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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Barrott

Luton 3–4 Arsenal

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2023/2024

Home 17.00 fair 3.39
Draw 7.00 fair 4.09
Away ✓ 1.18 fair 2.17
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.21
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.65 fair 1.83

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Arsenal
6 Shots 23
4 Shots on target 9
3 Corners 8
14 Fouls 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (141 league matches this season so far).
Result Arsenal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.25 – 1.62
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawArsenal
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 1–2 9.3% 0–1 9.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
0.64points / match
0.93scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 13:26
Arsenal before this match, all matches
2.36points / match
2.07scored / match
0.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 29:11
Luton all matches all matches Arsenal

Per match

0.93 Goals scored 2.07
1.86 Goals conceded 0.79
2.79 Total goals 2.86
11.07 Shots 14.86
2.57 Shots on target 5.29
17.21 Shots faced 8.29
5.14 Corners 7.71
5.71 Corners against 2.29
11.43 Fouls 9.50
2.00 Yellow cards 1.29
0.14 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.29

How often Full Time

14% Wins 71%
21% Draws 21%
64% Losses 7%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
79% Over 1.5 goals 64%
64% Over 2.5 goals 64%
29% Over 3.5 goals 50%
7% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
71% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 43%
29% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

7% Wins 36%
57% Draws 50%
36% Losses 14%
43% Over 0.5 goals 64%
7% Over 1.5 goals 36%
7% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Arsenal all matches
Luton before this match, at home
0.83points / match
1.00scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 6:8
Arsenal before this match, away
2.17points / match
1.50scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 9:3
Luton at home away Arsenal

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.50
1.33 Goals conceded 0.50
2.33 Total goals 2.00
13.67 Shots 14.00
3.00 Shots on target 3.83
13.50 Shots faced 9.83
6.50 Corners 8.50
5.17 Corners against 1.83
12.00 Fouls 10.00
2.33 Yellow cards 1.33
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.17

How often Full Time

17% Wins 67%
33% Draws 17%
50% Losses 17%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 33%
50% Over 2.5 goals 33%
0% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
83% Both teams scored 17%
0% Clean sheets 67%
17% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 17%
67% Draws 67%
33% Losses 17%
33% Over 0.5 goals 33%
0% Over 1.5 goals 17%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Arsenal away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.23 Brentford – Luton 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.506.50 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Luton – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.15 1.67
11.11.23 Man United – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.50 1.53 2.40
05.11.23 Luton – Liverpool 1–1 (0–0) 12.006.501.22 1.36 3.10
29.10.23 Aston Villa – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.48 2.60
21.10.23 Nott'm Forest – Luton 2–2 (0–0) 1.673.755.50 2.08 1.82
07.10.23 Luton – Tottenham 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.751.45 1.53 2.40
03.10.23 Luton – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.20 1.65
30.09.23 Everton – Luton 1–2 (1–2) 1.573.806.50 2.05 1.85
23.09.23 Luton – Wolves 1–1 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 2.02 1.88

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.23 Arsenal – Wolves 2–1 (2–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.65 2.20
25.11.23 Brentford – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 4.503.751.75 1.90 2.00
11.11.23 Arsenal – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 1.187.0017.00 1.48 2.60
04.11.23 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.60 1.95 1.95
28.10.23 Arsenal – Sheffield United 5–0 (1–0) 1.138.5019.00 1.36 3.10
21.10.23 Chelsea – Arsenal 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 1.98 1.92
08.10.23 Arsenal – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 1.75 2.05
30.09.23 Bournemouth – Arsenal 0–4 (0–2) 5.504.501.53 1.53 2.50
24.09.23 Arsenal – Tottenham 2–2 (1–1) 1.674.334.33 1.50 2.63
17.09.23 Everton – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.67 2.20

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Luton – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.15 1.67
05.11.23 Luton – Liverpool 1–1 (0–0) 12.006.501.22 1.36 3.10
07.10.23 Luton – Tottenham 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.751.45 1.53 2.40
03.10.23 Luton – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.20 1.65
23.09.23 Luton – Wolves 1–1 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 2.02 1.88
01.09.23 Luton – West Ham 1–2 (0–1) 4.753.801.73 1.87 2.03
08.05.23E1 Luton – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.50 1.93 1.93
24.04.23E1 Luton – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 2.05 1.80
10.04.23E1 Luton – Blackpool 3–1 (1–1) 1.534.007.00 2.00 1.80
01.04.23E1 Luton – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.253.60 2.38 1.57

Arsenal away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Brentford – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 4.503.751.75 1.90 2.00
04.11.23 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.60 1.95 1.95
21.10.23 Chelsea – Arsenal 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 1.98 1.92
30.09.23 Bournemouth – Arsenal 0–4 (0–2) 5.504.501.53 1.53 2.50
17.09.23 Everton – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.67 2.20
21.08.23 Crystal Palace – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 5.504.001.60 1.94 1.96
20.05.23 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 5.254.331.57 1.57 2.38
07.05.23 Newcastle – Arsenal 0–2 (0–1) 2.453.752.63 1.62 2.30
26.04.23 Man City – Arsenal 4–1 (2–0) 1.554.505.25 1.62 2.30
16.04.23 West Ham – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 6.004.201.55 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 14 10 3 1 29 11 +18 33
2 Liverpool 14 9 4 1 32 14 +18 31
3 Man City 14 9 3 2 36 16 +20 30
4 Aston Villa 14 9 2 3 33 20 +13 29
5 Tottenham 14 8 3 3 28 20 +8 27
6 Newcastle 14 8 2 4 32 14 +18 26
7 Man United 14 8 0 6 16 17 -1 24
8 Brighton 14 6 4 4 30 26 +4 22
9 West Ham 14 6 3 5 24 24 0 21
10 Chelsea 14 5 4 5 25 22 +3 19
11 Brentford 14 5 4 5 22 19 +3 19
12 Wolves 15 5 3 7 20 25 -5 18
13 Everton 14 5 2 7 15 20 -5 17
14 Crystal Palace 14 4 4 6 14 19 -5 16
15 Fulham 14 4 3 7 16 26 -10 15
16 Nott'm Forest 14 3 4 7 16 22 -6 13
17 Bournemouth 14 3 4 7 16 30 -14 13
18 Luton 14 2 3 9 13 26 -13 9
19 Burnley 15 2 1 12 15 33 -18 7
20 Sheffield United 14 1 2 11 11 39 -28 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 7 7 0 0 21 5 +16 21
2 Newcastle 8 7 0 1 19 4 +15 21
3 Arsenal 8 6 2 0 20 8 +12 20
4 Aston Villa 6 6 0 0 23 5 +18 18
5 Man City 7 5 2 0 20 7 +13 17
6 Brighton 7 3 3 1 15 10 +5 12
7 Brentford 8 3 3 2 15 12 +3 12
8 Tottenham 6 4 0 2 10 8 +2 12
9 Man United 7 4 0 3 8 10 -2 12
10 West Ham 7 3 2 2 12 10 +2 11
11 Wolves 7 3 2 2 10 12 -2 11
12 Nott'm Forest 7 2 3 2 10 9 +1 9
13 Chelsea 8 2 3 3 13 13 0 9
14 Fulham 6 3 0 3 7 9 -2 9
15 Bournemouth 8 2 3 3 8 12 -4 9
16 Crystal Palace 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
17 Luton 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
18 Everton 7 1 1 5 5 9 -4 4
19 Sheffield United 7 1 1 5 7 19 -12 4
20 Burnley 8 1 0 7 10 20 -10 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 8 4 3 1 18 12 +6 15
2 Man City 7 4 1 2 16 9 +7 13
3 Arsenal 6 4 1 1 9 3 +6 13
4 Everton 7 4 1 2 10 11 -1 13
5 Man United 7 4 0 3 8 7 +1 12
6 Crystal Palace 8 3 2 3 8 11 -3 11
7 Aston Villa 8 3 2 3 10 15 -5 11
8 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 12 9 +3 10
9 Liverpool 7 2 4 1 11 9 +2 10
10 Brighton 7 3 1 3 15 16 -1 10
11 West Ham 7 3 1 3 12 14 -2 10
12 Brentford 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
13 Wolves 8 2 1 5 10 13 -3 7
14 Fulham 8 1 3 4 9 17 -8 6
15 Newcastle 6 1 2 3 13 10 +3 5
16 Nott'm Forest 7 1 1 5 6 13 -7 4
17 Burnley 7 1 1 5 5 13 -8 4
18 Bournemouth 6 1 1 4 8 18 -10 4
19 Luton 8 1 1 6 7 18 -11 4
20 Sheffield United 7 0 1 6 4 20 -16 1

Luton   Arsenal

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Aston Villa 14 3 11 2.4 1.4 9 2 3 33 20 29
2 8 Brighton 14 3 11 2.1 1.9 6 4 4 30 26 22
3 20 Sheffield United 14 3 11 0.8 2.8 1 2 11 11 39 5
4 2 Liverpool 14 4 10 2.3 1.0 9 4 1 32 14 31
5 3 Man City 14 4 10 2.6 1.1 9 3 2 36 16 30
6 5 Tottenham 14 4 10 2.0 1.4 8 3 3 28 20 27
7 9 West Ham 14 4 10 1.7 1.7 6 3 5 24 24 21
8 12 Wolves 15 5 10 1.3 1.7 5 3 7 20 25 18
9 17 Bournemouth 14 4 10 1.1 2.1 3 4 7 16 30 13
10 19 Burnley 15 5 10 1.0 2.2 2 1 12 15 33 7
11 1 Arsenal 14 5 9 2.1 0.8 10 3 1 29 11 33
12 11 Brentford 14 5 9 1.6 1.4 5 4 5 22 19 19
13 18 Luton 14 5 9 0.9 1.9 2 3 9 13 26 9
14 6 Newcastle 14 6 8 2.3 1.0 8 2 4 32 14 26
15 10 Chelsea 14 6 8 1.8 1.6 5 4 5 25 22 19
16 7 Man United 14 7 7 1.1 1.2 8 0 6 16 17 24
17 13 Everton 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 5 2 7 15 20 17
18 15 Fulham 14 7 7 1.1 1.9 4 3 7 16 26 15
19 16 Nott'm Forest 14 7 7 1.1 1.6 3 4 7 16 22 13
20 14 Crystal Palace 14 8 6 1.0 1.4 4 4 6 14 19 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Arsenal 8 1 7 2.5 1.0 6 2 0 20 8 20
2 2 Liverpool 7 1 6 3.0 0.7 7 0 0 21 5 21
3 4 Aston Villa 6 0 6 3.8 0.8 6 0 0 23 5 18
4 11 Brentford 8 2 6 1.9 1.5 3 3 2 15 12 12
5 19 Burnley 8 2 6 1.2 2.5 1 0 7 10 20 3
6 20 Sheffield United 7 1 6 1.0 2.7 1 1 5 7 19 4
7 8 Brighton 7 2 5 2.1 1.4 3 3 1 15 10 12
8 12 Wolves 7 2 5 1.4 1.7 3 2 2 10 12 11
9 3 Man City 7 3 4 2.9 1.0 5 2 0 20 7 17
10 5 Tottenham 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 4 0 2 10 8 12
11 6 Newcastle 8 4 4 2.4 0.5 7 0 1 19 4 21
12 7 Man United 7 3 4 1.1 1.4 4 0 3 8 10 12
13 9 West Ham 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 3 2 2 12 10 11
14 10 Chelsea 8 4 4 1.6 1.6 2 3 3 13 13 9
15 17 Bournemouth 8 4 4 1.0 1.5 2 3 3 8 12 9
16 13 Everton 7 4 3 0.7 1.3 1 1 5 5 9 4
17 14 Crystal Palace 6 3 3 1.0 1.3 1 2 3 6 8 5
18 15 Fulham 6 3 3 1.2 1.5 3 0 3 7 9 9
19 16 Nott'm Forest 7 4 3 1.4 1.3 2 3 2 10 9 9
20 18 Luton 6 3 3 1.0 1.3 1 2 3 6 8 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Man City 7 1 6 2.3 1.3 4 1 2 16 9 13
2 5 Tottenham 8 2 6 2.2 1.5 4 3 1 18 12 15
3 8 Brighton 7 1 6 2.1 2.3 3 1 3 15 16 10
4 9 West Ham 7 1 6 1.7 2.0 3 1 3 12 14 10
5 17 Bournemouth 6 0 6 1.3 3.0 1 1 4 8 18 4
6 18 Luton 8 2 6 0.9 2.2 1 1 6 7 18 4
7 4 Aston Villa 8 3 5 1.2 1.9 3 2 3 10 15 11
8 12 Wolves 8 3 5 1.2 1.6 2 1 5 10 13 7
9 20 Sheffield United 7 2 5 0.6 2.9 0 1 6 4 20 1
10 2 Liverpool 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 2 4 1 11 9 10
11 6 Newcastle 6 2 4 2.2 1.7 1 2 3 13 10 5
12 10 Chelsea 6 2 4 2.0 1.5 3 1 2 12 9 10
13 13 Everton 7 3 4 1.4 1.6 4 1 2 10 11 13
14 15 Fulham 8 4 4 1.1 2.1 1 3 4 9 17 6
15 16 Nott'm Forest 7 3 4 0.9 1.9 1 1 5 6 13 4
16 19 Burnley 7 3 4 0.7 1.9 1 1 5 5 13 4
17 7 Man United 7 4 3 1.1 1.0 4 0 3 8 7 12
18 11 Brentford 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
19 14 Crystal Palace 8 5 3 1.0 1.4 3 2 3 8 11 11
20 1 Arsenal 6 4 2 1.5 0.5 4 1 1 9 3 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51