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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: J Brooks

Liverpool 1–1 Aston Villa

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 1.45 fair 1.75
Draw ✓ 5.00 fair 4.51
Away 6.25 fair 4.86
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.50 fair 2.31
Over 2.5 1.53 fair 1.77

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Liverpool Aston Villa
10 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
9 Corners 4
16 Fouls 13
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (359 league matches this season so far).
Result Liverpool to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.81
Expected goals 1.90 – 1.05
Home / Draw / Away
LiverpoolDrawAston Villa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.4% 1–0 9.9% 2–1 9.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Liverpool before this match, all matches
1.81points / match
1.94scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 70:42
Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.58points / match
1.33scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 48:44
Liverpool all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

1.94 Goals scored 1.33
1.17 Goals conceded 1.22
3.11 Total goals 2.56
15.69 Shots 11.47
5.53 Shots on target 3.97
9.67 Shots faced 11.25
6.06 Corners 4.36
3.61 Corners against 5.56
10.53 Fouls 10.81
1.44 Yellow cards 1.97
0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

53% Wins 47%
22% Draws 17%
25% Losses 36%
89% Over 0.5 goals 97%
72% Over 1.5 goals 78%
61% Over 2.5 goals 47%
36% Over 3.5 goals 22%
22% Over 4.5 goals 6%
14% Over 5.5 goals 6%
50% Both teams scored 47%
39% Clean sheets 33%
22% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 33%
33% Draws 36%
28% Losses 31%
75% Over 0.5 goals 78%
47% Over 1.5 goals 31%
19% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool all matches
Aston Villa all matches
Liverpool before this match, at home
2.39points / match
2.50scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 45:16
Aston Villa before this match, away
1.22points / match
0.94scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 17:24
Liverpool at home away Aston Villa

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 0.94
0.89 Goals conceded 1.33
3.39 Total goals 2.28
17.67 Shots 11.06
5.94 Shots on target 3.33
8.33 Shots faced 12.83
6.72 Corners 3.89
3.00 Corners against 6.06
10.33 Fouls 11.83
1.39 Yellow cards 2.11
1.17 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

72% Wins 33%
22% Draws 22%
6% Losses 44%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
72% Over 1.5 goals 78%
56% Over 2.5 goals 39%
39% Over 3.5 goals 17%
28% Over 4.5 goals 0%
22% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 44%
50% Clean sheets 28%
6% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 6%
28% Draws 56%
22% Losses 39%
78% Over 0.5 goals 72%
39% Over 1.5 goals 33%
33% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool at home
Aston Villa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.05.23 Leicester – Liverpool 0–3 (0–2) 5.254.331.57 1.50 2.63
06.05.23 Liverpool – Brentford 1–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.00 1.50 2.63
03.05.23 Liverpool – Fulham 1–0 (1–0) 1.255.7511.00 1.44 2.75
30.04.23 Liverpool – Tottenham 4–3 (3–1) 1.534.505.75 1.50 2.63
26.04.23 West Ham – Liverpool 1–2 (1–1) 3.903.901.85 1.67 2.20
22.04.23 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (0–0) 1.177.5017.00 1.44 2.75
17.04.23 Leeds – Liverpool 1–6 (0–2) 4.204.201.73 1.57 2.38
09.04.23 Liverpool – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 2.883.602.38 1.62 2.30
04.04.23 Chelsea – Liverpool 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.25 1.95 1.95
01.04.23 Man City – Liverpool 4–1 (1–1) 1.624.205.00 1.67 2.20

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.05.23 Aston Villa – Tottenham 2–1 (1–0) 2.253.602.90 1.73 2.10
06.05.23 Wolves – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 2.883.302.50 2.20 1.67
30.04.23 Man United – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.904.60 1.67 2.20
25.04.23 Aston Villa – Fulham 1–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.20 1.81 2.09
22.04.23 Brentford – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.88 2.00 1.90
15.04.23 Aston Villa – Newcastle 3–0 (1–0) 3.603.402.05 2.07 1.83
08.04.23 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (0–0) 1.604.205.25 1.94 1.96
04.04.23 Leicester – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.553.302.75 1.99 1.91
01.04.23 Chelsea – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.97 1.93
18.03.23 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.97 1.93

Liverpool at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.05.23 Liverpool – Brentford 1–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.00 1.50 2.63
03.05.23 Liverpool – Fulham 1–0 (1–0) 1.255.7511.00 1.44 2.75
30.04.23 Liverpool – Tottenham 4–3 (3–1) 1.534.505.75 1.50 2.63
22.04.23 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (0–0) 1.177.5017.00 1.44 2.75
09.04.23 Liverpool – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 2.883.602.38 1.62 2.30
05.03.23 Liverpool – Man United 7–0 (1–0) 2.383.602.88 1.67 2.20
01.03.23 Liverpool – Wolves 2–0 (0–0) 1.504.756.00 1.73 2.10
13.02.23 Liverpool – Everton 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.336.50 1.73 2.10
21.01.23 Liverpool – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.754.00 1.73 2.10
30.12.22 Liverpool – Leicester 2–1 (2–1) 1.296.009.50 1.44 2.75

Aston Villa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.05.23 Wolves – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 2.883.302.50 2.20 1.67
30.04.23 Man United – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.904.60 1.67 2.20
22.04.23 Brentford – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.88 2.00 1.90
04.04.23 Leicester – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.553.302.75 1.99 1.91
01.04.23 Chelsea – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.97 1.93
12.03.23 West Ham – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.303.40 2.08 1.85
25.02.23 Everton – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 2.503.203.00 2.30 1.62
12.02.23 Man City – Aston Villa 3–1 (3–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.50 2.63
21.01.23 Southampton – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.55 2.10 1.73
01.01.23 Tottenham – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Liverpool winsDrawsAston Villa wins
3matches
2.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.22E0 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–3 (0–2) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
10.05.22E0 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–2 (1–1) 7.504.751.40 1.61 2.30
11.12.21E0 Liverpool – Aston Villa 1–0 (0–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.40 3.00

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Man City 35 27 4 4 92 31 +61 85 WWWWWW
2 Arsenal 36 25 6 5 83 42 +41 81 DDLWWL
3 Newcastle 36 19 12 5 67 32 +35 69 WWWLDW
4 Man United 35 20 6 9 51 41 +10 66 WDWLLW
5 Liverpool 36 19 8 9 70 42 +28 65 WWWWWW
6 Brighton 35 17 7 11 67 49 +18 58 LWWLWL
7 Tottenham 37 17 6 14 66 62 +4 57 LDLWLL
8 Aston Villa 36 17 6 13 48 44 +4 57 WDWLLW
9 Brentford 37 14 14 9 57 46 +11 56 DWWLWW
10 Fulham 36 15 6 15 52 49 +3 51 WLLLWW
11 Chelsea 35 11 10 14 36 41 -5 43 LLLLWD
12 Crystal Palace 36 11 10 15 37 46 -9 43 WDLWLW
13 Wolves 36 11 7 18 30 52 -22 40 WLWLWL
14 Bournemouth 36 11 6 19 37 69 -32 39 WLWWLL
15 West Ham 36 10 7 19 38 52 -14 37 WLLLWL
16 Nott'm Forest 36 8 10 18 36 67 -31 34 LLWLWD
17 Everton 36 7 11 18 32 56 -24 32 LDLDWL
18 Leeds 36 7 10 19 46 71 -25 31 LLDLLD
19 Leicester 36 8 6 22 49 67 -18 30 LWDDLL
20 Southampton 36 6 6 24 31 66 -35 24 LDLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Man City 18 16 1 1 59 17 +42 49 WWWWWW
2 Liverpool 18 13 4 1 45 16 +29 43 WDWWWW
3 Arsenal 18 13 3 2 48 25 +23 42 WWWDWL
4 Man United 17 13 3 1 30 8 +22 42 WDWWWW
5 Newcastle 18 11 5 2 36 14 +22 38 WWWWLW
6 Tottenham 19 12 1 6 37 25 +12 37 WWLDWL
7 Aston Villa 18 11 2 5 31 20 +11 35 WWWWWW
8 Brentford 18 9 7 2 34 18 +16 34 WDLDWW
9 Brighton 17 9 3 5 33 19 +14 30 WWDWWL
10 Wolves 18 9 2 7 18 19 -1 29 WLWWWW
11 Fulham 18 8 4 6 29 27 +2 28 DLLWLW
12 Nott'm Forest 18 7 6 5 26 24 +2 27 DLDLWW
13 Crystal Palace 18 7 6 5 20 22 -2 27 DLWDWW
14 West Ham 18 7 4 7 23 23 0 25 DWLDLW
15 Chelsea 18 6 6 6 19 18 +1 24 DLDLLD
16 Bournemouth 18 6 4 8 20 27 -7 22 WWLLWL
17 Leeds 18 5 7 6 25 33 -8 22 DWLLDD
18 Everton 18 5 3 10 15 27 -12 18 LWDLLL
19 Leicester 18 4 4 10 21 26 -5 16 LLLWDL
20 Southampton 18 2 4 12 15 33 -18 10 LDLLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 18 12 3 3 35 17 +18 39 WWDDLW
2 Man City 17 11 3 3 33 14 +19 36 DWWWWW
3 Newcastle 18 8 7 3 31 18 +13 31 WWWLWD
4 Brighton 18 8 4 6 34 30 +4 28 WLWLWL
5 Man United 18 7 3 8 21 33 -12 24 LLWDLL
6 Fulham 18 7 2 9 23 22 +1 23 LLWLLW
7 Liverpool 18 6 4 8 25 26 -1 22 LLDWWW
8 Brentford 19 5 7 7 23 28 -5 22 DLLWLW
9 Aston Villa 18 6 4 8 17 24 -7 22 DWWDLL
10 Tottenham 18 5 5 8 29 37 -8 20 LDDLLL
11 Chelsea 17 5 4 8 17 23 -6 19 DLWLLW
12 Bournemouth 18 5 2 11 17 42 -25 17 LLWWWL
13 Crystal Palace 18 4 4 10 17 24 -7 16 LLWWLL
14 Everton 18 2 8 8 17 29 -12 14 DDLDDW
15 Leicester 18 4 2 12 28 41 -13 14 LDLLDL
16 Southampton 18 4 2 12 16 33 -17 14 LDLDLL
17 West Ham 18 3 3 12 15 29 -14 12 LWWLLL
18 Wolves 18 2 5 11 12 33 -21 11 LLDLLL
19 Leeds 18 2 3 13 21 38 -17 9 LWLLLL
20 Nott'm Forest 18 1 4 13 10 43 -33 7 LLLLLD

Liverpool   Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Man City 35 10 25 2.6 0.9 27 4 4 92 31 85 OOOOOO
2 2 Arsenal 36 11 25 2.3 1.2 25 6 5 83 42 81 OOOOUO
3 6 Brighton 35 12 23 1.9 1.4 17 7 11 67 49 58 OOUOOO
4 10 Fulham 36 13 23 1.4 1.4 15 6 15 52 49 51 OUOUOU
5 18 Leeds 36 13 23 1.3 2.0 7 10 19 46 71 31 OOUOOO
6 19 Leicester 36 13 23 1.4 1.9 8 6 22 49 67 30 OOUOOO
7 5 Liverpool 36 14 22 1.9 1.2 19 8 9 70 42 65 OOOUUO
8 7 Tottenham 37 15 22 1.8 1.7 17 6 14 66 62 57 OOOUOO
9 3 Newcastle 36 18 18 1.9 0.9 19 12 5 67 32 69 OOOUOO
10 14 Bournemouth 36 18 18 1.0 1.9 11 6 19 37 69 39 OOUOOU
11 20 Southampton 36 18 18 0.9 1.8 6 6 24 31 66 24 UOUOOU
12 4 Man United 35 18 17 1.5 1.2 20 6 9 51 41 66 UOUUUU
13 8 Aston Villa 36 19 17 1.3 1.2 17 6 13 48 44 57 OUUUUO
14 9 Brentford 37 20 17 1.5 1.2 14 14 9 57 46 56 UUOUUO
15 16 Nott'm Forest 36 19 17 1.0 1.9 8 10 18 36 67 34 UOOOOO
16 17 Everton 36 20 16 0.9 1.6 7 11 18 32 56 32 OUOOOO
17 11 Chelsea 35 20 15 1.0 1.2 11 10 14 36 41 43 UOUOOO
18 12 Crystal Palace 36 22 14 1.0 1.3 11 10 15 37 46 43 UUUOUU
19 13 Wolves 36 22 14 0.8 1.4 11 7 18 30 52 40 UOUOUU
20 15 West Ham 36 23 13 1.1 1.4 10 7 19 38 52 37 OOOOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Man City 18 2 16 3.3 0.9 16 1 1 59 17 49 UOOOOO
2 2 Arsenal 18 2 16 2.7 1.4 13 3 2 48 25 42 OOOOOO
3 10 Fulham 18 5 13 1.6 1.5 8 4 6 29 27 28 UOUOOO
4 7 Tottenham 19 8 11 1.9 1.3 12 1 6 37 25 37 OOOOUO
5 18 Leeds 18 7 11 1.4 1.8 5 7 6 25 33 22 OOOOUO
6 19 Leicester 18 7 11 1.2 1.4 4 4 10 21 26 16 OOUOOO
7 5 Liverpool 18 8 10 2.5 0.9 13 4 1 45 16 43 OOOOUU
8 8 Aston Villa 18 8 10 1.7 1.1 11 2 5 31 20 35 UOUOUO
9 4 Man United 17 8 9 1.8 0.5 13 3 1 30 8 42 OUUUUU
10 6 Brighton 17 8 9 1.9 1.1 9 3 5 33 19 30 OUOOUO
11 9 Brentford 18 9 9 1.9 1.0 9 7 2 34 18 34 OUOUOU
12 14 Bournemouth 18 9 9 1.1 1.5 6 4 8 20 27 22 UOUOOO
13 12 Crystal Palace 18 10 8 1.1 1.2 7 6 5 20 22 27 UUOUOU
14 17 Everton 18 10 8 0.8 1.5 5 3 10 15 27 18 UUUOOO
15 20 Southampton 18 10 8 0.8 1.8 2 4 12 15 33 10 UOOUUU
16 3 Newcastle 18 11 7 2.0 0.8 11 5 2 36 14 38 OUOOUO
17 11 Chelsea 18 11 7 1.1 1.0 6 6 6 19 18 24 OUUOUO
18 16 Nott'm Forest 18 11 7 1.4 1.3 7 6 5 26 24 27 OOUUOO
19 15 West Ham 18 12 6 1.3 1.3 7 4 7 23 23 25 UUOOOU
20 13 Wolves 18 13 5 1.0 1.1 9 2 7 18 19 29 UOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 6 Brighton 18 4 14 1.9 1.7 8 4 6 34 30 28 UOOOOO
2 5 Liverpool 18 6 12 1.4 1.4 6 4 8 25 26 22 UOUOOO
3 18 Leeds 18 6 12 1.2 2.1 2 3 13 21 38 9 UOOOOO
4 19 Leicester 18 6 12 1.6 2.3 4 2 12 28 41 14 UUOOUO
5 3 Newcastle 18 7 11 1.7 1.0 8 7 3 31 18 31 OOOOOO
6 7 Tottenham 18 7 11 1.6 2.1 5 5 8 29 37 20 UOUOOO
7 10 Fulham 18 8 10 1.3 1.2 7 2 9 23 22 23 OOOUUU
8 16 Nott'm Forest 18 8 10 0.6 2.4 1 4 13 10 43 7 OOUOOO
9 20 Southampton 18 8 10 0.9 1.8 4 2 12 16 33 14 UUUOOO
10 1 Man City 17 8 9 1.9 0.8 11 3 3 33 14 36 UOUOOO
11 2 Arsenal 18 9 9 1.9 0.9 12 3 3 35 17 39 UOOOOU
12 13 Wolves 18 9 9 0.7 1.8 2 5 11 12 33 11 UOUOOU
13 14 Bournemouth 18 9 9 0.9 2.3 5 2 11 17 42 17 OOUOUU
14 4 Man United 18 10 8 1.2 1.8 7 3 8 21 33 24 OUUOUU
15 9 Brentford 19 11 8 1.2 1.5 5 7 7 23 28 22 OUUUUO
16 11 Chelsea 17 9 8 1.0 1.4 5 4 8 17 23 19 UUOUOO
17 17 Everton 18 10 8 0.9 1.6 2 8 8 17 29 14 OOUUOO
18 8 Aston Villa 18 11 7 0.9 1.3 6 4 8 17 24 22 UUOUUU
19 15 West Ham 18 11 7 0.8 1.6 3 3 12 15 29 12 OUOOOU
20 12 Crystal Palace 18 12 6 0.9 1.3 4 4 10 17 24 16 UOOUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47