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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Linington

Luton 1–0 Nott'm Forest

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 2.90 fair 2.66
Draw 3.20 fair 3.79
Away 2.55 fair 2.78
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.72 fair 1.93
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.07

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Nott'm Forest
8 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 1
17 Fouls 15
6 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (487 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.32 – 1.28
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawNott'm Forest
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 1–0 9.8% 0–1 9.5%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
1.59points / match
1.44scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 41 played · 59:47
Nott'm Forest before this match, all matches
1.72points / match
1.56scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 39 played · 61:36
Luton all matches all matches Nott'm Forest

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.56
1.15 Goals conceded 0.92
2.59 Total goals 2.49
10.51 Shots 12.23
3.51 Shots on target 4.03
10.76 Shots faced 10.85
4.85 Corners 5.56
4.90 Corners against 4.23
12.02 Fouls 10.46
1.83 Yellow cards 1.79
0.59 1st-half goals scored 0.49
0.49 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

44% Wins 49%
27% Draws 26%
29% Losses 26%
90% Over 0.5 goals 92%
76% Over 1.5 goals 85%
51% Over 2.5 goals 49%
27% Over 3.5 goals 18%
12% Over 4.5 goals 5%
2% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 51%
39% Clean sheets 36%
27% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

34% Wins 36%
34% Draws 31%
32% Losses 33%
71% Over 0.5 goals 69%
27% Over 1.5 goals 10%
7% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Nott'm Forest all matches
Luton before this match, at home
1.80points / match
1.70scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 34:21
Nott'm Forest before this match, away
1.67points / match
1.50scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 27:15
Luton at home away Nott'm Forest

Per match

1.70 Goals scored 1.50
1.05 Goals conceded 0.83
2.75 Total goals 2.33
10.90 Shots 11.28
3.65 Shots on target 3.89
9.55 Shots faced 12.33
5.25 Corners 5.33
4.60 Corners against 5.22
11.35 Fouls 9.11
1.25 Yellow cards 1.61
0.90 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

50% Wins 44%
30% Draws 33%
20% Losses 22%
85% Over 0.5 goals 89%
70% Over 1.5 goals 78%
60% Over 2.5 goals 39%
35% Over 3.5 goals 17%
20% Over 4.5 goals 11%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
45% Both teams scored 56%
45% Clean sheets 33%
25% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 33%
35% Draws 33%
25% Losses 33%
75% Over 0.5 goals 67%
35% Over 1.5 goals 11%
15% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Nott'm Forest away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.22 Huddersfield – Luton 2–0 (0–0) 2.303.203.25 2.20 1.66
05.04.22 Peterboro – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 4.753.751.72 2.00 1.85
02.04.22 Luton – Millwall 2–2 (1–1) 2.203.103.60 2.37 1.57
19.03.22 Hull – Luton 1–3 (0–1) 3.003.302.40 2.20 1.66
16.03.22 Luton – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 2.253.103.50 2.50 1.53
13.03.22 Luton – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 2.20 1.66
08.03.22 Coventry – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.303.30 2.30 1.61
05.03.22 Middlesbrough – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 1.753.605.00 2.10 1.72
26.02.22 Luton – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.66
23.02.22 Stoke – Luton 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.20 1.66

Nott'm Forest all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.04.22 Nott'm Forest – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.006.50 2.05 1.80
06.04.22 Nott'm Forest – Coventry 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.503.75 2.05 1.80
02.04.22 Blackpool – Nott'm Forest 1–4 (0–3) 3.103.302.37 2.10 1.72
16.03.22 Nott'm Forest – QPR 3–1 (0–1) 1.953.503.90 2.05 1.80
12.03.22 Nott'm Forest – Reading 4–0 (1–0) 1.534.206.00 1.80 2.00
04.03.22 Sheffield United – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.33 2.20 1.66
26.02.22 Nott'm Forest – Bristol City 2–0 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.88 1.98
22.02.22 Preston – Nott'm Forest 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.252.70 2.30 1.61
12.02.22 Nott'm Forest – Stoke 2–2 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.30 1.61
09.02.22 Blackburn – Nott'm Forest 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.103.40 2.20 1.66

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.04.22 Luton – Millwall 2–2 (1–1) 2.203.103.60 2.37 1.57
16.03.22 Luton – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 2.253.103.50 2.50 1.53
13.03.22 Luton – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 2.20 1.66
26.02.22 Luton – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.66
19.02.22 Luton – West Brom 2–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 2.20 1.66
08.02.22 Luton – Barnsley 2–1 (1–1) 1.603.756.50 2.10 1.72
29.01.22 Luton – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.203.10 2.20 1.66
25.01.22 Luton – Bristol City 2–1 (1–0) 1.753.404.75 1.95 1.90
15.01.22 Luton – Bournemouth 3–2 (2–0) 2.803.402.45 2.02 1.83
11.12.21 Luton – Fulham 1–1 (0–1) 3.803.801.85 1.72 2.10

Nott'm Forest away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.04.22 Blackpool – Nott'm Forest 1–4 (0–3) 3.103.302.37 2.10 1.72
04.03.22 Sheffield United – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.33 2.20 1.66
22.02.22 Preston – Nott'm Forest 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.252.70 2.30 1.61
09.02.22 Blackburn – Nott'm Forest 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.103.40 2.20 1.66
30.01.22 Cardiff – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (1–0) 2.803.202.62 2.20 1.66
15.01.22 Millwall – Nott'm Forest 0–1 (0–0) 2.373.203.20 2.30 1.61
26.12.21 Middlesbrough – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.203.75 2.20 1.66
11.12.21 Swansea – Nott'm Forest 1–4 (0–0) 2.153.203.60 2.30 1.61
26.11.21 West Brom – Nott'm Forest 0–0 (0–0) 1.603.806.00 2.20 1.66
20.11.21 Reading – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.302.37 2.10 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Luton winsDrawsNott'm Forest wins
1matches
0.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.21E1 Nott'm Forest – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.102.87 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 40 25 8 7 94 35 +59 83
2 Bournemouth 39 21 10 8 62 35 +27 73
3 Huddersfield 41 19 12 10 54 43 +11 69
4 Nott'm Forest 39 19 10 10 61 36 +25 67
5 Luton 41 18 11 12 59 47 +12 65
6 Sheffield United 41 18 11 12 53 41 +12 65
7 Blackburn 41 17 12 12 52 42 +10 63
8 Middlesbrough 40 18 8 14 52 42 +10 62
9 Millwall 41 16 13 12 45 40 +5 61
10 Coventry 41 16 11 14 54 51 +3 59
11 QPR 41 17 8 16 55 53 +2 59
12 West Brom 41 15 12 14 45 40 +5 57
13 Preston 41 14 15 12 43 46 -3 57
14 Swansea 40 16 9 15 48 53 -5 57
15 Stoke 41 15 10 16 53 47 +6 55
16 Blackpool 40 14 11 15 44 47 -3 53
17 Derby 41 12 13 16 40 47 -7 49
18 Cardiff 40 14 7 19 47 61 -14 49
19 Birmingham 41 11 12 18 43 60 -17 45
20 Bristol City 41 12 9 20 52 73 -21 45
21 Hull 41 12 8 21 34 45 -11 44
22 Reading 41 12 7 22 48 77 -29 43
23 Barnsley 40 6 11 23 30 59 -29 29
24 Peterboro 41 6 10 25 34 82 -48 28
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 21 12 5 4 36 22 +14 41
2 Fulham 20 12 4 4 46 19 +27 40
3 Millwall 21 11 6 4 27 15 +12 39
4 Sheffield United 20 11 5 4 32 13 +19 38
5 Bournemouth 19 11 5 3 38 20 +18 38
6 Middlesbrough 20 12 2 6 29 18 +11 38
7 Huddersfield 20 11 5 4 29 20 +9 38
8 Nott'm Forest 21 11 4 6 34 21 +13 37
9 West Brom 20 10 7 3 27 15 +12 37
10 Derby 20 10 7 3 27 17 +10 37
11 Luton 20 10 6 4 34 21 +13 36
12 Coventry 21 10 5 6 31 21 +10 35
13 QPR 21 9 6 6 28 22 +6 33
14 Preston 20 8 9 3 27 22 +5 33
15 Blackpool 21 10 3 8 23 23 0 33
16 Swansea 19 9 5 5 25 21 +4 32
17 Stoke 20 9 4 7 28 21 +7 31
18 Bristol City 21 7 7 7 27 28 -1 28
19 Birmingham 20 7 5 8 22 25 -3 26
20 Reading 21 7 4 10 29 39 -10 25
21 Cardiff 21 7 3 11 21 27 -6 24
22 Barnsley 20 5 7 8 17 22 -5 22
23 Peterboro 20 4 7 9 20 31 -11 19
24 Hull 20 5 3 12 16 26 -10 18
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 20 13 4 3 48 16 +32 43
2 Bournemouth 20 10 5 5 24 15 +9 35
3 Huddersfield 21 8 7 6 25 23 +2 31
4 Nott'm Forest 18 8 6 4 27 15 +12 30
5 Luton 21 8 5 8 25 26 -1 29
6 Sheffield United 21 7 6 8 21 28 -7 27
7 Hull 21 7 5 9 18 19 -1 26
8 QPR 20 8 2 10 27 31 -4 26
9 Cardiff 19 7 4 8 26 34 -8 25
10 Swansea 21 7 4 10 23 32 -9 25
11 Stoke 21 6 6 9 25 26 -1 24
12 Middlesbrough 20 6 6 8 23 24 -1 24
13 Coventry 20 6 6 8 23 30 -7 24
14 Preston 21 6 6 9 16 24 -8 24
15 Blackburn 20 5 7 8 16 20 -4 22
16 Millwall 20 5 7 8 18 25 -7 22
17 Blackpool 19 4 8 7 21 24 -3 20
18 West Brom 21 5 5 11 18 25 -7 20
19 Birmingham 21 4 7 10 21 35 -14 19
20 Reading 20 5 3 12 19 38 -19 18
21 Bristol City 20 5 2 13 25 45 -20 17
22 Derby 21 2 6 13 13 30 -17 12
23 Peterboro 21 2 3 16 14 51 -37 9
24 Barnsley 20 1 4 15 13 37 -24 7

Luton   Nott'm Forest

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Bristol City 41 15 26 1.3 1.8 12 9 20 52 73 45
2 24 Peterboro 41 16 25 0.8 2.0 6 10 25 34 82 28
3 22 Reading 41 17 24 1.2 1.9 12 7 22 48 77 43
4 18 Cardiff 40 17 23 1.2 1.5 14 7 19 47 61 49
5 11 QPR 41 19 22 1.3 1.3 17 8 16 55 53 59
6 1 Fulham 40 19 21 2.4 0.9 25 8 7 94 35 83
7 5 Luton 41 20 21 1.4 1.1 18 11 12 59 47 65
8 14 Swansea 40 19 21 1.2 1.3 16 9 15 48 53 57
9 19 Birmingham 41 20 21 1.0 1.5 11 12 18 43 60 45
10 2 Bournemouth 39 19 20 1.6 0.9 21 10 8 62 35 73
11 15 Stoke 41 21 20 1.3 1.1 15 10 16 53 47 55
12 4 Nott'm Forest 39 20 19 1.6 0.9 19 10 10 61 36 67
13 10 Coventry 41 22 19 1.3 1.2 16 11 14 54 51 59
14 13 Preston 41 23 18 1.0 1.1 14 15 12 43 46 57
15 3 Huddersfield 41 24 17 1.3 1.0 19 12 10 54 43 69
16 6 Sheffield United 41 25 16 1.3 1.0 18 11 12 53 41 65
17 7 Blackburn 41 25 16 1.3 1.0 17 12 12 52 42 63
18 8 Middlesbrough 40 24 16 1.3 1.1 18 8 14 52 42 62
19 16 Blackpool 40 24 16 1.1 1.2 14 11 15 44 47 53
20 17 Derby 41 25 16 1.0 1.1 12 13 16 40 47 49
21 12 West Brom 41 26 15 1.1 1.0 15 12 14 45 40 57
22 9 Millwall 41 27 14 1.1 1.0 16 13 12 45 40 61
23 23 Barnsley 40 26 14 0.8 1.5 6 11 23 30 59 29
24 21 Hull 41 31 10 0.8 1.1 12 8 21 34 45 44
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bournemouth 19 5 14 2.0 1.1 11 5 3 38 20 38
2 1 Fulham 20 8 12 2.3 0.9 12 4 4 46 19 40
3 4 Nott'm Forest 21 9 12 1.6 1.0 11 4 6 34 21 37
4 5 Luton 20 8 12 1.7 1.1 10 6 4 34 21 36
5 22 Reading 21 9 12 1.4 1.9 7 4 10 29 39 25
6 7 Blackburn 21 10 11 1.7 1.0 12 5 4 36 22 41
7 19 Birmingham 20 9 11 1.1 1.2 7 5 8 22 25 26
8 20 Bristol City 21 10 11 1.3 1.3 7 7 7 27 28 28
9 24 Peterboro 20 9 11 1.0 1.6 4 7 9 20 31 19
10 10 Coventry 21 11 10 1.5 1.0 10 5 6 31 21 35
11 13 Preston 20 10 10 1.4 1.1 8 9 3 27 22 33
12 14 Swansea 19 9 10 1.3 1.1 9 5 5 25 21 32
13 15 Stoke 20 11 9 1.4 1.1 9 4 7 28 21 31
14 16 Blackpool 21 12 9 1.1 1.1 10 3 8 23 23 33
15 18 Cardiff 21 12 9 1.0 1.3 7 3 11 21 27 24
16 3 Huddersfield 20 12 8 1.4 1.0 11 5 4 29 20 38
17 8 Middlesbrough 20 12 8 1.4 0.9 12 2 6 29 18 38
18 11 QPR 21 13 8 1.3 1.0 9 6 6 28 22 33
19 17 Derby 20 12 8 1.4 0.8 10 7 3 27 17 37
20 6 Sheffield United 20 13 7 1.6 0.7 11 5 4 32 13 38
21 12 West Brom 20 13 7 1.4 0.8 10 7 3 27 15 37
22 9 Millwall 21 15 6 1.3 0.7 11 6 4 27 15 39
23 21 Hull 20 14 6 0.8 1.3 5 3 12 16 26 18
24 23 Barnsley 20 16 4 0.8 1.1 5 7 8 17 22 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Bristol City 20 5 15 1.2 2.2 5 2 13 25 45 17
2 11 QPR 20 6 14 1.4 1.6 8 2 10 27 31 26
3 18 Cardiff 19 5 14 1.4 1.8 7 4 8 26 34 25
4 24 Peterboro 21 7 14 0.7 2.4 2 3 16 14 51 9
5 22 Reading 20 8 12 0.9 1.9 5 3 12 19 38 18
6 14 Swansea 21 10 11 1.1 1.5 7 4 10 23 32 25
7 15 Stoke 21 10 11 1.2 1.2 6 6 9 25 26 24
8 19 Birmingham 21 11 10 1.0 1.7 4 7 10 21 35 19
9 23 Barnsley 20 10 10 0.7 1.9 1 4 15 13 37 7
10 1 Fulham 20 11 9 2.4 0.8 13 4 3 48 16 43
11 3 Huddersfield 21 12 9 1.2 1.1 8 7 6 25 23 31
12 5 Luton 21 12 9 1.2 1.2 8 5 8 25 26 29
13 6 Sheffield United 21 12 9 1.0 1.3 7 6 8 21 28 27
14 10 Coventry 20 11 9 1.1 1.5 6 6 8 23 30 24
15 8 Middlesbrough 20 12 8 1.1 1.2 6 6 8 23 24 24
16 9 Millwall 20 12 8 0.9 1.2 5 7 8 18 25 22
17 12 West Brom 21 13 8 0.9 1.2 5 5 11 18 25 20
18 13 Preston 21 13 8 0.8 1.1 6 6 9 16 24 24
19 17 Derby 21 13 8 0.6 1.4 2 6 13 13 30 12
20 4 Nott'm Forest 18 11 7 1.5 0.8 8 6 4 27 15 30
21 16 Blackpool 19 12 7 1.1 1.3 4 8 7 21 24 20
22 2 Bournemouth 20 14 6 1.2 0.8 10 5 5 24 15 35
23 7 Blackburn 20 15 5 0.8 1.0 5 7 8 16 20 22
24 21 Hull 21 17 4 0.9 0.9 7 5 9 18 19 26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51