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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: P Wright

Swindon 0–1 Gillingham

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.83 fair 1.74
Draw 3.60 fair 4.67
Away ✓ 4.50 fair 4.72
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.08 fair 2.56
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.64

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Swindon Gillingham
22 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 10
6 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (164 league matches this season so far).
Result Swindon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.70
Expected goals 2.01 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
SwindonDrawGillingham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.9% 1–1 9.8% 2–0 8.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Swindon before this match, all matches
1.77points / match
2.38scored / match
1.54conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 31:20
Gillingham before this match, all matches
1.57points / match
0.93scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 13:18
Swindon all matches all matches Gillingham

Per match

2.38 Goals scored 0.93
1.54 Goals conceded 1.29
3.92 Total goals 2.21
14.23 Shots 11.86
5.54 Shots on target 3.79
13.92 Shots faced 12.21
6.00 Corners 5.14
4.69 Corners against 4.71
9.62 Fouls 10.43
2.15 Yellow cards 2.29
1.08 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

46% Wins 50%
38% Draws 7%
15% Losses 43%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
85% Over 1.5 goals 64%
69% Over 2.5 goals 43%
54% Over 3.5 goals 7%
23% Over 4.5 goals 7%
23% Over 5.5 goals 0%
62% Both teams scored 43%
31% Clean sheets 36%
15% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

54% Wins 36%
31% Draws 36%
15% Losses 29%
85% Over 0.5 goals 79%
38% Over 1.5 goals 36%
23% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon all matches
Gillingham all matches
Swindon before this match, at home
2.67points / match
3.17scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 19:6
Gillingham before this match, away
1.29points / match
0.71scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 5:10
Swindon at home away Gillingham

Per match

3.17 Goals scored 0.71
1.00 Goals conceded 1.43
4.17 Total goals 2.14
14.17 Shots 9.43
6.33 Shots on target 3.43
12.33 Shots faced 12.29
6.17 Corners 4.57
4.17 Corners against 5.14
8.17 Fouls 9.71
1.67 Yellow cards 2.00
1.33 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

83% Wins 43%
17% Draws 0%
0% Losses 57%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 57%
67% Over 2.5 goals 29%
50% Over 3.5 goals 14%
33% Over 4.5 goals 14%
33% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 29%
50% Clean sheets 43%
0% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 29%
0% Draws 29%
0% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
17% Over 1.5 goals 43%
17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon at home
Gillingham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Salford – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.402.50 1.60 2.30
14.10.23 Swindon – Newport County 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.754.75 1.62 2.25
07.10.23 Bradford – Swindon 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
03.10.23 Notts County – Swindon 3–1 (3–0) 1.834.203.75 1.40 2.88
30.09.23 Swindon – Grimsby 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 1.73 2.08
23.09.23 Morecambe – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.08
16.09.23 Swindon – Walsall 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.78 2.10
09.09.23 Swindon – Sutton 5–3 (3–2) 1.753.604.50 1.80 2.00
02.09.23 Doncaster – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 1.90 1.95
26.08.23 Swindon – Crawley Town 6–0 (1–0) 2.003.603.75 1.85 2.00

Gillingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Gillingham – Notts County 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.752.55 1.67 2.15
14.10.23 Walsall – Gillingham 4–1 (2–0) 2.753.302.60 2.10 1.70
07.10.23 Gillingham – Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 2.08 1.73
03.10.23 Crewe – Gillingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.202.63 2.00 1.85
30.09.23 Gillingham – Mansfield 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.402.30 2.15 1.67
23.09.23 Doncaster – Gillingham 2–1 (1–1) 3.103.252.38 2.25 1.62
16.09.23 Gillingham – Morecambe 2–1 (2–1) 1.803.505.00 2.10 1.70
09.09.23 Gillingham – Harrogate 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.15 1.67
02.09.23 Grimsby – Gillingham 2–0 (2–0) 2.503.252.90 2.30 1.60
26.08.23 Gillingham – Colchester 0–3 (0–0) 1.753.604.75 2.35 1.57

Swindon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.10.23 Swindon – Newport County 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.754.75 1.62 2.25
30.09.23 Swindon – Grimsby 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 1.73 2.08
16.09.23 Swindon – Walsall 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.78 2.10
09.09.23 Swindon – Sutton 5–3 (3–2) 1.753.604.50 1.80 2.00
26.08.23 Swindon – Crawley Town 6–0 (1–0) 2.003.603.75 1.85 2.00
12.08.23 Swindon – Crewe 2–2 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.95 1.90
08.05.23 Swindon – Crawley Town 2–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.33 1.62 2.25
25.04.23 Swindon – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 3.603.252.15 2.15 1.67
18.04.23 Swindon – Bradford 1–0 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85
15.04.23 Swindon – Barrow 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.15 1.67

Gillingham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.10.23 Walsall – Gillingham 4–1 (2–0) 2.753.302.60 2.10 1.70
03.10.23 Crewe – Gillingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.202.63 2.00 1.85
23.09.23 Doncaster – Gillingham 2–1 (1–1) 3.103.252.38 2.25 1.62
02.09.23 Grimsby – Gillingham 2–0 (2–0) 2.503.252.90 2.30 1.60
19.08.23 Crawley Town – Gillingham 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.202.50 2.25 1.62
15.08.23 Sutton – Gillingham 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.202.80 2.40 1.53
05.08.23 Stockport – Gillingham 0–1 (0–0) 1.753.605.00 2.25 1.62
08.05.23 Salford – Gillingham 0–1 (0–0) 1.504.007.50 1.93 1.93
22.04.23 Bradford – Gillingham 2–2 (0–1) 1.703.306.50 2.40 1.53
10.04.23 Northampton – Gillingham 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.104.33 2.60 1.48

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Swindon winsDrawsGillingham wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.23E3 Swindon – Gillingham 3–3 (1–3) 1.833.504.50 2.15 1.67
03.09.22E3 Gillingham – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.623.202.75 2.15 1.66

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 14 9 2 3 29 16 +13 29
2 Notts County 14 8 3 3 30 26 +4 27
3 Crewe 14 7 5 2 34 23 +11 26
4 Wrexham 14 6 6 2 28 26 +2 24
5 Swindon 13 6 5 2 31 20 +11 23
6 Mansfield 13 5 8 0 21 10 +11 23
7 Accrington 14 7 2 5 20 18 +2 23
8 AFC Wimbledon 14 5 7 2 20 11 +9 22
9 Gillingham 14 7 1 6 13 18 -5 22
10 Morecambe 12 6 3 3 18 15 +3 21
11 Bradford 14 5 5 4 15 15 0 20
12 Crawley Town 13 6 2 5 22 24 -2 20
13 Walsall 14 5 4 5 22 25 -3 19
14 Harrogate 14 6 1 7 14 17 -3 19
15 Barrow 13 4 6 3 15 14 +1 18
16 Salford 14 5 2 7 23 24 -1 17
17 Doncaster 14 5 2 7 19 22 -3 17
18 Milton Keynes Dons 14 4 4 6 19 21 -2 16
19 Newport County 14 4 3 7 24 29 -5 15
20 Grimsby 14 3 5 6 18 22 -4 14
21 Tranmere 14 3 1 10 18 26 -8 10
22 Forest Green 13 3 1 9 16 24 -8 10
23 Colchester 13 3 1 9 18 27 -9 10
24 Sutton 14 2 1 11 19 33 -14 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Crewe 7 5 2 0 17 8 +9 17
2 Stockport 8 5 2 1 16 7 +9 17
3 Swindon 6 5 1 0 19 6 +13 16
4 Accrington 8 5 1 2 14 10 +4 16
5 Crawley Town 8 5 0 3 15 10 +5 15
6 Notts County 6 5 0 1 16 12 +4 15
7 Wrexham 7 4 2 1 23 18 +5 14
8 Gillingham 7 4 1 2 8 8 0 13
9 Morecambe 6 3 3 0 9 4 +5 12
10 Mansfield 6 3 3 0 7 2 +5 12
11 Newport County 8 3 3 2 17 14 +3 12
12 Bradford 7 3 3 1 8 7 +1 12
13 Doncaster 7 3 2 2 11 8 +3 11
14 Walsall 6 3 2 1 9 6 +3 11
15 Grimsby 7 3 2 2 9 7 +2 11
16 Tranmere 8 3 1 4 14 12 +2 10
17 Barrow 5 2 3 0 7 5 +2 9
18 Milton Keynes Dons 6 2 2 2 7 7 0 8
19 Salford 7 2 2 3 11 12 -1 8
20 Sutton 8 2 1 5 12 12 0 7
21 Colchester 7 2 1 4 12 15 -3 7
22 AFC Wimbledon 6 1 3 2 9 8 +1 6
23 Harrogate 6 2 0 4 6 8 -2 6
24 Forest Green 7 1 0 6 9 15 -6 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 AFC Wimbledon 8 4 4 0 11 3 +8 16
2 Harrogate 8 4 1 3 8 9 -1 13
3 Stockport 6 4 0 2 13 9 +4 12
4 Notts County 8 3 3 2 14 14 0 12
5 Mansfield 7 2 5 0 14 8 +6 11
6 Wrexham 7 2 4 1 5 8 -3 10
7 Crewe 7 2 3 2 17 15 +2 9
8 Salford 7 3 0 4 12 12 0 9
9 Barrow 8 2 3 3 8 9 -1 9
10 Morecambe 6 3 0 3 9 11 -2 9
11 Gillingham 7 3 0 4 5 10 -5 9
12 Bradford 7 2 2 3 7 8 -1 8
13 Milton Keynes Dons 8 2 2 4 12 14 -2 8
14 Walsall 8 2 2 4 13 19 -6 8
15 Swindon 7 1 4 2 12 14 -2 7
16 Forest Green 6 2 1 3 7 9 -2 7
17 Accrington 6 2 1 3 6 8 -2 7
18 Doncaster 7 2 0 5 8 14 -6 6
19 Crawley Town 5 1 2 2 7 14 -7 5
20 Grimsby 7 0 3 4 9 15 -6 3
21 Colchester 6 1 0 5 6 12 -6 3
22 Newport County 6 1 0 5 7 15 -8 3
23 Tranmere 6 0 0 6 4 14 -10 0
24 Sutton 6 0 0 6 7 21 -14 0

Swindon   Gillingham

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Newport County 14 2 12 1.7 2.1 4 3 7 24 29 15
2 3 Crewe 14 3 11 2.4 1.6 7 5 2 34 23 26
3 2 Notts County 14 4 10 2.1 1.9 8 3 3 30 26 27
4 13 Walsall 14 4 10 1.6 1.8 5 4 5 22 25 19
5 17 Doncaster 14 4 10 1.4 1.6 5 2 7 19 22 17
6 24 Sutton 14 4 10 1.4 2.4 2 1 11 19 33 7
7 1 Stockport 14 5 9 2.1 1.1 9 2 3 29 16 29
8 5 Swindon 13 4 9 2.4 1.5 6 5 2 31 20 23
9 21 Tranmere 14 5 9 1.3 1.9 3 1 10 18 26 10
10 23 Colchester 13 4 9 1.4 2.1 3 1 9 18 27 10
11 4 Wrexham 14 6 8 2.0 1.9 6 6 2 28 26 24
12 7 Accrington 14 6 8 1.4 1.3 7 2 5 20 18 23
13 10 Morecambe 12 4 8 1.5 1.2 6 3 3 18 15 21
14 12 Crawley Town 13 5 8 1.7 1.8 6 2 5 22 24 20
15 16 Salford 14 6 8 1.6 1.7 5 2 7 23 24 17
16 18 Milton Keynes Dons 14 6 8 1.4 1.5 4 4 6 19 21 16
17 22 Forest Green 13 5 8 1.2 1.8 3 1 9 16 24 10
18 20 Grimsby 14 7 7 1.3 1.6 3 5 6 18 22 14
19 6 Mansfield 13 7 6 1.6 0.8 5 8 0 21 10 23
20 8 AFC Wimbledon 14 8 6 1.4 0.8 5 7 2 20 11 22
21 9 Gillingham 14 8 6 0.9 1.3 7 1 6 13 18 22
22 14 Harrogate 14 8 6 1.0 1.2 6 1 7 14 17 19
23 11 Bradford 14 9 5 1.1 1.1 5 5 4 15 15 20
24 15 Barrow 13 8 5 1.2 1.1 4 6 3 15 14 18
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Wrexham 7 0 7 3.3 2.6 4 2 1 23 18 14
2 19 Newport County 8 1 7 2.1 1.8 3 3 2 17 14 12
3 2 Notts County 6 0 6 2.7 2.0 5 0 1 16 12 15
4 7 Accrington 8 2 6 1.8 1.2 5 1 2 14 10 16
5 21 Tranmere 8 2 6 1.8 1.5 3 1 4 14 12 10
6 22 Forest Green 7 1 6 1.3 2.1 1 0 6 9 15 3
7 3 Crewe 7 2 5 2.4 1.1 5 2 0 17 8 17
8 12 Crawley Town 8 3 5 1.9 1.2 5 0 3 15 10 15
9 16 Salford 7 2 5 1.6 1.7 2 2 3 11 12 8
10 5 Swindon 6 2 4 3.2 1.0 5 1 0 19 6 16
11 9 Gillingham 7 3 4 1.1 1.1 4 1 2 8 8 13
12 17 Doncaster 7 3 4 1.6 1.1 3 2 2 11 8 11
13 23 Colchester 7 3 4 1.7 2.1 2 1 4 12 15 7
14 24 Sutton 8 4 4 1.5 1.5 2 1 5 12 12 7
15 1 Stockport 8 5 3 2.0 0.9 5 2 1 16 7 17
16 8 AFC Wimbledon 6 3 3 1.5 1.3 1 3 2 9 8 6
17 10 Morecambe 6 3 3 1.5 0.7 3 3 0 9 4 12
18 13 Walsall 6 3 3 1.5 1.0 3 2 1 9 6 11
19 18 Milton Keynes Dons 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 2 2 7 7 8
20 6 Mansfield 6 4 2 1.2 0.3 3 3 0 7 2 12
21 11 Bradford 7 5 2 1.1 1.0 3 3 1 8 7 12
22 14 Harrogate 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 2 0 4 6 8 6
23 15 Barrow 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 2 3 0 7 5 9
24 20 Grimsby 7 5 2 1.3 1.0 3 2 2 9 7 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Walsall 8 1 7 1.6 2.4 2 2 4 13 19 8
2 1 Stockport 6 0 6 2.2 1.5 4 0 2 13 9 12
3 3 Crewe 7 1 6 2.4 2.1 2 3 2 17 15 9
4 17 Doncaster 7 1 6 1.1 2.0 2 0 5 8 14 6
5 24 Sutton 6 0 6 1.2 3.5 0 0 6 7 21 0
6 5 Swindon 7 2 5 1.7 2.0 1 4 2 12 14 7
7 10 Morecambe 6 1 5 1.5 1.8 3 0 3 9 11 9
8 18 Milton Keynes Dons 8 3 5 1.5 1.8 2 2 4 12 14 8
9 19 Newport County 6 1 5 1.2 2.5 1 0 5 7 15 3
10 20 Grimsby 7 2 5 1.3 2.1 0 3 4 9 15 3
11 23 Colchester 6 1 5 1.0 2.0 1 0 5 6 12 3
12 2 Notts County 8 4 4 1.8 1.8 3 3 2 14 14 12
13 6 Mansfield 7 3 4 2.0 1.1 2 5 0 14 8 11
14 14 Harrogate 8 4 4 1.0 1.1 4 1 3 8 9 13
15 8 AFC Wimbledon 8 5 3 1.4 0.4 4 4 0 11 3 16
16 11 Bradford 7 4 3 1.0 1.1 2 2 3 7 8 8
17 12 Crawley Town 5 2 3 1.4 2.8 1 2 2 7 14 5
18 15 Barrow 8 5 3 1.0 1.1 2 3 3 8 9 9
19 16 Salford 7 4 3 1.7 1.7 3 0 4 12 12 9
20 21 Tranmere 6 3 3 0.7 2.3 0 0 6 4 14 0
21 7 Accrington 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 2 1 3 6 8 7
22 9 Gillingham 7 5 2 0.7 1.4 3 0 4 5 10 9
23 22 Forest Green 6 4 2 1.2 1.5 2 1 3 7 9 7
24 4 Wrexham 7 6 1 0.7 1.1 2 4 1 5 8 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51