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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: M Woods

Carlisle 3–2 Port Vale

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 3.40 fair 3.73
Draw 3.25 fair 3.75
Away 2.10 fair 2.15
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.79
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.08 fair 2.26

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Carlisle Port Vale
16 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
4 Corners 5
14 Fouls 10
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (505 league matches this season so far).
Result Port Vale to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.02 – 1.43
Home / Draw / Away
CarlisleDrawPort Vale
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.6% 0–1 12.4% 1–2 9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Carlisle before this match, all matches
0.88points / match
0.86scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 42 played · 36:63
Port Vale before this match, all matches
1.81points / match
1.40scored / match
0.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 42 played · 59:40
Carlisle all matches all matches Port Vale

Per match

0.86 Goals scored 1.40
1.50 Goals conceded 0.95
2.36 Total goals 2.36
11.40 Shots 11.95
3.67 Shots on target 3.90
12.88 Shots faced 11.10
5.21 Corners 4.79
5.14 Corners against 5.02
11.07 Fouls 11.17
2.62 Yellow cards 1.71
0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.62
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

21% Wins 50%
24% Draws 31%
55% Losses 19%
88% Over 0.5 goals 88%
64% Over 1.5 goals 62%
45% Over 2.5 goals 43%
21% Over 3.5 goals 24%
14% Over 4.5 goals 17%
2% Over 5.5 goals 2%
48% Both teams scored 48%
24% Clean sheets 40%
40% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 33%
40% Draws 52%
38% Losses 14%
71% Over 0.5 goals 57%
29% Over 1.5 goals 26%
14% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle all matches
Port Vale all matches
Carlisle before this match, at home
0.90points / match
0.95scored / match
1.48conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 20:31
Port Vale before this match, away
1.62points / match
1.29scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 27:25
Carlisle at home away Port Vale

Per match

0.95 Goals scored 1.29
1.48 Goals conceded 1.19
2.43 Total goals 2.48
12.43 Shots 11.62
4.00 Shots on target 3.62
10.76 Shots faced 11.90
5.81 Corners 4.67
4.14 Corners against 5.05
10.62 Fouls 11.14
2.48 Yellow cards 1.90
0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.86 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

19% Wins 43%
33% Draws 33%
48% Losses 24%
86% Over 0.5 goals 95%
67% Over 1.5 goals 67%
43% Over 2.5 goals 43%
24% Over 3.5 goals 24%
19% Over 4.5 goals 14%
5% Over 5.5 goals 5%
57% Both teams scored 52%
19% Clean sheets 33%
38% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 29%
43% Draws 52%
38% Losses 19%
76% Over 0.5 goals 57%
43% Over 1.5 goals 24%
24% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle at home
Port Vale away

Last 10 matches before this match

Carlisle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.25 Morecambe – Carlisle 0–2 (0–1) 2.253.752.75 1.95 1.90
05.04.25 Carlisle – Newport County 3–2 (1–2) 1.704.004.20 1.85 2.00
01.04.25 Chesterfield – Carlisle 2–1 (0–0) 1.733.604.75 1.90 1.95
29.03.25 Doncaster – Carlisle 3–0 (1–0) 1.554.006.25 1.93 1.93
25.03.25 Carlisle – Milton Keynes Dons 2–2 (2–2) 2.383.302.88 2.00 1.85
22.03.25 Carlisle – Bromley 2–1 (1–1) 2.253.502.90 2.05 1.75
15.03.25 Carlisle – AFC Wimbledon 1–2 (0–1) 3.003.102.38 2.60 1.48
08.03.25 Harrogate – Carlisle 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.252.45 2.25 1.62
04.03.25 Carlisle – Walsall 1–1 (1–1) 3.303.402.10 2.10 1.70
27.02.25 Barrow – Carlisle 0–1 (0–1) 1.863.403.75 2.15 1.67

Port Vale all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.25 Port Vale – Bromley 5–0 (2–0) 1.703.704.75 2.05 1.75
05.04.25 Walsall – Port Vale 2–3 (2–3) 2.153.103.50 2.35 1.57
01.04.25 Port Vale – Bradford 2–0 (2–0) 2.553.102.80 2.40 1.53
29.03.25 Crewe – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.102.70 2.30 1.60
25.03.25 Port Vale – Barrow 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.254.33 2.25 1.62
22.03.25 Port Vale – Morecambe 1–0 (0–0) 1.554.205.25 2.08 1.73
15.03.25 Port Vale – Milton Keynes Dons 3–0 (1–0) 1.953.503.75 2.08 1.73
11.03.25 Colchester – Port Vale 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.103.90 2.70 1.44
08.03.25 Fleetwood Town – Port Vale 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.303.10 2.30 1.60
04.03.25 Port Vale – Harrogate 0–0 (0–0) 1.833.204.75 2.40 1.53

Carlisle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.04.25 Carlisle – Newport County 3–2 (1–2) 1.704.004.20 1.85 2.00
25.03.25 Carlisle – Milton Keynes Dons 2–2 (2–2) 2.383.302.88 2.00 1.85
22.03.25 Carlisle – Bromley 2–1 (1–1) 2.253.502.90 2.05 1.75
15.03.25 Carlisle – AFC Wimbledon 1–2 (0–1) 3.003.102.38 2.60 1.48
04.03.25 Carlisle – Walsall 1–1 (1–1) 3.303.402.10 2.10 1.70
22.02.25 Carlisle – Gillingham 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.202.90 2.35 1.57
15.02.25 Carlisle – Colchester 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.202.20 2.25 1.62
01.02.25 Carlisle – Swindon 1–5 (0–1) 2.553.252.70 2.05 1.75
18.01.25 Carlisle – Bradford 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.252.20 2.05 1.75
29.12.24 Carlisle – Accrington 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.00 2.03 1.83

Port Vale away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.04.25 Walsall – Port Vale 2–3 (2–3) 2.153.103.50 2.35 1.57
29.03.25 Crewe – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.102.70 2.30 1.60
11.03.25 Colchester – Port Vale 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.103.90 2.70 1.44
08.03.25 Fleetwood Town – Port Vale 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.303.10 2.30 1.60
01.03.25 Tranmere – Port Vale 1–1 (1–1) 3.103.302.25 2.10 1.70
08.02.25 Swindon – Port Vale 3–3 (2–2) 2.253.303.00 2.05 1.80
25.01.25 Chesterfield – Port Vale 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.303.40 2.00 1.85
04.01.25 Doncaster – Port Vale 1–2 (0–1) 1.903.503.70 2.03 1.83
29.12.24 Grimsby – Port Vale 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.402.15 2.05 1.75
26.12.24 Bradford – Port Vale 2–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.30 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Carlisle winsDrawsPort Vale wins
5matches
1.60goals / match
40%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.24E3 Port Vale – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 1.733.504.75 2.05 1.80
01.01.24E2 Carlisle – Port Vale 2–1 (0–0) 3.003.202.45 2.20 1.65
26.08.23E2 Port Vale – Carlisle 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.754.20 1.98 1.88
08.02.22E3 Carlisle – Port Vale 1–3 (1–2) 3.103.202.40 2.40 1.53
17.08.21E3 Port Vale – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.25 1.61

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Port Vale 42 21 13 8 59 40 +19 76 WLWWWW
2 Bradford 43 21 11 11 59 40 +19 74 WDLWLD
3 Walsall 42 20 12 10 72 51 +21 72 DDDDLL
4 Doncaster 42 20 12 10 63 48 +15 72 DWDWDD
5 AFC Wimbledon 42 19 12 11 55 32 +23 69 WDDLWD
6 Notts County 43 19 12 12 63 44 +19 69 DWWLLD
7 Grimsby 42 20 6 16 59 60 -1 66 LWWLWD
8 Colchester 42 16 17 9 51 40 +11 65 WLLDWW
9 Chesterfield 42 17 11 14 65 50 +15 62 DWWLDW
10 Salford 42 16 14 12 54 48 +6 62 WWDDWD
11 Crewe 42 15 16 11 49 44 +5 61 DDLWLL
12 Swindon 42 14 15 13 66 61 +5 57 DDLWWW
13 Fleetwood Town 42 14 14 14 57 56 +1 56 LDWWLL
14 Bromley 42 14 14 14 56 56 0 56 DLLDWL
15 Barrow 42 15 10 17 49 47 +2 55 DWLDWW
16 Cheltenham 42 14 11 17 54 63 -9 53 DLLLLW
17 Gillingham 42 12 14 16 37 44 -7 50 DDDDDW
18 Newport County 42 13 8 21 51 70 -19 47 WLLDLL
19 Milton Keynes Dons 42 13 7 22 51 66 -15 46 WDLLLL
20 Harrogate 42 12 10 20 35 54 -19 46 LDDWLD
21 Tranmere 42 10 14 18 39 61 -22 44 WDWLWD
22 Accrington 42 10 13 19 49 66 -17 43 DDDLLD
23 Carlisle 42 9 10 23 36 63 -27 37 WDLLWW
24 Morecambe 42 10 6 26 37 62 -25 36 DLWWLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Bradford 22 16 4 2 38 13 +25 52 WWLWWD
2 AFC Wimbledon 21 13 4 4 35 14 +21 43 WLWLDW
3 Port Vale 21 12 6 3 32 15 +17 42 DWWLWW
4 Walsall 21 12 5 4 44 29 +15 41 DWLLDL
5 Doncaster 21 10 7 4 33 22 +11 37 LWDWDD
6 Colchester 21 10 6 5 28 15 +13 36 DWWWLW
7 Chesterfield 21 9 9 3 34 23 +11 36 LWDWDW
8 Barrow 21 10 5 6 31 19 +12 35 WLWLDW
9 Notts County 21 10 5 6 29 17 +12 35 WLLDWL
10 Swindon 21 9 7 5 39 32 +7 34 WDDDWW
11 Newport County 21 10 4 7 31 28 +3 34 LWWLDL
12 Crewe 21 9 6 6 30 25 +5 33 WLDLWL
13 Grimsby 21 10 3 8 30 30 0 33 WDLLWW
14 Salford 21 9 5 7 27 25 +2 32 WLDLDD
15 Cheltenham 21 9 5 7 28 28 0 32 WDDLLL
16 Gillingham 21 9 4 8 22 19 +3 31 LWWDDW
17 Harrogate 21 9 4 8 22 27 -5 31 WWWDWD
18 Tranmere 21 7 9 5 22 19 +3 30 DLDWWW
19 Fleetwood Town 21 6 11 4 22 21 +1 29 WDDDDL
20 Bromley 21 7 7 7 31 26 +5 28 WLWDLW
21 Milton Keynes Dons 21 8 4 9 25 25 0 28 WLLWLL
22 Accrington 21 5 10 6 28 29 -1 25 WWDDLD
23 Morecambe 21 6 4 11 22 31 -9 22 LWDWWL
24 Carlisle 21 4 7 10 20 31 -11 19 DDLWDW
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Doncaster 21 10 5 6 30 26 +4 35 WWLDWD
2 Notts County 22 9 7 6 34 27 +7 34 DLWWLD
3 Port Vale 21 9 7 5 27 25 +2 34 DDDLWW
4 Grimsby 21 10 3 8 29 30 -1 33 WDWWLD
5 Walsall 21 8 7 6 28 22 +6 31 DDDDDL
6 Salford 21 7 9 5 27 23 +4 30 LDWWDW
7 Colchester 21 6 11 4 23 25 -2 29 DWWLDW
8 Crewe 21 6 10 5 19 19 0 28 LDWDDL
9 Bromley 21 7 7 7 25 30 -5 28 WWLLDL
10 Fleetwood Town 21 8 3 10 35 35 0 27 WWLWWL
11 Chesterfield 21 8 2 11 31 27 +4 26 LLWWWL
12 AFC Wimbledon 21 6 8 7 20 18 +2 26 DLWDLD
13 Swindon 21 5 8 8 27 29 -2 23 WLWDLW
14 Bradford 21 5 7 9 21 27 -6 22 WWLDLL
15 Cheltenham 21 5 6 10 26 35 -9 21 LWDLLW
16 Barrow 21 5 5 11 18 28 -10 20 LWDDWW
17 Gillingham 21 3 10 8 15 25 -10 19 DLDDDD
18 Milton Keynes Dons 21 5 3 13 26 41 -15 18 LLWDLL
19 Accrington 21 5 3 13 21 37 -16 18 LWLLDL
20 Carlisle 21 5 3 13 16 32 -16 18 LWLLLW
21 Harrogate 21 3 6 12 13 27 -14 15 LLDLDL
22 Morecambe 21 4 2 15 15 31 -16 14 LLLLLL
23 Tranmere 21 3 5 13 17 42 -25 14 LDWDLD
24 Newport County 21 3 4 14 20 42 -22 13 WLLLLL

Carlisle   Port Vale

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 Grimsby 42 17 25 1.4 1.4 20 6 16 59 60 66 UUOUOO
2 18 Newport County 42 17 25 1.2 1.7 13 8 21 51 70 47 OUUUOU
3 9 Chesterfield 42 18 24 1.5 1.2 17 11 14 65 50 62 UUOOUO
4 12 Swindon 42 18 24 1.6 1.5 14 15 13 66 61 57 OUUOOO
5 19 Milton Keynes Dons 42 19 23 1.2 1.6 13 7 22 51 66 46 UOOOOU
6 22 Accrington 42 19 23 1.2 1.6 10 13 19 49 66 43 UUUOOO
7 3 Walsall 42 20 22 1.7 1.2 20 12 10 72 51 72 OUUOOU
8 4 Doncaster 42 21 21 1.5 1.1 20 12 10 63 48 72 UOOUUU
9 13 Fleetwood Town 42 21 21 1.4 1.3 14 14 14 57 56 56 OUOOOO
10 16 Cheltenham 42 21 21 1.3 1.5 14 11 17 54 63 53 OUUUUO
11 2 Bradford 43 24 19 1.4 0.9 21 11 11 59 40 74 OUUUOU
12 14 Bromley 42 23 19 1.3 1.3 14 14 14 56 56 56 OOOUOO
13 23 Carlisle 42 23 19 0.9 1.5 9 10 23 36 63 37 OOOOOU
14 1 Port Vale 42 24 18 1.4 1.0 21 13 8 59 40 76 UUUUOO
15 6 Notts County 43 25 18 1.5 1.0 19 12 12 63 44 69 UUOUOU
16 10 Salford 42 24 18 1.3 1.1 16 14 12 54 48 62 UOUOOU
17 21 Tranmere 42 24 18 0.9 1.5 10 14 18 39 61 44 UUUOOO
18 15 Barrow 42 26 16 1.2 1.1 15 10 17 49 47 55 OUUUOU
19 5 AFC Wimbledon 42 27 15 1.3 0.8 19 12 11 55 32 69 OOUOUU
20 20 Harrogate 42 27 15 0.8 1.3 12 10 20 35 54 46 OUUOUO
21 24 Morecambe 42 27 15 0.9 1.5 10 6 26 37 62 36 OUUUOU
22 8 Colchester 42 28 14 1.2 1.0 16 17 9 51 40 65 OOOUUU
23 11 Crewe 42 28 14 1.2 1.0 15 16 11 49 44 61 UUUUUO
24 17 Gillingham 42 29 13 0.9 1.0 12 14 16 37 44 50 UUUOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 12 Swindon 21 7 14 1.9 1.5 9 7 5 39 32 34 UOOUOO
2 3 Walsall 21 8 13 2.1 1.4 12 5 4 44 29 41 UOUOUO
3 18 Newport County 21 8 13 1.5 1.3 10 4 7 31 28 34 OOOUUU
4 4 Doncaster 21 9 12 1.6 1.0 10 7 4 33 22 37 OOOOOU
5 7 Grimsby 21 9 12 1.4 1.4 10 3 8 30 30 33 OUUUUO
6 9 Chesterfield 21 9 12 1.6 1.1 9 9 3 34 23 36 OOUOUO
7 2 Bradford 22 11 11 1.7 0.6 16 4 2 38 13 52 UOUOUU
8 22 Accrington 21 10 11 1.3 1.4 5 10 6 28 29 25 UOUUOO
9 19 Milton Keynes Dons 21 11 10 1.2 1.2 8 4 9 25 25 28 OUUOOO
10 1 Port Vale 21 12 9 1.5 0.7 12 6 3 32 15 42 UOUUUO
11 5 AFC Wimbledon 21 12 9 1.7 0.7 13 4 4 35 14 43 UUUOOU
12 6 Notts County 21 12 9 1.4 0.8 10 5 6 29 17 35 OOOUOO
13 10 Salford 21 12 9 1.3 1.2 9 5 7 27 25 32 UOUOOU
14 11 Crewe 21 12 9 1.4 1.2 9 6 6 30 25 33 OOUUUO
15 14 Bromley 21 12 9 1.5 1.2 7 7 7 31 26 28 UUUOOO
16 23 Carlisle 21 12 9 1.0 1.5 4 7 10 20 31 19 UUOOOO
17 8 Colchester 21 13 8 1.3 0.7 10 6 5 28 15 36 UUOOOU
18 15 Barrow 21 13 8 1.5 0.9 10 5 6 31 19 35 OUUUUU
19 16 Cheltenham 21 13 8 1.3 1.3 9 5 7 28 28 32 OOUUUU
20 17 Gillingham 21 13 8 1.0 0.9 9 4 8 22 19 31 OUUUUU
21 20 Harrogate 21 13 8 1.0 1.3 9 4 8 22 27 31 UOUUOO
22 13 Fleetwood Town 21 14 7 1.0 1.0 6 11 4 22 21 29 UUOUUO
23 21 Tranmere 21 15 6 1.0 0.9 7 9 5 22 19 30 UUUOUO
24 24 Morecambe 21 15 6 1.0 1.5 6 4 11 22 31 22 UUOUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 13 Fleetwood Town 21 7 14 1.7 1.7 8 3 10 35 35 27 OOOOOO
2 7 Grimsby 21 8 13 1.4 1.4 10 3 8 29 30 33 OUOOUO
3 16 Cheltenham 21 8 13 1.2 1.7 5 6 10 26 35 21 OOOUUO
4 19 Milton Keynes Dons 21 8 13 1.2 2.0 5 3 13 26 41 18 UOUOOU
5 9 Chesterfield 21 9 12 1.5 1.3 8 2 11 31 27 26 UUOOUO
6 18 Newport County 21 9 12 1.0 2.0 3 4 14 20 42 13 OOOOUO
7 21 Tranmere 21 9 12 0.8 2.0 3 5 13 17 42 14 OUUUOO
8 22 Accrington 21 9 12 1.0 1.8 5 3 13 21 37 18 UUOUUO
9 12 Swindon 21 11 10 1.3 1.4 5 8 8 27 29 23 OUUOUO
10 14 Bromley 21 11 10 1.2 1.4 7 7 7 25 30 28 UUOOUO
11 23 Carlisle 21 11 10 0.8 1.5 5 3 13 16 32 18 UUUOOU
12 1 Port Vale 21 12 9 1.3 1.2 9 7 5 27 25 34 OUUOUO
13 3 Walsall 21 12 9 1.3 1.0 8 7 6 28 22 31 OUOUOU
14 4 Doncaster 21 12 9 1.4 1.2 10 5 6 30 26 35 UOUUUU
15 6 Notts County 22 13 9 1.5 1.2 9 7 6 34 27 34 OUUUUU
16 10 Salford 21 12 9 1.3 1.1 7 9 5 27 23 30 OOUOUO
17 24 Morecambe 21 12 9 0.7 1.5 4 2 15 15 31 14 OUUOUO
18 2 Bradford 21 13 8 1.0 1.3 5 7 9 21 27 22 UOUUUO
19 15 Barrow 21 13 8 0.9 1.3 5 5 11 18 28 20 OOOOUO
20 20 Harrogate 21 14 7 0.6 1.3 3 6 12 13 27 15 UUUOUU
21 5 AFC Wimbledon 21 15 6 1.0 0.9 6 8 7 20 18 26 UUOUOU
22 8 Colchester 21 15 6 1.1 1.2 6 11 4 23 25 29 UUUOUU
23 11 Crewe 21 16 5 0.9 0.9 6 10 5 19 19 28 OUOUUU
24 17 Gillingham 21 16 5 0.7 1.2 3 10 8 15 25 19 UOUUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47