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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: D England

Luton 1–1 Nott'm Forest

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.80 fair 2.19
Draw ✓ 3.50 fair 4.45
Away 2.45 fair 3.14
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.15 fair 2.87
Over 2.5 1.67 fair 1.53

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Nott'm Forest
10 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 6
6 Corners 7
10 Fouls 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (279 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.52
Expected goals 1.84 – 1.51
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawNott'm Forest
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.7% 2–1 9% 1–2 7.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
0.75points / match
1.46scored / match
2.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 41:59
Nott'm Forest before this match, all matches
0.86points / match
1.21scored / match
1.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 34:50
Luton all matches all matches Nott'm Forest

Per match

1.46 Goals scored 1.21
2.11 Goals conceded 1.79
3.57 Total goals 3.00
11.93 Shots 10.96
3.61 Shots on target 3.54
17.32 Shots faced 13.46
5.61 Corners 3.68
6.00 Corners against 6.75
11.68 Fouls 11.43
1.93 Yellow cards 2.21
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

18% Wins 21%
21% Draws 21%
61% Losses 57%
100% Over 0.5 goals 96%
86% Over 1.5 goals 82%
71% Over 2.5 goals 54%
46% Over 3.5 goals 36%
29% Over 4.5 goals 29%
11% Over 5.5 goals 4%
79% Both teams scored 61%
7% Clean sheets 14%
14% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 14%
32% Draws 54%
43% Losses 32%
71% Over 0.5 goals 68%
32% Over 1.5 goals 46%
21% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Nott'm Forest all matches
Luton before this match, at home
0.79points / match
1.50scored / match
1.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 21:25
Nott'm Forest before this match, away
0.64points / match
1.07scored / match
2.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 15:29
Luton at home away Nott'm Forest

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.07
1.79 Goals conceded 2.07
3.29 Total goals 3.14
14.00 Shots 9.50
4.07 Shots on target 3.43
14.14 Shots faced 13.93
6.93 Corners 3.36
4.86 Corners against 7.36
11.57 Fouls 12.43
2.07 Yellow cards 2.79
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.86 1st-half goals conceded 1.29

How often Full Time

21% Wins 14%
14% Draws 21%
64% Losses 64%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
86% Over 1.5 goals 79%
71% Over 2.5 goals 57%
36% Over 3.5 goals 43%
21% Over 4.5 goals 36%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
79% Both teams scored 57%
14% Clean sheets 14%
7% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 7%
29% Draws 50%
50% Losses 43%
71% Over 0.5 goals 86%
43% Over 1.5 goals 79%
21% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Nott'm Forest away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.03.24 Bournemouth – Luton 4–3 (0–3) 1.504.755.75 1.44 2.70
09.03.24 Crystal Palace – Luton 1–1 (1–0) 1.753.804.20 1.75 2.05
02.03.24 Luton – Aston Villa 2–3 (0–2) 4.334.201.73 1.44 2.70
21.02.24 Liverpool – Luton 4–1 (0–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.30 3.50
18.02.24 Luton – Man United 1–2 (1–2) 4.004.001.80 1.57 2.35
10.02.24 Luton – Sheffield United 1–3 (0–2) 1.753.754.75 1.85 2.05
03.02.24 Newcastle – Luton 4–4 (2–2) 1.444.756.50 1.57 2.35
30.01.24 Luton – Brighton 4–0 (3–0) 4.204.201.75 1.65 2.20
12.01.24 Burnley – Luton 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 1.99 1.91
30.12.23 Luton – Chelsea 2–3 (0–2) 6.504.201.50 1.65 2.20

Nott'm Forest all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.03.24 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 1–0 (1–0) 1.804.004.00 1.62 2.25
02.03.24 Nott'm Forest – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.331.53 1.48 2.60
24.02.24 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 4–2 (3–1) 1.534.505.75 1.57 2.35
17.02.24 Nott'm Forest – West Ham 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.502.90 1.89 2.01
10.02.24 Nott'm Forest – Newcastle 2–3 (2–2) 3.303.752.05 1.70 2.10
04.02.24 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–1) 1.704.204.50 1.65 2.20
30.01.24 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal 1–2 (0–0) 7.505.001.40 1.62 2.25
20.01.24 Brentford – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (1–1) 1.913.604.00 1.86 2.04
30.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Man United 2–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.08
26.12.23 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 1–3 (1–1) 1.504.335.75 1.80 2.00

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24 Luton – Aston Villa 2–3 (0–2) 4.334.201.73 1.44 2.70
18.02.24 Luton – Man United 1–2 (1–2) 4.004.001.80 1.57 2.35
10.02.24 Luton – Sheffield United 1–3 (0–2) 1.753.754.75 1.85 2.05
30.01.24 Luton – Brighton 4–0 (3–0) 4.204.201.75 1.65 2.20
30.12.23 Luton – Chelsea 2–3 (0–2) 6.504.201.50 1.65 2.20
23.12.23 Luton – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 4.754.201.65 1.75 2.05
10.12.23 Luton – Man City 1–2 (1–0) 17.008.001.14 1.36 3.10
05.12.23 Luton – Arsenal 3–4 (1–2) 17.007.001.18 1.65 2.20
25.11.23 Luton – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.15 1.67
05.11.23 Luton – Liverpool 1–1 (0–0) 12.006.501.22 1.36 3.10

Nott'm Forest away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.03.24 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 1–0 (1–0) 1.804.004.00 1.62 2.25
24.02.24 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 4–2 (3–1) 1.534.505.75 1.57 2.35
04.02.24 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–1) 1.704.204.50 1.65 2.20
20.01.24 Brentford – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (1–1) 1.913.604.00 1.86 2.04
26.12.23 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 1–3 (1–1) 1.504.335.75 1.80 2.00
09.12.23 Wolves – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–1) 1.853.604.33 2.06 1.84
06.12.23 Fulham – Nott'm Forest 5–0 (2–0) 2.003.403.75 2.06 1.84
12.11.23 West Ham – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (1–1) 1.853.604.00 1.75 2.05
29.10.23 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 1.295.7511.00 1.40 2.88
07.10.23 Crystal Palace – Nott'm Forest 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.103.60 2.25 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Luton winsDrawsNott'm Forest wins
3matches
1.67goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23E0 Nott'm Forest – Luton 2–2 (0–0) 1.673.755.50 2.08 1.82
15.04.22E1 Luton – Nott'm Forest 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.202.55 2.10 1.72
23.11.21E1 Nott'm Forest – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.102.87 2.30 1.61

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 28 20 4 4 70 24 +46 64
2 Liverpool 28 19 7 2 65 26 +39 64
3 Man City 28 19 6 3 63 28 +35 63
4 Aston Villa 28 17 4 7 59 41 +18 55
5 Tottenham 27 16 5 6 59 39 +20 53
6 Man United 28 15 2 11 39 39 0 47
7 West Ham 28 12 7 9 45 49 -4 43
8 Brighton 28 11 9 8 50 44 +6 42
9 Wolves 28 12 5 11 42 44 -2 41
10 Newcastle 28 12 4 12 59 48 +11 40
11 Chelsea 27 11 6 10 47 45 +2 39
12 Fulham 28 10 5 13 40 44 -4 35
13 Bournemouth 28 9 8 11 41 52 -11 35
14 Everton 28 8 7 13 29 39 -10 31
15 Crystal Palace 28 7 8 13 33 48 -15 29
16 Brentford 28 7 5 16 40 52 -12 26
17 Nott'm Forest 28 6 6 16 34 50 -16 24
18 Luton 28 5 6 17 41 59 -18 21
19 Burnley 28 3 5 20 27 62 -35 14
20 Sheffield United 28 3 5 20 24 74 -50 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 14 11 3 0 38 12 +26 36
2 Arsenal 14 11 2 1 36 13 +23 35
3 Man City 14 10 4 0 34 12 +22 34
4 Aston Villa 14 10 1 3 35 19 +16 31
5 Tottenham 14 10 0 4 29 19 +10 30
6 Newcastle 14 9 2 3 34 16 +18 29
7 Brighton 14 7 6 1 28 16 +12 27
8 Fulham 14 8 1 5 26 15 +11 25
9 Man United 14 8 1 5 21 20 +1 25
10 Wolves 14 7 3 4 22 21 +1 24
11 West Ham 14 6 5 3 24 21 +3 23
12 Chelsea 13 6 3 4 23 20 +3 21
13 Bournemouth 14 4 5 5 18 23 -5 17
14 Crystal Palace 14 4 4 6 19 20 -1 16
15 Brentford 14 4 4 6 24 29 -5 16
16 Nott'm Forest 14 4 3 7 19 21 -2 15
17 Everton 14 3 4 7 15 18 -3 13
18 Luton 14 3 2 9 21 25 -4 11
19 Sheffield United 14 2 2 10 12 42 -30 8
20 Burnley 14 1 2 11 13 34 -21 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 14 9 2 3 34 11 +23 29
2 Man City 14 9 2 3 29 16 +13 29
3 Liverpool 14 8 4 2 27 14 +13 28
4 Aston Villa 14 7 3 4 24 22 +2 24
5 Tottenham 13 6 5 2 30 20 +10 23
6 Man United 14 7 1 6 18 19 -1 22
7 West Ham 14 6 2 6 21 28 -7 20
8 Chelsea 14 5 3 6 24 25 -1 18
9 Bournemouth 14 5 3 6 23 29 -6 18
10 Everton 14 5 3 6 14 21 -7 18
11 Wolves 14 5 2 7 20 23 -3 17
12 Brighton 14 4 3 7 22 28 -6 15
13 Crystal Palace 14 3 4 7 14 28 -14 13
14 Newcastle 14 3 2 9 25 32 -7 11
15 Brentford 14 3 1 10 16 23 -7 10
16 Luton 14 2 4 8 20 34 -14 10
17 Fulham 14 2 4 8 14 29 -15 10
18 Nott'm Forest 14 2 3 9 15 29 -14 9
19 Burnley 14 2 3 9 14 28 -14 9
20 Sheffield United 14 1 3 10 12 32 -20 6

Luton   Nott'm Forest

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 27 5 22 2.2 1.4 16 5 6 59 39 53
2 4 Aston Villa 28 7 21 2.1 1.5 17 4 7 59 41 55
3 10 Newcastle 28 7 21 2.1 1.7 12 4 12 59 48 40
4 16 Brentford 28 8 20 1.4 1.9 7 5 16 40 52 26
5 18 Luton 28 8 20 1.5 2.1 5 6 17 41 59 21
6 1 Arsenal 28 9 19 2.5 0.9 20 4 4 70 24 64
7 7 West Ham 28 9 19 1.6 1.8 12 7 9 45 49 43
8 9 Wolves 28 9 19 1.5 1.6 12 5 11 42 44 41
9 13 Bournemouth 28 9 19 1.5 1.9 9 8 11 41 52 35
10 20 Sheffield United 28 9 19 0.9 2.6 3 5 20 24 74 14
11 2 Liverpool 28 10 18 2.3 0.9 19 7 2 65 26 64
12 6 Man United 28 10 18 1.4 1.4 15 2 11 39 39 47
13 8 Brighton 28 10 18 1.8 1.6 11 9 8 50 44 42
14 12 Fulham 28 10 18 1.4 1.6 10 5 13 40 44 35
15 3 Man City 28 11 17 2.2 1.0 19 6 3 63 28 63
16 11 Chelsea 27 10 17 1.7 1.7 11 6 10 47 45 39
17 19 Burnley 28 11 17 1.0 2.2 3 5 20 27 62 14
18 15 Crystal Palace 28 12 16 1.2 1.7 7 8 13 33 48 29
19 17 Nott'm Forest 28 13 15 1.2 1.8 6 6 16 34 50 24
20 14 Everton 28 15 13 1.0 1.4 8 7 13 29 39 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 14 2 12 2.1 1.4 10 0 4 29 19 30
2 16 Brentford 14 2 12 1.7 2.1 4 4 6 24 29 16
3 1 Arsenal 14 3 11 2.6 0.9 11 2 1 36 13 35
4 4 Aston Villa 14 3 11 2.5 1.4 10 1 3 35 19 31
5 20 Sheffield United 14 3 11 0.9 3.0 2 2 10 12 42 8
6 2 Liverpool 14 4 10 2.7 0.9 11 3 0 38 12 36
7 6 Man United 14 4 10 1.5 1.4 8 1 5 21 20 25
8 10 Newcastle 14 4 10 2.4 1.1 9 2 3 34 16 29
9 18 Luton 14 4 10 1.5 1.8 3 2 9 21 25 11
10 9 Wolves 14 5 9 1.6 1.5 7 3 4 22 21 24
11 12 Fulham 14 5 9 1.9 1.1 8 1 5 26 15 25
12 7 West Ham 14 6 8 1.7 1.5 6 5 3 24 21 23
13 8 Brighton 14 6 8 2.0 1.1 7 6 1 28 16 27
14 13 Bournemouth 14 6 8 1.3 1.6 4 5 5 18 23 17
15 15 Crystal Palace 14 6 8 1.4 1.4 4 4 6 19 20 16
16 19 Burnley 14 6 8 0.9 2.4 1 2 11 13 34 5
17 3 Man City 14 7 7 2.4 0.9 10 4 0 34 12 34
18 11 Chelsea 13 6 7 1.8 1.5 6 3 4 23 20 21
19 14 Everton 14 7 7 1.1 1.3 3 4 7 15 18 13
20 17 Nott'm Forest 14 7 7 1.4 1.5 4 3 7 19 21 15
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 West Ham 14 3 11 1.5 2.0 6 2 6 21 28 20
2 10 Newcastle 14 3 11 1.8 2.3 3 2 9 25 32 11
3 13 Bournemouth 14 3 11 1.6 2.1 5 3 6 23 29 18
4 3 Man City 14 4 10 2.1 1.1 9 2 3 29 16 29
5 4 Aston Villa 14 4 10 1.7 1.6 7 3 4 24 22 24
6 5 Tottenham 13 3 10 2.3 1.5 6 5 2 30 20 23
7 8 Brighton 14 4 10 1.6 2.0 4 3 7 22 28 15
8 9 Wolves 14 4 10 1.4 1.6 5 2 7 20 23 17
9 11 Chelsea 14 4 10 1.7 1.8 5 3 6 24 25 18
10 18 Luton 14 4 10 1.4 2.4 2 4 8 20 34 10
11 12 Fulham 14 5 9 1.0 2.1 2 4 8 14 29 10
12 19 Burnley 14 5 9 1.0 2.0 2 3 9 14 28 9
13 1 Arsenal 14 6 8 2.4 0.8 9 2 3 34 11 29
14 2 Liverpool 14 6 8 1.9 1.0 8 4 2 27 14 28
15 6 Man United 14 6 8 1.3 1.4 7 1 6 18 19 22
16 15 Crystal Palace 14 6 8 1.0 2.0 3 4 7 14 28 13
17 16 Brentford 14 6 8 1.1 1.6 3 1 10 16 23 10
18 17 Nott'm Forest 14 6 8 1.1 2.1 2 3 9 15 29 9
19 20 Sheffield United 14 6 8 0.9 2.3 1 3 10 12 32 6
20 14 Everton 14 8 6 1.0 1.5 5 3 6 14 21 18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51