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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: A Davies

Swindon 2–1 Grimsby

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.83 fair 1.76
Draw 3.50 fair 4.82
Away 4.50 fair 4.46
Under 2.5 2.08 fair 2.93
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.52

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Swindon Grimsby
8 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
9 Corners 7
5 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (106 league matches this season so far).
Result Swindon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.58
Expected goals 2.12 – 1.27
Home / Draw / Away
SwindonDrawGrimsby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.6% 1–1 9.1% 2–0 7.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Swindon before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
3.00scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 24:13
Grimsby before this match, all matches
1.11points / match
1.22scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 11:12
Swindon all matches all matches Grimsby

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 1.22
1.63 Goals conceded 1.33
4.63 Total goals 2.56
14.88 Shots 11.11
6.25 Shots on target 3.33
14.13 Shots faced 12.22
5.38 Corners 4.89
4.75 Corners against 5.78
10.13 Fouls 10.67
2.38 Yellow cards 2.11
1.38 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

50% Wins 22%
50% Draws 44%
0% Losses 33%
88% Over 0.5 goals 89%
88% Over 1.5 goals 89%
75% Over 2.5 goals 33%
63% Over 3.5 goals 22%
38% Over 4.5 goals 22%
38% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 56%
38% Clean sheets 33%
13% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

63% Wins 56%
25% Draws 33%
13% Losses 11%
88% Over 0.5 goals 78%
38% Over 1.5 goals 44%
25% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon all matches
Grimsby all matches
Swindon before this match, at home
2.50points / match
3.75scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 15:5
Grimsby before this match, away
0.50points / match
1.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:8
Swindon at home away Grimsby

Per match

3.75 Goals scored 1.00
1.25 Goals conceded 2.00
5.00 Total goals 3.00
16.00 Shots 9.25
7.25 Shots on target 2.25
12.50 Shots faced 13.50
5.25 Corners 4.75
3.25 Corners against 6.25
8.00 Fouls 10.75
1.75 Yellow cards 3.25
1.50 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

75% Wins 0%
25% Draws 50%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
75% Over 2.5 goals 50%
75% Over 3.5 goals 25%
50% Over 4.5 goals 25%
50% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 75%
50% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 50%
0% Draws 25%
0% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
25% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon at home
Grimsby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23 Morecambe – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.08
16.09.23 Swindon – Walsall 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.78 2.10
09.09.23 Swindon – Sutton 5–3 (3–2) 1.753.604.50 1.80 2.00
02.09.23 Doncaster – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 1.90 1.95
26.08.23 Swindon – Crawley Town 6–0 (1–0) 2.003.603.75 1.85 2.00
19.08.23 Wrexham – Swindon 5–5 (1–4) 1.574.205.50 1.65 2.20
15.08.23 Forest Green – Swindon 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.402.63 1.93 1.93
12.08.23 Swindon – Crewe 2–2 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.95 1.90
08.05.23 Swindon – Crawley Town 2–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.33 1.62 2.25
29.04.23 Crewe – Swindon 2–1 (0–1) 2.883.402.45 2.00 1.85

Grimsby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23 Grimsby – Crawley Town 2–3 (2–2) 2.003.503.75 1.93 1.93
16.09.23 Wrexham – Grimsby 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.005.25 1.65 2.20
09.09.23 Bradford – Grimsby 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.503.80 2.00 1.85
02.09.23 Grimsby – Gillingham 2–0 (2–0) 2.503.252.90 2.30 1.60
26.08.23 Walsall – Grimsby 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.302.88 2.15 1.67
19.08.23 Grimsby – Mansfield 1–1 (1–0) 3.253.402.25 1.98 1.88
15.08.23 Grimsby – Salford 2–0 (1–0) 2.633.302.70 2.03 1.83
12.08.23 Notts County – Grimsby 3–2 (1–2) 1.734.004.75 1.70 2.10
05.08.23 Grimsby – AFC Wimbledon 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.80 2.05 1.75
08.05.23 Grimsby – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 2.02 1.82

Swindon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.09.23 Swindon – Walsall 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.78 2.10
09.09.23 Swindon – Sutton 5–3 (3–2) 1.753.604.50 1.80 2.00
26.08.23 Swindon – Crawley Town 6–0 (1–0) 2.003.603.75 1.85 2.00
12.08.23 Swindon – Crewe 2–2 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.95 1.90
08.05.23 Swindon – Crawley Town 2–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.33 1.62 2.25
25.04.23 Swindon – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 3.603.252.15 2.15 1.67
18.04.23 Swindon – Bradford 1–0 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85
15.04.23 Swindon – Barrow 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.15 1.67
07.04.23 Swindon – Mansfield 2–4 (1–3) 3.203.402.25 2.00 1.85
25.03.23 Swindon – Stockport 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.10 1.70

Grimsby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.09.23 Wrexham – Grimsby 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.005.25 1.65 2.20
09.09.23 Bradford – Grimsby 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.503.80 2.00 1.85
26.08.23 Walsall – Grimsby 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.302.88 2.15 1.67
12.08.23 Notts County – Grimsby 3–2 (1–2) 1.734.004.75 1.70 2.10
29.04.23 Stevenage – Grimsby 2–0 (0–0) 1.653.755.75 2.15 1.67
22.04.23 Tranmere – Grimsby 2–0 (1–0) 2.703.302.60 2.15 1.67
10.04.23 Doncaster – Grimsby 1–2 (1–0) 2.803.252.55 2.15 1.67
01.04.23 Bradford – Grimsby 3–2 (1–2) 1.913.404.33 2.10 1.70
28.03.23 Crawley Town – Grimsby 1–1 (0–1) 2.633.252.63 2.05 1.75
22.03.23 Mansfield – Grimsby 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.404.50 2.02 1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Swindon winsDrawsGrimsby wins
2matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.23E3 Swindon – Grimsby 5–0 (1–0) 2.553.103.00 2.08 1.73
24.09.22E3 Grimsby – Swindon 1–2 (1–2) 2.253.403.20 2.00 1.85

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Notts County 9 6 2 1 19 14 +5 20
2 Gillingham 9 6 0 3 8 8 0 18
3 Mansfield 9 4 5 0 16 8 +8 17
4 Crawley Town 9 5 2 2 17 17 0 17
5 Swindon 8 4 4 0 24 13 +11 16
6 Crewe 9 4 4 1 21 14 +7 16
7 Wrexham 9 4 3 2 20 20 0 15
8 AFC Wimbledon 9 3 5 1 15 9 +6 14
9 Stockport 9 4 2 3 17 12 +5 14
10 Milton Keynes Dons 9 4 2 3 16 15 +1 14
11 Bradford 9 3 4 2 10 9 +1 13
12 Accrington 9 4 1 4 13 13 0 13
13 Barrow 8 3 3 2 8 7 +1 12
14 Morecambe 8 3 2 3 9 10 -1 11
15 Newport County 9 3 2 4 17 19 -2 11
16 Walsall 9 3 2 4 12 16 -4 11
17 Grimsby 9 2 4 3 11 12 -1 10
18 Harrogate 9 3 1 5 8 11 -3 10
19 Doncaster 9 2 2 5 9 16 -7 8
20 Colchester 8 2 1 5 10 11 -1 7
21 Salford 9 2 1 6 11 16 -5 7
22 Forest Green 9 2 1 6 9 18 -9 7
23 Tranmere 9 2 0 7 12 15 -3 6
24 Sutton 9 1 1 7 12 21 -9 4
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Notts County 4 4 0 0 12 7 +5 12
2 Crawley Town 5 4 0 1 10 5 +5 12
3 Crewe 5 3 2 0 13 8 +5 11
4 Morecambe 5 3 2 0 8 3 +5 11
5 Swindon 4 3 1 0 15 5 +10 10
6 Mansfield 4 3 1 0 7 2 +5 10
7 Wrexham 5 3 1 1 17 13 +4 10
8 Accrington 5 3 1 1 10 6 +4 10
9 Gillingham 4 3 0 1 4 4 0 9
10 Stockport 5 2 2 1 10 5 +5 8
11 Newport County 5 2 2 1 11 8 +3 8
12 Grimsby 5 2 2 1 7 4 +3 8
13 Bradford 4 2 2 0 5 3 +2 8
14 Milton Keynes Dons 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
15 Walsall 4 2 1 1 5 5 0 7
16 Tranmere 5 2 0 3 9 7 +2 6
17 Harrogate 4 2 0 2 5 4 +1 6
18 Doncaster 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5
19 Barrow 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
20 Sutton 5 1 1 3 6 7 -1 4
21 Colchester 4 1 1 2 5 6 -1 4
22 AFC Wimbledon 4 0 3 1 5 6 -1 3
23 Salford 4 0 1 3 3 7 -4 1
24 Forest Green 5 0 0 5 3 13 -10 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 AFC Wimbledon 5 3 2 0 10 3 +7 11
2 Gillingham 5 3 0 2 4 4 0 9
3 Notts County 5 2 2 1 7 7 0 8
4 Barrow 6 2 2 2 5 5 0 8
5 Mansfield 5 1 4 0 9 6 +3 7
6 Forest Green 4 2 1 1 6 5 +1 7
7 Milton Keynes Dons 5 2 1 2 11 11 0 7
8 Swindon 4 1 3 0 9 8 +1 6
9 Stockport 4 2 0 2 7 7 0 6
10 Salford 5 2 0 3 8 9 -1 6
11 Crewe 4 1 2 1 8 6 +2 5
12 Bradford 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
13 Wrexham 4 1 2 1 3 7 -4 5
14 Crawley Town 4 1 2 1 7 12 -5 5
15 Walsall 5 1 1 3 7 11 -4 4
16 Harrogate 5 1 1 3 3 7 -4 4
17 Colchester 4 1 0 3 5 5 0 3
18 Accrington 4 1 0 3 3 7 -4 3
19 Newport County 4 1 0 3 6 11 -5 3
20 Doncaster 4 1 0 3 4 9 -5 3
21 Grimsby 4 0 2 2 4 8 -4 2
22 Tranmere 4 0 0 4 3 8 -5 0
23 Morecambe 3 0 0 3 1 7 -6 0
24 Sutton 4 0 0 4 6 14 -8 0

Swindon   Grimsby

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Crewe 9 1 8 2.3 1.6 4 4 1 21 14 16
2 15 Newport County 9 1 8 1.9 2.1 3 2 4 17 19 11
3 19 Doncaster 9 2 7 1.0 1.8 2 2 5 9 16 8
4 1 Notts County 9 3 6 2.1 1.6 6 2 1 19 14 20
5 4 Crawley Town 9 3 6 1.9 1.9 5 2 2 17 17 17
6 5 Swindon 8 2 6 3.0 1.6 4 4 0 24 13 16
7 7 Wrexham 9 3 6 2.2 2.2 4 3 2 20 20 15
8 9 Stockport 9 3 6 1.9 1.3 4 2 3 17 12 14
9 10 Milton Keynes Dons 9 3 6 1.8 1.7 4 2 3 16 15 14
10 12 Accrington 9 3 6 1.4 1.4 4 1 4 13 13 13
11 16 Walsall 9 3 6 1.3 1.8 3 2 4 12 16 11
12 24 Sutton 9 3 6 1.3 2.3 1 1 7 12 21 4
13 3 Mansfield 9 4 5 1.8 0.9 4 5 0 16 8 17
14 8 AFC Wimbledon 9 4 5 1.7 1.0 3 5 1 15 9 14
15 14 Morecambe 8 3 5 1.1 1.2 3 2 3 9 10 11
16 22 Forest Green 9 4 5 1.0 2.0 2 1 6 9 18 7
17 23 Tranmere 9 4 5 1.3 1.7 2 0 7 12 15 6
18 20 Colchester 8 4 4 1.2 1.4 2 1 5 10 11 7
19 21 Salford 9 5 4 1.2 1.8 2 1 6 11 16 7
20 2 Gillingham 9 6 3 0.9 0.9 6 0 3 8 8 18
21 11 Bradford 9 6 3 1.1 1.0 3 4 2 10 9 13
22 17 Grimsby 9 6 3 1.2 1.3 2 4 3 11 12 10
23 18 Harrogate 9 6 3 0.9 1.2 3 1 5 8 11 10
24 13 Barrow 8 6 2 1.0 0.9 3 3 2 8 7 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Crewe 5 0 5 2.6 1.6 3 2 0 13 8 11
2 7 Wrexham 5 0 5 3.4 2.6 3 1 1 17 13 10
3 1 Notts County 4 0 4 3.0 1.8 4 0 0 12 7 12
4 12 Accrington 5 1 4 2.0 1.2 3 1 1 10 6 10
5 15 Newport County 5 1 4 2.2 1.6 2 2 1 11 8 8
6 22 Forest Green 5 1 4 0.6 2.6 0 0 5 3 13 0
7 4 Crawley Town 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 4 0 1 10 5 12
8 5 Swindon 4 1 3 3.8 1.2 3 1 0 15 5 10
9 14 Morecambe 5 2 3 1.6 0.6 3 2 0 8 3 11
10 19 Doncaster 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5
11 23 Tranmere 5 2 3 1.8 1.4 2 0 3 9 7 6
12 2 Gillingham 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 3 0 1 4 4 9
13 3 Mansfield 4 2 2 1.8 0.5 3 1 0 7 2 10
14 8 AFC Wimbledon 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 0 3 1 5 6 3
15 9 Stockport 5 3 2 2.0 1.0 2 2 1 10 5 8
16 10 Milton Keynes Dons 4 2 2 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
17 16 Walsall 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 1 5 5 7
18 21 Salford 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 1 3 3 7 1
19 24 Sutton 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 1 1 3 6 7 4
20 11 Bradford 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 0 5 3 8
21 13 Barrow 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
22 17 Grimsby 5 4 1 1.4 0.8 2 2 1 7 4 8
23 18 Harrogate 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 0 2 5 4 6
24 20 Colchester 4 3 1 1.2 1.5 1 1 2 5 6 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Stockport 4 0 4 1.8 1.8 2 0 2 7 7 6
2 10 Milton Keynes Dons 5 1 4 2.2 2.2 2 1 2 11 11 7
3 15 Newport County 4 0 4 1.5 2.8 1 0 3 6 11 3
4 16 Walsall 5 1 4 1.4 2.2 1 1 3 7 11 4
5 19 Doncaster 4 0 4 1.0 2.2 1 0 3 4 9 3
6 24 Sutton 4 0 4 1.5 3.5 0 0 4 6 14 0
7 3 Mansfield 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 1 4 0 9 6 7
8 4 Crawley Town 4 1 3 1.8 3.0 1 2 1 7 12 5
9 5 Swindon 4 1 3 2.2 2.0 1 3 0 9 8 6
10 6 Crewe 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 1 2 1 8 6 5
11 8 AFC Wimbledon 5 2 3 2.0 0.6 3 2 0 10 3 11
12 20 Colchester 4 1 3 1.2 1.2 1 0 3 5 5 3
13 1 Notts County 5 3 2 1.4 1.4 2 2 1 7 7 8
14 11 Bradford 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
15 12 Accrington 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 1 0 3 3 7 3
16 14 Morecambe 3 1 2 0.3 2.3 0 0 3 1 7 0
17 17 Grimsby 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 0 2 2 4 8 2
18 18 Harrogate 5 3 2 0.6 1.4 1 1 3 3 7 4
19 21 Salford 5 3 2 1.6 1.8 2 0 3 8 9 6
20 23 Tranmere 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 0 0 4 3 8 0
21 2 Gillingham 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 3 0 2 4 4 9
22 7 Wrexham 4 3 1 0.8 1.8 1 2 1 3 7 5
23 13 Barrow 6 5 1 0.8 0.8 2 2 2 5 5 8
24 22 Forest Green 4 3 1 1.5 1.2 2 1 1 6 5 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38