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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: D Coote

Liverpool 2–1 Brighton

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.36 fair 1.63
Draw 5.50 fair 5.21
Away 7.50 fair 5.15
Under 2.5 3.10 fair 3.23
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.36 fair 1.45

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Liverpool Brighton
30 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 3
8 Corners 4
20 Fouls 6
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (291 league matches this season so far).
Result Liverpool to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.56
Expected goals 2.32 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
LiverpoolDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.5% 1–1 8.2% 2–0 7.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Liverpool before this match, all matches
2.29points / match
2.32scored / match
0.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 65:26
Brighton before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.79scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 50:44
Liverpool all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

2.32 Goals scored 1.79
0.93 Goals conceded 1.57
3.25 Total goals 3.36
19.36 Shots 15.00
6.82 Shots on target 6.00
11.07 Shots faced 11.71
7.04 Corners 5.57
4.29 Corners against 4.04
12.11 Fouls 10.79
1.75 Yellow cards 2.46
0.79 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

68% Wins 39%
25% Draws 32%
7% Losses 29%
96% Over 0.5 goals 93%
93% Over 1.5 goals 89%
64% Over 2.5 goals 64%
43% Over 3.5 goals 50%
18% Over 4.5 goals 29%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
68% Both teams scored 75%
32% Clean sheets 14%
4% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 43%
50% Draws 21%
18% Losses 36%
75% Over 0.5 goals 86%
43% Over 1.5 goals 43%
11% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool all matches
Brighton all matches
Liverpool before this match, at home
2.57points / match
2.71scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 38:12
Brighton before this match, away
1.07points / match
1.57scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 22:28
Liverpool at home away Brighton

Per match

2.71 Goals scored 1.57
0.86 Goals conceded 2.00
3.57 Total goals 3.57
24.07 Shots 12.71
8.93 Shots on target 5.21
9.43 Shots faced 13.57
8.07 Corners 3.71
3.43 Corners against 4.86
11.71 Fouls 10.29
1.29 Yellow cards 2.93
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 1.07

How often Full Time

79% Wins 29%
21% Draws 21%
0% Losses 50%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
93% Over 1.5 goals 93%
71% Over 2.5 goals 71%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
29% Over 4.5 goals 36%
14% Over 5.5 goals 7%
64% Both teams scored 64%
36% Clean sheets 14%
7% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 36%
50% Draws 14%
14% Losses 50%
79% Over 0.5 goals 86%
57% Over 1.5 goals 50%
14% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.03.24 Liverpool – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.752.20 1.50 2.50
02.03.24 Nott'm Forest – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.331.53 1.48 2.60
21.02.24 Liverpool – Luton 4–1 (0–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.30 3.50
17.02.24 Brentford – Liverpool 1–4 (0–1) 5.504.331.57 1.48 2.60
10.02.24 Liverpool – Burnley 3–1 (1–1) 1.178.0017.00 1.33 3.40
04.02.24 Arsenal – Liverpool 3–1 (1–1) 2.203.603.10 1.67 2.15
31.01.24 Liverpool – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.574.335.25 1.44 2.70
21.01.24 Bournemouth – Liverpool 0–4 (0–0) 4.204.501.70 1.44 2.70
01.01.24 Liverpool – Newcastle 4–2 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.44 2.70
26.12.23 Burnley – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 6.505.251.40 1.44 2.70

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.03.24 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 1–0 (1–0) 1.804.004.00 1.62 2.25
02.03.24 Fulham – Brighton 3–0 (2–0) 2.553.602.63 1.62 2.25
24.02.24 Brighton – Everton 1–1 (0–0) 1.833.804.20 1.65 2.20
18.02.24 Sheffield United – Brighton 0–5 (0–2) 5.004.201.62 1.57 2.35
10.02.24 Tottenham – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.40 2.88
03.02.24 Brighton – Crystal Palace 4–1 (3–0) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.08
30.01.24 Luton – Brighton 4–0 (3–0) 4.204.201.75 1.65 2.20
22.01.24 Brighton – Wolves 0–0 (0–0) 1.654.335.00 1.62 2.25
02.01.24 West Ham – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.752.75 1.60 2.30
28.12.23 Brighton – Tottenham 4–2 (2–0) 2.503.602.60 1.44 2.70

Liverpool at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.03.24 Liverpool – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.752.20 1.50 2.50
21.02.24 Liverpool – Luton 4–1 (0–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.30 3.50
10.02.24 Liverpool – Burnley 3–1 (1–1) 1.178.0017.00 1.33 3.40
31.01.24 Liverpool – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.574.335.25 1.44 2.70
01.01.24 Liverpool – Newcastle 4–2 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.44 2.70
23.12.23 Liverpool – Arsenal 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.602.80 1.70 2.10
17.12.23 Liverpool – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.00 1.33 3.40
03.12.23 Liverpool – Fulham 4–3 (2–2) 1.256.509.00 1.40 2.88
12.11.23 Liverpool – Brentford 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.006.50 1.44 2.70
29.10.23 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 1.295.7511.00 1.40 2.88

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24 Fulham – Brighton 3–0 (2–0) 2.553.602.63 1.62 2.25
18.02.24 Sheffield United – Brighton 0–5 (0–2) 5.004.201.62 1.57 2.35
10.02.24 Tottenham – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.40 2.88
30.01.24 Luton – Brighton 4–0 (3–0) 4.204.201.75 1.65 2.20
02.01.24 West Ham – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.752.75 1.60 2.30
21.12.23 Crystal Palace – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.302.15 1.99 1.91
17.12.23 Arsenal – Brighton 2–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.00 1.53 2.40
03.12.23 Chelsea – Brighton 3–2 (2–1) 1.734.204.20 1.53 2.40
25.11.23 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 2–3 (1–2) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.08
04.11.23 Everton – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.57 2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Liverpool winsDrawsBrighton wins
5matches
3.80goals / match
80%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.23E0 Brighton – Liverpool 2–2 (1–2) 3.003.802.20 1.36 3.10
14.01.23E0 Brighton – Liverpool 3–0 (0–0) 3.403.602.10 1.57 2.38
01.10.22E0 Liverpool – Brighton 3–3 (1–2) 1.335.258.50 1.53 2.50
12.03.22E0 Brighton – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.331.50 1.72 2.10
30.10.21E0 Liverpool – Brighton 2–2 (2–1) 1.226.5013.00 1.53 2.50

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 28 20 4 4 70 24 +46 64
2 Liverpool 28 19 7 2 65 26 +39 64
3 Man City 28 19 6 3 63 28 +35 63
4 Aston Villa 30 18 5 7 62 42 +20 59
5 Tottenham 29 17 5 7 61 43 +18 56
6 Man United 29 15 3 11 40 40 0 48
7 West Ham 30 12 8 10 49 54 -5 44
8 Newcastle 29 13 4 12 63 51 +12 43
9 Brighton 28 11 9 8 50 44 +6 42
10 Wolves 29 12 5 12 42 46 -4 41
11 Chelsea 28 11 7 10 49 47 +2 40
12 Fulham 30 11 6 13 46 47 -1 39
13 Bournemouth 29 10 8 11 43 53 -10 38
14 Everton 29 8 7 14 30 41 -11 31
15 Crystal Palace 29 7 9 13 34 49 -15 30
16 Brentford 30 7 6 17 42 55 -13 27
17 Nott'm Forest 30 6 8 16 36 52 -16 26
18 Luton 30 5 7 18 43 62 -19 22
19 Burnley 30 4 6 20 31 65 -34 18
20 Sheffield United 29 3 6 20 27 77 -50 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 14 11 3 0 38 12 +26 36
2 Arsenal 14 11 2 1 36 13 +23 35
3 Man City 14 10 4 0 34 12 +22 34
4 Aston Villa 15 11 1 3 37 19 +18 34
5 Tottenham 15 11 0 4 31 20 +11 33
6 Newcastle 15 10 2 3 38 19 +19 32
7 Fulham 15 9 1 5 29 15 +14 28
8 Brighton 14 7 6 1 28 16 +12 27
9 Man United 14 8 1 5 21 20 +1 25
10 West Ham 15 6 6 3 25 22 +3 24
11 Wolves 14 7 3 4 22 21 +1 24
12 Chelsea 14 6 4 4 25 22 +3 22
13 Bournemouth 15 5 5 5 20 24 -4 20
14 Brentford 15 4 5 6 25 30 -5 17
15 Crystal Palace 14 4 4 6 19 20 -1 16
16 Nott'm Forest 15 4 4 7 20 22 -2 16
17 Everton 14 3 4 7 15 18 -3 13
18 Luton 15 3 3 9 22 26 -4 12
19 Sheffield United 15 2 3 10 15 45 -30 9
20 Burnley 15 2 2 11 15 35 -20 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 14 9 2 3 34 11 +23 29
2 Man City 14 9 2 3 29 16 +13 29
3 Liverpool 14 8 4 2 27 14 +13 28
4 Aston Villa 15 7 4 4 25 23 +2 25
5 Tottenham 14 6 5 3 30 23 +7 23
6 Man United 15 7 2 6 19 20 -1 23
7 West Ham 15 6 2 7 24 32 -8 20
8 Chelsea 14 5 3 6 24 25 -1 18
9 Bournemouth 14 5 3 6 23 29 -6 18
10 Everton 15 5 3 7 15 23 -8 18
11 Wolves 15 5 2 8 20 25 -5 17
12 Brighton 14 4 3 7 22 28 -6 15
13 Crystal Palace 15 3 5 7 15 29 -14 14
14 Newcastle 14 3 2 9 25 32 -7 11
15 Fulham 15 2 5 8 17 32 -15 11
16 Brentford 15 3 1 11 17 25 -8 10
17 Burnley 15 2 4 9 16 30 -14 10
18 Nott'm Forest 15 2 4 9 16 30 -14 10
19 Luton 15 2 4 9 21 36 -15 10
20 Sheffield United 14 1 3 10 12 32 -20 6

Liverpool   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 29 5 24 2.1 1.5 17 5 7 61 43 56
2 8 Newcastle 29 7 22 2.2 1.8 13 4 12 63 51 43
3 4 Aston Villa 30 9 21 2.1 1.4 18 5 7 62 42 59
4 16 Brentford 30 9 21 1.4 1.8 7 6 17 42 55 27
5 18 Luton 30 9 21 1.4 2.1 5 7 18 43 62 22
6 7 West Ham 30 10 20 1.6 1.8 12 8 10 49 54 44
7 12 Fulham 30 10 20 1.5 1.6 11 6 13 46 47 39
8 13 Bournemouth 29 9 20 1.5 1.8 10 8 11 43 53 38
9 20 Sheffield United 29 9 20 0.9 2.7 3 6 20 27 77 15
10 1 Arsenal 28 9 19 2.5 0.9 20 4 4 70 24 64
11 10 Wolves 29 10 19 1.4 1.6 12 5 12 42 46 41
12 19 Burnley 30 11 19 1.0 2.2 4 6 20 31 65 18
13 2 Liverpool 28 10 18 2.3 0.9 19 7 2 65 26 64
14 6 Man United 29 11 18 1.4 1.4 15 3 11 40 40 48
15 9 Brighton 28 10 18 1.8 1.6 11 9 8 50 44 42
16 11 Chelsea 28 10 18 1.8 1.7 11 7 10 49 47 40
17 3 Man City 28 11 17 2.2 1.0 19 6 3 63 28 63
18 15 Crystal Palace 29 13 16 1.2 1.7 7 9 13 34 49 30
19 17 Nott'm Forest 30 15 15 1.2 1.7 6 8 16 36 52 26
20 14 Everton 29 15 14 1.0 1.4 8 7 14 30 41 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 15 2 13 2.1 1.3 11 0 4 31 20 33
2 16 Brentford 15 3 12 1.7 2.0 4 5 6 25 30 17
3 20 Sheffield United 15 3 12 1.0 3.0 2 3 10 15 45 9
4 1 Arsenal 14 3 11 2.6 0.9 11 2 1 36 13 35
5 4 Aston Villa 15 4 11 2.5 1.3 11 1 3 37 19 34
6 8 Newcastle 15 4 11 2.5 1.3 10 2 3 38 19 32
7 2 Liverpool 14 4 10 2.7 0.9 11 3 0 38 12 36
8 6 Man United 14 4 10 1.5 1.4 8 1 5 21 20 25
9 12 Fulham 15 5 10 1.9 1.0 9 1 5 29 15 28
10 18 Luton 15 5 10 1.5 1.7 3 3 9 22 26 12
11 10 Wolves 14 5 9 1.6 1.5 7 3 4 22 21 24
12 13 Bournemouth 15 6 9 1.3 1.6 5 5 5 20 24 20
13 19 Burnley 15 6 9 1.0 2.3 2 2 11 15 35 8
14 7 West Ham 15 7 8 1.7 1.5 6 6 3 25 22 24
15 9 Brighton 14 6 8 2.0 1.1 7 6 1 28 16 27
16 11 Chelsea 14 6 8 1.8 1.6 6 4 4 25 22 22
17 15 Crystal Palace 14 6 8 1.4 1.4 4 4 6 19 20 16
18 3 Man City 14 7 7 2.4 0.9 10 4 0 34 12 34
19 14 Everton 14 7 7 1.1 1.3 3 4 7 15 18 13
20 17 Nott'm Forest 15 8 7 1.3 1.5 4 4 7 20 22 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 West Ham 15 3 12 1.6 2.1 6 2 7 24 32 20
2 5 Tottenham 14 3 11 2.1 1.6 6 5 3 30 23 23
3 8 Newcastle 14 3 11 1.8 2.3 3 2 9 25 32 11
4 13 Bournemouth 14 3 11 1.6 2.1 5 3 6 23 29 18
5 18 Luton 15 4 11 1.4 2.4 2 4 9 21 36 10
6 3 Man City 14 4 10 2.1 1.1 9 2 3 29 16 29
7 4 Aston Villa 15 5 10 1.7 1.5 7 4 4 25 23 25
8 9 Brighton 14 4 10 1.6 2.0 4 3 7 22 28 15
9 10 Wolves 15 5 10 1.3 1.7 5 2 8 20 25 17
10 11 Chelsea 14 4 10 1.7 1.8 5 3 6 24 25 18
11 12 Fulham 15 5 10 1.1 2.1 2 5 8 17 32 11
12 19 Burnley 15 5 10 1.1 2.0 2 4 9 16 30 10
13 16 Brentford 15 6 9 1.1 1.7 3 1 11 17 25 10
14 1 Arsenal 14 6 8 2.4 0.8 9 2 3 34 11 29
15 2 Liverpool 14 6 8 1.9 1.0 8 4 2 27 14 28
16 6 Man United 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 7 2 6 19 20 23
17 15 Crystal Palace 15 7 8 1.0 1.9 3 5 7 15 29 14
18 17 Nott'm Forest 15 7 8 1.1 2.0 2 4 9 16 30 10
19 20 Sheffield United 14 6 8 0.9 2.3 1 3 10 12 32 6
20 14 Everton 15 8 7 1.0 1.5 5 3 7 15 23 18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51