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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Hooper

Liverpool 3–0 Aston Villa

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.65 fair 2.09
Draw 4.50 fair 4.48
Away 4.50 fair 3.35
Under 2.5 3.00 fair 2.84
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.54

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Liverpool Aston Villa
17 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 3
12 Fouls 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (36 league matches this season so far).
Result Liverpool to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.54
Expected goals 1.89 – 1.45
Home / Draw / Away
LiverpoolDrawAston Villa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.7% 2–1 9.2% 1–2 7.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Liverpool before this match, all matches
2.33points / match
2.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 6:3
Aston Villa before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.67scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 8:6
Liverpool all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 2.67
1.00 Goals conceded 2.00
3.00 Total goals 4.67
16.00 Shots 15.00
5.00 Shots on target 6.33
15.33 Shots faced 11.67
7.67 Corners 6.00
3.67 Corners against 5.33
11.00 Fouls 12.00
2.00 Yellow cards 2.33
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.67
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

67% Wins 67%
33% Draws 0%
0% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 100%
33% Over 3.5 goals 100%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 33%
100% Both teams scored 67%
0% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 67%
33% Draws 0%
33% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
33% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool all matches
Aston Villa all matches
Liverpool before this match, at home
3.00points / match
3.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 3:1
Aston Villa before this match, away
1.50points / match
2.00scored / match
3.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 4:6
Liverpool at home away Aston Villa

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 2.00
1.00 Goals conceded 3.00
4.00 Total goals 5.00
26.00 Shots 16.00
10.00 Shots on target 6.00
13.00 Shots faced 13.00
10.00 Corners 5.50
2.00 Corners against 5.00
11.00 Fouls 14.00
1.00 Yellow cards 2.00
2.00 1st-half goals scored 1.50
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 50%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%
100% Over 3.5 goals 100%
0% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 50%
100% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 50%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool at home
Aston Villa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.08.23 Newcastle – Liverpool 1–2 (1–0) 2.203.753.00 1.50 2.63
19.08.23 Liverpool – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.33 3.40
13.08.23 Chelsea – Liverpool 1–1 (1–1) 2.903.402.38 1.67 2.20
28.05.23 Southampton – Liverpool 4–4 (2–2) 6.504.751.44 1.40 3.00
20.05.23 Liverpool – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–1) 1.455.006.25 1.53 2.50
15.05.23 Leicester – Liverpool 0–3 (0–2) 5.254.331.57 1.50 2.63
06.05.23 Liverpool – Brentford 1–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.00 1.50 2.63
03.05.23 Liverpool – Fulham 1–0 (1–0) 1.255.7511.00 1.44 2.75
30.04.23 Liverpool – Tottenham 4–3 (3–1) 1.534.505.75 1.50 2.63
26.04.23 West Ham – Liverpool 1–2 (1–1) 3.903.901.85 1.67 2.20

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.08.23 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.403.402.15 1.86 2.04
20.08.23 Aston Villa – Everton 4–0 (2–0) 1.704.004.50 1.92 1.98
12.08.23 Newcastle – Aston Villa 5–1 (2–1) 1.753.754.60 1.73 2.10
28.05.23 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–1 (2–1) 2.003.603.50 1.53 2.50
20.05.23 Liverpool – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–1) 1.455.006.25 1.53 2.50
13.05.23 Aston Villa – Tottenham 2–1 (1–0) 2.253.602.90 1.73 2.10
06.05.23 Wolves – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 2.883.302.50 2.20 1.67
30.04.23 Man United – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.904.60 1.67 2.20
25.04.23 Aston Villa – Fulham 1–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.20 1.81 2.09
22.04.23 Brentford – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.88 2.00 1.90

Liverpool at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.08.23 Liverpool – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.33 3.40
20.05.23 Liverpool – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–1) 1.455.006.25 1.53 2.50
06.05.23 Liverpool – Brentford 1–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.00 1.50 2.63
03.05.23 Liverpool – Fulham 1–0 (1–0) 1.255.7511.00 1.44 2.75
30.04.23 Liverpool – Tottenham 4–3 (3–1) 1.534.505.75 1.50 2.63
22.04.23 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (0–0) 1.177.5017.00 1.44 2.75
09.04.23 Liverpool – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 2.883.602.38 1.62 2.30
05.03.23 Liverpool – Man United 7–0 (1–0) 2.383.602.88 1.67 2.20
01.03.23 Liverpool – Wolves 2–0 (0–0) 1.504.756.00 1.73 2.10
13.02.23 Liverpool – Everton 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.336.50 1.73 2.10

Aston Villa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.08.23 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.403.402.15 1.86 2.04
12.08.23 Newcastle – Aston Villa 5–1 (2–1) 1.753.754.60 1.73 2.10
20.05.23 Liverpool – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–1) 1.455.006.25 1.53 2.50
06.05.23 Wolves – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 2.883.302.50 2.20 1.67
30.04.23 Man United – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.904.60 1.67 2.20
22.04.23 Brentford – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.88 2.00 1.90
04.04.23 Leicester – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.553.302.75 1.99 1.91
01.04.23 Chelsea – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.97 1.93
12.03.23 West Ham – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.303.40 2.08 1.85
25.02.23 Everton – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 2.503.203.00 2.30 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Liverpool winsDrawsAston Villa wins
4matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.05.23E0 Liverpool – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–1) 1.455.006.25 1.53 2.50
26.12.22E0 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–3 (0–2) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
10.05.22E0 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–2 (1–1) 7.504.751.40 1.61 2.30
11.12.21E0 Liverpool – Aston Villa 1–0 (0–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.40 3.00

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 4 4 0 0 11 2 +9 12
2 Tottenham 4 3 1 0 11 4 +7 10
3 West Ham 4 3 1 0 9 4 +5 10
4 Brighton 4 3 0 1 12 6 +6 9
5 Liverpool 3 2 1 0 6 3 +3 7
6 Arsenal 3 2 1 0 5 3 +2 7
7 Brentford 4 1 3 0 8 5 +3 6
8 Aston Villa 3 2 0 1 8 6 +2 6
9 Nott'm Forest 4 2 0 2 6 6 0 6
10 Man United 3 2 0 1 4 4 0 6
11 Chelsea 4 1 1 2 5 5 0 4
12 Crystal Palace 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
13 Fulham 4 1 1 2 4 10 -6 4
14 Newcastle 4 1 0 3 7 7 0 3
15 Wolves 3 1 0 2 2 5 -3 3
16 Bournemouth 4 0 2 2 4 8 -4 2
17 Sheffield United 4 0 1 3 4 7 -3 1
18 Everton 4 0 1 3 2 8 -6 1
19 Luton 3 0 0 3 2 9 -7 0
20 Burnley 3 0 0 3 3 11 -8 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 2 2 0 0 6 1 +5 6
2 Brighton 3 2 0 1 8 5 +3 6
3 Man United 2 2 0 0 4 2 +2 6
4 Chelsea 3 1 1 1 4 2 +2 4
5 Arsenal 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
6 Aston Villa 1 1 0 0 4 0 +4 3
7 Newcastle 2 1 0 1 6 3 +3 3
8 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
9 West Ham 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
10 Tottenham 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
11 Nott'm Forest 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
12 Brentford 3 0 3 0 5 5 0 3
13 Sheffield United 3 0 1 2 3 5 -2 1
14 Bournemouth 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
15 Luton 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
16 Crystal Palace 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
17 Everton 2 0 0 2 0 2 -2 0
18 Wolves 1 0 0 1 1 4 -3 0
19 Fulham 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
20 Burnley 3 0 0 3 3 11 -8 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 3 2 1 0 9 4 +5 7
2 West Ham 3 2 1 0 6 3 +3 7
3 Man City 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
4 Liverpool 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
5 Crystal Palace 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
6 Fulham 3 1 1 1 4 7 -3 4
7 Brighton 1 1 0 0 4 1 +3 3
8 Brentford 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
9 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
10 Wolves 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
11 Nott'm Forest 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
12 Aston Villa 2 1 0 1 4 6 -2 3
13 Bournemouth 2 0 1 1 3 5 -2 1
14 Everton 2 0 1 1 2 6 -4 1
15 Burnley 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
17 Chelsea 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
18 Man United 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
19 Newcastle 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
20 Luton 2 0 0 2 1 7 -6 0

Liverpool   Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Brighton 4 0 4 3.0 1.5 3 0 1 12 6 9
2 1 Man City 4 1 3 2.8 0.5 4 0 0 11 2 12
3 3 West Ham 4 1 3 2.2 1.0 3 1 0 9 4 10
4 7 Brentford 4 1 3 2.0 1.2 1 3 0 8 5 6
5 8 Aston Villa 3 0 3 2.7 2.0 2 0 1 8 6 6
6 9 Nott'm Forest 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 2 0 2 6 6 6
7 13 Fulham 4 1 3 1.0 2.5 1 1 2 4 10 4
8 14 Newcastle 4 1 3 1.8 1.8 1 0 3 7 7 3
9 17 Sheffield United 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 0 1 3 4 7 1
10 19 Luton 3 0 3 0.7 3.0 0 0 3 2 9 0
11 20 Burnley 3 0 3 1.0 3.7 0 0 3 3 11 0
12 2 Tottenham 4 2 2 2.8 1.0 3 1 0 11 4 10
13 5 Liverpool 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 2 1 0 6 3 7
14 6 Arsenal 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 2 1 0 5 3 7
15 11 Chelsea 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 1 2 5 5 4
16 16 Bournemouth 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 0 2 2 4 8 2
17 18 Everton 4 2 2 0.5 2.0 0 1 3 2 8 1
18 10 Man United 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 2 0 1 4 4 6
19 15 Wolves 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 1 0 2 2 5 3
20 12 Crystal Palace 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Brighton 3 0 3 2.7 1.7 2 0 1 8 5 6
2 20 Burnley 3 0 3 1.0 3.7 0 0 3 3 11 0
3 6 Arsenal 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
4 7 Brentford 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 0 3 0 5 5 3
5 14 Newcastle 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 1 0 1 6 3 3
6 17 Sheffield United 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 0 1 2 3 5 1
7 1 Man City 2 1 1 3.0 0.5 2 0 0 6 1 6
8 3 West Ham 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
9 5 Liverpool 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
10 8 Aston Villa 1 0 1 4.0 0.0 1 0 0 4 0 3
11 9 Nott'm Forest 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
12 10 Man United 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 2 0 0 4 2 6
13 11 Chelsea 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 1 1 1 4 2 4
14 13 Fulham 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
15 15 Wolves 1 0 1 1.0 4.0 0 0 1 1 4 0
16 19 Luton 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
17 2 Tottenham 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
18 12 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
19 16 Bournemouth 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
20 18 Everton 2 2 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 2 0 2 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 2 0 2 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
2 2 Tottenham 3 1 2 3.0 1.3 2 1 0 9 4 7
3 3 West Ham 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 2 1 0 6 3 7
4 8 Aston Villa 2 0 2 2.0 3.0 1 0 1 4 6 3
5 9 Nott'm Forest 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
6 13 Fulham 3 1 2 1.3 2.3 1 1 1 4 7 4
7 16 Bournemouth 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 1 1 3 5 1
8 18 Everton 2 0 2 1.0 3.0 0 1 1 2 6 1
9 19 Luton 2 0 2 0.5 3.5 0 0 2 1 7 0
10 4 Brighton 1 0 1 4.0 1.0 1 0 0 4 1 3
11 5 Liverpool 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
12 7 Brentford 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
13 11 Chelsea 1 0 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 1 1 3 0
14 14 Newcastle 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
15 17 Sheffield United 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
16 6 Arsenal 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
17 10 Man United 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
18 12 Crystal Palace 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
19 15 Wolves 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
20 20 Burnley 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51