Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: T Robinson

Luton 1–2 Man City

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 17.00 fair 3.38
Draw 8.00 fair 4.45
Away ✓ 1.14 fair 2.08
Under 2.5 3.10 fair 2.78
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.36 fair 1.56

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Man City
4 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 6
6 Corners 3
16 Fouls 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (156 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.55
Expected goals 1.43 – 1.87
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawMan City
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.9% 1–2 9.2% 2–1 7.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
0.60points / match
1.07scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 16:30
Man City before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.40scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 36:17
Luton all matches all matches Man City

Per match

1.07 Goals scored 2.40
2.00 Goals conceded 1.13
3.07 Total goals 3.53
10.73 Shots 15.60
2.67 Shots on target 6.60
17.60 Shots faced 8.53
5.00 Corners 6.60
5.87 Corners against 4.00
11.60 Fouls 9.40
2.00 Yellow cards 1.87
0.20 1st-half goals scored 1.20
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

13% Wins 60%
20% Draws 20%
67% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
13% Over 4.5 goals 27%
7% Over 5.5 goals 27%
73% Both teams scored 60%
0% Clean sheets 27%
27% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

7% Wins 60%
53% Draws 27%
40% Losses 13%
47% Over 0.5 goals 80%
13% Over 1.5 goals 47%
13% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Man City all matches
Luton before this match, at home
0.71points / match
1.29scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 9:12
Man City before this match, away
1.63points / match
2.00scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 16:10
Luton at home away Man City

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 2.00
1.71 Goals conceded 1.25
3.00 Total goals 3.25
12.57 Shots 17.63
3.14 Shots on target 7.88
14.86 Shots faced 9.88
6.00 Corners 6.63
5.57 Corners against 4.00
12.29 Fouls 9.00
2.29 Yellow cards 1.88
0.14 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

14% Wins 50%
29% Draws 13%
57% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 75%
57% Over 2.5 goals 75%
14% Over 3.5 goals 25%
14% Over 4.5 goals 13%
14% Over 5.5 goals 13%
86% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 25%
14% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 25%
57% Draws 50%
43% Losses 25%
43% Over 0.5 goals 63%
14% Over 1.5 goals 25%
14% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Man City away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.12.23 Luton – Arsenal 3–4 (1–2) 17.007.001.18 1.65 2.20
02.12.23 Brentford – Luton 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.506.50 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Luton – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.15 1.67
11.11.23 Man United – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.50 1.53 2.40
05.11.23 Luton – Liverpool 1–1 (0–0) 12.006.501.22 1.36 3.10
29.10.23 Aston Villa – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.48 2.60
21.10.23 Nott'm Forest – Luton 2–2 (0–0) 1.673.755.50 2.08 1.82
07.10.23 Luton – Tottenham 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.751.45 1.53 2.40
03.10.23 Luton – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.20 1.65
30.09.23 Everton – Luton 1–2 (1–2) 1.573.806.50 2.05 1.85

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.23 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 4.754.201.70 1.53 2.40
03.12.23 Man City – Tottenham 3–3 (2–1) 1.296.009.00 1.36 3.10
25.11.23 Man City – Liverpool 1–1 (1–0) 1.734.204.20 1.48 2.60
12.11.23 Chelsea – Man City 4–4 (2–2) 5.003.701.73 1.88 2.02
04.11.23 Man City – Bournemouth 6–1 (3–0) 1.1011.0019.00 1.29 3.60
29.10.23 Man United – Man City 0–3 (0–1) 5.003.801.67 1.70 2.10
21.10.23 Man City – Brighton 2–1 (2–0) 1.405.256.50 1.36 3.10
08.10.23 Arsenal – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 1.75 2.05
30.09.23 Wolves – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 8.005.751.33 1.53 2.50
23.09.23 Man City – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (2–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.40 3.00

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.12.23 Luton – Arsenal 3–4 (1–2) 17.007.001.18 1.65 2.20
25.11.23 Luton – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.15 1.67
05.11.23 Luton – Liverpool 1–1 (0–0) 12.006.501.22 1.36 3.10
07.10.23 Luton – Tottenham 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.751.45 1.53 2.40
03.10.23 Luton – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.20 1.65
23.09.23 Luton – Wolves 1–1 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 2.02 1.88
01.09.23 Luton – West Ham 1–2 (0–1) 4.753.801.73 1.87 2.03
08.05.23E1 Luton – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.50 1.93 1.93
24.04.23E1 Luton – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 2.05 1.80
10.04.23E1 Luton – Blackpool 3–1 (1–1) 1.534.007.00 2.00 1.80

Man City away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.23 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 4.754.201.70 1.53 2.40
12.11.23 Chelsea – Man City 4–4 (2–2) 5.003.701.73 1.88 2.02
29.10.23 Man United – Man City 0–3 (0–1) 5.003.801.67 1.70 2.10
08.10.23 Arsenal – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 1.75 2.05
30.09.23 Wolves – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 8.005.751.33 1.53 2.50
16.09.23 West Ham – Man City 1–3 (1–0) 7.004.501.45 1.62 2.30
27.08.23 Sheffield United – Man City 1–2 (0–0) 13.008.001.17 1.57 2.38
11.08.23 Burnley – Man City 0–3 (0–2) 8.005.501.33 1.67 2.20
28.05.23 Brentford – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 3.804.001.83 1.62 2.30
24.05.23 Brighton – Man City 1–1 (1–1) 4.004.331.75 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 16 11 4 1 36 15 +21 37 DWDWWW
2 Arsenal 16 11 3 2 33 15 +18 36 LWWWWL
3 Aston Villa 16 11 2 3 35 20 +15 35 LWWDWW
4 Man City 15 9 3 3 36 17 +19 30 WWDDDL
5 Tottenham 15 8 3 4 29 22 +7 27 WLLLDL
6 Man United 16 9 0 7 18 21 -3 27 WWWLWL
7 Newcastle 15 8 2 5 32 17 +15 26 DWLWWL
8 Brighton 16 7 5 4 33 28 +5 26 DDWLWD
9 West Ham 15 7 3 5 26 25 +1 24 LLWWDW
10 Everton 15 6 2 7 18 20 -2 20 WDWLWW
11 Chelsea 15 5 4 6 26 24 +2 19 LWDLWL
12 Brentford 16 5 4 7 23 22 +1 19 WLLWLL
13 Wolves 16 5 4 7 21 26 -5 19 LWLLWD
14 Bournemouth 16 5 4 7 21 30 -9 19 LWWDWW
15 Fulham 15 5 3 7 21 26 -5 18 DLLWLW
16 Crystal Palace 16 4 4 8 15 23 -8 16 WLLDLL
17 Nott'm Forest 16 3 5 8 17 28 -11 14 WLLLLD
18 Luton 15 2 3 10 16 30 -14 9 LDLWLL
19 Burnley 16 2 2 12 16 34 -18 8 LLLWLD
20 Sheffield United 16 2 2 12 12 41 -29 8 WDLLLW
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Aston Villa 8 8 0 0 25 5 +20 24 WWWWWW
2 Liverpool 7 7 0 0 21 5 +16 21 WWWWWW
3 Newcastle 8 7 0 1 19 4 +15 21 WWWWWW
4 Arsenal 8 6 2 0 20 8 +12 20 WDWWWW
5 Man City 7 5 2 0 20 7 +13 17 WWWWDD
6 Brighton 9 4 4 1 18 12 +6 16 WDDDWD
7 Man United 9 5 0 4 10 14 -4 15 LWLWWL
8 Brentford 8 3 3 2 15 12 +3 12 DLWWLW
9 Fulham 7 4 0 3 12 9 +3 12 WLWLWW
10 Tottenham 7 4 0 3 11 10 +1 12 WWWLLL
11 Wolves 8 3 3 2 11 13 -2 12 WDDWWD
12 West Ham 7 3 2 2 12 10 +2 11 LWDLWD
13 Nott'm Forest 7 2 3 2 10 9 +1 9 DDDWLL
14 Chelsea 8 2 3 3 13 13 0 9 LLDLDW
15 Bournemouth 8 2 3 3 8 12 -4 9 DLLWWD
16 Everton 8 2 1 5 8 9 -1 7 LLWDLW
17 Sheffield United 9 2 1 6 8 21 -13 7 LLWLLW
18 Luton 7 1 2 4 9 12 -3 5 DLLDWL
19 Crystal Palace 8 1 2 5 7 12 -5 5 DDLLLL
20 Burnley 8 1 0 7 10 20 -10 3 LLLLLW
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 8 5 1 2 13 7 +6 16 WDLWWL
2 Liverpool 9 4 4 1 15 10 +5 16 LDDDWW
3 Tottenham 8 4 3 1 18 12 +6 15 WDWWLD
4 Man City 8 4 1 3 16 10 +6 13 WLLWDL
5 West Ham 8 4 1 3 14 15 -1 13 WLLLWW
6 Everton 7 4 1 2 10 11 -1 13 DWLWWW
7 Man United 7 4 0 3 8 7 +1 12 LWWWWL
8 Crystal Palace 8 3 2 3 8 11 -3 11 LWLWLD
9 Aston Villa 8 3 2 3 10 15 -5 11 LWDLWD
10 Chelsea 7 3 1 3 13 11 +2 10 DWWWLL
11 Brighton 7 3 1 3 15 16 -1 10 WLLDWL
12 Bournemouth 8 3 1 4 13 18 -5 10 LLLWWW
13 Brentford 8 2 1 5 8 10 -2 7 DLWLLL
14 Wolves 8 2 1 5 10 13 -3 7 LDWLLL
15 Fulham 8 1 3 4 9 17 -8 6 LDLDLL
16 Newcastle 7 1 2 4 13 13 0 5 LWDDLL
17 Burnley 8 1 2 5 6 14 -8 5 WLLLLD
18 Nott'm Forest 9 1 2 6 7 19 -12 5 LDLLLD
19 Luton 8 1 1 6 7 18 -11 4 LWDLLL
20 Sheffield United 7 0 1 6 4 20 -16 1 LLLLDL

Luton   Man City

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 8 Brighton 16 4 12 2.1 1.8 7 5 4 33 28 26 UUOOOU
2 1 Liverpool 16 5 11 2.2 0.9 11 4 1 36 15 37 UOUOUO
3 3 Aston Villa 16 5 11 2.2 1.2 11 2 3 35 20 35 UOOOUU
4 5 Tottenham 15 4 11 1.9 1.5 8 3 4 29 22 27 OOOOOO
5 9 West Ham 15 4 11 1.7 1.7 7 3 5 26 25 24 UOOOUO
6 14 Bournemouth 16 5 11 1.3 1.9 5 4 7 21 30 19 OUOOUO
7 20 Sheffield United 16 5 11 0.8 2.6 2 2 12 12 41 8 OUOOUU
8 2 Arsenal 16 6 10 2.1 0.9 11 3 2 33 15 36 UOUOOU
9 4 Man City 15 5 10 2.4 1.1 9 3 3 36 17 30 OOOUOU
10 12 Brentford 16 6 10 1.4 1.4 5 4 7 23 22 19 OOUOOU
11 13 Wolves 16 6 10 1.3 1.6 5 4 7 21 26 19 OOOOUU
12 18 Luton 15 5 10 1.1 2.0 2 3 10 16 30 9 OUUOOO
13 19 Burnley 16 6 10 1.0 2.1 2 2 12 16 34 8 UOOOUU
14 6 Man United 16 7 9 1.1 1.3 9 0 7 18 21 27 UUOUOO
15 7 Newcastle 15 6 9 2.1 1.1 8 2 5 32 17 26 OUUOUO
16 11 Chelsea 15 6 9 1.7 1.6 5 4 6 26 24 19 UOOOOO
17 10 Everton 15 7 8 1.2 1.3 6 2 7 18 20 20 UUOOUO
18 15 Fulham 15 7 8 1.4 1.7 5 3 7 21 26 18 UUOOOO
19 17 Nott'm Forest 16 8 8 1.1 1.8 3 5 8 17 28 14 UOOUOU
20 16 Crystal Palace 16 9 7 0.9 1.4 4 4 8 15 23 16 UOOUUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Arsenal 8 1 7 2.5 1.0 6 2 0 20 8 20 OOUOOO
2 1 Liverpool 7 1 6 3.0 0.7 7 0 0 21 5 21 OOUOOO
3 3 Aston Villa 8 2 6 3.1 0.6 8 0 0 25 5 24 OOOOUU
4 6 Man United 9 3 6 1.1 1.6 5 0 4 10 14 15 UOOUOO
5 8 Brighton 9 3 6 2.0 1.3 4 4 1 18 12 16 OOUUOU
6 12 Brentford 8 2 6 1.9 1.5 3 3 2 15 12 12 OOOOUO
7 19 Burnley 8 2 6 1.2 2.5 1 0 7 10 20 3 OUOUOO
8 20 Sheffield United 9 3 6 0.9 2.3 2 1 6 8 21 7 OOOOUU
9 5 Tottenham 7 2 5 1.6 1.4 4 0 3 11 10 12 OOUOOO
10 13 Wolves 8 3 5 1.4 1.6 3 3 2 11 13 12 OUOOUU
11 4 Man City 7 3 4 2.9 1.0 5 2 0 20 7 17 OUOOUO
12 7 Newcastle 8 4 4 2.4 0.5 7 0 1 19 4 21 UUOUOU
13 9 West Ham 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 3 2 2 12 10 11 OUOUOU
14 10 Everton 8 4 4 1.0 1.1 2 1 5 8 9 7 UOOUOO
15 11 Chelsea 8 4 4 1.6 1.6 2 3 3 13 13 9 UUOUOO
16 14 Bournemouth 8 4 4 1.0 1.5 2 3 3 8 12 9 UOOOUO
17 15 Fulham 7 3 4 1.7 1.3 4 0 3 12 9 12 UUOUOO
18 16 Crystal Palace 8 4 4 0.9 1.5 1 2 5 7 12 5 UUOOUO
19 18 Luton 7 3 4 1.3 1.7 1 2 4 9 12 5 UOUUOO
20 17 Nott'm Forest 7 4 3 1.4 1.3 2 3 2 10 9 9 UUOUOU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 9 West Ham 8 1 7 1.8 1.9 4 1 3 14 15 13 OOOOOO
2 14 Bournemouth 8 1 7 1.6 2.2 3 1 4 13 18 10 OOOOUO
3 4 Man City 8 2 6 2.0 1.2 4 1 3 16 10 13 OOUOOU
4 5 Tottenham 8 2 6 2.2 1.5 4 3 1 18 12 15 OOUOOO
5 8 Brighton 7 1 6 2.1 2.3 3 1 3 15 16 10 OOOUOO
6 18 Luton 8 2 6 0.9 2.2 1 1 6 7 18 4 UOOOUO
7 1 Liverpool 9 4 5 1.7 1.1 4 4 1 15 10 16 OOUUUO
8 3 Aston Villa 8 3 5 1.2 1.9 3 2 3 10 15 11 OUUUOO
9 7 Newcastle 7 2 5 1.9 1.9 1 2 4 13 13 5 OOOOUO
10 11 Chelsea 7 2 5 1.9 1.6 3 1 3 13 11 10 UUOOOO
11 13 Wolves 8 3 5 1.2 1.6 2 1 5 10 13 7 OUOOOO
12 17 Nott'm Forest 9 4 5 0.8 2.1 1 2 6 7 19 5 UUOOOU
13 20 Sheffield United 7 2 5 0.6 2.9 0 1 6 4 20 1 OUOOUO
14 10 Everton 7 3 4 1.4 1.6 4 1 2 10 11 13 OOUUOU
15 12 Brentford 8 4 4 1.0 1.2 2 1 5 8 10 7 UOUOOU
16 15 Fulham 8 4 4 1.1 2.1 1 3 4 9 17 6 OUUUOO
17 19 Burnley 8 4 4 0.8 1.8 1 2 5 6 14 5 OOOOUU
18 2 Arsenal 8 5 3 1.6 0.9 5 1 2 13 7 16 OOUUOU
19 6 Man United 7 4 3 1.1 1.0 4 0 3 8 7 12 OUOUOU
20 16 Crystal Palace 8 5 3 1.0 1.4 3 2 3 8 11 11 OUOUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47