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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: C Kavanagh

Tottenham 4–1 Newcastle

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.15 fair 2.35
Draw 3.80 fair 4.41
Away 3.10 fair 2.88
Under 2.5 2.40 fair 2.88
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.53

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Tottenham Newcastle
23 Shots 9
12 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 6
10 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (159 league matches this season so far).
Result Tottenham to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.51
Expected goals 1.78 – 1.59
Home / Draw / Away
TottenhamDrawNewcastle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.8% 2–1 8.7% 1–2 7.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Tottenham before this match, all matches
1.80points / match
1.93scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 29:22
Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.73points / match
2.13scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 32:17
Tottenham all matches all matches Newcastle

Per match

1.93 Goals scored 2.13
1.47 Goals conceded 1.13
3.40 Total goals 3.27
16.00 Shots 13.73
5.80 Shots on target 5.53
13.67 Shots faced 12.27
5.87 Corners 4.40
6.33 Corners against 5.13
11.73 Fouls 10.93
2.73 Yellow cards 2.53
0.87 1st-half goals scored 0.87
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

53% Wins 53%
20% Draws 13%
27% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
93% Over 1.5 goals 73%
73% Over 2.5 goals 60%
33% Over 3.5 goals 47%
20% Over 4.5 goals 20%
13% Over 5.5 goals 13%
73% Both teams scored 40%
27% Clean sheets 40%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 40%
60% Draws 40%
7% Losses 20%
73% Over 0.5 goals 67%
47% Over 1.5 goals 33%
20% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Tottenham all matches
Newcastle all matches
Tottenham before this match, at home
1.71points / match
1.57scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 11:10
Newcastle before this match, away
0.71points / match
1.86scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 13:13
Tottenham at home away Newcastle

Per match

1.57 Goals scored 1.86
1.43 Goals conceded 1.86
3.00 Total goals 3.71
19.00 Shots 11.71
7.00 Shots on target 4.86
13.43 Shots faced 13.43
7.57 Corners 3.57
4.43 Corners against 4.71
11.00 Fouls 11.57
2.57 Yellow cards 2.43
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

57% Wins 14%
0% Draws 29%
43% Losses 57%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 86%
71% Over 2.5 goals 71%
14% Over 3.5 goals 57%
14% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
71% Both teams scored 43%
29% Clean sheets 14%
0% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 29%
71% Draws 29%
0% Losses 43%
71% Over 0.5 goals 71%
43% Over 1.5 goals 29%
0% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Tottenham at home
Newcastle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Tottenham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.23 Tottenham – West Ham 1–2 (1–0) 1.754.204.20 1.50 2.50
03.12.23 Man City – Tottenham 3–3 (2–1) 1.296.009.00 1.36 3.10
26.11.23 Tottenham – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.802.80 1.50 2.50
11.11.23 Wolves – Tottenham 2–1 (0–1) 3.103.752.20 1.62 2.25
06.11.23 Tottenham – Chelsea 1–4 (1–1) 2.003.753.50 1.70 2.10
27.10.23 Crystal Palace – Tottenham 1–2 (0–0) 4.503.751.75 1.94 1.96
23.10.23 Tottenham – Fulham 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.506.00 1.50 2.50
07.10.23 Luton – Tottenham 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.751.45 1.53 2.40
30.09.23 Tottenham – Liverpool 2–1 (1–1) 2.904.002.15 1.36 3.20
24.09.23 Arsenal – Tottenham 2–2 (1–1) 1.674.334.33 1.50 2.63

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.23 Everton – Newcastle 3–0 (0–0) 3.253.252.25 1.96 1.94
02.12.23 Newcastle – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.67 2.15
25.11.23 Newcastle – Chelsea 4–1 (1–1) 2.553.502.63 1.86 2.04
11.11.23 Bournemouth – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.73 1.70 2.10
04.11.23 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.60 1.95 1.95
28.10.23 Wolves – Newcastle 2–2 (1–2) 4.204.001.75 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Newcastle – Crystal Palace 4–0 (3–0) 1.454.507.00 1.85 2.05
08.10.23 West Ham – Newcastle 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.752.10 1.70 2.10
30.09.23 Newcastle – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50
24.09.23 Sheffield United – Newcastle 0–8 (0–3) 7.004.751.44 1.67 2.20

Tottenham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.23 Tottenham – West Ham 1–2 (1–0) 1.754.204.20 1.50 2.50
26.11.23 Tottenham – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.802.80 1.50 2.50
06.11.23 Tottenham – Chelsea 1–4 (1–1) 2.003.753.50 1.70 2.10
23.10.23 Tottenham – Fulham 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.506.00 1.50 2.50
30.09.23 Tottenham – Liverpool 2–1 (1–1) 2.904.002.15 1.36 3.20
16.09.23 Tottenham – Sheffield United 2–1 (0–0) 1.295.5011.00 1.50 2.63
19.08.23 Tottenham – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 2.803.602.38 1.57 2.38
20.05.23 Tottenham – Brentford 1–3 (1–0) 1.833.904.00 1.73 2.10
06.05.23 Tottenham – Crystal Palace 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.804.20 1.73 2.10
27.04.23 Tottenham – Man United 2–2 (0–2) 2.803.602.40 1.67 2.20

Newcastle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.23 Everton – Newcastle 3–0 (0–0) 3.253.252.25 1.96 1.94
11.11.23 Bournemouth – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.73 1.70 2.10
28.10.23 Wolves – Newcastle 2–2 (1–2) 4.204.001.75 1.75 2.05
08.10.23 West Ham – Newcastle 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.752.10 1.70 2.10
24.09.23 Sheffield United – Newcastle 0–8 (0–3) 7.004.751.44 1.67 2.20
02.09.23 Brighton – Newcastle 3–1 (1–0) 2.503.802.55 1.50 2.63
19.08.23 Man City – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.73 2.10
28.05.23 Chelsea – Newcastle 1–1 (1–1) 2.903.502.38 1.73 2.10
13.05.23 Leeds – Newcastle 2–2 (1–1) 4.334.201.70 1.62 2.30
27.04.23 Everton – Newcastle 1–4 (0–1) 4.753.601.73 2.00 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Tottenham winsDrawsNewcastle wins
4matches
5.25goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.04.23E0 Newcastle – Tottenham 6–1 (5–0) 1.833.754.20 1.86 2.04
23.10.22E0 Tottenham – Newcastle 1–2 (0–2) 2.053.503.50 1.92 1.98
03.04.22E0 Tottenham – Newcastle 5–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.50 1.80 2.00
17.10.21E0 Newcastle – Tottenham 2–3 (1–3) 3.503.602.05 1.80 2.00

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 16 11 4 1 36 15 +21 37
2 Arsenal 16 11 3 2 33 15 +18 36
3 Aston Villa 16 11 2 3 35 20 +15 35
4 Man City 16 10 3 3 38 18 +20 33
5 Tottenham 15 8 3 4 29 22 +7 27
6 Man United 16 9 0 7 18 21 -3 27
7 Newcastle 15 8 2 5 32 17 +15 26
8 Brighton 16 7 5 4 33 28 +5 26
9 West Ham 16 7 3 6 26 30 -4 24
10 Everton 16 7 2 7 20 20 0 23
11 Fulham 16 6 3 7 26 26 0 21
12 Brentford 16 5 4 7 23 22 +1 19
13 Chelsea 16 5 4 7 26 26 0 19
14 Wolves 16 5 4 7 21 26 -5 19
15 Bournemouth 16 5 4 7 21 30 -9 19
16 Crystal Palace 16 4 4 8 15 23 -8 16
17 Nott'm Forest 16 3 5 8 17 28 -11 14
18 Luton 16 2 3 11 17 32 -15 9
19 Burnley 16 2 2 12 16 34 -18 8
20 Sheffield United 16 2 2 12 12 41 -29 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Aston Villa 8 8 0 0 25 5 +20 24
2 Liverpool 7 7 0 0 21 5 +16 21
3 Newcastle 8 7 0 1 19 4 +15 21
4 Arsenal 8 6 2 0 20 8 +12 20
5 Man City 7 5 2 0 20 7 +13 17
6 Brighton 9 4 4 1 18 12 +6 16
7 Fulham 8 5 0 3 17 9 +8 15
8 Man United 9 5 0 4 10 14 -4 15
9 Brentford 8 3 3 2 15 12 +3 12
10 Tottenham 7 4 0 3 11 10 +1 12
11 Wolves 8 3 3 2 11 13 -2 12
12 West Ham 7 3 2 2 12 10 +2 11
13 Everton 9 3 1 5 10 9 +1 10
14 Nott'm Forest 7 2 3 2 10 9 +1 9
15 Chelsea 8 2 3 3 13 13 0 9
16 Bournemouth 8 2 3 3 8 12 -4 9
17 Sheffield United 9 2 1 6 8 21 -13 7
18 Luton 8 1 2 5 10 14 -4 5
19 Crystal Palace 8 1 2 5 7 12 -5 5
20 Burnley 8 1 0 7 10 20 -10 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 9 5 1 3 18 11 +7 16
2 Arsenal 8 5 1 2 13 7 +6 16
3 Liverpool 9 4 4 1 15 10 +5 16
4 Tottenham 8 4 3 1 18 12 +6 15
5 Everton 7 4 1 2 10 11 -1 13
6 West Ham 9 4 1 4 14 20 -6 13
7 Man United 7 4 0 3 8 7 +1 12
8 Crystal Palace 8 3 2 3 8 11 -3 11
9 Aston Villa 8 3 2 3 10 15 -5 11
10 Chelsea 8 3 1 4 13 13 0 10
11 Brighton 7 3 1 3 15 16 -1 10
12 Bournemouth 8 3 1 4 13 18 -5 10
13 Brentford 8 2 1 5 8 10 -2 7
14 Wolves 8 2 1 5 10 13 -3 7
15 Fulham 8 1 3 4 9 17 -8 6
16 Newcastle 7 1 2 4 13 13 0 5
17 Burnley 8 1 2 5 6 14 -8 5
18 Nott'm Forest 9 1 2 6 7 19 -12 5
19 Luton 8 1 1 6 7 18 -11 4
20 Sheffield United 7 0 1 6 4 20 -16 1

Tottenham   Newcastle

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Brighton 16 4 12 2.1 1.8 7 5 4 33 28 26
2 9 West Ham 16 4 12 1.6 1.9 7 3 6 26 30 24
3 1 Liverpool 16 5 11 2.2 0.9 11 4 1 36 15 37
4 3 Aston Villa 16 5 11 2.2 1.2 11 2 3 35 20 35
5 4 Man City 16 5 11 2.4 1.1 10 3 3 38 18 33
6 5 Tottenham 15 4 11 1.9 1.5 8 3 4 29 22 27
7 15 Bournemouth 16 5 11 1.3 1.9 5 4 7 21 30 19
8 18 Luton 16 5 11 1.1 2.0 2 3 11 17 32 9
9 20 Sheffield United 16 5 11 0.8 2.6 2 2 12 12 41 8
10 2 Arsenal 16 6 10 2.1 0.9 11 3 2 33 15 36
11 12 Brentford 16 6 10 1.4 1.4 5 4 7 23 22 19
12 14 Wolves 16 6 10 1.3 1.6 5 4 7 21 26 19
13 19 Burnley 16 6 10 1.0 2.1 2 2 12 16 34 8
14 6 Man United 16 7 9 1.1 1.3 9 0 7 18 21 27
15 7 Newcastle 15 6 9 2.1 1.1 8 2 5 32 17 26
16 11 Fulham 16 7 9 1.6 1.6 6 3 7 26 26 21
17 13 Chelsea 16 7 9 1.6 1.6 5 4 7 26 26 19
18 10 Everton 16 8 8 1.2 1.2 7 2 7 20 20 23
19 17 Nott'm Forest 16 8 8 1.1 1.8 3 5 8 17 28 14
20 16 Crystal Palace 16 9 7 0.9 1.4 4 4 8 15 23 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Arsenal 8 1 7 2.5 1.0 6 2 0 20 8 20
2 1 Liverpool 7 1 6 3.0 0.7 7 0 0 21 5 21
3 3 Aston Villa 8 2 6 3.1 0.6 8 0 0 25 5 24
4 6 Man United 9 3 6 1.1 1.6 5 0 4 10 14 15
5 8 Brighton 9 3 6 2.0 1.3 4 4 1 18 12 16
6 12 Brentford 8 2 6 1.9 1.5 3 3 2 15 12 12
7 19 Burnley 8 2 6 1.2 2.5 1 0 7 10 20 3
8 20 Sheffield United 9 3 6 0.9 2.3 2 1 6 8 21 7
9 5 Tottenham 7 2 5 1.6 1.4 4 0 3 11 10 12
10 11 Fulham 8 3 5 2.1 1.1 5 0 3 17 9 15
11 14 Wolves 8 3 5 1.4 1.6 3 3 2 11 13 12
12 18 Luton 8 3 5 1.2 1.8 1 2 5 10 14 5
13 4 Man City 7 3 4 2.9 1.0 5 2 0 20 7 17
14 7 Newcastle 8 4 4 2.4 0.5 7 0 1 19 4 21
15 9 West Ham 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 3 2 2 12 10 11
16 10 Everton 9 5 4 1.1 1.0 3 1 5 10 9 10
17 13 Chelsea 8 4 4 1.6 1.6 2 3 3 13 13 9
18 15 Bournemouth 8 4 4 1.0 1.5 2 3 3 8 12 9
19 16 Crystal Palace 8 4 4 0.9 1.5 1 2 5 7 12 5
20 17 Nott'm Forest 7 4 3 1.4 1.3 2 3 2 10 9 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 West Ham 9 1 8 1.6 2.2 4 1 4 14 20 13
2 4 Man City 9 2 7 2.0 1.2 5 1 3 18 11 16
3 15 Bournemouth 8 1 7 1.6 2.2 3 1 4 13 18 10
4 5 Tottenham 8 2 6 2.2 1.5 4 3 1 18 12 15
5 8 Brighton 7 1 6 2.1 2.3 3 1 3 15 16 10
6 18 Luton 8 2 6 0.9 2.2 1 1 6 7 18 4
7 1 Liverpool 9 4 5 1.7 1.1 4 4 1 15 10 16
8 3 Aston Villa 8 3 5 1.2 1.9 3 2 3 10 15 11
9 7 Newcastle 7 2 5 1.9 1.9 1 2 4 13 13 5
10 13 Chelsea 8 3 5 1.6 1.6 3 1 4 13 13 10
11 14 Wolves 8 3 5 1.2 1.6 2 1 5 10 13 7
12 17 Nott'm Forest 9 4 5 0.8 2.1 1 2 6 7 19 5
13 20 Sheffield United 7 2 5 0.6 2.9 0 1 6 4 20 1
14 10 Everton 7 3 4 1.4 1.6 4 1 2 10 11 13
15 11 Fulham 8 4 4 1.1 2.1 1 3 4 9 17 6
16 12 Brentford 8 4 4 1.0 1.2 2 1 5 8 10 7
17 19 Burnley 8 4 4 0.8 1.8 1 2 5 6 14 5
18 2 Arsenal 8 5 3 1.6 0.9 5 1 2 13 7 16
19 6 Man United 7 4 3 1.1 1.0 4 0 3 8 7 12
20 16 Crystal Palace 8 5 3 1.0 1.4 3 2 3 8 11 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51