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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: B Atkinson

Swindon 5–3 Sutton

Full time · half time 3–2 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.75 fair 1.78
Draw 3.60 fair 4.67
Away 4.50 fair 4.47
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.66
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.60

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Swindon Sutton
15 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 3
4 Fouls 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (72 league matches this season so far).
Result Swindon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.65
Expected goals 2.02 – 1.20
Home / Draw / Away
SwindonDrawSutton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.8% 1–1 9.7% 2–0 8.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Swindon before this match, all matches
1.80points / match
3.00scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 15:8
Sutton before this match, all matches
0.50points / match
1.17scored / match
1.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 7:11
Swindon all matches all matches Sutton

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 1.17
1.60 Goals conceded 1.83
4.60 Total goals 3.00
15.80 Shots 10.67
6.40 Shots on target 3.67
15.40 Shots faced 13.50
6.00 Corners 4.00
4.80 Corners against 5.33
13.20 Fouls 9.83
2.80 Yellow cards 2.00
1.20 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.17

How often Full Time

40% Wins 17%
60% Draws 0%
0% Losses 83%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 67%
80% Over 2.5 goals 67%
60% Over 3.5 goals 33%
40% Over 4.5 goals 17%
40% Over 5.5 goals 17%
60% Both teams scored 50%
40% Clean sheets 0%
20% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 33%
20% Draws 50%
20% Losses 17%
80% Over 0.5 goals 50%
20% Over 1.5 goals 17%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon all matches
Sutton all matches
Swindon before this match, at home
2.00points / match
4.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 8:2
Sutton before this match, away
0.00points / match
1.00scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:5
Swindon at home away Sutton

Per match

4.00 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 2.50
5.00 Total goals 3.50
18.50 Shots 12.00
8.00 Shots on target 4.00
15.00 Shots faced 15.00
6.00 Corners 3.50
4.00 Corners against 5.00
11.50 Fouls 8.50
2.00 Yellow cards 2.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%
50% Draws 0%
0% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%
100% Over 3.5 goals 50%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
50% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 100%
50% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 50%
0% Draws 50%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon at home
Sutton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.23 Doncaster – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 1.90 1.95
26.08.23 Swindon – Crawley Town 6–0 (1–0) 2.003.603.75 1.85 2.00
19.08.23 Wrexham – Swindon 5–5 (1–4) 1.574.205.50 1.65 2.20
15.08.23 Forest Green – Swindon 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.402.63 1.93 1.93
12.08.23 Swindon – Crewe 2–2 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.95 1.90
08.05.23 Swindon – Crawley Town 2–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.33 1.62 2.25
29.04.23 Crewe – Swindon 2–1 (0–1) 2.883.402.45 2.00 1.85
25.04.23 Swindon – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 3.603.252.15 2.15 1.67
22.04.23 AFC Wimbledon – Swindon 1–5 (1–3) 2.503.252.88 2.10 1.70
18.04.23 Swindon – Bradford 1–0 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85

Sutton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.23 Sutton – Forest Green 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 2.00 1.85
26.08.23 Newport County – Sutton 3–1 (0–0) 1.953.403.90 2.05 1.75
19.08.23 Sutton – AFC Wimbledon 0–3 (0–0) 2.383.203.10 2.15 1.67
15.08.23 Sutton – Gillingham 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.202.80 2.40 1.53
12.08.23 Barrow – Sutton 2–1 (0–1) 2.403.103.20 2.35 1.57
05.08.23 Sutton – Notts County 5–1 (2–0) 4.754.001.67 1.62 2.25
08.05.23 Sutton – Carlisle 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.402.15 2.05 1.75
29.04.23 Rochdale – Sutton 4–1 (2–1) 3.203.402.25 2.00 1.85
22.04.23 Colchester – Sutton 4–1 (3–1) 2.253.303.30 2.25 1.62
18.04.23 Sutton – Northampton 1–2 (1–1) 2.753.102.70 2.40 1.53

Swindon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.08.23 Swindon – Crawley Town 6–0 (1–0) 2.003.603.75 1.85 2.00
12.08.23 Swindon – Crewe 2–2 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.95 1.90
08.05.23 Swindon – Crawley Town 2–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.33 1.62 2.25
25.04.23 Swindon – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 3.603.252.15 2.15 1.67
18.04.23 Swindon – Bradford 1–0 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85
15.04.23 Swindon – Barrow 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.15 1.67
07.04.23 Swindon – Mansfield 2–4 (1–3) 3.203.402.25 2.00 1.85
25.03.23 Swindon – Stockport 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.10 1.70
11.03.23 Swindon – Carlisle 1–2 (0–0) 2.903.102.55 2.05 1.75
25.02.23 Swindon – Harrogate 3–0 (2–0) 1.753.604.75 1.85 1.95

Sutton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.08.23 Newport County – Sutton 3–1 (0–0) 1.953.403.90 2.05 1.75
12.08.23 Barrow – Sutton 2–1 (0–1) 2.403.103.20 2.35 1.57
29.04.23 Rochdale – Sutton 4–1 (2–1) 3.203.402.25 2.00 1.85
22.04.23 Colchester – Sutton 4–1 (3–1) 2.253.303.30 2.25 1.62
10.04.23 Bradford – Sutton 3–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.40 2.25 1.62
01.04.23 Walsall – Sutton 1–1 (0–1) 2.753.202.75 2.50 1.50
25.03.23 Mansfield – Sutton 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.503.20 2.10 1.77
11.03.23 Barrow – Sutton 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.252.63 2.30 1.60
25.02.23 Newport County – Sutton 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.253.10 2.20 1.65
11.02.23 Hartlepool – Sutton 2–2 (2–2) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Swindon winsDrawsSutton wins
4matches
3.50goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.02.23E3 Sutton – Swindon 2–1 (0–1) 2.203.203.50 2.08 1.73
13.09.22E3 Swindon – Sutton 3–2 (2–2) 2.203.403.30 2.05 1.75
15.03.22E3 Swindon – Sutton 2–1 (1–1) 2.253.303.25 2.05 1.75
19.10.21E3 Sutton – Swindon 1–2 (1–2) 2.303.303.20 2.07 1.72

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Notts County 6 4 1 1 12 10 +2 13
2 Milton Keynes Dons 6 4 0 2 13 11 +2 12
3 Gillingham 6 4 0 2 4 5 -1 12
4 Barrow 6 3 2 1 7 5 +2 11
5 AFC Wimbledon 6 2 4 0 9 4 +5 10
6 Newport County 6 3 1 2 14 10 +4 10
7 Mansfield 6 2 4 0 11 7 +4 10
8 Grimsby 7 2 4 1 9 6 +3 10
9 Accrington 6 3 1 2 9 7 +2 10
10 Morecambe 6 3 1 2 6 6 0 10
11 Swindon 5 2 3 0 15 8 +7 9
12 Crewe 6 2 3 1 13 10 +3 9
13 Wrexham 6 2 3 1 15 14 +1 9
14 Bradford 7 2 3 2 5 7 -2 9
15 Walsall 6 2 2 2 9 10 -1 8
16 Crawley Town 6 2 2 2 7 12 -5 8
17 Salford 6 2 1 3 8 9 -1 7
18 Forest Green 6 2 1 3 4 8 -4 7
19 Harrogate 6 2 0 4 4 7 -3 6
20 Stockport 6 1 2 3 8 10 -2 5
21 Tranmere 6 1 0 5 8 10 -2 3
22 Colchester 5 1 0 4 6 8 -2 3
23 Sutton 6 1 0 5 7 11 -4 3
24 Doncaster 6 0 2 4 4 12 -8 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Morecambe 4 3 1 0 6 1 +5 10
2 Notts County 3 3 0 0 8 4 +4 9
3 Crewe 4 2 2 0 11 7 +4 8
4 Grimsby 4 2 2 0 5 1 +4 8
5 Newport County 3 2 1 0 9 3 +6 7
6 Accrington 3 2 1 0 6 2 +4 7
7 Mansfield 3 2 1 0 6 2 +4 7
8 Bradford 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
9 Walsall 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
10 Milton Keynes Dons 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
11 Crawley Town 3 2 0 1 3 2 +1 6
12 Stockport 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
13 Swindon 2 1 1 0 8 2 +6 4
14 Barrow 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
15 Wrexham 3 1 1 1 12 12 0 4
16 Tranmere 4 1 0 3 7 7 0 3
17 Harrogate 3 1 0 2 2 2 0 3
18 Sutton 4 1 0 3 5 6 -1 3
19 Gillingham 2 1 0 1 1 3 -2 3
20 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
21 Doncaster 4 0 2 2 3 6 -3 2
22 Salford 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
23 Colchester 2 0 0 2 2 5 -3 0
24 Forest Green 3 0 0 3 1 7 -6 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Gillingham 4 3 0 1 3 2 +1 9
2 AFC Wimbledon 4 2 2 0 7 2 +5 8
3 Forest Green 3 2 1 0 3 1 +2 7
4 Barrow 4 2 1 1 4 3 +1 7
5 Milton Keynes Dons 4 2 0 2 10 10 0 6
6 Salford 4 2 0 2 6 6 0 6
7 Swindon 3 1 2 0 7 6 +1 5
8 Wrexham 3 1 2 0 3 2 +1 5
9 Notts County 3 1 1 1 4 6 -2 4
10 Colchester 3 1 0 2 4 3 +1 3
11 Mansfield 3 0 3 0 5 5 0 3
12 Newport County 3 1 0 2 5 7 -2 3
13 Accrington 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
14 Harrogate 3 1 0 2 2 5 -3 3
15 Grimsby 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
16 Bradford 4 0 2 2 1 5 -4 2
17 Crawley Town 3 0 2 1 4 10 -6 2
18 Crewe 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
19 Walsall 3 0 1 2 5 8 -3 1
20 Stockport 2 0 0 2 3 5 -2 0
21 Tranmere 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
22 Sutton 2 0 0 2 2 5 -3 0
23 Doncaster 2 0 0 2 1 6 -5 0
24 Morecambe 2 0 0 2 0 5 -5 0

Swindon   Sutton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Newport County 6 0 6 2.3 1.7 3 1 2 14 10 10
2 1 Notts County 6 1 5 2.0 1.7 4 1 1 12 10 13
3 2 Milton Keynes Dons 6 1 5 2.2 1.8 4 0 2 13 11 12
4 12 Crewe 6 1 5 2.2 1.7 2 3 1 13 10 9
5 7 Mansfield 6 2 4 1.8 1.2 2 4 0 11 7 10
6 9 Accrington 6 2 4 1.5 1.2 3 1 2 9 7 10
7 11 Swindon 5 1 4 3.0 1.6 2 3 0 15 8 9
8 15 Walsall 6 2 4 1.5 1.7 2 2 2 9 10 8
9 21 Tranmere 6 2 4 1.3 1.7 1 0 5 8 10 3
10 23 Sutton 6 2 4 1.2 1.8 1 0 5 7 11 3
11 24 Doncaster 6 2 4 0.7 2.0 0 2 4 4 12 2
12 10 Morecambe 6 3 3 1.0 1.0 3 1 2 6 6 10
13 13 Wrexham 6 3 3 2.5 2.3 2 3 1 15 14 9
14 16 Crawley Town 6 3 3 1.2 2.0 2 2 2 7 12 8
15 20 Stockport 6 3 3 1.3 1.7 1 2 3 8 10 5
16 22 Colchester 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 1 0 4 6 8 3
17 4 Barrow 6 4 2 1.2 0.8 3 2 1 7 5 11
18 5 AFC Wimbledon 6 4 2 1.5 0.7 2 4 0 9 4 10
19 14 Bradford 7 5 2 0.7 1.0 2 3 2 5 7 9
20 17 Salford 6 4 2 1.3 1.5 2 1 3 8 9 7
21 18 Forest Green 6 4 2 0.7 1.3 2 1 3 4 8 7
22 19 Harrogate 6 4 2 0.7 1.2 2 0 4 4 7 6
23 3 Gillingham 6 5 1 0.7 0.8 4 0 2 4 5 12
24 8 Grimsby 7 6 1 1.3 0.9 2 4 1 9 6 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Crewe 4 0 4 2.8 1.8 2 2 0 11 7 8
2 1 Notts County 3 0 3 2.7 1.3 3 0 0 8 4 9
3 6 Newport County 3 0 3 3.0 1.0 2 1 0 9 3 7
4 13 Wrexham 3 0 3 4.0 4.0 1 1 1 12 12 4
5 21 Tranmere 4 1 3 1.8 1.8 1 0 3 7 7 3
6 7 Mansfield 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 2 1 0 6 2 7
7 9 Accrington 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 2 1 0 6 2 7
8 10 Morecambe 4 2 2 1.5 0.2 3 1 0 6 1 10
9 11 Swindon 2 0 2 4.0 1.0 1 1 0 8 2 4
10 18 Forest Green 3 1 2 0.3 2.3 0 0 3 1 7 0
11 23 Sutton 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 0 3 5 6 3
12 24 Doncaster 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 0 2 2 3 6 2
13 2 Milton Keynes Dons 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
14 3 Gillingham 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 1 0 1 1 3 3
15 4 Barrow 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
16 14 Bradford 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7
17 15 Walsall 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7
18 16 Crawley Town 3 2 1 1.0 0.7 2 0 1 3 2 6
19 17 Salford 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
20 20 Stockport 4 3 1 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
21 22 Colchester 2 1 1 1.0 2.5 0 0 2 2 5 0
22 5 AFC Wimbledon 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
23 8 Grimsby 4 4 0 1.2 0.2 2 2 0 5 1 8
24 19 Harrogate 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 1 0 2 2 2 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Milton Keynes Dons 4 0 4 2.5 2.5 2 0 2 10 10 6
2 6 Newport County 3 0 3 1.7 2.3 1 0 2 5 7 3
3 15 Walsall 3 0 3 1.7 2.7 0 1 2 5 8 1
4 1 Notts County 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 1 1 1 4 6 4
5 5 AFC Wimbledon 4 2 2 1.8 0.5 2 2 0 7 2 8
6 7 Mansfield 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 0 3 0 5 5 3
7 9 Accrington 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
8 11 Swindon 3 1 2 2.3 2.0 1 2 0 7 6 5
9 16 Crawley Town 3 1 2 1.3 3.3 0 2 1 4 10 2
10 19 Harrogate 3 1 2 0.7 1.7 1 0 2 2 5 3
11 20 Stockport 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 0 2 3 5 0
12 22 Colchester 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 1 0 2 4 3 3
13 23 Sutton 2 0 2 1.0 2.5 0 0 2 2 5 0
14 24 Doncaster 2 0 2 0.5 3.0 0 0 2 1 6 0
15 4 Barrow 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 2 1 1 4 3 7
16 8 Grimsby 3 2 1 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
17 10 Morecambe 2 1 1 0.0 2.5 0 0 2 0 5 0
18 12 Crewe 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
19 14 Bradford 4 3 1 0.2 1.2 0 2 2 1 5 2
20 17 Salford 4 3 1 1.5 1.5 2 0 2 6 6 6
21 21 Tranmere 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
22 3 Gillingham 4 4 0 0.8 0.5 3 0 1 3 2 9
23 13 Wrexham 3 3 0 1.0 0.7 1 2 0 3 2 5
24 18 Forest Green 3 3 0 1.0 0.3 2 1 0 3 1 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51