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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Taylor

Nott'm Forest 2–3 Brighton

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.20 fair 2.30
Draw 3.60 fair 4.36
Away ✓ 2.15 fair 2.98
Under 2.5 2.08 fair 2.75
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.57

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nott'm Forest Brighton
18 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 4
12 Fouls 7
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (121 league matches this season so far).
Result Nott'm Forest to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.55
Expected goals 1.76 – 1.52
Home / Draw / Away
Nott'm ForestDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.1% 2–1 8.9% 1–2 7.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Nott'm Forest before this match, all matches
1.08points / match
1.17scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 14:18
Brighton before this match, all matches
1.58points / match
2.08scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 25:21
Nott'm Forest all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 2.08
1.50 Goals conceded 1.75
2.67 Total goals 3.83
10.58 Shots 14.33
3.58 Shots on target 6.00
13.92 Shots faced 12.00
3.50 Corners 5.42
7.25 Corners against 3.67
10.92 Fouls 11.75
2.67 Yellow cards 2.50
0.42 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

25% Wins 42%
33% Draws 33%
42% Losses 25%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 75%
25% Over 3.5 goals 67%
17% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
58% Both teams scored 100%
25% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 50%
42% Draws 8%
33% Losses 42%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
42% Over 1.5 goals 33%
8% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nott'm Forest all matches
Brighton all matches
Nott'm Forest before this match, at home
1.80points / match
1.60scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:5
Brighton before this match, away
1.40points / match
2.00scored / match
2.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 10:11
Nott'm Forest at home away Brighton

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 2.00
1.00 Goals conceded 2.20
2.60 Total goals 4.20
12.00 Shots 9.80
4.00 Shots on target 4.80
12.20 Shots faced 13.80
3.20 Corners 2.40
6.80 Corners against 3.80
9.00 Fouls 11.40
1.80 Yellow cards 3.20
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 1.20

How often Full Time

40% Wins 40%
60% Draws 20%
0% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
40% Over 2.5 goals 80%
20% Over 3.5 goals 60%
0% Over 4.5 goals 40%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
80% Both teams scored 100%
20% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 40%
40% Draws 0%
20% Losses 60%
60% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 40%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nott'm Forest at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nott'm Forest all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.11.23 West Ham – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (1–1) 1.853.604.00 1.75 2.05
05.11.23 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 4.203.751.85 1.73 2.08
29.10.23 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 1.295.7511.00 1.40 2.88
21.10.23 Nott'm Forest – Luton 2–2 (0–0) 1.673.755.50 2.08 1.82
07.10.23 Crystal Palace – Nott'm Forest 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.103.60 2.25 1.62
01.10.23 Nott'm Forest – Brentford 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.102.70 2.10 1.73
23.09.23 Man City – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (2–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.40 3.00
18.09.23 Nott'm Forest – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.503.25 1.92 1.98
02.09.23 Chelsea – Nott'm Forest 0–1 (0–0) 1.404.508.50 1.62 2.30
26.08.23 Man United – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (1–2) 1.306.008.00 1.50 2.63

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.11.23 Brighton – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–0) 1.255.7513.00 1.40 2.88
04.11.23 Everton – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.57 2.35
29.10.23 Brighton – Fulham 1–1 (1–0) 1.554.205.50 1.50 2.50
21.10.23 Man City – Brighton 2–1 (2–0) 1.405.256.50 1.36 3.10
08.10.23 Brighton – Liverpool 2–2 (1–2) 3.003.802.20 1.36 3.10
30.09.23 Aston Villa – Brighton 6–1 (3–0) 2.553.752.55 1.44 2.75
24.09.23 Brighton – Bournemouth 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.257.50 1.36 3.20
16.09.23 Man United – Brighton 1–3 (0–1) 2.154.002.88 1.44 2.75
02.09.23 Brighton – Newcastle 3–1 (1–0) 2.503.802.55 1.50 2.63
26.08.23 Brighton – West Ham 1–3 (0–1) 1.534.755.25 1.50 2.63

Nott'm Forest at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.23 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 4.203.751.85 1.73 2.08
21.10.23 Nott'm Forest – Luton 2–2 (0–0) 1.673.755.50 2.08 1.82
01.10.23 Nott'm Forest – Brentford 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.102.70 2.10 1.73
18.09.23 Nott'm Forest – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.503.25 1.92 1.98
18.08.23 Nott'm Forest – Sheffield United 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.67
20.05.23 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 5.254.331.57 1.57 2.38
08.05.23 Nott'm Forest – Southampton 4–3 (3–1) 2.103.603.40 2.03 1.87
26.04.23 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 3–1 (1–1) 6.004.201.53 1.73 2.10
16.04.23 Nott'm Forest – Man United 0–2 (0–1) 5.504.001.62 1.80 2.00
01.04.23 Nott'm Forest – Wolves 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.102.55 2.38 1.57

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.23 Everton – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.57 2.35
21.10.23 Man City – Brighton 2–1 (2–0) 1.405.256.50 1.36 3.10
30.09.23 Aston Villa – Brighton 6–1 (3–0) 2.553.752.55 1.44 2.75
16.09.23 Man United – Brighton 1–3 (0–1) 2.154.002.88 1.44 2.75
19.08.23 Wolves – Brighton 1–4 (0–1) 4.003.801.85 1.73 2.10
28.05.23 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–1 (2–1) 2.003.603.50 1.53 2.50
18.05.23 Newcastle – Brighton 4–1 (2–0) 2.003.803.50 1.62 2.30
14.05.23 Arsenal – Brighton 0–3 (0–0) 1.734.204.20 1.53 2.50
26.04.23 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 3–1 (1–1) 6.004.201.53 1.73 2.10
15.04.23 Chelsea – Brighton 1–2 (1–1) 2.633.402.63 1.94 1.96

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nott'm Forest winsDrawsBrighton wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.04.23E0 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 3–1 (1–1) 6.004.201.53 1.73 2.10
18.10.22E0 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 0–0 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 13 9 2 2 33 13 +20 29
2 Liverpool 13 8 4 1 28 11 +17 28
3 Arsenal 12 8 3 1 26 10 +16 27
4 Tottenham 12 8 2 2 24 15 +9 26
5 Aston Villa 12 8 1 3 29 17 +12 25
6 Man United 12 7 0 5 13 16 -3 21
7 Newcastle 12 6 2 4 27 13 +14 20
8 Brighton 12 5 4 3 25 21 +4 19
9 West Ham 12 5 2 5 21 22 -1 17
10 Chelsea 12 4 4 4 21 16 +5 16
11 Brentford 12 4 4 4 19 17 +2 16
12 Wolves 12 4 3 5 16 20 -4 15
13 Crystal Palace 12 4 3 5 12 16 -4 15
14 Everton 12 4 2 6 14 17 -3 14
15 Nott'm Forest 12 3 4 5 14 18 -4 13
16 Fulham 12 3 3 6 10 20 -10 12
17 Bournemouth 12 2 3 7 11 27 -16 9
18 Luton 12 1 3 8 10 22 -12 6
19 Sheffield United 12 1 2 9 10 31 -21 5
20 Burnley 12 1 1 10 9 30 -21 4
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Aston Villa 6 6 0 0 23 5 +18 18
2 Liverpool 6 6 0 0 17 2 +15 18
3 Arsenal 7 5 2 0 18 7 +11 17
4 Man City 6 5 1 0 17 4 +13 16
5 Newcastle 6 5 0 1 14 3 +11 15
6 Brighton 7 3 3 1 15 10 +5 12
7 Tottenham 5 4 0 1 9 6 +3 12
8 Man United 7 4 0 3 8 10 -2 12
9 West Ham 6 3 1 2 11 9 +2 10
10 Nott'm Forest 5 2 3 0 8 5 +3 9
11 Brentford 6 2 3 1 12 10 +2 9
12 Wolves 6 2 2 2 9 12 -3 8
13 Bournemouth 7 2 2 3 6 10 -4 8
14 Chelsea 7 1 3 3 10 11 -1 6
15 Fulham 5 2 0 3 4 7 -3 6
16 Crystal Palace 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
17 Everton 6 1 1 4 5 6 -1 4
18 Sheffield United 6 1 1 4 6 16 -10 4
19 Luton 5 0 2 3 4 7 -3 2
20 Burnley 6 0 0 6 4 18 -14 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 7 4 2 1 15 9 +6 14
2 Man City 7 4 1 2 16 9 +7 13
3 Chelsea 5 3 1 1 11 5 +6 10
4 Arsenal 5 3 1 1 8 3 +5 10
5 Liverpool 7 2 4 1 11 9 +2 10
6 Everton 6 3 1 2 9 11 -2 10
7 Crystal Palace 6 3 1 2 6 8 -2 10
8 Man United 5 3 0 2 5 6 -1 9
9 Brentford 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
10 Brighton 5 2 1 2 10 11 -1 7
11 Wolves 6 2 1 3 7 8 -1 7
12 West Ham 6 2 1 3 10 13 -3 7
13 Aston Villa 6 2 1 3 6 12 -6 7
14 Fulham 7 1 3 3 6 13 -7 6
15 Newcastle 6 1 2 3 13 10 +3 5
16 Nott'm Forest 7 1 1 5 6 13 -7 4
17 Burnley 6 1 1 4 5 12 -7 4
18 Luton 7 1 1 5 6 15 -9 4
19 Sheffield United 6 0 1 5 4 15 -11 1
20 Bournemouth 5 0 1 4 5 17 -12 1

Nott'm Forest   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 13 4 9 2.5 1.0 9 2 2 33 13 29
2 2 Liverpool 13 4 9 2.2 0.8 8 4 1 28 11 28
3 5 Aston Villa 12 3 9 2.4 1.4 8 1 3 29 17 25
4 8 Brighton 12 3 9 2.1 1.8 5 4 3 25 21 19
5 9 West Ham 12 3 9 1.8 1.8 5 2 5 21 22 17
6 19 Sheffield United 12 3 9 0.8 2.6 1 2 9 10 31 5
7 3 Arsenal 12 4 8 2.2 0.8 8 3 1 26 10 27
8 4 Tottenham 12 4 8 2.0 1.2 8 2 2 24 15 26
9 11 Brentford 12 4 8 1.6 1.4 4 4 4 19 17 16
10 12 Wolves 12 4 8 1.3 1.7 4 3 5 16 20 15
11 17 Bournemouth 12 4 8 0.9 2.2 2 3 7 11 27 9
12 20 Burnley 12 4 8 0.8 2.5 1 1 10 9 30 4
13 7 Newcastle 12 5 7 2.2 1.1 6 2 4 27 13 20
14 18 Luton 12 5 7 0.8 1.8 1 3 8 10 22 6
15 6 Man United 12 6 6 1.1 1.3 7 0 5 13 16 21
16 10 Chelsea 12 6 6 1.8 1.3 4 4 4 21 16 16
17 14 Everton 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 4 2 6 14 17 14
18 15 Nott'm Forest 12 6 6 1.2 1.5 3 4 5 14 18 13
19 13 Crystal Palace 12 7 5 1.0 1.3 4 3 5 12 16 15
20 16 Fulham 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 3 3 6 10 20 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Arsenal 7 1 6 2.6 1.0 5 2 0 18 7 17
2 5 Aston Villa 6 0 6 3.8 0.8 6 0 0 23 5 18
3 2 Liverpool 6 1 5 2.8 0.3 6 0 0 17 2 18
4 8 Brighton 7 2 5 2.1 1.4 3 3 1 15 10 12
5 11 Brentford 6 1 5 2.0 1.7 2 3 1 12 10 9
6 12 Wolves 6 1 5 1.5 2.0 2 2 2 9 12 8
7 19 Sheffield United 6 1 5 1.0 2.7 1 1 4 6 16 4
8 6 Man United 7 3 4 1.1 1.4 4 0 3 8 10 12
9 9 West Ham 6 2 4 1.8 1.5 3 1 2 11 9 10
10 20 Burnley 6 2 4 0.7 3.0 0 0 6 4 18 0
11 1 Man City 6 3 3 2.8 0.7 5 1 0 17 4 16
12 4 Tottenham 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 4 0 1 9 6 12
13 7 Newcastle 6 3 3 2.3 0.5 5 0 1 14 3 15
14 10 Chelsea 7 4 3 1.4 1.6 1 3 3 10 11 6
15 13 Crystal Palace 6 3 3 1.0 1.3 1 2 3 6 8 5
16 17 Bournemouth 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 2 2 3 6 10 8
17 14 Everton 6 4 2 0.8 1.0 1 1 4 5 6 4
18 15 Nott'm Forest 5 3 2 1.6 1.0 2 3 0 8 5 9
19 16 Fulham 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 2 0 3 4 7 6
20 18 Luton 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 0 2 3 4 7 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 7 1 6 2.3 1.3 4 1 2 16 9 13
2 4 Tottenham 7 2 5 2.1 1.3 4 2 1 15 9 14
3 9 West Ham 6 1 5 1.7 2.2 2 1 3 10 13 7
4 17 Bournemouth 5 0 5 1.0 3.4 0 1 4 5 17 1
5 18 Luton 7 2 5 0.9 2.1 1 1 5 6 15 4
6 2 Liverpool 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 2 4 1 11 9 10
7 7 Newcastle 6 2 4 2.2 1.7 1 2 3 13 10 5
8 8 Brighton 5 1 4 2.0 2.2 2 1 2 10 11 7
9 14 Everton 6 2 4 1.5 1.8 3 1 2 9 11 10
10 15 Nott'm Forest 7 3 4 0.9 1.9 1 1 5 6 13 4
11 19 Sheffield United 6 2 4 0.7 2.5 0 1 5 4 15 1
12 20 Burnley 6 2 4 0.8 2.0 1 1 4 5 12 4
13 5 Aston Villa 6 3 3 1.0 2.0 2 1 3 6 12 7
14 10 Chelsea 5 2 3 2.2 1.0 3 1 1 11 5 10
15 11 Brentford 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
16 12 Wolves 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 2 1 3 7 8 7
17 16 Fulham 7 4 3 0.9 1.9 1 3 3 6 13 6
18 3 Arsenal 5 3 2 1.6 0.6 3 1 1 8 3 10
19 6 Man United 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 3 0 2 5 6 9
20 13 Crystal Palace 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 3 1 2 6 8 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51