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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Oliver

Brentford 1–4 Liverpool

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 5.50 fair 3.36
Draw 4.33 fair 4.47
Away ✓ 1.57 fair 2.09
Under 2.5 2.60 fair 2.84
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.48 fair 1.54

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brentford Liverpool
15 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 8
1 Corners 6
4 Fouls 18
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (238 league matches this season so far).
Result Liverpool to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.54
Expected goals 1.45 – 1.89
Home / Draw / Away
BrentfordDrawLiverpool
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.7% 1–2 9.2% 2–1 7.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Brentford before this match, all matches
1.09points / match
1.48scored / match
1.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 34:39
Liverpool before this match, all matches
2.25points / match
2.29scored / match
0.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 55:23
Brentford all matches all matches Liverpool

Per match

1.48 Goals scored 2.29
1.70 Goals conceded 0.96
3.17 Total goals 3.25
12.78 Shots 19.04
4.39 Shots on target 6.75
14.00 Shots faced 11.04
4.96 Corners 6.63
5.91 Corners against 4.50
10.52 Fouls 12.00
2.17 Yellow cards 1.88
0.74 1st-half goals scored 0.88
0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

30% Wins 67%
17% Draws 25%
52% Losses 8%
100% Over 0.5 goals 96%
87% Over 1.5 goals 96%
70% Over 2.5 goals 67%
43% Over 3.5 goals 42%
17% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
65% Both teams scored 67%
17% Clean sheets 33%
17% Failed to score 4%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 33%
48% Draws 54%
22% Losses 13%
78% Over 0.5 goals 75%
39% Over 1.5 goals 50%
17% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brentford all matches
Liverpool all matches
Brentford before this match, at home
1.25points / match
1.75scored / match
1.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 21:23
Liverpool before this match, away
1.83points / match
1.83scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 22:13
Brentford at home away Liverpool

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 1.83
1.92 Goals conceded 1.08
3.67 Total goals 2.92
14.08 Shots 14.00
4.50 Shots on target 4.67
13.83 Shots faced 12.92
5.25 Corners 5.50
5.83 Corners against 5.67
9.75 Fouls 12.08
1.75 Yellow cards 2.33
0.92 1st-half goals scored 0.58
0.92 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

33% Wins 50%
25% Draws 33%
42% Losses 17%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
92% Over 1.5 goals 100%
83% Over 2.5 goals 58%
67% Over 3.5 goals 33%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
83% Both teams scored 75%
8% Clean sheets 25%
8% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 25%
58% Draws 50%
17% Losses 25%
83% Over 0.5 goals 75%
58% Over 1.5 goals 33%
25% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brentford at home
Liverpool away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brentford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.02.24 Wolves – Brentford 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.603.40 1.75 2.05
05.02.24 Brentford – Man City 1–3 (1–1) 7.004.751.40 1.57 2.35
31.01.24 Tottenham – Brentford 3–2 (0–1) 1.674.204.75 1.50 2.50
20.01.24 Brentford – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (1–1) 1.913.604.00 1.86 2.04
30.12.23 Crystal Palace – Brentford 3–1 (2–1) 2.203.303.40 2.15 1.67
27.12.23 Brentford – Wolves 1–4 (1–3) 1.953.504.20 2.03 1.87
17.12.23 Brentford – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.203.752.10 1.70 2.10
09.12.23 Sheffield United – Brentford 1–0 (1–0) 4.203.801.75 1.95 1.95
06.12.23 Brighton – Brentford 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.25
02.12.23 Brentford – Luton 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.506.50 1.70 2.10

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.02.24 Liverpool – Burnley 3–1 (1–1) 1.178.0017.00 1.33 3.40
04.02.24 Arsenal – Liverpool 3–1 (1–1) 2.203.603.10 1.67 2.15
31.01.24 Liverpool – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.574.335.25 1.44 2.70
21.01.24 Bournemouth – Liverpool 0–4 (0–0) 4.204.501.70 1.44 2.70
01.01.24 Liverpool – Newcastle 4–2 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.44 2.70
26.12.23 Burnley – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 6.505.251.40 1.44 2.70
23.12.23 Liverpool – Arsenal 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.602.80 1.70 2.10
17.12.23 Liverpool – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.00 1.33 3.40
09.12.23 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 1–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.65 2.20
06.12.23 Sheffield United – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 12.007.501.20 1.33 3.40

Brentford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.02.24 Brentford – Man City 1–3 (1–1) 7.004.751.40 1.57 2.35
20.01.24 Brentford – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (1–1) 1.913.604.00 1.86 2.04
27.12.23 Brentford – Wolves 1–4 (1–3) 1.953.504.20 2.03 1.87
17.12.23 Brentford – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.203.752.10 1.70 2.10
02.12.23 Brentford – Luton 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.506.50 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Brentford – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 4.503.751.75 1.90 2.00
04.11.23 Brentford – West Ham 3–2 (1–2) 2.053.603.50 1.73 2.08
21.10.23 Brentford – Burnley 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.754.20 1.95 1.95
23.09.23 Brentford – Everton 1–3 (1–1) 1.803.804.20 1.95 1.95
02.09.23 Brentford – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–1) 1.733.804.75 1.73 2.10

Liverpool away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.24 Arsenal – Liverpool 3–1 (1–1) 2.203.603.10 1.67 2.15
21.01.24 Bournemouth – Liverpool 0–4 (0–0) 4.204.501.70 1.44 2.70
26.12.23 Burnley – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 6.505.251.40 1.44 2.70
09.12.23 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 1–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.65 2.20
06.12.23 Sheffield United – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 12.007.501.20 1.33 3.40
25.11.23 Man City – Liverpool 1–1 (1–0) 1.734.204.20 1.48 2.60
05.11.23 Luton – Liverpool 1–1 (0–0) 12.006.501.22 1.36 3.10
08.10.23 Brighton – Liverpool 2–2 (1–2) 3.003.802.20 1.36 3.10
30.09.23 Tottenham – Liverpool 2–1 (1–1) 2.904.002.15 1.36 3.20
16.09.23 Wolves – Liverpool 1–3 (1–0) 6.005.001.45 1.44 2.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brentford winsDrawsLiverpool wins
5matches
3.40goals / match
80%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.11.23E0 Liverpool – Brentford 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.006.50 1.44 2.70
06.05.23E0 Liverpool – Brentford 1–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.00 1.50 2.63
02.01.23E0 Brentford – Liverpool 3–1 (2–0) 5.504.331.55 1.57 2.38
16.01.22E0 Liverpool – Brentford 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.66 2.20
25.09.21E0 Brentford – Liverpool 3–3 (1–1) 7.004.501.45 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 24 16 6 2 55 23 +32 54
2 Man City 23 16 4 3 56 25 +31 52
3 Arsenal 24 16 4 4 53 22 +31 52
4 Tottenham 24 14 5 5 51 36 +15 47
5 Aston Villa 24 14 4 6 50 32 +18 46
6 Man United 24 13 2 9 33 33 0 41
7 Newcastle 24 11 3 10 51 39 +12 36
8 West Ham 24 10 6 8 36 42 -6 36
9 Brighton 24 9 8 7 43 40 +3 35
10 Chelsea 24 10 4 10 41 40 +1 34
11 Wolves 24 9 5 10 37 39 -2 32
12 Fulham 24 8 5 11 33 39 -6 29
13 Everton 24 8 5 11 26 32 -6 29
14 Bournemouth 23 7 6 10 31 44 -13 27
15 Brentford 23 7 4 12 34 39 -5 25
16 Crystal Palace 24 6 6 12 27 43 -16 24
17 Nott'm Forest 24 5 6 13 30 44 -14 21
18 Luton 23 5 5 13 33 45 -12 20
19 Burnley 24 3 4 17 25 50 -25 13
20 Sheffield United 24 3 4 17 22 60 -38 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 12 10 2 0 33 10 +23 32
2 Arsenal 12 9 2 1 30 11 +19 29
3 Aston Villa 12 9 1 2 31 13 +18 28
4 Man City 11 8 3 0 29 10 +19 27
5 Tottenham 12 9 0 3 25 16 +9 27
6 Newcastle 12 8 1 3 29 14 +15 25
7 Brighton 12 6 5 1 26 15 +11 23
8 Fulham 12 7 1 4 22 13 +9 22
9 Man United 12 7 1 4 18 18 0 22
10 West Ham 12 5 4 3 18 17 +1 19
11 Chelsea 12 5 3 4 20 18 +2 18
12 Wolves 12 5 3 4 19 20 -1 18
13 Brentford 12 4 3 5 21 23 -2 15
14 Bournemouth 11 3 4 4 12 17 -5 13
15 Everton 12 3 3 6 13 14 -1 12
16 Nott'm Forest 12 3 3 6 17 20 -3 12
17 Crystal Palace 12 3 3 6 15 19 -4 12
18 Luton 12 3 2 7 18 20 -2 11
19 Sheffield United 12 2 2 8 12 31 -19 8
20 Burnley 12 1 2 9 13 27 -14 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 12 8 1 3 27 15 +12 25
2 Arsenal 12 7 2 3 23 11 +12 23
3 Liverpool 12 6 4 2 22 13 +9 22
4 Tottenham 12 5 5 2 26 20 +6 20
5 Man United 12 6 1 5 15 15 0 19
6 Aston Villa 12 5 3 4 19 19 0 18
7 Everton 12 5 2 5 13 18 -5 17
8 West Ham 12 5 2 5 18 25 -7 17
9 Chelsea 12 5 1 6 21 22 -1 16
10 Wolves 12 4 2 6 18 19 -1 14
11 Bournemouth 12 4 2 6 19 27 -8 14
12 Brighton 12 3 3 6 17 25 -8 12
13 Crystal Palace 12 3 3 6 12 24 -12 12
14 Newcastle 12 3 2 7 22 25 -3 11
15 Brentford 11 3 1 7 13 16 -3 10
16 Luton 11 2 3 6 15 25 -10 9
17 Nott'm Forest 12 2 3 7 13 24 -11 9
18 Burnley 12 2 2 8 12 23 -11 8
19 Fulham 12 1 4 7 11 26 -15 7
20 Sheffield United 12 1 2 9 10 29 -19 5

Brentford   Liverpool

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Tottenham 24 5 19 2.1 1.5 14 5 5 51 36 47
2 5 Aston Villa 24 7 17 2.1 1.3 14 4 6 50 32 46
3 7 Newcastle 24 7 17 2.1 1.6 11 3 10 51 39 36
4 1 Liverpool 24 8 16 2.3 1.0 16 6 2 55 23 54
5 2 Man City 23 7 16 2.4 1.1 16 4 3 56 25 52
6 8 West Ham 24 8 16 1.5 1.8 10 6 8 36 42 36
7 9 Brighton 24 8 16 1.8 1.7 9 8 7 43 40 35
8 11 Wolves 24 8 16 1.5 1.6 9 5 10 37 39 32
9 14 Bournemouth 23 7 16 1.3 1.9 7 6 10 31 44 27
10 15 Brentford 23 7 16 1.5 1.7 7 4 12 34 39 25
11 18 Luton 23 7 16 1.4 2.0 5 5 13 33 45 20
12 20 Sheffield United 24 8 16 0.9 2.5 3 4 17 22 60 13
13 3 Arsenal 24 9 15 2.2 0.9 16 4 4 53 22 52
14 6 Man United 24 9 15 1.4 1.4 13 2 9 33 33 41
15 10 Chelsea 24 9 15 1.7 1.7 10 4 10 41 40 34
16 12 Fulham 24 10 14 1.4 1.6 8 5 11 33 39 29
17 16 Crystal Palace 24 10 14 1.1 1.8 6 6 12 27 43 24
18 17 Nott'm Forest 24 10 14 1.2 1.8 5 6 13 30 44 21
19 19 Burnley 24 10 14 1.0 2.1 3 4 17 25 50 13
20 13 Everton 24 12 12 1.1 1.3 8 5 11 26 32 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Tottenham 12 2 10 2.1 1.3 9 0 3 25 16 27
2 15 Brentford 12 2 10 1.8 1.9 4 3 5 21 23 15
3 1 Liverpool 12 3 9 2.8 0.8 10 2 0 33 10 32
4 3 Arsenal 12 3 9 2.5 0.9 9 2 1 30 11 29
5 5 Aston Villa 12 3 9 2.6 1.1 9 1 2 31 13 28
6 6 Man United 12 3 9 1.5 1.5 7 1 4 18 18 22
7 20 Sheffield United 12 3 9 1.0 2.6 2 2 8 12 31 8
8 7 Newcastle 12 4 8 2.4 1.2 8 1 3 29 14 25
9 9 Brighton 12 4 8 2.2 1.2 6 5 1 26 15 23
10 11 Wolves 12 4 8 1.6 1.7 5 3 4 19 20 18
11 18 Luton 12 4 8 1.5 1.7 3 2 7 18 20 11
12 12 Fulham 12 5 7 1.8 1.1 7 1 4 22 13 22
13 16 Crystal Palace 12 5 7 1.2 1.6 3 3 6 15 19 12
14 17 Nott'm Forest 12 5 7 1.4 1.7 3 3 6 17 20 12
15 19 Burnley 12 5 7 1.1 2.2 1 2 9 13 27 5
16 2 Man City 11 5 6 2.6 0.9 8 3 0 29 10 27
17 8 West Ham 12 6 6 1.5 1.4 5 4 3 18 17 19
18 10 Chelsea 12 6 6 1.7 1.5 5 3 4 20 18 18
19 13 Everton 12 6 6 1.1 1.2 3 3 6 13 14 12
20 14 Bournemouth 11 5 6 1.1 1.5 3 4 4 12 17 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 12 2 10 2.2 1.2 8 1 3 27 15 25
2 8 West Ham 12 2 10 1.5 2.1 5 2 5 18 25 17
3 14 Bournemouth 12 2 10 1.6 2.2 4 2 6 19 27 14
4 4 Tottenham 12 3 9 2.2 1.7 5 5 2 26 20 20
5 7 Newcastle 12 3 9 1.8 2.1 3 2 7 22 25 11
6 10 Chelsea 12 3 9 1.8 1.8 5 1 6 21 22 16
7 5 Aston Villa 12 4 8 1.6 1.6 5 3 4 19 19 18
8 9 Brighton 12 4 8 1.4 2.1 3 3 6 17 25 12
9 11 Wolves 12 4 8 1.5 1.6 4 2 6 18 19 14
10 18 Luton 11 3 8 1.4 2.3 2 3 6 15 25 9
11 1 Liverpool 12 5 7 1.8 1.1 6 4 2 22 13 22
12 12 Fulham 12 5 7 0.9 2.2 1 4 7 11 26 7
13 16 Crystal Palace 12 5 7 1.0 2.0 3 3 6 12 24 12
14 17 Nott'm Forest 12 5 7 1.1 2.0 2 3 7 13 24 9
15 19 Burnley 12 5 7 1.0 1.9 2 2 8 12 23 8
16 20 Sheffield United 12 5 7 0.8 2.4 1 2 9 10 29 5
17 3 Arsenal 12 6 6 1.9 0.9 7 2 3 23 11 23
18 6 Man United 12 6 6 1.2 1.2 6 1 5 15 15 19
19 13 Everton 12 6 6 1.1 1.5 5 2 5 13 18 17
20 15 Brentford 11 5 6 1.2 1.5 3 1 7 13 16 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51