 1–1 9.6% 2–0 7.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Liverpool before this match, all matches
2.21points / match
2.05scored / match
0.84conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 39:16
Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.53points / match
1.95scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 37:25
Liverpool all matches all matches Newcastle

Per match

2.05 Goals scored 1.95
0.84 Goals conceded 1.32
2.89 Total goals 3.26
18.21 Shots 14.53
6.11 Shots on target 5.53
11.63 Shots faced 12.84
6.63 Corners 4.95
4.79 Corners against 4.68
11.74 Fouls 10.42
1.74 Yellow cards 2.37
0.89 1st-half goals scored 0.74
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

63% Wins 47%
32% Draws 11%
5% Losses 42%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
95% Over 1.5 goals 74%
58% Over 2.5 goals 63%
26% Over 3.5 goals 47%
5% Over 4.5 goals 21%
5% Over 5.5 goals 11%
63% Both teams scored 42%
37% Clean sheets 37%
5% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

37% Wins 32%
47% Draws 42%
16% Losses 26%
79% Over 0.5 goals 68%
47% Over 1.5 goals 37%
16% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool all matches
Newcastle all matches
Liverpool before this match, at home
2.56points / match
2.44scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 22:6
Newcastle before this match, away
0.56points / match
1.56scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 14:18
Liverpool at home away Newcastle

Per match

2.44 Goals scored 1.56
0.67 Goals conceded 2.00
3.11 Total goals 3.56
22.44 Shots 11.78
7.56 Shots on target 4.33
10.22 Shots faced 14.78
7.67 Corners 4.22
3.67 Corners against 4.67
11.22 Fouls 10.89
1.00 Yellow cards 2.33
1.22 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

78% Wins 11%
22% Draws 22%
0% Losses 67%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
89% Over 1.5 goals 78%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
33% Over 3.5 goals 56%
11% Over 4.5 goals 22%
11% Over 5.5 goals 11%
44% Both teams scored 44%
56% Clean sheets 11%
11% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 22%
56% Draws 22%
0% Losses 56%
78% Over 0.5 goals 78%
67% Over 1.5 goals 33%
22% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool at home
Newcastle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.23 Burnley – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 6.505.251.40 1.44 2.70
23.12.23 Liverpool – Arsenal 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.602.80 1.70 2.10
17.12.23 Liverpool – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.00 1.33 3.40
09.12.23 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 1–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.65 2.20
06.12.23 Sheffield United – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 12.007.501.20 1.33 3.40
03.12.23 Liverpool – Fulham 4–3 (2–2) 1.256.509.00 1.40 2.88
25.11.23 Man City – Liverpool 1–1 (1–0) 1.734.204.20 1.48 2.60
12.11.23 Liverpool – Brentford 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.006.50 1.44 2.70
05.11.23 Luton – Liverpool 1–1 (0–0) 12.006.501.22 1.36 3.10
29.10.23 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 1.295.7511.00 1.40 2.88

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.23 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 1–3 (1–1) 1.504.335.75 1.80 2.00
23.12.23 Luton – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 4.754.201.65 1.75 2.05
16.12.23 Newcastle – Fulham 3–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.00 1.70 2.10
10.12.23 Tottenham – Newcastle 4–1 (2–0) 2.153.803.10 1.53 2.40
07.12.23 Everton – Newcastle 3–0 (0–0) 3.253.252.25 1.96 1.94
02.12.23 Newcastle – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.67 2.15
25.11.23 Newcastle – Chelsea 4–1 (1–1) 2.553.502.63 1.86 2.04
11.11.23 Bournemouth – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.73 1.70 2.10
04.11.23 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.60 1.95 1.95
28.10.23 Wolves – Newcastle 2–2 (1–2) 4.204.001.75 1.75 2.05

Liverpool at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.23 Liverpool – Arsenal 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.602.80 1.70 2.10
17.12.23 Liverpool – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.00 1.33 3.40
03.12.23 Liverpool – Fulham 4–3 (2–2) 1.256.509.00 1.40 2.88
12.11.23 Liverpool – Brentford 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.006.50 1.44 2.70
29.10.23 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 1.295.7511.00 1.40 2.88
21.10.23 Liverpool – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.335.757.50 1.40 2.88
24.09.23 Liverpool – West Ham 3–1 (1–1) 1.405.007.00 1.40 3.00
03.09.23 Liverpool – Aston Villa 3–0 (2–0) 1.654.504.50 1.40 3.00
19.08.23 Liverpool – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.33 3.40
20.05.23 Liverpool – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–1) 1.455.006.25 1.53 2.50

Newcastle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.23 Luton – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 4.754.201.65 1.75 2.05
10.12.23 Tottenham – Newcastle 4–1 (2–0) 2.153.803.10 1.53 2.40
07.12.23 Everton – Newcastle 3–0 (0–0) 3.253.252.25 1.96 1.94
11.11.23 Bournemouth – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.73 1.70 2.10
28.10.23 Wolves – Newcastle 2–2 (1–2) 4.204.001.75 1.75 2.05
08.10.23 West Ham – Newcastle 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.752.10 1.70 2.10
24.09.23 Sheffield United – Newcastle 0–8 (0–3) 7.004.751.44 1.67 2.20
02.09.23 Brighton – Newcastle 3–1 (1–0) 2.503.802.55 1.50 2.63
19.08.23 Man City – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.73 2.10
28.05.23 Chelsea – Newcastle 1–1 (1–1) 2.903.502.38 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Liverpool winsDrawsNewcastle wins
5matches
2.60goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.08.23E0 Newcastle – Liverpool 1–2 (1–0) 2.203.753.00 1.50 2.63
18.02.23E0 Newcastle – Liverpool 0–2 (0–2) 2.503.502.70 1.80 2.00
31.08.22E0 Liverpool – Newcastle 2–1 (0–1) 1.335.259.00 1.50 2.62
30.04.22E0 Newcastle – Liverpool 0–1 (0–1) 8.505.001.36 1.66 2.20
16.12.21E0 Liverpool – Newcastle 3–1 (2–1) 1.129.0019.00 1.33 3.40

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 19 12 6 1 39 16 +23 42
2 Aston Villa 20 13 3 4 43 27 +16 42
3 Man City 19 12 4 3 45 21 +24 40
4 Arsenal 20 12 4 4 37 20 +17 40
5 Tottenham 20 12 3 5 42 29 +13 39
6 West Ham 19 10 3 6 33 30 +3 33
7 Man United 20 10 1 9 22 27 -5 31
8 Brighton 19 8 6 5 38 33 +5 30
9 Newcastle 19 9 2 8 37 25 +12 29
10 Chelsea 20 8 4 8 34 31 +3 28
11 Wolves 20 8 4 8 30 31 -1 28
12 Everton 20 8 2 10 24 28 -4 26
13 Bournemouth 19 7 4 8 28 35 -7 25
14 Fulham 20 7 3 10 28 35 -7 24
15 Crystal Palace 20 5 6 9 22 29 -7 21
16 Nott'm Forest 20 5 5 10 24 35 -11 20
17 Brentford 19 5 4 10 26 31 -5 19
18 Luton 19 4 3 12 23 37 -14 15
19 Burnley 20 3 2 15 20 41 -21 11
20 Sheffield United 20 2 3 15 15 49 -34 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Aston Villa 10 9 1 0 29 8 +21 28
2 Newcastle 10 8 0 2 23 7 +16 24
3 Liverpool 9 7 2 0 22 6 +16 23
4 Arsenal 10 7 2 1 22 10 +12 23
5 Man City 9 6 3 0 24 9 +15 21
6 Tottenham 10 7 0 3 20 13 +7 21
7 Brighton 10 5 4 1 22 14 +8 19
8 Fulham 10 6 0 4 19 12 +7 18
9 Wolves 10 5 3 2 16 14 +2 18
10 Man United 10 6 0 4 13 16 -3 18
11 West Ham 9 5 2 2 17 10 +7 17
12 Chelsea 10 4 3 3 17 14 +3 15
13 Brentford 10 3 3 4 17 18 -1 12
14 Nott'm Forest 10 3 3 4 14 15 -1 12
15 Bournemouth 9 3 3 3 11 12 -1 12
16 Everton 10 3 1 6 11 12 -1 10
17 Crystal Palace 10 2 3 5 11 14 -3 9
18 Luton 10 2 2 6 13 17 -4 8
19 Sheffield United 10 2 1 7 10 24 -14 7
20 Burnley 10 1 0 9 10 24 -14 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 10 6 1 3 21 12 +9 19
2 Liverpool 10 5 4 1 17 10 +7 19
3 Tottenham 10 5 3 2 22 16 +6 18
4 Arsenal 10 5 2 3 15 10 +5 17
5 Everton 10 5 1 4 13 16 -3 16
6 West Ham 10 5 1 4 16 20 -4 16
7 Aston Villa 10 4 2 4 14 19 -5 14
8 Chelsea 10 4 1 5 17 17 0 13
9 Man United 10 4 1 5 9 11 -2 13
10 Bournemouth 10 4 1 5 17 23 -6 13
11 Crystal Palace 10 3 3 4 11 15 -4 12
12 Brighton 9 3 2 4 16 19 -3 11
13 Wolves 10 3 1 6 14 17 -3 10
14 Burnley 10 2 2 6 10 17 -7 8
15 Nott'm Forest 10 2 2 6 10 20 -10 8
16 Brentford 9 2 1 6 9 13 -4 7
17 Luton 9 2 1 6 10 20 -10 7
18 Fulham 10 1 3 6 9 23 -14 6
19 Newcastle 9 1 2 6 14 18 -4 5
20 Sheffield United 10 0 2 8 5 25 -20 2

Liverpool   Newcastle

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 20 5 15 2.1 1.4 12 3 5 42 29 39
2 2 Aston Villa 20 6 14 2.1 1.4 13 3 4 43 27 42
3 11 Wolves 20 6 14 1.5 1.6 8 4 8 30 31 28
4 13 Bournemouth 19 5 14 1.5 1.8 7 4 8 28 35 25
5 3 Man City 19 6 13 2.4 1.1 12 4 3 45 21 40
6 6 West Ham 19 6 13 1.7 1.6 10 3 6 33 30 33
7 8 Brighton 19 6 13 2.0 1.7 8 6 5 38 33 30
8 17 Brentford 19 6 13 1.4 1.6 5 4 10 26 31 19
9 18 Luton 19 6 13 1.2 1.9 4 3 12 23 37 15
10 9 Newcastle 19 7 12 1.9 1.3 9 2 8 37 25 29
11 10 Chelsea 20 8 12 1.7 1.6 8 4 8 34 31 28
12 14 Fulham 20 8 12 1.4 1.8 7 3 10 28 35 24
13 20 Sheffield United 20 8 12 0.8 2.5 2 3 15 15 49 9
14 1 Liverpool 19 8 11 2.1 0.8 12 6 1 39 16 42
15 4 Arsenal 20 9 11 1.9 1.0 12 4 4 37 20 40
16 7 Man United 20 9 11 1.1 1.4 10 1 9 22 27 31
17 12 Everton 20 9 11 1.2 1.4 8 2 10 24 28 26
18 16 Nott'm Forest 20 9 11 1.2 1.8 5 5 10 24 35 20
19 19 Burnley 20 9 11 1.0 2.0 3 2 15 20 41 11
20 15 Crystal Palace 20 10 10 1.1 1.4 5 6 9 22 29 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 10 2 8 2.0 1.3 7 0 3 20 13 21
2 17 Brentford 10 2 8 1.7 1.8 3 3 4 17 18 12
3 2 Aston Villa 10 3 7 2.9 0.8 9 1 0 29 8 28
4 4 Arsenal 10 3 7 2.2 1.0 7 2 1 22 10 23
5 7 Man United 10 3 7 1.3 1.6 6 0 4 13 16 18
6 8 Brighton 10 3 7 2.2 1.4 5 4 1 22 14 19
7 11 Wolves 10 3 7 1.6 1.4 5 3 2 16 14 18
8 20 Sheffield United 10 3 7 1.0 2.4 2 1 7 10 24 7
9 1 Liverpool 9 3 6 2.4 0.7 7 2 0 22 6 23
10 9 Newcastle 10 4 6 2.3 0.7 8 0 2 23 7 24
11 14 Fulham 10 4 6 1.9 1.2 6 0 4 19 12 18
12 18 Luton 10 4 6 1.3 1.7 2 2 6 13 17 8
13 19 Burnley 10 4 6 1.0 2.4 1 0 9 10 24 3
14 3 Man City 9 4 5 2.7 1.0 6 3 0 24 9 21
15 6 West Ham 9 4 5 1.9 1.1 5 2 2 17 10 17
16 10 Chelsea 10 5 5 1.7 1.4 4 3 3 17 14 15
17 12 Everton 10 5 5 1.1 1.2 3 1 6 11 12 10
18 13 Bournemouth 9 4 5 1.2 1.3 3 3 3 11 12 12
19 15 Crystal Palace 10 5 5 1.1 1.4 2 3 5 11 14 9
20 16 Nott'm Forest 10 5 5 1.4 1.5 3 3 4 14 15 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Bournemouth 10 1 9 1.7 2.3 4 1 5 17 23 13
2 3 Man City 10 2 8 2.1 1.2 6 1 3 21 12 19
3 6 West Ham 10 2 8 1.6 2.0 5 1 4 16 20 16
4 2 Aston Villa 10 3 7 1.4 1.9 4 2 4 14 19 14
5 5 Tottenham 10 3 7 2.2 1.6 5 3 2 22 16 18
6 10 Chelsea 10 3 7 1.7 1.7 4 1 5 17 17 13
7 11 Wolves 10 3 7 1.4 1.7 3 1 6 14 17 10
8 18 Luton 9 2 7 1.1 2.2 2 1 6 10 20 7
9 8 Brighton 9 3 6 1.8 2.1 3 2 4 16 19 11
10 9 Newcastle 9 3 6 1.6 2.0 1 2 6 14 18 5
11 12 Everton 10 4 6 1.3 1.6 5 1 4 13 16 16
12 14 Fulham 10 4 6 0.9 2.3 1 3 6 9 23 6
13 16 Nott'm Forest 10 4 6 1.0 2.0 2 2 6 10 20 8
14 1 Liverpool 10 5 5 1.7 1.0 5 4 1 17 10 19
15 15 Crystal Palace 10 5 5 1.1 1.5 3 3 4 11 15 12
16 17 Brentford 9 4 5 1.0 1.4 2 1 6 9 13 7
17 19 Burnley 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 2 2 6 10 17 8
18 20 Sheffield United 10 5 5 0.5 2.5 0 2 8 5 25 2
19 4 Arsenal 10 6 4 1.5 1.0 5 2 3 15 10 17
20 7 Man United 10 6 4 0.9 1.1 4 1 5 9 11 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51