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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: S Tallis

Morecambe 2–2 Swindon

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.30 fair 2.45
Draw ✓ 3.60 fair 4.14
Away 2.10 fair 2.86
Under 2.5 2.08 fair 2.39
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Morecambe Swindon
16 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
9 Corners 4
11 Fouls 6
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (94 league matches this season so far).
Result Morecambe to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.65
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.44
Home / Draw / Away
MorecambeDrawSwindon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 2–1 8.8% 1–2 8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Morecambe before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
1.00scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 7:8
Swindon before this match, all matches
2.14points / match
3.14scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 22:11
Morecambe all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 3.14
1.14 Goals conceded 1.57
2.14 Total goals 4.71
8.71 Shots 15.14
2.57 Shots on target 6.43
13.29 Shots faced 13.86
5.00 Corners 5.57
3.43 Corners against 4.14
12.29 Fouls 10.71
2.57 Yellow cards 2.43
0.57 1st-half goals scored 1.43
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

43% Wins 57%
14% Draws 43%
43% Losses 0%
86% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 86%
57% Over 2.5 goals 71%
0% Over 3.5 goals 57%
0% Over 4.5 goals 43%
0% Over 5.5 goals 43%
29% Both teams scored 57%
43% Clean sheets 43%
43% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 71%
29% Draws 14%
43% Losses 14%
86% Over 0.5 goals 86%
29% Over 1.5 goals 29%
14% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Morecambe all matches
Swindon all matches
Morecambe before this match, at home
2.50points / match
1.50scored / match
0.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:1
Swindon before this match, away
1.67points / match
2.33scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 7:6
Morecambe at home away Swindon

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 2.33
0.25 Goals conceded 2.00
1.75 Total goals 4.33
10.50 Shots 14.00
3.50 Shots on target 5.33
9.75 Shots faced 15.67
6.00 Corners 6.00
3.50 Corners against 5.33
12.00 Fouls 14.33
2.50 Yellow cards 3.33
0.75 1st-half goals scored 1.33
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

75% Wins 33%
25% Draws 67%
0% Losses 0%
75% Over 0.5 goals 67%
50% Over 1.5 goals 67%
50% Over 2.5 goals 67%
0% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 33%
25% Both teams scored 67%
75% Clean sheets 33%
25% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 33%
50% Draws 33%
0% Losses 33%
75% Over 0.5 goals 67%
25% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Morecambe at home
Swindon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Morecambe all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.09.23 Gillingham – Morecambe 2–1 (2–1) 1.803.505.00 2.10 1.70
02.09.23 Morecambe – Salford 1–0 (1–0) 2.803.402.50 1.95 1.90
26.08.23 Harrogate – Morecambe 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.502.90 1.98 1.88
19.08.23 Morecambe – Bradford 3–0 (1–0) 3.503.202.15 1.93 1.93
15.08.23 Morecambe – Notts County 0–0 (0–0) 4.503.751.80 1.70 2.10
12.08.23 Mansfield – Morecambe 3–0 (1–0) 1.554.206.00 1.73 2.08
05.08.23 Morecambe – Walsall 2–1 (1–1) 2.603.202.80 2.15 1.67
07.05.23E2 Exeter – Morecambe 3–2 (0–0) 2.453.602.70 1.67 2.15
29.04.23E2 Morecambe – Lincoln 3–2 (0–1) 2.303.503.00 2.08 1.73
22.04.23E2 Charlton – Morecambe 2–3 (1–1) 1.703.804.75 1.82 2.02

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.09.23 Swindon – Walsall 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.78 2.10
09.09.23 Swindon – Sutton 5–3 (3–2) 1.753.604.50 1.80 2.00
02.09.23 Doncaster – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 1.90 1.95
26.08.23 Swindon – Crawley Town 6–0 (1–0) 2.003.603.75 1.85 2.00
19.08.23 Wrexham – Swindon 5–5 (1–4) 1.574.205.50 1.65 2.20
15.08.23 Forest Green – Swindon 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.402.63 1.93 1.93
12.08.23 Swindon – Crewe 2–2 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.95 1.90
08.05.23 Swindon – Crawley Town 2–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.33 1.62 2.25
29.04.23 Crewe – Swindon 2–1 (0–1) 2.883.402.45 2.00 1.85
25.04.23 Swindon – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 3.603.252.15 2.15 1.67

Morecambe at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.23 Morecambe – Salford 1–0 (1–0) 2.803.402.50 1.95 1.90
19.08.23 Morecambe – Bradford 3–0 (1–0) 3.503.202.15 1.93 1.93
15.08.23 Morecambe – Notts County 0–0 (0–0) 4.503.751.80 1.70 2.10
05.08.23 Morecambe – Walsall 2–1 (1–1) 2.603.202.80 2.15 1.67
29.04.23E2 Morecambe – Lincoln 3–2 (0–1) 2.303.503.00 2.08 1.73
15.04.23E2 Morecambe – Wycombe 1–0 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 1.98 1.88
07.04.23E2 Morecambe – Plymouth 1–3 (1–0) 5.254.001.62 1.73 2.08
18.03.23E2 Morecambe – Oxford 1–1 (0–1) 3.603.601.95 2.10 1.70
14.03.23E2 Morecambe – Charlton 1–4 (0–3) 3.303.302.20 2.00 1.80
04.03.23E2 Morecambe – Bolton 0–0 (0–0) 5.253.801.67 1.83 2.02

Swindon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.23 Doncaster – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 1.90 1.95
19.08.23 Wrexham – Swindon 5–5 (1–4) 1.574.205.50 1.65 2.20
15.08.23 Forest Green – Swindon 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.402.63 1.93 1.93
29.04.23 Crewe – Swindon 2–1 (0–1) 2.883.402.45 2.00 1.85
22.04.23 AFC Wimbledon – Swindon 1–5 (1–3) 2.503.252.88 2.10 1.70
10.04.23 Tranmere – Swindon 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.252.90 2.15 1.67
01.04.23 Hartlepool – Swindon 2–1 (0–1) 2.753.252.60 1.95 1.90
18.03.23 Rochdale – Swindon 4–4 (2–2) 3.253.402.20 2.08 1.73
14.03.23 Walsall – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.75 2.15 1.67
04.03.23 Leyton Orient – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.104.00 2.25 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Gillingham 8 6 0 2 7 6 +1 18
2 Notts County 8 5 2 1 15 11 +4 17
3 Swindon 7 4 3 0 22 11 +11 15
4 Wrexham 8 4 3 1 20 15 +5 15
5 Mansfield 8 3 5 0 15 8 +7 14
6 Crawley Town 8 4 2 2 14 15 -1 14
7 Crewe 8 3 4 1 19 13 +6 13
8 Accrington 8 4 1 3 13 11 +2 13
9 Milton Keynes Dons 8 4 1 3 15 14 +1 13
10 Barrow 7 3 3 1 8 6 +2 12
11 AFC Wimbledon 8 2 5 1 12 8 +4 11
12 Newport County 8 3 2 3 16 15 +1 11
13 Stockport 8 3 2 3 12 12 0 11
14 Walsall 8 3 2 3 11 13 -2 11
15 Grimsby 8 2 4 2 9 9 0 10
16 Morecambe 7 3 1 3 7 8 -1 10
17 Bradford 8 2 4 2 6 8 -2 10
18 Colchester 7 2 1 4 9 9 0 7
19 Salford 8 2 1 5 9 13 -4 7
20 Harrogate 8 2 1 5 5 9 -4 7
21 Forest Green 8 2 1 5 6 14 -8 7
22 Doncaster 8 1 2 5 7 15 -8 5
23 Tranmere 8 1 0 7 10 15 -5 3
24 Sutton 8 1 0 7 11 20 -9 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Crawley Town 5 4 0 1 10 5 +5 12
2 Swindon 4 3 1 0 15 5 +10 10
3 Morecambe 4 3 1 0 6 1 +5 10
4 Wrexham 5 3 1 1 17 13 +4 10
5 Accrington 5 3 1 1 10 6 +4 10
6 Notts County 3 3 0 0 8 4 +4 9
7 Gillingham 4 3 0 1 4 4 0 9
8 Newport County 4 2 2 0 10 4 +6 8
9 Crewe 4 2 2 0 11 7 +4 8
10 Grimsby 4 2 2 0 5 1 +4 8
11 Bradford 4 2 2 0 5 3 +2 8
12 Mansfield 3 2 1 0 6 2 +4 7
13 Walsall 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
14 Milton Keynes Dons 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
15 Stockport 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
16 Barrow 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
17 Colchester 4 1 1 2 5 6 -1 4
18 Tranmere 4 1 0 3 7 7 0 3
19 Harrogate 3 1 0 2 2 2 0 3
20 AFC Wimbledon 4 0 3 1 5 6 -1 3
21 Sutton 4 1 0 3 5 6 -1 3
22 Doncaster 4 0 2 2 3 6 -3 2
23 Salford 4 0 1 3 3 7 -4 1
24 Forest Green 5 0 0 5 3 13 -10 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Gillingham 4 3 0 1 3 2 +1 9
2 AFC Wimbledon 4 2 2 0 7 2 +5 8
3 Barrow 5 2 2 1 5 4 +1 8
4 Notts County 5 2 2 1 7 7 0 8
5 Mansfield 5 1 4 0 9 6 +3 7
6 Forest Green 3 2 1 0 3 1 +2 7
7 Milton Keynes Dons 4 2 0 2 10 10 0 6
8 Stockport 4 2 0 2 7 7 0 6
9 Salford 4 2 0 2 6 6 0 6
10 Crewe 4 1 2 1 8 6 +2 5
11 Swindon 3 1 2 0 7 6 +1 5
12 Wrexham 3 1 2 0 3 2 +1 5
13 Walsall 5 1 1 3 7 11 -4 4
14 Harrogate 5 1 1 3 3 7 -4 4
15 Colchester 3 1 0 2 4 3 +1 3
16 Accrington 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
17 Newport County 4 1 0 3 6 11 -5 3
18 Doncaster 4 1 0 3 4 9 -5 3
19 Grimsby 4 0 2 2 4 8 -4 2
20 Bradford 4 0 2 2 1 5 -4 2
21 Crawley Town 3 0 2 1 4 10 -6 2
22 Tranmere 4 0 0 4 3 8 -5 0
23 Morecambe 3 0 0 3 1 7 -6 0
24 Sutton 4 0 0 4 6 14 -8 0

Morecambe   Swindon

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Crewe 8 1 7 2.4 1.6 3 4 1 19 13 13
2 12 Newport County 8 1 7 2.0 1.9 3 2 3 16 15 11
3 8 Accrington 8 2 6 1.6 1.4 4 1 3 13 11 13
4 9 Milton Keynes Dons 8 2 6 1.9 1.8 4 1 3 15 14 13
5 22 Doncaster 8 2 6 0.9 1.9 1 2 5 7 15 5
6 24 Sutton 8 2 6 1.4 2.5 1 0 7 11 20 3
7 2 Notts County 8 3 5 1.9 1.4 5 2 1 15 11 17
8 3 Swindon 7 2 5 3.1 1.6 4 3 0 22 11 15
9 4 Wrexham 8 3 5 2.5 1.9 4 3 1 20 15 15
10 5 Mansfield 8 3 5 1.9 1.0 3 5 0 15 8 14
11 6 Crawley Town 8 3 5 1.8 1.9 4 2 2 14 15 14
12 13 Stockport 8 3 5 1.5 1.5 3 2 3 12 12 11
13 14 Walsall 8 3 5 1.4 1.6 3 2 3 11 13 11
14 23 Tranmere 8 3 5 1.2 1.9 1 0 7 10 15 3
15 11 AFC Wimbledon 8 4 4 1.5 1.0 2 5 1 12 8 11
16 16 Morecambe 7 3 4 1.0 1.1 3 1 3 7 8 10
17 21 Forest Green 8 4 4 0.8 1.8 2 1 5 6 14 7
18 18 Colchester 7 4 3 1.3 1.3 2 1 4 9 9 7
19 19 Salford 8 5 3 1.1 1.6 2 1 5 9 13 7
20 1 Gillingham 8 6 2 0.9 0.8 6 0 2 7 6 18
21 10 Barrow 7 5 2 1.1 0.9 3 3 1 8 6 12
22 15 Grimsby 8 6 2 1.1 1.1 2 4 2 9 9 10
23 17 Bradford 8 6 2 0.8 1.0 2 4 2 6 8 10
24 20 Harrogate 8 6 2 0.6 1.1 2 1 5 5 9 7
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Wrexham 5 0 5 3.4 2.6 3 1 1 17 13 10
2 7 Crewe 4 0 4 2.8 1.8 2 2 0 11 7 8
3 8 Accrington 5 1 4 2.0 1.2 3 1 1 10 6 10
4 21 Forest Green 5 1 4 0.6 2.6 0 0 5 3 13 0
5 2 Notts County 3 0 3 2.7 1.3 3 0 0 8 4 9
6 3 Swindon 4 1 3 3.8 1.2 3 1 0 15 5 10
7 6 Crawley Town 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 4 0 1 10 5 12
8 12 Newport County 4 1 3 2.5 1.0 2 2 0 10 4 8
9 23 Tranmere 4 1 3 1.8 1.8 1 0 3 7 7 3
10 1 Gillingham 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 3 0 1 4 4 9
11 5 Mansfield 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 2 1 0 6 2 7
12 9 Milton Keynes Dons 4 2 2 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
13 11 AFC Wimbledon 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 0 3 1 5 6 3
14 16 Morecambe 4 2 2 1.5 0.2 3 1 0 6 1 10
15 19 Salford 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 1 3 3 7 1
16 22 Doncaster 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 0 2 2 3 6 2
17 24 Sutton 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 0 3 5 6 3
18 10 Barrow 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
19 13 Stockport 4 3 1 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
20 14 Walsall 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7
21 17 Bradford 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 0 5 3 8
22 18 Colchester 4 3 1 1.2 1.5 1 1 2 5 6 4
23 15 Grimsby 4 4 0 1.2 0.2 2 2 0 5 1 8
24 20 Harrogate 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 1 0 2 2 2 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Milton Keynes Dons 4 0 4 2.5 2.5 2 0 2 10 10 6
2 12 Newport County 4 0 4 1.5 2.8 1 0 3 6 11 3
3 13 Stockport 4 0 4 1.8 1.8 2 0 2 7 7 6
4 14 Walsall 5 1 4 1.4 2.2 1 1 3 7 11 4
5 22 Doncaster 4 0 4 1.0 2.2 1 0 3 4 9 3
6 24 Sutton 4 0 4 1.5 3.5 0 0 4 6 14 0
7 5 Mansfield 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 1 4 0 9 6 7
8 7 Crewe 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 1 2 1 8 6 5
9 2 Notts County 5 3 2 1.4 1.4 2 2 1 7 7 8
10 3 Swindon 3 1 2 2.3 2.0 1 2 0 7 6 5
11 6 Crawley Town 3 1 2 1.3 3.3 0 2 1 4 10 2
12 8 Accrington 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
13 11 AFC Wimbledon 4 2 2 1.8 0.5 2 2 0 7 2 8
14 15 Grimsby 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 0 2 2 4 8 2
15 16 Morecambe 3 1 2 0.3 2.3 0 0 3 1 7 0
16 18 Colchester 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 1 0 2 4 3 3
17 20 Harrogate 5 3 2 0.6 1.4 1 1 3 3 7 4
18 23 Tranmere 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 0 0 4 3 8 0
19 10 Barrow 5 4 1 1.0 0.8 2 2 1 5 4 8
20 17 Bradford 4 3 1 0.2 1.2 0 2 2 1 5 2
21 19 Salford 4 3 1 1.5 1.5 2 0 2 6 6 6
22 1 Gillingham 4 4 0 0.8 0.5 3 0 1 3 2 9
23 4 Wrexham 3 3 0 1.0 0.7 1 2 0 3 2 5
24 21 Forest Green 3 3 0 1.0 0.3 2 1 0 3 1 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51