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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: J Miles

Harrogate 1–1 Swindon

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.40 fair 2.56
Draw ✓ 3.90 fair 4.23
Away 2.00 fair 2.68
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.56
Over 2.5 1.65 fair 1.64

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Harrogate Swindon
12 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 10
4 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (203 league matches this season so far).
Result Harrogate to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.59
Expected goals 1.59 – 1.55
Home / Draw / Away
HarrogateDrawSwindon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.6% 2–1 8.5% 1–2 8.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Harrogate before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
0.94scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 16:22
Swindon before this match, all matches
1.35points / match
2.12scored / match
1.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 36:31
Harrogate all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

0.94 Goals scored 2.12
1.29 Goals conceded 1.82
2.24 Total goals 3.94
9.06 Shots 14.12
3.29 Shots on target 5.24
16.82 Shots faced 13.59
4.29 Corners 5.65
6.59 Corners against 4.82
9.88 Fouls 9.82
1.82 Yellow cards 2.12
0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.94
0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

41% Wins 35%
6% Draws 29%
53% Losses 35%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
53% Over 1.5 goals 82%
41% Over 2.5 goals 71%
18% Over 3.5 goals 59%
12% Over 4.5 goals 29%
0% Over 5.5 goals 24%
41% Both teams scored 65%
24% Clean sheets 24%
35% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 53%
35% Draws 24%
41% Losses 24%
65% Over 0.5 goals 88%
18% Over 1.5 goals 29%
12% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Harrogate all matches
Swindon all matches
Harrogate before this match, at home
0.75points / match
0.88scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 7:13
Swindon before this match, away
0.78points / match
1.67scored / match
2.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 15:20
Harrogate at home away Swindon

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 1.67
1.63 Goals conceded 2.22
2.50 Total goals 3.89
10.88 Shots 13.33
4.13 Shots on target 4.44
16.63 Shots faced 14.33
4.88 Corners 5.00
5.63 Corners against 4.78
9.50 Fouls 11.44
1.75 Yellow cards 2.67
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.78
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.89

How often Full Time

25% Wins 11%
0% Draws 44%
75% Losses 44%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
50% Over 1.5 goals 78%
38% Over 2.5 goals 78%
38% Over 3.5 goals 67%
25% Over 4.5 goals 22%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
38% Both teams scored 78%
13% Clean sheets 11%
50% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 22%
13% Draws 44%
63% Losses 33%
88% Over 0.5 goals 78%
25% Over 1.5 goals 44%
25% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Harrogate at home
Swindon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Harrogate all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.23 Walsall – Harrogate 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.604.75 1.75 2.05
28.10.23 Harrogate – Crewe 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.502.30 1.67 2.15
24.10.23 Harrogate – Mansfield 1–4 (0–3) 5.254.201.62 1.85 2.00
21.10.23 Colchester – Harrogate 1–2 (0–0) 1.913.603.80 1.83 2.03
14.10.23 Harrogate – Stockport 1–3 (0–1) 5.003.601.75 1.93 1.93
07.10.23 Newport County – Harrogate 1–2 (0–1) 1.953.504.00 1.93 1.93
03.10.23 Harrogate – AFC Wimbledon 0–1 (0–1) 3.403.502.15 2.05 1.80
30.09.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Harrogate 0–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.00 1.85 2.00
23.09.23 Harrogate – Salford 3–2 (2–1) 3.003.302.40 1.90 1.95
16.09.23 Bradford – Harrogate 1–1 (0–0) 1.733.754.75 2.00 1.85

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.23 Swindon – Stockport 2–4 (1–0) 3.254.202.00 1.60 2.30
07.11.23 Colchester – Swindon 3–1 (0–1) 2.633.802.40 1.57 2.35
28.10.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–2 (1–0) 2.453.752.70 1.60 2.30
24.10.23 Swindon – Gillingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.833.604.50 1.73 2.08
21.10.23 Salford – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.402.50 1.60 2.30
14.10.23 Swindon – Newport County 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.754.75 1.62 2.25
07.10.23 Bradford – Swindon 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
03.10.23 Notts County – Swindon 3–1 (3–0) 1.834.203.75 1.40 2.88
30.09.23 Swindon – Grimsby 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 1.73 2.08
23.09.23 Morecambe – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.08

Harrogate at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.23 Harrogate – Crewe 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.502.30 1.67 2.15
24.10.23 Harrogate – Mansfield 1–4 (0–3) 5.254.201.62 1.85 2.00
14.10.23 Harrogate – Stockport 1–3 (0–1) 5.003.601.75 1.93 1.93
03.10.23 Harrogate – AFC Wimbledon 0–1 (0–1) 3.403.502.15 2.05 1.80
23.09.23 Harrogate – Salford 3–2 (2–1) 3.003.302.40 1.90 1.95
02.09.23 Harrogate – Barrow 0–1 (0–1) 2.503.302.88 2.05 1.75
26.08.23 Harrogate – Morecambe 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.502.90 1.98 1.88
12.08.23 Harrogate – Forest Green 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.00 1.85
08.05.23 Harrogate – Rochdale 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.603.80 1.75 2.05
18.04.23 Harrogate – Walsall 3–0 (1–0) 2.303.203.30 2.25 1.62

Swindon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.11.23 Colchester – Swindon 3–1 (0–1) 2.633.802.40 1.57 2.35
28.10.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–2 (1–0) 2.453.752.70 1.60 2.30
21.10.23 Salford – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.402.50 1.60 2.30
07.10.23 Bradford – Swindon 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
03.10.23 Notts County – Swindon 3–1 (3–0) 1.834.203.75 1.40 2.88
23.09.23 Morecambe – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.08
02.09.23 Doncaster – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 1.90 1.95
19.08.23 Wrexham – Swindon 5–5 (1–4) 1.574.205.50 1.65 2.20
15.08.23 Forest Green – Swindon 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.402.63 1.93 1.93
29.04.23 Crewe – Swindon 2–1 (0–1) 2.883.402.45 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Harrogate winsDrawsSwindon wins
4matches
3.25goals / match
75%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.23E3 Swindon – Harrogate 3–0 (2–0) 1.753.604.75 1.85 1.95
30.07.22E3 Harrogate – Swindon 3–0 (1–0) 3.403.502.10 1.65 2.20
15.04.22E3 Harrogate – Swindon 1–4 (0–2) 3.203.302.30 1.90 1.95
27.11.21E3 Swindon – Harrogate 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.50 1.83 2.02

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 17 12 2 3 37 18 +19 38
2 Wrexham 17 9 6 2 34 27 +7 33
3 Notts County 18 10 3 5 37 31 +6 33
4 Mansfield 16 8 8 0 29 13 +16 32
5 Crewe 17 9 5 3 36 25 +11 32
6 Barrow 17 7 7 3 20 15 +5 28
7 Morecambe 16 8 3 5 25 20 +5 27
8 Accrington 17 8 2 7 25 24 +1 26
9 AFC Wimbledon 17 6 7 4 25 19 +6 25
10 Gillingham 17 8 1 8 14 22 -8 25
11 Crawley Town 16 7 3 6 27 28 -1 24
12 Swindon 17 6 5 6 36 31 +5 23
13 Milton Keynes Dons 17 6 5 6 26 24 +2 23
14 Harrogate 17 7 1 9 16 22 -6 22
15 Salford 17 6 3 8 27 26 +1 21
16 Colchester 17 6 2 9 26 31 -5 20
17 Walsall 17 5 5 7 24 29 -5 20
18 Bradford 18 5 5 8 20 27 -7 20
19 Doncaster 17 6 2 9 20 27 -7 20
20 Newport County 17 5 4 8 26 32 -6 19
21 Grimsby 17 4 5 8 23 28 -5 17
22 Tranmere 17 4 1 12 21 29 -8 13
23 Forest Green 16 4 1 11 18 30 -12 13
24 Sutton 17 3 2 12 23 37 -14 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Notts County 9 7 0 2 23 16 +7 21
2 Stockport 9 6 2 1 18 7 +11 20
3 Wrexham 9 6 2 1 27 19 +8 20
4 Crewe 9 6 2 1 18 10 +8 20
5 Morecambe 8 5 3 0 14 5 +9 18
6 Crawley Town 9 6 0 3 18 11 +7 18
7 Swindon 8 5 1 2 21 11 +10 16
8 Accrington 9 5 1 3 14 11 +3 16
9 Mansfield 7 4 3 0 9 3 +6 15
10 Milton Keynes Dons 8 4 2 2 14 10 +4 14
11 Grimsby 9 4 2 3 14 12 +2 14
12 Doncaster 9 4 2 3 12 11 +1 14
13 Tranmere 9 4 1 4 17 12 +5 13
14 Newport County 9 3 4 2 17 14 +3 13
15 Barrow 7 3 4 0 8 5 +3 13
16 Gillingham 8 4 1 3 8 10 -2 13
17 Walsall 8 3 3 2 10 8 +2 12
18 Bradford 8 3 3 2 9 9 0 12
19 Colchester 9 3 2 4 16 17 -1 11
20 Sutton 9 3 1 5 14 13 +1 10
21 AFC Wimbledon 8 2 3 3 13 12 +1 9
22 Salford 8 2 2 4 12 14 -2 8
23 Harrogate 8 2 0 6 7 13 -6 6
24 Forest Green 9 2 0 7 11 18 -7 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 8 6 0 2 19 11 +8 18
2 Mansfield 9 4 5 0 20 10 +10 17
3 AFC Wimbledon 9 4 4 1 12 7 +5 16
4 Harrogate 9 5 1 3 9 9 0 16
5 Barrow 10 4 3 3 12 10 +2 15
6 Salford 9 4 1 4 15 12 +3 13
7 Wrexham 8 3 4 1 7 8 -1 13
8 Crewe 8 3 3 2 18 15 +3 12
9 Notts County 9 3 3 3 14 15 -1 12
10 Gillingham 9 4 0 5 6 12 -6 12
11 Accrington 8 3 1 4 11 13 -2 10
12 Milton Keynes Dons 9 2 3 4 12 14 -2 9
13 Morecambe 8 3 0 5 11 15 -4 9
14 Colchester 8 3 0 5 10 14 -4 9
15 Walsall 9 2 2 5 14 21 -7 8
16 Bradford 10 2 2 6 11 18 -7 8
17 Swindon 9 1 4 4 15 20 -5 7
18 Forest Green 7 2 1 4 7 12 -5 7
19 Crawley Town 7 1 3 3 9 17 -8 6
20 Doncaster 8 2 0 6 8 16 -8 6
21 Newport County 8 2 0 6 9 18 -9 6
22 Grimsby 8 0 3 5 9 16 -7 3
23 Sutton 8 0 1 7 9 24 -15 1
24 Tranmere 8 0 0 8 4 17 -13 0

Harrogate   Swindon

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Newport County 17 4 13 1.5 1.9 5 4 8 26 32 19
2 3 Notts County 18 6 12 2.1 1.7 10 3 5 37 31 33
3 12 Swindon 17 5 12 2.1 1.8 6 5 6 36 31 23
4 24 Sutton 17 5 12 1.4 2.2 3 2 12 23 37 11
5 5 Crewe 17 6 11 2.1 1.5 9 5 3 36 25 32
6 16 Colchester 17 6 11 1.5 1.8 6 2 9 26 31 20
7 17 Walsall 17 6 11 1.4 1.7 5 5 7 24 29 20
8 19 Doncaster 17 6 11 1.2 1.6 6 2 9 20 27 20
9 1 Stockport 17 7 10 2.2 1.1 12 2 3 37 18 38
10 7 Morecambe 16 6 10 1.6 1.2 8 3 5 25 20 27
11 8 Accrington 17 7 10 1.5 1.4 8 2 7 25 24 26
12 11 Crawley Town 16 6 10 1.7 1.8 7 3 6 27 28 24
13 13 Milton Keynes Dons 17 7 10 1.5 1.4 6 5 6 26 24 23
14 15 Salford 17 7 10 1.6 1.5 6 3 8 27 26 21
15 22 Tranmere 17 7 10 1.2 1.7 4 1 12 21 29 13
16 23 Forest Green 16 6 10 1.1 1.9 4 1 11 18 30 13
17 2 Wrexham 17 8 9 2.0 1.6 9 6 2 34 27 33
18 4 Mansfield 16 7 9 1.8 0.8 8 8 0 29 13 32
19 18 Bradford 18 9 9 1.1 1.5 5 5 8 20 27 20
20 21 Grimsby 17 8 9 1.4 1.6 4 5 8 23 28 17
21 9 AFC Wimbledon 17 9 8 1.5 1.1 6 7 4 25 19 25
22 14 Harrogate 17 10 7 0.9 1.3 7 1 9 16 22 22
23 6 Barrow 17 11 6 1.2 0.9 7 7 3 20 15 28
24 10 Gillingham 17 11 6 0.8 1.3 8 1 8 14 22 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Wrexham 9 1 8 3.0 2.1 6 2 1 27 19 20
2 3 Notts County 9 1 8 2.6 1.8 7 0 2 23 16 21
3 20 Newport County 9 2 7 1.9 1.6 3 4 2 17 14 13
4 22 Tranmere 9 2 7 1.9 1.3 4 1 4 17 12 13
5 23 Forest Green 9 2 7 1.2 2.0 2 0 7 11 18 6
6 8 Accrington 9 3 6 1.6 1.2 5 1 3 14 11 16
7 11 Crawley Town 9 3 6 2.0 1.2 6 0 3 18 11 18
8 15 Salford 8 2 6 1.5 1.8 2 2 4 12 14 8
9 5 Crewe 9 4 5 2.0 1.1 6 2 1 18 10 20
10 12 Swindon 8 3 5 2.6 1.4 5 1 2 21 11 16
11 13 Milton Keynes Dons 8 3 5 1.8 1.2 4 2 2 14 10 14
12 16 Colchester 9 4 5 1.8 1.9 3 2 4 16 17 11
13 19 Doncaster 9 4 5 1.3 1.2 4 2 3 12 11 14
14 24 Sutton 9 4 5 1.6 1.4 3 1 5 14 13 10
15 7 Morecambe 8 4 4 1.8 0.6 5 3 0 14 5 18
16 9 AFC Wimbledon 8 4 4 1.6 1.5 2 3 3 13 12 9
17 10 Gillingham 8 4 4 1.0 1.2 4 1 3 8 10 13
18 21 Grimsby 9 5 4 1.6 1.3 4 2 3 14 12 14
19 1 Stockport 9 6 3 2.0 0.8 6 2 1 18 7 20
20 4 Mansfield 7 4 3 1.3 0.4 4 3 0 9 3 15
21 14 Harrogate 8 5 3 0.9 1.6 2 0 6 7 13 6
22 17 Walsall 8 5 3 1.2 1.0 3 3 2 10 8 12
23 18 Bradford 8 5 3 1.1 1.1 3 3 2 9 9 12
24 6 Barrow 7 5 2 1.1 0.7 3 4 0 8 5 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Walsall 9 1 8 1.6 2.3 2 2 5 14 21 8
2 1 Stockport 8 1 7 2.4 1.4 6 0 2 19 11 18
3 12 Swindon 9 2 7 1.7 2.2 1 4 4 15 20 7
4 24 Sutton 8 1 7 1.1 3.0 0 1 7 9 24 1
5 4 Mansfield 9 3 6 2.2 1.1 4 5 0 20 10 17
6 5 Crewe 8 2 6 2.2 1.9 3 3 2 18 15 12
7 7 Morecambe 8 2 6 1.4 1.9 3 0 5 11 15 9
8 16 Colchester 8 2 6 1.2 1.8 3 0 5 10 14 9
9 18 Bradford 10 4 6 1.1 1.8 2 2 6 11 18 8
10 19 Doncaster 8 2 6 1.0 2.0 2 0 6 8 16 6
11 20 Newport County 8 2 6 1.1 2.2 2 0 6 9 18 6
12 13 Milton Keynes Dons 9 4 5 1.3 1.6 2 3 4 12 14 9
13 21 Grimsby 8 3 5 1.1 2.0 0 3 5 9 16 3
14 3 Notts County 9 5 4 1.6 1.7 3 3 3 14 15 12
15 6 Barrow 10 6 4 1.2 1.0 4 3 3 12 10 15
16 8 Accrington 8 4 4 1.4 1.6 3 1 4 11 13 10
17 9 AFC Wimbledon 9 5 4 1.3 0.8 4 4 1 12 7 16
18 11 Crawley Town 7 3 4 1.3 2.4 1 3 3 9 17 6
19 14 Harrogate 9 5 4 1.0 1.0 5 1 3 9 9 16
20 15 Salford 9 5 4 1.7 1.3 4 1 4 15 12 13
21 22 Tranmere 8 5 3 0.5 2.1 0 0 8 4 17 0
22 23 Forest Green 7 4 3 1.0 1.7 2 1 4 7 12 7
23 10 Gillingham 9 7 2 0.7 1.3 4 0 5 6 12 12
24 2 Wrexham 8 7 1 0.9 1.0 3 4 1 7 8 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38