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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Hooper

Leeds 2–2 Newcastle

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 4.33 fair 4.04
Draw ✓ 4.20 fair 4.39
Away 1.70 fair 1.90
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.43
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.70

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Newcastle
9 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 5
2 Corners 6
16 Fouls 14
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (347 league matches this season so far).
Result Newcastle to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.70
Expected goals 1.20 – 1.85
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawNewcastle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.5% 1–2 9.7% 0–1 8.8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
0.86points / match
1.26scored / match
1.97conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 44:69
Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.91points / match
1.79scored / match
0.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 61:29
Leeds all matches all matches Newcastle

Per match

1.26 Goals scored 1.79
1.97 Goals conceded 0.85
3.23 Total goals 2.65
12.14 Shots 14.56
3.89 Shots on target 5.15
13.69 Shots faced 10.21
5.20 Corners 7.15
4.69 Corners against 4.38
12.06 Fouls 10.44
2.14 Yellow cards 1.50
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.82
0.77 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

20% Wins 53%
26% Draws 32%
54% Losses 15%
91% Over 0.5 goals 82%
74% Over 1.5 goals 74%
63% Over 2.5 goals 47%
40% Over 3.5 goals 26%
26% Over 4.5 goals 21%
17% Over 5.5 goals 12%
66% Both teams scored 50%
14% Clean sheets 38%
29% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 38%
49% Draws 41%
34% Losses 21%
71% Over 0.5 goals 68%
46% Over 1.5 goals 32%
14% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Newcastle all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
1.24points / match
1.35scored / match
1.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 23:31
Newcastle before this match, away
1.76points / match
1.71scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 29:16
Leeds at home away Newcastle

Per match

1.35 Goals scored 1.71
1.82 Goals conceded 0.94
3.18 Total goals 2.65
13.35 Shots 11.59
4.35 Shots on target 4.59
13.00 Shots faced 11.94
5.71 Corners 6.24
4.12 Corners against 5.53
12.41 Fouls 10.18
1.88 Yellow cards 1.53
0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.88
0.76 1st-half goals conceded 0.41

How often Full Time

29% Wins 47%
35% Draws 35%
35% Losses 18%
88% Over 0.5 goals 76%
76% Over 1.5 goals 76%
59% Over 2.5 goals 59%
41% Over 3.5 goals 24%
24% Over 4.5 goals 24%
18% Over 5.5 goals 6%
65% Both teams scored 59%
24% Clean sheets 29%
24% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 41%
53% Draws 35%
29% Losses 24%
76% Over 0.5 goals 76%
53% Over 1.5 goals 35%
12% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Newcastle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.05.23 Man City – Leeds 2–1 (2–0) 1.178.5015.00 1.30 3.50
30.04.23 Bournemouth – Leeds 4–1 (2–1) 2.553.502.70 1.80 2.00
25.04.23 Leeds – Leicester 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.10
22.04.23 Fulham – Leeds 2–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.92 1.98
17.04.23 Leeds – Liverpool 1–6 (0–2) 4.204.201.73 1.57 2.38
09.04.23 Leeds – Crystal Palace 1–5 (1–1) 2.103.403.60 2.10 1.73
04.04.23 Leeds – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–1) 1.703.755.00 1.98 1.92
01.04.23 Arsenal – Leeds 4–1 (1–0) 1.296.009.00 1.53 2.50
18.03.23 Wolves – Leeds 2–4 (0–1) 2.253.203.30 2.20 1.67
11.03.23 Leeds – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 3.753.601.95 1.89 2.04

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.05.23 Newcastle – Arsenal 0–2 (0–1) 2.453.752.63 1.62 2.30
30.04.23 Newcastle – Southampton 3–1 (0–1) 1.305.2510.00 1.73 2.10
27.04.23 Everton – Newcastle 1–4 (0–1) 4.753.601.73 2.00 1.80
23.04.23 Newcastle – Tottenham 6–1 (5–0) 1.833.754.20 1.86 2.04
15.04.23 Aston Villa – Newcastle 3–0 (1–0) 3.603.402.05 2.07 1.83
08.04.23 Brentford – Newcastle 1–2 (1–0) 3.603.402.05 2.03 1.87
05.04.23 West Ham – Newcastle 1–5 (1–2) 3.603.252.15 2.10 1.73
02.04.23 Newcastle – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.90 1.95 1.95
17.03.23 Nott'm Forest – Newcastle 1–2 (1–1) 5.503.801.62 2.07 1.83
12.03.23 Newcastle – Wolves 2–1 (1–0) 1.653.755.50 2.20 1.67

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.04.23 Leeds – Leicester 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.10
17.04.23 Leeds – Liverpool 1–6 (0–2) 4.204.201.73 1.57 2.38
09.04.23 Leeds – Crystal Palace 1–5 (1–1) 2.103.403.60 2.10 1.73
04.04.23 Leeds – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–1) 1.703.755.00 1.98 1.92
11.03.23 Leeds – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 3.753.601.95 1.89 2.04
25.02.23 Leeds – Southampton 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 2.05 1.85
12.02.23 Leeds – Man United 0–2 (0–0) 3.753.801.91 1.67 2.20
22.01.23 Leeds – Brentford 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.602.88 1.67 2.20
04.01.23 Leeds – West Ham 2–2 (1–1) 2.603.502.60 1.80 2.00
28.12.22 Leeds – Man City 1–3 (0–1) 9.506.001.29 1.44 2.75

Newcastle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.23 Everton – Newcastle 1–4 (0–1) 4.753.601.73 2.00 1.80
15.04.23 Aston Villa – Newcastle 3–0 (1–0) 3.603.402.05 2.07 1.83
08.04.23 Brentford – Newcastle 1–2 (1–0) 3.603.402.05 2.03 1.87
05.04.23 West Ham – Newcastle 1–5 (1–2) 3.603.252.15 2.10 1.73
17.03.23 Nott'm Forest – Newcastle 1–2 (1–1) 5.503.801.62 2.07 1.83
04.03.23 Man City – Newcastle 2–0 (1–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
11.02.23 Bournemouth – Newcastle 1–1 (1–1) 6.504.001.53 2.04 1.86
21.01.23 Crystal Palace – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 4.403.501.85 2.10 1.73
03.01.23 Arsenal – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.33 1.80 2.00
26.12.22 Leicester – Newcastle 0–3 (0–3) 3.253.502.20 1.86 2.04

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leeds winsDrawsNewcastle wins
3matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.12.22E0 Newcastle – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.62 2.30
22.01.22E0 Leeds – Newcastle 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.66 2.20
17.09.21E0 Newcastle – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.602.30 1.61 2.30

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 34 26 4 4 89 31 +58 82
2 Arsenal 35 25 6 4 83 39 +44 81
3 Newcastle 34 18 11 5 61 29 +32 65
4 Man United 34 19 6 9 49 41 +8 63
5 Liverpool 35 18 8 9 67 42 +25 62
6 Tottenham 35 17 6 12 64 57 +7 57
7 Brighton 33 16 7 10 63 45 +18 55
8 Aston Villa 35 16 6 13 46 43 +3 54
9 Brentford 35 12 14 9 52 45 +7 50
10 Fulham 35 14 6 15 50 49 +1 48
11 Chelsea 34 11 9 14 34 39 -5 42
12 Crystal Palace 35 10 10 15 35 46 -11 40
13 Wolves 35 11 7 17 30 50 -20 40
14 Bournemouth 35 11 6 18 37 67 -30 39
15 West Ham 35 10 7 18 38 50 -12 37
16 Nott'm Forest 35 8 9 18 34 65 -31 33
17 Everton 35 7 11 17 32 53 -21 32
18 Leicester 35 8 6 21 49 64 -15 30
19 Leeds 35 7 9 19 44 69 -25 30
20 Southampton 35 6 6 23 31 64 -33 24
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 18 16 1 1 59 17 +42 49
2 Liverpool 18 13 4 1 45 16 +29 43
3 Arsenal 17 13 3 1 48 22 +26 42
4 Man United 16 12 3 1 28 8 +20 39
5 Tottenham 18 12 1 5 36 22 +14 37
6 Newcastle 17 10 5 2 32 13 +19 35
7 Aston Villa 17 10 2 5 29 19 +10 32
8 Brentford 17 8 7 2 32 18 +14 31
9 Brighton 17 9 3 5 33 19 +14 30
10 Wolves 18 9 2 7 18 19 -1 29
11 Fulham 18 8 4 6 29 27 +2 28
12 Nott'm Forest 18 7 6 5 26 24 +2 27
13 West Ham 18 7 4 7 23 23 0 25
14 Crystal Palace 17 6 6 5 18 22 -4 24
15 Chelsea 17 6 5 6 17 16 +1 23
16 Bournemouth 18 6 4 8 20 27 -7 22
17 Leeds 17 5 6 6 23 31 -8 21
18 Everton 17 5 3 9 15 24 -9 18
19 Leicester 17 4 4 9 21 23 -2 16
20 Southampton 17 2 4 11 15 31 -16 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 18 12 3 3 35 17 +18 39
2 Man City 16 10 3 3 30 14 +16 33
3 Newcastle 17 8 6 3 29 16 +13 30
4 Brighton 16 7 4 5 30 26 +4 25
5 Man United 18 7 3 8 21 33 -12 24
6 Aston Villa 18 6 4 8 17 24 -7 22
7 Fulham 17 6 2 9 21 22 -1 20
8 Tottenham 17 5 5 7 28 35 -7 20
9 Liverpool 17 5 4 8 22 26 -4 19
10 Chelsea 17 5 4 8 17 23 -6 19
11 Brentford 18 4 7 7 20 27 -7 19
12 Bournemouth 17 5 2 10 17 40 -23 17
13 Crystal Palace 18 4 4 10 17 24 -7 16
14 Everton 18 2 8 8 17 29 -12 14
15 Leicester 18 4 2 12 28 41 -13 14
16 Southampton 18 4 2 12 16 33 -17 14
17 West Ham 17 3 3 11 15 27 -12 12
18 Wolves 17 2 5 10 12 31 -19 11
19 Leeds 18 2 3 13 21 38 -17 9
20 Nott'm Forest 17 1 3 13 8 41 -33 6

Leeds   Newcastle

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 34 10 24 2.6 0.9 26 4 4 89 31 82
2 2 Arsenal 35 11 24 2.4 1.1 25 6 4 83 39 81
3 10 Fulham 35 12 23 1.4 1.4 14 6 15 50 49 48
4 18 Leicester 35 13 22 1.4 1.8 8 6 21 49 64 30
5 19 Leeds 35 13 22 1.3 2.0 7 9 19 44 69 30
6 5 Liverpool 35 14 21 1.9 1.2 18 8 9 67 42 62
7 7 Brighton 33 12 21 1.9 1.4 16 7 10 63 45 55
8 6 Tottenham 35 15 20 1.8 1.6 17 6 12 64 57 57
9 14 Bournemouth 35 17 18 1.1 1.9 11 6 18 37 67 39
10 20 Southampton 35 17 18 0.9 1.8 6 6 23 31 64 24
11 4 Man United 34 17 17 1.4 1.2 19 6 9 49 41 63
12 3 Newcastle 34 18 16 1.8 0.9 18 11 5 61 29 65
13 8 Aston Villa 35 19 16 1.3 1.2 16 6 13 46 43 54
14 9 Brentford 35 19 16 1.5 1.3 12 14 9 52 45 50
15 16 Nott'm Forest 35 19 16 1.0 1.9 8 9 18 34 65 33
16 17 Everton 35 20 15 0.9 1.5 7 11 17 32 53 32
17 11 Chelsea 34 20 14 1.0 1.1 11 9 14 34 39 42
18 12 Crystal Palace 35 21 14 1.0 1.3 10 10 15 35 46 40
19 13 Wolves 35 21 14 0.9 1.4 11 7 17 30 50 40
20 15 West Ham 35 22 13 1.1 1.4 10 7 18 38 50 37
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 18 2 16 3.3 0.9 16 1 1 59 17 49
2 2 Arsenal 17 2 15 2.8 1.3 13 3 1 48 22 42
3 10 Fulham 18 5 13 1.6 1.5 8 4 6 29 27 28
4 5 Liverpool 18 8 10 2.5 0.9 13 4 1 45 16 43
5 6 Tottenham 18 8 10 2.0 1.2 12 1 5 36 22 37
6 18 Leicester 17 7 10 1.2 1.4 4 4 9 21 23 16
7 19 Leeds 17 7 10 1.4 1.8 5 6 6 23 31 21
8 4 Man United 16 7 9 1.8 0.5 12 3 1 28 8 39
9 7 Brighton 17 8 9 1.9 1.1 9 3 5 33 19 30
10 8 Aston Villa 17 8 9 1.7 1.1 10 2 5 29 19 32
11 9 Brentford 17 8 9 1.9 1.1 8 7 2 32 18 31
12 14 Bournemouth 18 9 9 1.1 1.5 6 4 8 20 27 22
13 12 Crystal Palace 17 9 8 1.1 1.3 6 6 5 18 22 24
14 20 Southampton 17 9 8 0.9 1.8 2 4 11 15 31 10
15 16 Nott'm Forest 18 11 7 1.4 1.3 7 6 5 26 24 27
16 17 Everton 17 10 7 0.9 1.4 5 3 9 15 24 18
17 3 Newcastle 17 11 6 1.9 0.8 10 5 2 32 13 35
18 11 Chelsea 17 11 6 1.0 0.9 6 5 6 17 16 23
19 15 West Ham 18 12 6 1.3 1.3 7 4 7 23 23 25
20 13 Wolves 18 13 5 1.0 1.1 9 2 7 18 19 29
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Brighton 16 4 12 1.9 1.6 7 4 5 30 26 25
2 18 Leicester 18 6 12 1.6 2.3 4 2 12 28 41 14
3 19 Leeds 18 6 12 1.2 2.1 2 3 13 21 38 9
4 5 Liverpool 17 6 11 1.3 1.5 5 4 8 22 26 19
5 3 Newcastle 17 7 10 1.7 0.9 8 6 3 29 16 30
6 6 Tottenham 17 7 10 1.6 2.1 5 5 7 28 35 20
7 10 Fulham 17 7 10 1.2 1.3 6 2 9 21 22 20
8 20 Southampton 18 8 10 0.9 1.8 4 2 12 16 33 14
9 2 Arsenal 18 9 9 1.9 0.9 12 3 3 35 17 39
10 13 Wolves 17 8 9 0.7 1.8 2 5 10 12 31 11
11 14 Bournemouth 17 8 9 1.0 2.4 5 2 10 17 40 17
12 16 Nott'm Forest 17 8 9 0.5 2.4 1 3 13 8 41 6
13 1 Man City 16 8 8 1.9 0.9 10 3 3 30 14 33
14 4 Man United 18 10 8 1.2 1.8 7 3 8 21 33 24
15 11 Chelsea 17 9 8 1.0 1.4 5 4 8 17 23 19
16 17 Everton 18 10 8 0.9 1.6 2 8 8 17 29 14
17 8 Aston Villa 18 11 7 0.9 1.3 6 4 8 17 24 22
18 9 Brentford 18 11 7 1.1 1.5 4 7 7 20 27 19
19 15 West Ham 17 10 7 0.9 1.6 3 3 11 15 27 12
20 12 Crystal Palace 18 12 6 0.9 1.3 4 4 10 17 24 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44