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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: J Gillett

Chelsea 4–3 Man United

Full time · half time 2–2 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.00 fair 2.24
Draw 4.00 fair 4.29
Away 3.40 fair 3.12
Under 2.5 3.00 fair 2.58
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.63

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Chelsea Man United
28 Shots 19
10 Shots on target 5
12 Corners 3
7 Fouls 15
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (302 league matches this season so far).
Result Chelsea to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.60
Expected goals 1.73 – 1.43
Home / Draw / Away
ChelseaDrawMan United
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.5% 2–1 9.1% 1–2 7.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Chelsea before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
1.75scored / match
1.68conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 49:47
Man United before this match, all matches
1.66points / match
1.38scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 40:40
Chelsea all matches all matches Man United

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 1.38
1.68 Goals conceded 1.38
3.43 Total goals 2.76
13.93 Shots 14.24
5.36 Shots on target 4.90
14.07 Shots faced 17.17
5.18 Corners 6.17
4.93 Corners against 7.28
12.39 Fouls 10.62
2.96 Yellow cards 2.31
0.82 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.48

How often Full Time

39% Wins 52%
25% Draws 10%
36% Losses 38%
96% Over 0.5 goals 97%
86% Over 1.5 goals 76%
64% Over 2.5 goals 62%
50% Over 3.5 goals 24%
32% Over 4.5 goals 10%
7% Over 5.5 goals 3%
68% Both teams scored 52%
18% Clean sheets 28%
18% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 31%
57% Draws 45%
11% Losses 24%
75% Over 0.5 goals 66%
50% Over 1.5 goals 31%
11% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea all matches
Man United all matches
Chelsea before this match, at home
1.57points / match
1.79scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 25:22
Man United before this match, away
1.53points / match
1.27scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 19:20
Chelsea at home away Man United

Per match

1.79 Goals scored 1.27
1.57 Goals conceded 1.33
3.36 Total goals 2.60
15.29 Shots 12.40
5.64 Shots on target 4.27
12.50 Shots faced 19.67
5.86 Corners 4.27
4.29 Corners against 8.27
11.43 Fouls 11.27
2.79 Yellow cards 2.60
0.86 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

43% Wins 47%
29% Draws 13%
29% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
79% Over 1.5 goals 73%
57% Over 2.5 goals 53%
43% Over 3.5 goals 20%
29% Over 4.5 goals 7%
14% Over 5.5 goals 7%
57% Both teams scored 53%
21% Clean sheets 27%
21% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 40%
57% Draws 60%
7% Losses 0%
71% Over 0.5 goals 53%
43% Over 1.5 goals 27%
21% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea at home
Man United away

Last 10 matches before this match

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.03.24 Chelsea – Burnley 2–2 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.48 2.60
11.03.24 Chelsea – Newcastle 3–2 (1–1) 1.914.003.60 1.44 2.70
02.03.24 Brentford – Chelsea 2–2 (0–1) 3.103.752.15 1.53 2.40
17.02.24 Man City – Chelsea 1–1 (0–1) 1.335.508.00 1.44 2.70
12.02.24 Crystal Palace – Chelsea 1–3 (1–0) 4.203.801.85 1.86 2.04
04.02.24 Chelsea – Wolves 2–4 (1–2) 1.624.005.50 1.70 2.10
31.01.24 Liverpool – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.574.335.25 1.44 2.70
13.01.24 Chelsea – Fulham 1–0 (1–0) 1.604.205.25 1.62 2.25
30.12.23 Luton – Chelsea 2–3 (0–2) 6.504.201.50 1.65 2.20
27.12.23 Chelsea – Crystal Palace 2–1 (1–1) 1.674.005.00 1.91 1.99

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.03.24 Brentford – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.802.20 1.53 2.40
09.03.24 Man United – Everton 2–0 (2–0) 1.833.604.00 1.67 2.15
03.03.24 Man City – Man United 3–1 (0–1) 1.255.7511.00 1.36 3.10
24.02.24 Man United – Fulham 1–2 (0–0) 1.574.335.50 1.57 2.35
18.02.24 Luton – Man United 1–2 (1–2) 4.004.001.80 1.57 2.35
11.02.24 Aston Villa – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.753.10 1.53 2.40
04.02.24 Man United – West Ham 3–0 (1–0) 1.624.205.00 1.60 2.30
01.02.24 Wolves – Man United 3–4 (0–2) 2.633.602.55 1.75 2.05
14.01.24 Man United – Tottenham 2–2 (2–1) 2.203.753.00 1.48 2.60
30.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Man United 2–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.08

Chelsea at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.03.24 Chelsea – Burnley 2–2 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.48 2.60
11.03.24 Chelsea – Newcastle 3–2 (1–1) 1.914.003.60 1.44 2.70
04.02.24 Chelsea – Wolves 2–4 (1–2) 1.624.005.50 1.70 2.10
13.01.24 Chelsea – Fulham 1–0 (1–0) 1.604.205.25 1.62 2.25
27.12.23 Chelsea – Crystal Palace 2–1 (1–1) 1.674.005.00 1.91 1.99
16.12.23 Chelsea – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.50 2.50
03.12.23 Chelsea – Brighton 3–2 (2–1) 1.734.204.20 1.53 2.40
12.11.23 Chelsea – Man City 4–4 (2–2) 5.003.701.73 1.88 2.02
28.10.23 Chelsea – Brentford 0–2 (0–0) 1.654.005.25 1.80 2.00
21.10.23 Chelsea – Arsenal 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 1.98 1.92

Man United away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.03.24 Brentford – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.802.20 1.53 2.40
03.03.24 Man City – Man United 3–1 (0–1) 1.255.7511.00 1.36 3.10
18.02.24 Luton – Man United 1–2 (1–2) 4.004.001.80 1.57 2.35
11.02.24 Aston Villa – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.753.10 1.53 2.40
01.02.24 Wolves – Man United 3–4 (0–2) 2.633.602.55 1.75 2.05
30.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Man United 2–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.08
23.12.23 West Ham – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 2.603.602.60 1.70 2.10
17.12.23 Liverpool – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.00 1.33 3.40
02.12.23 Newcastle – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.67 2.15
26.11.23 Everton – Man United 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 1.85 2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Chelsea winsDrawsMan United wins
5matches
2.80goals / match
40%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.23E0 Man United – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 2.883.402.45 1.65 2.20
25.05.23E0 Man United – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.38
22.10.22E0 Chelsea – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.50 1.91 1.99
28.04.22E0 Man United – Chelsea 1–1 (0–0) 3.203.402.25 1.86 2.04
28.11.21E0 Chelsea – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 1.574.006.00 1.80 2.00

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 30 21 7 2 70 28 +42 70 WWWDWW
2 Arsenal 30 21 5 4 72 24 +48 68 WWWWDW
3 Man City 30 20 7 3 67 29 +38 67 WWWDDW
4 Aston Villa 31 18 5 8 63 46 +17 59 WWLDWL
5 Tottenham 30 17 6 7 62 44 +18 57 LWWLWD
6 Man United 29 15 3 11 40 40 0 48 WWLLWD
7 West Ham 31 12 9 10 50 55 -5 45 WWDDLD
8 Newcastle 30 13 5 12 64 52 +12 44 DLWLWD
9 Brighton 30 11 10 9 51 46 +5 43 WDLWLD
10 Wolves 30 12 6 12 43 47 -4 42 WWLWLD
11 Bournemouth 30 11 8 11 44 53 -9 41 LWDWWW
12 Chelsea 28 11 7 10 49 47 +2 40 LWDDWD
13 Fulham 31 11 6 14 47 50 -3 39 WWLWDL
14 Everton 30 8 8 14 31 42 -11 32 DDLLLD
15 Crystal Palace 30 7 9 14 34 50 -16 30 DWLDDL
16 Nott'm Forest 31 7 8 16 39 53 -14 29 LLLDDW
17 Brentford 31 7 7 17 42 55 -13 28 LDLLDD
18 Luton 31 5 7 19 43 64 -21 22 LDLDLL
19 Burnley 31 4 7 20 32 66 -34 19 LLDWDD
20 Sheffield United 30 3 6 21 28 80 -52 15 LLLDDL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 16 13 3 0 43 14 +29 42 WWWDWW
2 Arsenal 15 12 2 1 38 13 +25 38 LWWWWW
3 Man City 16 11 5 0 38 13 +25 38 WDWWDW
4 Aston Villa 15 11 1 3 37 19 +18 34 WLLWLW
5 Newcastle 16 10 3 3 39 20 +19 33 LDDWWD
6 Tottenham 15 11 0 4 31 20 +11 33 WWWLWW
7 Fulham 15 9 1 5 29 15 +14 28 WDWLWW
8 Brighton 14 7 6 1 28 16 +12 27 DWDWDW
9 West Ham 16 6 7 3 26 23 +3 25 DLWDDD
10 Man United 14 8 1 5 21 20 +1 25 LWDWLW
11 Wolves 14 7 3 4 22 21 +1 24 WWLLWW
12 Bournemouth 16 6 5 5 21 24 -3 23 DLDWWW
13 Chelsea 14 6 4 4 25 22 +3 22 WWWLWD
14 Nott'm Forest 16 5 4 7 23 23 0 19 LLWLDW
15 Brentford 16 4 6 6 25 30 -5 18 WLLDDD
16 Crystal Palace 14 4 4 6 19 20 -1 16 DWWLWD
17 Everton 14 3 4 7 15 18 -3 13 WLDDDL
18 Luton 15 3 3 9 22 26 -4 12 LWLLLD
19 Burnley 16 2 3 11 16 36 -20 9 DDLLWD
20 Sheffield United 15 2 3 10 15 45 -30 9 LDLLLD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 15 9 3 3 34 11 +23 30 LWWWWD
2 Man City 14 9 2 3 29 16 +13 29 WWWWWD
3 Liverpool 14 8 4 2 27 14 +13 28 WWWLWW
4 Aston Villa 16 7 4 5 26 27 -1 25 DWWWDL
5 Tottenham 15 6 6 3 31 24 +7 24 LDDWLD
6 Man United 15 7 2 6 19 20 -1 23 LWWWLD
7 West Ham 15 6 2 7 24 32 -8 20 WDLLWL
8 Everton 16 5 4 7 16 24 -8 19 DLDLLD
9 Chelsea 14 5 3 6 24 25 -1 18 LWLWDD
10 Wolves 16 5 3 8 21 26 -5 18 DWWLLD
11 Bournemouth 14 5 3 6 23 29 -6 18 WLDLDW
12 Brighton 16 4 4 8 23 30 -7 16 LLWLLD
13 Crystal Palace 16 3 5 8 15 30 -15 14 LLDLDL
14 Newcastle 14 3 2 9 25 32 -7 11 LLWWLL
15 Fulham 16 2 5 9 18 35 -17 11 LDWLDL
16 Brentford 15 3 1 11 17 25 -8 10 LWLLLL
17 Burnley 15 2 4 9 16 30 -14 10 LLLLDD
18 Nott'm Forest 15 2 4 9 16 30 -14 10 WLDLLD
19 Luton 16 2 4 10 21 38 -17 10 DLDLLL
20 Sheffield United 15 1 3 11 13 35 -22 6 LLWLDL

Chelsea   Man United

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Tottenham 30 6 24 2.1 1.5 17 6 7 62 44 57 OOOOOU
2 4 Aston Villa 31 9 22 2.0 1.5 18 5 8 63 46 59 OOOUUO
3 8 Newcastle 30 8 22 2.1 1.7 13 5 12 64 52 44 OOOOOU
4 13 Fulham 31 10 21 1.5 1.6 11 6 14 47 50 39 OOOOOO
5 17 Brentford 31 10 21 1.4 1.8 7 7 17 42 55 28 OOOOUU
6 18 Luton 31 10 21 1.4 2.1 5 7 19 43 64 22 OUOUOU
7 20 Sheffield United 30 9 21 0.9 2.7 3 6 21 28 80 15 OUOOOO
8 1 Liverpool 30 10 20 2.3 0.9 21 7 2 70 28 70 OOUUOO
9 7 West Ham 31 11 20 1.6 1.8 12 9 10 50 55 45 OOOUOU
10 11 Bournemouth 30 10 20 1.5 1.8 11 8 11 44 53 41 UUOOOU
11 2 Arsenal 30 11 19 2.4 0.8 21 5 4 72 24 68 OOOOUU
12 9 Brighton 30 11 19 1.7 1.5 11 10 9 51 46 43 OUOUOU
13 10 Wolves 30 11 19 1.4 1.6 12 6 12 43 47 42 OUOOUU
14 19 Burnley 31 12 19 1.0 2.1 4 7 20 32 66 19 OUOOOU
15 3 Man City 30 12 18 2.2 1.0 20 7 3 67 29 67 UUOUUO
16 6 Man United 29 11 18 1.4 1.4 15 3 11 40 40 48 OOOOUU
17 12 Chelsea 28 10 18 1.8 1.7 11 7 10 49 47 40 OOUOOO
18 15 Crystal Palace 30 14 16 1.1 1.7 7 9 14 34 50 30 UOOUUU
19 16 Nott'm Forest 31 15 16 1.3 1.7 7 8 16 39 53 29 OUUUUO
20 14 Everton 30 16 14 1.0 1.4 8 8 14 31 42 32 UUOUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Tottenham 15 2 13 2.1 1.3 11 0 4 31 20 33 OOOOOO
2 1 Liverpool 16 4 12 2.7 0.9 13 3 0 43 14 42 OOOUOO
3 17 Brentford 16 4 12 1.6 1.9 4 6 6 25 30 18 OOOOUU
4 20 Sheffield United 15 3 12 1.0 3.0 2 3 10 15 45 9 OOOOOO
5 2 Arsenal 15 4 11 2.5 0.9 12 2 1 38 13 38 UOOOOU
6 4 Aston Villa 15 4 11 2.5 1.3 11 1 3 37 19 34 OOOOOU
7 8 Newcastle 16 5 11 2.4 1.2 10 3 3 39 20 33 OOOOOU
8 6 Man United 14 4 10 1.5 1.4 8 1 5 21 20 25 OOOOOU
9 13 Fulham 15 5 10 1.9 1.0 9 1 5 29 15 28 OUOOOO
10 18 Luton 15 5 10 1.5 1.7 3 3 9 22 26 12 OOOOOU
11 10 Wolves 14 5 9 1.6 1.5 7 3 4 22 21 24 OOOUUO
12 11 Bournemouth 16 7 9 1.3 1.5 6 5 5 21 24 23 UUOOOU
13 19 Burnley 16 7 9 1.0 2.2 2 3 11 16 36 9 UOOUOU
14 3 Man City 16 8 8 2.4 0.8 11 5 0 38 13 38 UUUOUO
15 7 West Ham 16 8 8 1.6 1.4 6 7 3 26 23 25 UOOOUU
16 9 Brighton 14 6 8 2.0 1.1 7 6 1 28 16 27 UOUOUU
17 12 Chelsea 14 6 8 1.8 1.6 6 4 4 25 22 22 UOUOOO
18 15 Crystal Palace 14 6 8 1.4 1.4 4 4 6 19 20 16 UOOOOU
19 16 Nott'm Forest 16 8 8 1.4 1.4 5 4 7 23 23 19 OOUUUO
20 14 Everton 14 7 7 1.1 1.3 3 4 7 15 18 13 UOUOUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 West Ham 15 3 12 1.6 2.1 6 2 7 24 32 20 UOOUOO
2 4 Aston Villa 16 5 11 1.6 1.7 7 4 5 26 27 25 UOOOUO
3 5 Tottenham 15 4 11 2.1 1.6 6 6 3 31 24 24 OOOOOU
4 8 Newcastle 14 3 11 1.8 2.3 3 2 9 25 32 11 UOOOOO
5 9 Brighton 16 5 11 1.4 1.9 4 4 8 23 30 16 OOOOOU
6 11 Bournemouth 14 3 11 1.6 2.1 5 3 6 23 29 18 OOUOOU
7 13 Fulham 16 5 11 1.1 2.2 2 5 9 18 35 11 UOOOOO
8 18 Luton 16 5 11 1.3 2.4 2 4 10 21 38 10 OOUOOU
9 3 Man City 14 4 10 2.1 1.1 9 2 3 29 16 29 OOOOUU
10 10 Wolves 16 6 10 1.3 1.6 5 3 8 21 26 18 UOOOUU
11 12 Chelsea 14 4 10 1.7 1.8 5 3 6 24 25 18 OOOOUO
12 19 Burnley 15 5 10 1.1 2.0 2 4 9 16 30 10 OOOOOO
13 17 Brentford 15 6 9 1.1 1.7 3 1 11 17 25 10 OUUOOO
14 20 Sheffield United 15 6 9 0.9 2.3 1 3 11 13 35 6 UOOUOO
15 1 Liverpool 14 6 8 1.9 1.0 8 4 2 27 14 28 OUOOOU
16 2 Arsenal 15 7 8 2.3 0.7 9 3 3 34 11 30 OOOOOU
17 6 Man United 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 7 2 6 19 20 23 OOOOOU
18 15 Crystal Palace 16 8 8 0.9 1.9 3 5 8 15 30 14 OOUOUU
19 16 Nott'm Forest 15 7 8 1.1 2.0 2 4 9 16 30 10 OOUOUU
20 14 Everton 16 9 7 1.0 1.5 5 4 7 16 24 19 UUUUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11