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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: D England

Luton 1–0 Newcastle

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 4.75 fair 2.95
Draw 4.20 fair 4.37
Away 1.65 fair 2.31
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 2.79
Over 2.5 1.75 fair 1.56

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Newcastle
16 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 7
11 Fouls 5
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (172 league matches this season so far).
Result Newcastle to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.53
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.76
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawNewcastle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10% 1–2 8.8% 2–1 7.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
0.56points / match
1.06scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 17:32
Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.71points / match
2.12scored / match
1.24conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 36:21
Luton all matches all matches Newcastle

Per match

1.06 Goals scored 2.12
2.00 Goals conceded 1.24
3.06 Total goals 3.35
10.31 Shots 14.24
2.63 Shots on target 5.65
17.63 Shots faced 12.53
5.06 Corners 4.53
5.69 Corners against 4.76
11.88 Fouls 10.76
2.00 Yellow cards 2.41
0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.76
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

13% Wins 53%
19% Draws 12%
69% Losses 35%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
81% Over 1.5 goals 76%
69% Over 2.5 goals 65%
31% Over 3.5 goals 47%
13% Over 4.5 goals 24%
6% Over 5.5 goals 12%
75% Both teams scored 41%
0% Clean sheets 41%
25% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 35%
50% Draws 41%
38% Losses 24%
50% Over 0.5 goals 65%
13% Over 1.5 goals 35%
13% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Newcastle all matches
Luton before this match, at home
0.63points / match
1.25scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:14
Newcastle before this match, away
0.63points / match
1.75scored / match
2.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 14:17
Luton at home away Newcastle

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.75
1.75 Goals conceded 2.13
3.00 Total goals 3.88
11.50 Shots 11.38
3.00 Shots on target 4.63
15.25 Shots faced 14.63
6.00 Corners 3.88
5.25 Corners against 4.50
12.75 Fouls 11.63
2.25 Yellow cards 2.50
0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

13% Wins 13%
25% Draws 25%
63% Losses 63%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 88%
63% Over 2.5 goals 75%
13% Over 3.5 goals 63%
13% Over 4.5 goals 25%
13% Over 5.5 goals 13%
88% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 13%
13% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 25%
50% Draws 25%
38% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 75%
13% Over 1.5 goals 38%
13% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Newcastle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.23 Luton – Man City 1–2 (1–0) 17.008.001.14 1.36 3.10
05.12.23 Luton – Arsenal 3–4 (1–2) 17.007.001.18 1.65 2.20
02.12.23 Brentford – Luton 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.506.50 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Luton – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.15 1.67
11.11.23 Man United – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.50 1.53 2.40
05.11.23 Luton – Liverpool 1–1 (0–0) 12.006.501.22 1.36 3.10
29.10.23 Aston Villa – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.48 2.60
21.10.23 Nott'm Forest – Luton 2–2 (0–0) 1.673.755.50 2.08 1.82
07.10.23 Luton – Tottenham 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.751.45 1.53 2.40
03.10.23 Luton – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.20 1.65

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.12.23 Newcastle – Fulham 3–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.00 1.70 2.10
10.12.23 Tottenham – Newcastle 4–1 (2–0) 2.153.803.10 1.53 2.40
07.12.23 Everton – Newcastle 3–0 (0–0) 3.253.252.25 1.96 1.94
02.12.23 Newcastle – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.67 2.15
25.11.23 Newcastle – Chelsea 4–1 (1–1) 2.553.502.63 1.86 2.04
11.11.23 Bournemouth – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.73 1.70 2.10
04.11.23 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.60 1.95 1.95
28.10.23 Wolves – Newcastle 2–2 (1–2) 4.204.001.75 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Newcastle – Crystal Palace 4–0 (3–0) 1.454.507.00 1.85 2.05
08.10.23 West Ham – Newcastle 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.752.10 1.70 2.10

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.23 Luton – Man City 1–2 (1–0) 17.008.001.14 1.36 3.10
05.12.23 Luton – Arsenal 3–4 (1–2) 17.007.001.18 1.65 2.20
25.11.23 Luton – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.15 1.67
05.11.23 Luton – Liverpool 1–1 (0–0) 12.006.501.22 1.36 3.10
07.10.23 Luton – Tottenham 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.751.45 1.53 2.40
03.10.23 Luton – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.20 1.65
23.09.23 Luton – Wolves 1–1 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 2.02 1.88
01.09.23 Luton – West Ham 1–2 (0–1) 4.753.801.73 1.87 2.03
08.05.23E1 Luton – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.50 1.93 1.93
24.04.23E1 Luton – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 2.05 1.80

Newcastle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.23 Tottenham – Newcastle 4–1 (2–0) 2.153.803.10 1.53 2.40
07.12.23 Everton – Newcastle 3–0 (0–0) 3.253.252.25 1.96 1.94
11.11.23 Bournemouth – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.73 1.70 2.10
28.10.23 Wolves – Newcastle 2–2 (1–2) 4.204.001.75 1.75 2.05
08.10.23 West Ham – Newcastle 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.752.10 1.70 2.10
24.09.23 Sheffield United – Newcastle 0–8 (0–3) 7.004.751.44 1.67 2.20
02.09.23 Brighton – Newcastle 3–1 (1–0) 2.503.802.55 1.50 2.63
19.08.23 Man City – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.73 2.10
28.05.23 Chelsea – Newcastle 1–1 (1–1) 2.903.502.38 1.73 2.10
13.05.23 Leeds – Newcastle 2–2 (1–1) 4.334.201.70 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 12 3 2 35 15 +20 39
2 Aston Villa 18 12 3 3 38 22 +16 39
3 Liverpool 17 11 5 1 36 15 +21 38
4 Man City 17 10 4 3 40 20 +20 34
5 Tottenham 17 10 3 4 35 23 +12 33
6 West Ham 18 9 3 6 31 30 +1 30
7 Newcastle 17 9 2 6 36 21 +15 29
8 Man United 18 9 1 8 18 23 -5 28
9 Brighton 18 7 6 5 34 31 +3 27
10 Everton 17 8 2 7 22 20 +2 26
11 Chelsea 17 6 4 7 28 26 +2 22
12 Fulham 17 6 3 8 26 29 -3 21
13 Brentford 17 5 4 8 24 24 0 19
14 Wolves 17 5 4 8 21 29 -8 19
15 Bournemouth 16 5 4 7 21 30 -9 19
16 Crystal Palace 18 4 6 8 18 26 -8 18
17 Nott'm Forest 17 3 5 9 17 30 -13 14
18 Luton 16 2 3 11 17 32 -15 9
19 Sheffield United 18 2 3 13 13 44 -31 9
20 Burnley 17 2 2 13 16 36 -20 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Aston Villa 9 8 1 0 26 6 +20 25
2 Newcastle 9 8 0 1 22 4 +18 24
3 Arsenal 9 7 2 0 22 8 +14 23
4 Liverpool 8 7 1 0 21 5 +16 22
5 Man City 8 5 3 0 22 9 +13 18
6 West Ham 9 5 2 2 17 10 +7 17
7 Brighton 9 4 4 1 18 12 +6 16
8 Fulham 8 5 0 3 17 9 +8 15
9 Tottenham 8 5 0 3 15 11 +4 15
10 Man United 9 5 0 4 10 14 -4 15
11 Brentford 9 3 3 3 16 14 +2 12
12 Chelsea 9 3 3 3 15 13 +2 12
13 Wolves 8 3 3 2 11 13 -2 12
14 Everton 9 3 1 5 10 9 +1 10
15 Nott'm Forest 8 2 3 3 10 11 -1 9
16 Bournemouth 8 2 3 3 8 12 -4 9
17 Sheffield United 9 2 1 6 8 21 -13 7
18 Crystal Palace 9 1 3 5 8 13 -5 6
19 Luton 8 1 2 5 10 14 -4 5
20 Burnley 9 1 0 8 10 22 -12 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 9 5 3 1 20 12 +8 18
2 Man City 9 5 1 3 18 11 +7 16
3 Arsenal 8 5 1 2 13 7 +6 16
4 Liverpool 9 4 4 1 15 10 +5 16
5 Everton 8 5 1 2 12 11 +1 16
6 Aston Villa 9 4 2 3 12 16 -4 14
7 Man United 9 4 1 4 8 9 -1 13
8 West Ham 9 4 1 4 14 20 -6 13
9 Crystal Palace 9 3 3 3 10 13 -3 12
10 Brighton 9 3 2 4 16 19 -3 11
11 Chelsea 8 3 1 4 13 13 0 10
12 Bournemouth 8 3 1 4 13 18 -5 10
13 Brentford 8 2 1 5 8 10 -2 7
14 Wolves 9 2 1 6 10 16 -6 7
15 Fulham 9 1 3 5 9 20 -11 6
16 Newcastle 8 1 2 5 14 17 -3 5
17 Burnley 8 1 2 5 6 14 -8 5
18 Nott'm Forest 9 1 2 6 7 19 -12 5
19 Luton 8 1 1 6 7 18 -11 4
20 Sheffield United 9 0 2 7 5 23 -18 2

Luton   Newcastle

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 West Ham 18 5 13 1.7 1.7 9 3 6 31 30 30
2 2 Aston Villa 18 6 12 2.1 1.2 12 3 3 38 22 39
3 4 Man City 17 5 12 2.4 1.2 10 4 3 40 20 34
4 5 Tottenham 17 5 12 2.1 1.4 10 3 4 35 23 33
5 9 Brighton 18 6 12 1.9 1.7 7 6 5 34 31 27
6 3 Liverpool 17 6 11 2.1 0.9 11 5 1 36 15 38
7 7 Newcastle 17 6 11 2.1 1.2 9 2 6 36 21 29
8 13 Brentford 17 6 11 1.4 1.4 5 4 8 24 24 19
9 14 Wolves 17 6 11 1.2 1.7 5 4 8 21 29 19
10 15 Bournemouth 16 5 11 1.3 1.9 5 4 7 21 30 19
11 18 Luton 16 5 11 1.1 2.0 2 3 11 17 32 9
12 19 Sheffield United 18 7 11 0.7 2.4 2 3 13 13 44 9
13 1 Arsenal 17 7 10 2.1 0.9 12 3 2 35 15 39
14 12 Fulham 17 7 10 1.5 1.7 6 3 8 26 29 21
15 20 Burnley 17 7 10 0.9 2.1 2 2 13 16 36 8
16 8 Man United 18 9 9 1.0 1.3 9 1 8 18 23 28
17 11 Chelsea 17 8 9 1.6 1.5 6 4 7 28 26 22
18 10 Everton 17 9 8 1.3 1.2 8 2 7 22 20 26
19 16 Crystal Palace 18 10 8 1.0 1.4 4 6 8 18 26 18
20 17 Nott'm Forest 17 9 8 1.0 1.8 3 5 9 17 30 14
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Arsenal 9 2 7 2.4 0.9 7 2 0 22 8 23
2 13 Brentford 9 2 7 1.8 1.6 3 3 3 16 14 12
3 2 Aston Villa 9 3 6 2.9 0.7 8 1 0 26 6 25
4 3 Liverpool 8 2 6 2.6 0.6 7 1 0 21 5 22
5 5 Tottenham 8 2 6 1.9 1.4 5 0 3 15 11 15
6 8 Man United 9 3 6 1.1 1.6 5 0 4 10 14 15
7 9 Brighton 9 3 6 2.0 1.3 4 4 1 18 12 16
8 19 Sheffield United 9 3 6 0.9 2.3 2 1 6 8 21 7
9 20 Burnley 9 3 6 1.1 2.4 1 0 8 10 22 3
10 4 Man City 8 3 5 2.8 1.1 5 3 0 22 9 18
11 6 West Ham 9 4 5 1.9 1.1 5 2 2 17 10 17
12 7 Newcastle 9 4 5 2.4 0.4 8 0 1 22 4 24
13 12 Fulham 8 3 5 2.1 1.1 5 0 3 17 9 15
14 14 Wolves 8 3 5 1.4 1.6 3 3 2 11 13 12
15 18 Luton 8 3 5 1.2 1.8 1 2 5 10 14 5
16 10 Everton 9 5 4 1.1 1.0 3 1 5 10 9 10
17 11 Chelsea 9 5 4 1.7 1.4 3 3 3 15 13 12
18 15 Bournemouth 8 4 4 1.0 1.5 2 3 3 8 12 9
19 16 Crystal Palace 9 5 4 0.9 1.4 1 3 5 8 13 6
20 17 Nott'm Forest 8 5 3 1.2 1.4 2 3 3 10 11 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 West Ham 9 1 8 1.6 2.2 4 1 4 14 20 13
2 4 Man City 9 2 7 2.0 1.2 5 1 3 18 11 16
3 15 Bournemouth 8 1 7 1.6 2.2 3 1 4 13 18 10
4 2 Aston Villa 9 3 6 1.3 1.8 4 2 3 12 16 14
5 5 Tottenham 9 3 6 2.2 1.3 5 3 1 20 12 18
6 7 Newcastle 8 2 6 1.8 2.1 1 2 5 14 17 5
7 9 Brighton 9 3 6 1.8 2.1 3 2 4 16 19 11
8 14 Wolves 9 3 6 1.1 1.8 2 1 6 10 16 7
9 18 Luton 8 2 6 0.9 2.2 1 1 6 7 18 4
10 3 Liverpool 9 4 5 1.7 1.1 4 4 1 15 10 16
11 11 Chelsea 8 3 5 1.6 1.6 3 1 4 13 13 10
12 12 Fulham 9 4 5 1.0 2.2 1 3 5 9 20 6
13 17 Nott'm Forest 9 4 5 0.8 2.1 1 2 6 7 19 5
14 19 Sheffield United 9 4 5 0.6 2.6 0 2 7 5 23 2
15 10 Everton 8 4 4 1.5 1.4 5 1 2 12 11 16
16 13 Brentford 8 4 4 1.0 1.2 2 1 5 8 10 7
17 16 Crystal Palace 9 5 4 1.1 1.4 3 3 3 10 13 12
18 20 Burnley 8 4 4 0.8 1.8 1 2 5 6 14 5
19 1 Arsenal 8 5 3 1.6 0.9 5 1 2 13 7 16
20 8 Man United 9 6 3 0.9 1.0 4 1 4 8 9 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51