Nott'm Forest 3–1 Brighton – England Premier League, 26 Apr 2023

Match facts

Nott'm Forest Brighton

12 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 7

2 Corners 7

7 Fouls 8

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (317 league matches this season so far).

Result Brighton to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.69

Expected goals 1.27 – 1.73

Home / Draw / Away

28% 24% 48%

Nott'm ForestDrawBrighton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

42% 58%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

41% 59%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

15% 1

22% 2

22% 3

17% 4

19% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.9% 1–2 9.5% 0–1 8.6%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Nott'm Forest before this match, all matches

0.84points / match

0.81scored / match

1.84conceded / match

6 9 17

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 26:59

Brighton before this match, all matches

1.69points / match

1.86scored / match

1.28conceded / match

14 7 8

WonDrawnLost 29 played · 54:37

Nott'm Forest all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

0.81 Goals scored 1.86

1.84 Goals conceded 1.28

2.66 Total goals 3.14

9.94 Shots 15.66

3.06 Shots on target 6.14

14.69 Shots faced 9.45

3.50 Corners 6.41

6.31 Corners against 3.55

11.56 Fouls 10.69

2.28 Yellow cards 1.34

0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.86

0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

19% Wins 48%

28% Draws 24%

53% Losses 28%

97% Over 0.5 goals 93%

78% Over 1.5 goals 76%

41% Over 2.5 goals 62%

31% Over 3.5 goals 41%

16% Over 4.5 goals 24%

3% Over 5.5 goals 14%

44% Both teams scored 59%

22% Clean sheets 31%

38% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 31%

41% Draws 55%

41% Losses 14%

69% Over 0.5 goals 72%

31% Over 1.5 goals 48%

13% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nott'm Forest all matches

1

D

4

L

2

D

1

3

L

1

2

L

1

D

1

2

L

2

L

2

L

2

3

L

Brighton all matches

1

W

1

D

1

L

4

W

2

D

1

W

3

D

2

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

Nott'm Forest before this match, at home

1.31points / match

1.19scored / match

1.25conceded / match

5 6 5

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 19:20

Brighton before this match, away

1.67points / match

1.93scored / match

1.53conceded / match

7 4 4

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 29:23

Nott'm Forest at home away Brighton

Per match

1.19 Goals scored 1.93

1.25 Goals conceded 1.53

2.44 Total goals 3.47

10.44 Shots 14.40

3.69 Shots on target 5.20

12.81 Shots faced 10.80

2.69 Corners 5.13

5.50 Corners against 4.33

12.13 Fouls 10.73

2.69 Yellow cards 1.13

0.63 1st-half goals scored 1.00

0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

31% Wins 47%

38% Draws 27%

31% Losses 27%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

75% Over 1.5 goals 100%

31% Over 2.5 goals 73%

25% Over 3.5 goals 47%

13% Over 4.5 goals 20%

0% Over 5.5 goals 7%

56% Both teams scored 80%

31% Clean sheets 13%

13% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 40%

38% Draws 47%

31% Losses 13%

81% Over 0.5 goals 87%

31% Over 1.5 goals 60%

6% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nott'm Forest at home

2

D

1

W

1

D

2

W

1

W

1

D

2

D

1

2

L

1

D

2

L

Brighton away

1

3

L

3

2

W

3

1

W

4

1

W

2

D

1

D

2

D

2

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Nott'm Forest all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.04.23	Liverpool – Nott'm Forest	3–2 (0–0)	1.17	7.50	17.00	1.44	2.75
16.04.23	Nott'm Forest – Man United	0–2 (0–1)	5.50	4.00	1.62	1.80	2.00
08.04.23	Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest	2–0 (0–0)	1.60	4.20	5.25	1.94	1.96
04.04.23	Leeds – Nott'm Forest	2–1 (2–1)	1.70	3.75	5.00	1.98	1.92
01.04.23	Nott'm Forest – Wolves	1–1 (1–0)	3.00	3.10	2.55	2.38	1.57
17.03.23	Nott'm Forest – Newcastle	1–2 (1–1)	5.50	3.80	1.62	2.07	1.83
11.03.23	Tottenham – Nott'm Forest	3–1 (2–0)	1.44	4.75	7.00	1.88	2.05
05.03.23	Nott'm Forest – Everton	2–2 (1–2)	2.70	3.00	2.88	2.50	1.53
25.02.23	West Ham – Nott'm Forest	4–0 (0–0)	1.75	3.60	5.00	2.20	1.67
18.02.23	Nott'm Forest – Man City	1–1 (0–1)	8.50	5.50	1.30	1.62	2.30

Brighton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.04.23	Chelsea – Brighton	1–2 (1–1)	2.63	3.40	2.63	1.94	1.96
08.04.23	Tottenham – Brighton	2–1 (1–1)	2.55	3.50	2.70	1.85	2.05
04.04.23	Bournemouth – Brighton	0–2 (0–1)	6.00	4.20	1.53	1.80	2.00
01.04.23	Brighton – Brentford	3–3 (2–2)	1.67	4.00	5.00	1.73	2.10
15.03.23	Brighton – Crystal Palace	1–0 (1–0)	1.44	4.20	8.00	1.93	1.97
11.03.23	Leeds – Brighton	2–2 (1–1)	3.75	3.60	1.95	1.89	2.04
04.03.23	Brighton – West Ham	4–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.95	1.95
18.02.23	Brighton – Fulham	0–1 (0–0)	1.65	3.80	5.50	1.73	2.10
11.02.23	Crystal Palace – Brighton	1–1 (0–0)	3.80	3.50	2.00	2.00	1.80
04.02.23	Brighton – Bournemouth	1–0 (0–0)	1.33	5.25	8.50	1.73	2.10

Nott'm Forest at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.04.23	Nott'm Forest – Man United	0–2 (0–1)	5.50	4.00	1.62	1.80	2.00
01.04.23	Nott'm Forest – Wolves	1–1 (1–0)	3.00	3.10	2.55	2.38	1.57
17.03.23	Nott'm Forest – Newcastle	1–2 (1–1)	5.50	3.80	1.62	2.07	1.83
05.03.23	Nott'm Forest – Everton	2–2 (1–2)	2.70	3.00	2.88	2.50	1.53
18.02.23	Nott'm Forest – Man City	1–1 (0–1)	8.50	5.50	1.30	1.62	2.30
05.02.23	Nott'm Forest – Leeds	1–0 (1–0)	2.63	3.30	2.70	1.94	1.96
14.01.23	Nott'm Forest – Leicester	2–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.30	2.63	2.03	1.87
01.01.23	Nott'm Forest – Chelsea	1–1 (0–1)	5.00	3.80	1.70	2.02	1.91
12.11.22	Nott'm Forest – Crystal Palace	1–0 (0–0)	3.10	3.10	2.45	2.20	1.66
05.11.22	Nott'm Forest – Brentford	2–2 (1–1)	2.75	3.30	2.60	2.03	1.87

Brighton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.04.23	Chelsea – Brighton	1–2 (1–1)	2.63	3.40	2.63	1.94	1.96
08.04.23	Tottenham – Brighton	2–1 (1–1)	2.55	3.50	2.70	1.85	2.05
04.04.23	Bournemouth – Brighton	0–2 (0–1)	6.00	4.20	1.53	1.80	2.00
11.03.23	Leeds – Brighton	2–2 (1–1)	3.75	3.60	1.95	1.89	2.04
11.02.23	Crystal Palace – Brighton	1–1 (0–0)	3.80	3.50	2.00	2.00	1.80
21.01.23	Leicester – Brighton	2–2 (1–1)	3.60	3.50	2.05	1.86	2.04
03.01.23	Everton – Brighton	1–4 (0–1)	3.50	3.50	2.10	2.02	1.88
26.12.22	Southampton – Brighton	1–3 (0–2)	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.94	1.96
05.11.22	Wolves – Brighton	2–3 (2–2)	3.30	3.30	2.25	2.10	1.72
22.10.22	Man City – Brighton	3–1 (2–0)	1.20	7.00	13.00	1.44	2.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Nott'm Forest winsDrawsBrighton wins

1matches

0.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.10.22E0	Brighton – Nott'm Forest	0–0 (0–0)	1.40	4.75	7.00	1.72	2.10

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	32	23	6	3	77	34	+43	75
2	Man City	30	22	4	4	78	28	+50	70
3	Newcastle	31	16	11	4	54	25	+29	59
4	Man United	30	18	5	7	46	37	+9	59
5	Aston Villa	33	16	6	11	46	41	+5	54
6	Tottenham	32	16	5	11	58	51	+7	53
7	Liverpool	31	14	8	9	59	38	+21	50
8	Brighton	29	14	7	8	54	37	+17	49
9	Fulham	32	13	6	13	44	43	+1	45
10	Brentford	32	10	14	8	48	43	+5	44
11	Chelsea	31	10	9	12	30	33	-3	39
12	Crystal Palace	33	9	10	14	31	42	-11	37
13	Wolves	33	10	7	16	29	44	-15	37
14	West Ham	31	9	7	15	33	41	-8	34
15	Bournemouth	32	9	6	17	31	63	-32	33
16	Leeds	33	7	9	17	42	63	-21	30
17	Leicester	33	8	5	20	44	57	-13	29
18	Everton	32	6	10	16	24	46	-22	28
19	Nott'm Forest	32	6	9	17	26	59	-33	27
20	Southampton	32	6	6	20	27	56	-29	24

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Man City	15	13	1	1	50	15	+35	40
2	Arsenal	16	12	3	1	45	21	+24	39
3	Man United	15	11	3	1	27	8	+19	36
4	Liverpool	15	10	4	1	39	13	+26	34
5	Tottenham	16	11	0	5	33	20	+13	33
6	Newcastle	15	9	5	1	29	10	+19	32
7	Aston Villa	17	10	2	5	29	19	+10	32
8	Brentford	16	7	7	2	30	17	+13	28
9	Wolves	17	8	2	7	17	19	-2	26
10	Fulham	16	7	4	5	23	22	+1	25
11	Brighton	14	7	3	4	25	14	+11	24
12	Chelsea	16	6	5	5	17	14	+3	23
13	West Ham	16	6	4	6	21	21	0	22
14	Nott'm Forest	16	5	6	5	19	20	-1	21
15	Crystal Palace	16	5	6	5	14	19	-5	21
16	Leeds	17	5	6	6	23	31	-8	21
17	Bournemouth	16	5	4	7	15	23	-8	19
18	Everton	16	5	3	8	14	20	-6	18
19	Leicester	16	4	3	9	19	21	-2	15
20	Southampton	16	2	4	10	15	30	-15	10

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	16	11	3	2	32	13	+19	36
2	Man City	15	9	3	3	28	13	+15	30
3	Newcastle	16	7	6	3	25	15	+10	27
4	Brighton	15	7	4	4	29	23	+6	25
5	Man United	15	7	2	6	19	29	-10	23
6	Aston Villa	16	6	4	6	17	22	-5	22
7	Fulham	16	6	2	8	21	21	0	20
8	Tottenham	16	5	5	6	25	31	-6	20
9	Liverpool	16	4	4	8	20	25	-5	16
10	Crystal Palace	17	4	4	9	17	23	-6	16
11	Chelsea	15	4	4	7	13	19	-6	16
12	Brentford	16	3	7	6	18	26	-8	16
13	Leicester	17	4	2	11	25	36	-11	14
14	Southampton	16	4	2	10	12	26	-14	14
15	Bournemouth	16	4	2	10	16	40	-24	14
16	West Ham	15	3	3	9	12	20	-8	12
17	Wolves	16	2	5	9	12	25	-13	11
18	Everton	16	1	7	8	10	26	-16	10
19	Leeds	16	2	3	11	19	32	-13	9
20	Nott'm Forest	16	1	3	12	7	39	-32	6

Nott'm Forest Brighton

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Arsenal	32	10	22	2.4	1.1	23	6	3	77	34	75
2	9	Fulham	32	11	21	1.4	1.3	13	6	13	44	43	45
3	2	Man City	30	10	20	2.6	0.9	22	4	4	78	28	70
4	16	Leeds	33	13	20	1.3	1.9	7	9	17	42	63	30
5	17	Leicester	33	13	20	1.3	1.7	8	5	20	44	57	29
6	7	Liverpool	31	12	19	1.9	1.2	14	8	9	59	38	50
7	6	Tottenham	32	14	18	1.8	1.6	16	5	11	58	51	53
8	8	Brighton	29	11	18	1.9	1.3	14	7	8	54	37	49
9	4	Man United	30	14	16	1.5	1.2	18	5	7	46	37	59
10	5	Aston Villa	33	17	16	1.4	1.2	16	6	11	46	41	54
11	15	Bournemouth	32	16	16	1.0	2.0	9	6	17	31	63	33
12	20	Southampton	32	16	16	0.8	1.8	6	6	20	27	56	24
13	10	Brentford	32	17	15	1.5	1.3	10	14	8	48	43	44
14	3	Newcastle	31	17	14	1.7	0.8	16	11	4	54	25	59
15	12	Crystal Palace	33	20	13	0.9	1.3	9	10	14	31	42	37
16	13	Wolves	33	20	13	0.9	1.3	10	7	16	29	44	37
17	19	Nott'm Forest	32	19	13	0.8	1.8	6	9	17	26	59	27
18	11	Chelsea	31	19	12	1.0	1.1	10	9	12	30	33	39
19	18	Everton	32	20	12	0.8	1.4	6	10	16	24	46	28
20	14	West Ham	31	21	10	1.1	1.3	9	7	15	33	41	34

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Arsenal	16	2	14	2.8	1.3	12	3	1	45	21	39
2	2	Man City	15	2	13	3.3	1.0	13	1	1	50	15	40
3	9	Fulham	16	5	11	1.4	1.4	7	4	5	23	22	25
4	16	Leeds	17	7	10	1.4	1.8	5	6	6	23	31	21
5	4	Man United	15	6	9	1.8	0.5	11	3	1	27	8	36
6	5	Aston Villa	17	8	9	1.7	1.1	10	2	5	29	19	32
7	6	Tottenham	16	7	9	2.1	1.2	11	0	5	33	20	33
8	7	Liverpool	15	6	9	2.6	0.9	10	4	1	39	13	34
9	17	Leicester	16	7	9	1.2	1.3	4	3	9	19	21	15
10	10	Brentford	16	8	8	1.9	1.1	7	7	2	30	17	28
11	20	Southampton	16	8	8	0.9	1.9	2	4	10	15	30	10
12	8	Brighton	14	7	7	1.8	1.0	7	3	4	25	14	24
13	12	Crystal Palace	16	9	7	0.9	1.2	5	6	5	14	19	21
14	15	Bournemouth	16	9	7	0.9	1.4	5	4	7	15	23	19
15	11	Chelsea	16	10	6	1.1	0.9	6	5	5	17	14	23
16	18	Everton	16	10	6	0.9	1.2	5	3	8	14	20	18
17	3	Newcastle	15	10	5	1.9	0.7	9	5	1	29	10	32
18	13	Wolves	17	12	5	1.0	1.1	8	2	7	17	19	26
19	14	West Ham	16	11	5	1.3	1.3	6	4	6	21	21	22
20	19	Nott'm Forest	16	11	5	1.2	1.2	5	6	5	19	20	21

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Brighton	15	4	11	1.9	1.5	7	4	4	29	23	25
2	17	Leicester	17	6	11	1.5	2.1	4	2	11	25	36	14
3	7	Liverpool	16	6	10	1.2	1.6	4	4	8	20	25	16
4	9	Fulham	16	6	10	1.3	1.3	6	2	8	21	21	20
5	16	Leeds	16	6	10	1.2	2.0	2	3	11	19	32	9
6	3	Newcastle	16	7	9	1.6	0.9	7	6	3	25	15	27
7	6	Tottenham	16	7	9	1.6	1.9	5	5	6	25	31	20
8	15	Bournemouth	16	7	9	1.0	2.5	4	2	10	16	40	14
9	1	Arsenal	16	8	8	2.0	0.8	11	3	2	32	13	36
10	13	Wolves	16	8	8	0.8	1.6	2	5	9	12	25	11
11	19	Nott'm Forest	16	8	8	0.4	2.4	1	3	12	7	39	6
12	20	Southampton	16	8	8	0.8	1.6	4	2	10	12	26	14
13	2	Man City	15	8	7	1.9	0.9	9	3	3	28	13	30
14	4	Man United	15	8	7	1.3	1.9	7	2	6	19	29	23
15	5	Aston Villa	16	9	7	1.1	1.4	6	4	6	17	22	22
16	10	Brentford	16	9	7	1.1	1.6	3	7	6	18	26	16
17	11	Chelsea	15	9	6	0.9	1.3	4	4	7	13	19	16
18	12	Crystal Palace	17	11	6	1.0	1.4	4	4	9	17	23	16
19	18	Everton	16	10	6	0.6	1.6	1	7	8	10	26	10
20	14	West Ham	15	10	5	0.8	1.3	3	3	9	12	20	12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.