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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Oliver

Man City 4–1 Arsenal

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.55 fair 1.98
Draw 4.50 fair 4.67
Away 5.25 fair 3.55
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 3.15
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.46

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man City Arsenal
14 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 2
1 Corners 3
13 Fouls 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (320 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.49
Expected goals 2.03 – 1.48
Home / Draw / Away
Man CityDrawArsenal
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.1% 1–1 8.9% 2–2 6.8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Man City before this match, all matches
2.33points / match
2.60scored / match
0.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 78:28
Arsenal before this match, all matches
2.34points / match
2.41scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 77:34
Man City all matches all matches Arsenal

Per match

2.60 Goals scored 2.41
0.93 Goals conceded 1.06
3.53 Total goals 3.47
16.30 Shots 16.25
5.83 Shots on target 5.41
7.33 Shots faced 8.88
6.73 Corners 5.94
2.33 Corners against 3.75
9.27 Fouls 9.53
1.20 Yellow cards 1.44
1.23 1st-half goals scored 1.06
0.37 1st-half goals conceded 0.41

How often Full Time

73% Wins 72%
13% Draws 19%
13% Losses 9%
100% Over 0.5 goals 97%
83% Over 1.5 goals 84%
67% Over 2.5 goals 69%
50% Over 3.5 goals 53%
27% Over 4.5 goals 31%
17% Over 5.5 goals 13%
60% Both teams scored 59%
33% Clean sheets 38%
7% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 53%
33% Draws 31%
13% Losses 16%
80% Over 0.5 goals 78%
53% Over 1.5 goals 50%
23% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City all matches
Arsenal all matches
Man City before this match, at home
2.67points / match
3.33scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 50:15
Arsenal before this match, away
2.25points / match
2.00scored / match
0.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 32:13
Man City at home away Arsenal

Per match

3.33 Goals scored 2.00
1.00 Goals conceded 0.81
4.33 Total goals 2.81
16.93 Shots 13.13
6.27 Shots on target 4.38
6.53 Shots faced 10.50
7.73 Corners 4.81
2.13 Corners against 4.50
9.07 Fouls 9.56
1.07 Yellow cards 1.88
1.73 1st-half goals scored 1.19
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.31

How often Full Time

87% Wins 69%
7% Draws 19%
7% Losses 13%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 75%
87% Over 2.5 goals 50%
67% Over 3.5 goals 31%
33% Over 4.5 goals 13%
27% Over 5.5 goals 13%
67% Both teams scored 38%
33% Clean sheets 56%
0% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 63%
20% Draws 25%
13% Losses 13%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
80% Over 1.5 goals 50%
33% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City at home
Arsenal away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.23 Man City – Leicester 3–1 (3–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.33 3.40
08.04.23 Southampton – Man City 1–4 (0–1) 11.006.001.25 1.62 2.30
01.04.23 Man City – Liverpool 4–1 (1–1) 1.624.205.00 1.67 2.20
11.03.23 Crystal Palace – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 9.004.751.36 1.80 2.00
04.03.23 Man City – Newcastle 2–0 (1–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
25.02.23 Bournemouth – Man City 1–4 (0–3) 10.005.751.29 1.57 2.38
18.02.23 Nott'm Forest – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 8.505.501.30 1.62 2.30
15.02.23 Arsenal – Man City 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.502.35 1.88 2.02
12.02.23 Man City – Aston Villa 3–1 (3–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.50 2.63
05.02.23 Tottenham – Man City 1–0 (1–0) 4.334.201.73 1.67 2.20

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.04.23 Arsenal – Southampton 3–3 (1–2) 1.207.0013.00 1.50 2.63
16.04.23 West Ham – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 6.004.201.55 1.80 2.00
09.04.23 Liverpool – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 2.883.602.38 1.62 2.30
01.04.23 Arsenal – Leeds 4–1 (1–0) 1.296.009.00 1.53 2.50
19.03.23 Arsenal – Crystal Palace 4–1 (2–0) 1.255.5015.00 1.73 2.10
12.03.23 Fulham – Arsenal 0–3 (0–3) 6.004.001.57 1.85 2.08
04.03.23 Arsenal – Bournemouth 3–2 (0–1) 1.227.0012.00 1.57 2.38
01.03.23 Arsenal – Everton 4–0 (2–0) 1.364.7510.00 1.85 2.05
25.02.23 Leicester – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
18.02.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–4 (2–1) 4.503.601.50 2.02 1.88

Man City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.23 Man City – Leicester 3–1 (3–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.33 3.40
01.04.23 Man City – Liverpool 4–1 (1–1) 1.624.205.00 1.67 2.20
04.03.23 Man City – Newcastle 2–0 (1–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
12.02.23 Man City – Aston Villa 3–1 (3–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.50 2.63
22.01.23 Man City – Wolves 3–0 (1–0) 1.208.0011.00 1.50 2.63
19.01.23 Man City – Tottenham 4–2 (0–2) 1.365.008.50 1.53 2.50
31.12.22 Man City – Everton 1–1 (1–0) 1.139.0019.00 1.36 3.20
12.11.22 Man City – Brentford 1–2 (1–1) 1.148.0017.00 1.36 3.20
05.11.22 Man City – Fulham 2–1 (1–1) 1.119.5019.00 1.28 3.75
22.10.22 Man City – Brighton 3–1 (2–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.44 2.75

Arsenal away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.04.23 West Ham – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 6.004.201.55 1.80 2.00
09.04.23 Liverpool – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 2.883.602.38 1.62 2.30
12.03.23 Fulham – Arsenal 0–3 (0–3) 6.004.001.57 1.85 2.08
25.02.23 Leicester – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
18.02.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–4 (2–1) 4.503.601.50 2.02 1.88
04.02.23 Everton – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 8.504.501.40 1.87 2.03
15.01.23 Tottenham – Arsenal 0–2 (0–2) 3.103.602.20 1.80 2.00
31.12.22 Brighton – Arsenal 2–4 (0–2) 3.403.502.10 1.89 2.04
12.11.22 Wolves – Arsenal 0–2 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.80 2.00
06.11.22 Chelsea – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.402.70 1.93 1.97

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man City winsDrawsArsenal wins
3matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.23E0 Arsenal – Man City 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.502.35 1.88 2.02
01.01.22E0 Arsenal – Man City 1–2 (1–0) 5.754.751.50 1.57 2.37
28.08.21E0 Man City – Arsenal 5–0 (3–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.57 2.37

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 32 23 6 3 77 34 +43 75 WWWDDD
2 Man City 30 22 4 4 78 28 +50 70 WWWWWW
3 Newcastle 31 16 11 4 54 25 +29 59 WWWWLW
4 Man United 30 18 5 7 46 37 +9 59 LDLWWW
5 Aston Villa 33 16 6 11 46 41 +5 54 WWWWDW
6 Liverpool 32 15 8 9 61 39 +22 53 LDDWWW
7 Tottenham 32 16 5 11 58 51 +7 53 WDDWLL
8 Brighton 30 14 7 9 55 40 +15 49 WDWLWL
9 Brentford 33 11 14 8 50 43 +7 47 DLLLDW
10 Fulham 32 13 6 13 44 43 +1 45 LLLWWL
11 Chelsea 32 10 9 13 30 35 -5 39 DLDLLL
12 Crystal Palace 33 9 10 14 31 42 -11 37 LWWWDL
13 Wolves 33 10 7 16 29 44 -15 37 LDWWLW
14 West Ham 32 9 7 16 34 43 -9 34 WLWDWL
15 Bournemouth 32 9 6 17 31 63 -32 33 LWLWWL
16 Leeds 33 7 9 17 42 63 -21 30 LWLLLD
17 Nott'm Forest 33 7 9 17 29 60 -31 30 DLLLLW
18 Leicester 33 8 5 20 44 57 -13 29 LLLLWD
19 Everton 32 6 10 16 24 46 -22 28 WDDLLD
20 Southampton 32 6 6 20 27 56 -29 24 LDLLLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Man City 15 13 1 1 50 15 +35 40 WWWWWW
2 Arsenal 16 12 3 1 45 21 +24 39 LWWWWD
3 Man United 15 11 3 1 27 8 +19 36 WDWDWW
4 Liverpool 15 10 4 1 39 13 +26 34 DWWWDW
5 Tottenham 16 11 0 5 33 20 +13 33 WWWWWL
6 Newcastle 15 9 5 1 29 10 +19 32 WDLWWW
7 Aston Villa 17 10 2 5 29 19 +10 32 LWWWWW
8 Brentford 16 7 7 2 30 17 +13 28 WDWDLD
9 Wolves 17 8 2 7 17 19 -2 26 LWLWWW
10 Fulham 16 7 4 5 23 22 +1 25 LWDLLW
11 Brighton 14 7 3 4 25 14 +11 24 WWLWWD
12 Nott'm Forest 17 6 6 5 22 21 +1 24 DDLDLW
13 Chelsea 17 6 5 6 17 16 +1 23 WDLDLL
14 West Ham 17 6 4 7 22 23 -1 22 WDWLDL
15 Crystal Palace 16 5 6 5 14 19 -5 21 DDDLWD
16 Leeds 17 5 6 6 23 31 -8 21 WDWLLD
17 Bournemouth 16 5 4 7 15 23 -8 19 DLWWLL
18 Everton 16 5 3 8 14 20 -6 18 WWLWDL
19 Leicester 16 4 3 9 19 21 -2 15 WLLLLW
20 Southampton 16 2 4 10 15 30 -15 10 LWLDLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 16 11 3 2 32 13 +19 36 LWWWDD
2 Man City 15 9 3 3 28 13 +15 30 LWDWWW
3 Newcastle 16 7 6 3 25 15 +10 27 DLWWWL
4 Brighton 16 7 4 5 30 26 +4 25 DDWLWL
5 Man United 15 7 2 6 19 29 -10 23 DLWLLW
6 Aston Villa 16 6 4 6 17 22 -5 22 LWDWWD
7 Fulham 16 6 2 8 21 21 0 20 DWLLWL
8 Tottenham 16 5 5 6 25 31 -6 20 WLLDDL
9 Liverpool 17 5 4 8 22 26 -4 19 DLLDWW
10 Brentford 17 4 7 6 20 26 -6 19 LWDLLW
11 Crystal Palace 17 4 4 9 17 23 -6 16 LLLWWL
12 Chelsea 15 4 4 7 13 19 -6 16 LDDLWL
13 Leicester 17 4 2 11 25 36 -11 14 LLDLLD
14 Southampton 16 4 2 10 12 26 -14 14 LWLDLD
15 Bournemouth 16 4 2 10 16 40 -24 14 LWLLWW
16 West Ham 15 3 3 9 12 20 -8 12 LDLLWW
17 Wolves 16 2 5 9 12 25 -13 11 WDLLDL
18 Everton 16 1 7 8 10 26 -16 10 LLDDLD
19 Leeds 16 2 3 11 19 32 -13 9 DLLWLL
20 Nott'm Forest 16 1 3 12 7 39 -32 6 LLLLLL

Man City   Arsenal

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Arsenal 32 10 22 2.4 1.1 23 6 3 77 34 75 OOOOOO
2 10 Fulham 32 11 21 1.4 1.3 13 6 13 44 43 45 OOUOOU
3 2 Man City 30 10 20 2.6 0.9 22 4 4 78 28 70 OUUOOO
4 6 Liverpool 32 12 20 1.9 1.2 15 8 9 61 39 53 OUOOOO
5 16 Leeds 33 13 20 1.3 1.9 7 9 17 42 63 30 OOOOOU
6 18 Leicester 33 13 20 1.3 1.7 8 5 20 44 57 29 OOUOOU
7 8 Brighton 30 11 19 1.8 1.3 14 7 9 55 40 49 UOUOOO
8 7 Tottenham 32 14 18 1.8 1.6 16 5 11 58 51 53 OOUOOO
9 4 Man United 30 14 16 1.5 1.2 18 5 7 46 37 59 OUUUUU
10 5 Aston Villa 33 17 16 1.4 1.2 16 6 11 46 41 54 UOUOUU
11 15 Bournemouth 32 16 16 1.0 2.0 9 6 17 31 63 33 OOUUOO
12 20 Southampton 32 16 16 0.8 1.8 6 6 20 27 56 24 UOUOUO
13 9 Brentford 33 18 15 1.5 1.3 11 14 8 50 43 47 OUOUUU
14 3 Newcastle 31 17 14 1.7 0.8 16 11 4 54 25 59 OUOOOO
15 17 Nott'm Forest 33 19 14 0.9 1.8 7 9 17 29 60 30 UOUUOO
16 12 Crystal Palace 33 20 13 0.9 1.3 9 10 14 31 42 37 OOOUUU
17 13 Wolves 33 20 13 0.9 1.3 10 7 16 29 44 37 OUUUOU
18 11 Chelsea 32 20 12 0.9 1.1 10 9 13 30 35 39 OUUUOU
19 19 Everton 32 20 12 0.8 1.4 6 10 16 24 46 28 UOUUOU
20 14 West Ham 32 21 11 1.1 1.3 9 7 16 34 43 34 UOUOOO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Arsenal 16 2 14 2.8 1.3 12 3 1 45 21 39 OOOOOO
2 2 Man City 15 2 13 3.3 1.0 13 1 1 50 15 40 OOOUOO
3 10 Fulham 16 5 11 1.4 1.4 7 4 5 23 22 25 UUUOUO
4 16 Leeds 17 7 10 1.4 1.8 5 6 6 23 31 21 UOOOOU
5 4 Man United 15 6 9 1.8 0.5 11 3 1 27 8 36 OOOUUU
6 5 Aston Villa 17 8 9 1.7 1.1 10 2 5 29 19 32 OUOUOU
7 6 Liverpool 15 6 9 2.6 0.9 10 4 1 39 13 34 UUUOOO
8 7 Tottenham 16 7 9 2.1 1.2 11 0 5 33 20 33 UUUOOO
9 18 Leicester 16 7 9 1.2 1.3 4 3 9 19 21 15 OUOOUO
10 9 Brentford 16 8 8 1.9 1.1 7 7 2 30 17 28 OUOUOU
11 20 Southampton 16 8 8 0.9 1.9 2 4 10 15 30 10 OUUOOU
12 8 Brighton 14 7 7 1.8 1.0 7 3 4 25 14 24 OUUOUO
13 12 Crystal Palace 16 9 7 0.9 1.2 5 6 5 14 19 21 UUUUOU
14 15 Bournemouth 16 9 7 0.9 1.4 5 4 7 15 23 19 UOUOUO
15 11 Chelsea 17 11 6 1.0 0.9 6 5 6 17 16 23 UOUUOU
16 14 West Ham 17 11 6 1.3 1.4 6 4 7 22 23 22 OUUOOO
17 17 Nott'm Forest 17 11 6 1.3 1.2 6 6 5 22 21 24 UOOUUO
18 19 Everton 16 10 6 0.9 1.2 5 3 8 14 20 18 UUUUUO
19 3 Newcastle 15 10 5 1.9 0.7 9 5 1 29 10 32 UUUOUO
20 13 Wolves 17 12 5 1.0 1.1 8 2 7 17 19 26 UUOUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 8 Brighton 16 4 12 1.9 1.6 7 4 5 30 26 25 UOUOOO
2 6 Liverpool 17 6 11 1.3 1.5 5 4 8 22 26 19 UUOUOO
3 18 Leicester 17 6 11 1.5 2.1 4 2 11 25 36 14 OUUOOU
4 10 Fulham 16 6 10 1.3 1.3 6 2 8 21 21 20 UUOOOU
5 16 Leeds 16 6 10 1.2 2.0 2 3 11 19 32 9 OUUOOO
6 3 Newcastle 16 7 9 1.6 0.9 7 6 3 25 15 27 UUOOOO
7 7 Tottenham 16 7 9 1.6 1.9 5 5 6 25 31 20 UOUOUO
8 15 Bournemouth 16 7 9 1.0 2.5 4 2 10 16 40 14 UUOOUO
9 1 Arsenal 16 8 8 2.0 0.8 11 3 2 32 13 36 UOUOOO
10 13 Wolves 16 8 8 0.8 1.6 2 5 9 12 25 11 OUUOUO
11 17 Nott'm Forest 16 8 8 0.4 2.4 1 3 12 7 39 6 UOOOUO
12 20 Southampton 16 8 8 0.8 1.6 4 2 10 12 26 14 OUUUUO
13 2 Man City 15 8 7 1.9 0.9 9 3 3 28 13 30 UOUOUO
14 4 Man United 15 8 7 1.3 1.9 7 2 6 19 29 23 UOUOUU
15 5 Aston Villa 16 9 7 1.1 1.4 6 4 6 17 22 22 OUUUOU
16 9 Brentford 17 10 7 1.2 1.5 4 7 6 20 26 19 UUOUUU
17 11 Chelsea 15 9 6 0.9 1.3 4 4 7 13 19 16 OUUUOU
18 12 Crystal Palace 17 11 6 1.0 1.4 4 4 9 17 23 16 UUOOUU
19 19 Everton 16 10 6 0.6 1.6 1 7 8 10 26 10 UOOOUU
20 14 West Ham 15 10 5 0.8 1.3 3 3 9 12 20 12 UUUOUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10