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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: E Duckworth

Reading 3–2 Luton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.65 fair 2.39
Draw 3.40 fair 3.75
Away 2.40 fair 3.17
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 1.86
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 2.16

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Reading Luton
6 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
0 Corners 5
9 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (231 league matches this season so far).
Result Reading to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.96
Expected goals 1.37 – 1.15
Home / Draw / Away
ReadingDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.7% 1–0 11% 0–1 9.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Reading before this match, all matches
1.16points / match
1.11scored / match
1.26conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 21:24
Luton before this match, all matches
1.45points / match
1.20scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 24:25
Reading all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.11 Goals scored 1.20
1.26 Goals conceded 1.25
2.37 Total goals 2.45
12.47 Shots 12.25
4.21 Shots on target 3.70
11.63 Shots faced 9.15
4.42 Corners 6.95
4.74 Corners against 3.50
11.42 Fouls 11.20
2.21 Yellow cards 1.65
0.42 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

26% Wins 40%
37% Draws 25%
37% Losses 35%
100% Over 0.5 goals 95%
84% Over 1.5 goals 70%
37% Over 2.5 goals 45%
11% Over 3.5 goals 25%
5% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 40%
21% Clean sheets 40%
16% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 25%
42% Draws 40%
32% Losses 35%
68% Over 0.5 goals 65%
16% Over 1.5 goals 25%
5% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Reading all matches
Luton all matches
Reading before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 10:10
Luton before this match, away
1.40points / match
1.40scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 14:15
Reading at home away Luton

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.40
1.00 Goals conceded 1.50
2.00 Total goals 2.90
12.80 Shots 10.10
4.20 Shots on target 3.20
10.90 Shots faced 10.50
3.70 Corners 5.80
5.50 Corners against 3.20
10.80 Fouls 12.30
2.40 Yellow cards 2.20
0.20 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

40% Wins 40%
30% Draws 20%
30% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
70% Over 1.5 goals 90%
30% Over 2.5 goals 60%
0% Over 3.5 goals 30%
0% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 40%
30% Clean sheets 40%
10% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 20%
40% Draws 40%
40% Losses 40%
60% Over 0.5 goals 60%
0% Over 1.5 goals 30%
0% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Reading at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Reading all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25 Bradford – Reading 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.603.60 1.80 2.00
09.12.25 Reading – Peterboro 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.253.05 1.88 1.98
29.11.25 Blackpool – Reading 0–3 (0–1) 2.503.402.55 2.00 1.80
22.11.25 Reading – Rotherham 1–1 (0–1) 1.793.754.00 1.93 1.93
06.11.25 Reading – Stevenage 1–0 (1–0) 2.753.252.45 2.15 1.67
25.10.25 Reading – Doncaster 1–1 (0–0) 2.153.253.20 1.88 1.98
21.10.25 Reading – Northampton 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.503.60 2.00 1.85
18.10.25 Cardiff – Reading 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.005.25 1.70 2.10
11.10.25 Exeter – Reading 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.302.25 1.88 1.98
04.10.25 Reading – Mansfield 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.302.85 1.93 1.93

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25 Luton – Port Vale 2–2 (1–1) 1.713.604.50 2.05 1.75
09.12.25 Leyton Orient – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 2.573.252.50 1.93 1.93
29.11.25 Luton – Bolton 1–1 (0–1) 2.453.402.65 1.98 1.88
25.11.25 Luton – Huddersfield 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.303.20 2.00 1.85
22.11.25 Barnsley – Luton 5–0 (3–0) 3.053.402.15 1.75 2.05
15.11.25 Luton – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 1.493.906.00 1.93 1.93
08.11.25 Stockport – Luton 0–3 (0–2) 2.053.253.50 2.15 1.67
25.10.25 Northampton – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.201.86 2.25 1.62
18.10.25 Luton – Mansfield 0–2 (0–1) 1.573.905.00 1.85 2.00
04.10.25 Stevenage – Luton 2–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.50 2.15 1.67

Reading at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.25 Reading – Peterboro 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.253.05 1.88 1.98
22.11.25 Reading – Rotherham 1–1 (0–1) 1.793.754.00 1.93 1.93
06.11.25 Reading – Stevenage 1–0 (1–0) 2.753.252.45 2.15 1.67
25.10.25 Reading – Doncaster 1–1 (0–0) 2.153.253.20 1.88 1.98
21.10.25 Reading – Northampton 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.503.60 2.00 1.85
04.10.25 Reading – Mansfield 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.302.85 1.93 1.93
20.09.25 Reading – Leyton Orient 2–1 (1–0) 2.553.302.55 1.95 1.90
30.08.25 Reading – Port Vale 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.502.57 2.15 1.67
16.08.25 Reading – AFC Wimbledon 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.303.50 2.25 1.62
09.08.25 Reading – Huddersfield 0–2 (0–0) 3.003.502.25 1.93 1.93

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.25 Leyton Orient – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 2.573.252.50 1.93 1.93
22.11.25 Barnsley – Luton 5–0 (3–0) 3.053.402.15 1.75 2.05
08.11.25 Stockport – Luton 0–3 (0–2) 2.053.253.50 2.15 1.67
25.10.25 Northampton – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.201.86 2.25 1.62
04.10.25 Stevenage – Luton 2–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.50 2.15 1.67
30.09.25 Blackpool – Luton 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.302.10 2.05 1.75
20.09.25 Lincoln – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 3.503.202.05 2.10 1.70
30.08.25 Burton – Luton 0–3 (0–2) 4.503.901.66 2.00 1.85
16.08.25 Bradford – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 3.303.302.15 2.10 1.70
09.08.25 Peterboro – Luton 0–2 (0–0) 4.003.701.85 1.65 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Reading winsDrawsLuton wins
4matches
1.25goals / match
0%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.04.23E1 Reading – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 4.753.401.80 2.30 1.62
01.11.22E1 Luton – Reading 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.66
07.05.22E1 Luton – Reading 1–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 1.66 2.20
19.01.22E1 Reading – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 2.02 1.83

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 19 13 2 4 36 20 +16 41
2 Bradford 19 10 7 2 28 18 +10 37
3 Lincoln 20 10 5 5 28 21 +7 35
4 Bolton 19 9 7 3 27 17 +10 34
5 Stevenage 18 10 4 4 22 13 +9 34
6 Stockport 19 9 5 5 26 24 +2 32
7 Luton 20 8 5 7 24 25 -1 29
8 Barnsley 17 8 4 5 30 24 +6 28
9 Huddersfield 20 8 4 8 32 30 +2 28
10 AFC Wimbledon 19 8 3 8 23 26 -3 27
11 Wigan 19 6 8 5 22 21 +1 26
12 Wycombe 20 6 7 7 26 21 +5 25
13 Leyton Orient 20 7 4 9 32 33 -1 25
14 Northampton 19 7 3 9 18 20 -2 24
15 Rotherham 20 6 6 8 20 24 -4 24
16 Mansfield 19 6 5 8 23 24 -1 23
17 Burton 19 6 5 8 16 24 -8 23
18 Reading 19 5 7 7 21 24 -3 22
19 Peterboro 19 7 1 11 23 27 -4 22
20 Doncaster 20 6 4 10 20 30 -10 22
21 Plymouth 20 7 1 12 21 32 -11 22
22 Exeter 19 6 2 11 18 20 -2 20
23 Blackpool 20 5 5 10 22 30 -8 20
24 Port Vale 19 3 6 10 13 23 -10 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bolton 10 7 3 0 20 5 +15 24
2 Cardiff 10 8 0 2 26 14 +12 24
3 Lincoln 10 7 2 1 18 9 +9 23
4 Bradford 10 7 2 1 17 9 +8 23
5 Huddersfield 10 5 3 2 18 11 +7 18
6 Wycombe 10 5 2 3 19 11 +8 17
7 Wigan 9 5 2 2 11 5 +6 17
8 Stevenage 8 5 2 1 9 3 +6 17
9 Barnsley 8 5 1 2 18 11 +7 16
10 Leyton Orient 10 4 4 2 16 10 +6 16
11 Rotherham 10 4 4 2 14 12 +2 16
12 Luton 10 4 3 3 10 10 0 15
13 Reading 10 4 3 3 10 10 0 15
14 Stockport 10 4 3 3 11 12 -1 15
15 Exeter 9 4 2 3 13 8 +5 14
16 Mansfield 9 4 2 3 14 10 +4 14
17 AFC Wimbledon 9 4 2 3 10 7 +3 14
18 Northampton 10 4 2 4 10 9 +1 14
19 Doncaster 10 4 2 4 12 12 0 14
20 Peterboro 10 4 1 5 14 12 +2 13
21 Blackpool 10 3 4 3 15 17 -2 13
22 Burton 10 3 2 5 6 14 -8 11
23 Plymouth 10 3 1 6 9 14 -5 10
24 Port Vale 9 1 3 5 5 11 -6 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 9 5 2 2 10 6 +4 17
2 Stockport 9 5 2 2 15 12 +3 17
3 Stevenage 10 5 2 3 13 10 +3 17
4 Bradford 9 3 5 1 11 9 +2 14
5 Luton 10 4 2 4 14 15 -1 14
6 AFC Wimbledon 10 4 1 5 13 19 -6 13
7 Burton 9 3 3 3 10 10 0 12
8 Barnsley 9 3 3 3 12 13 -1 12
9 Lincoln 10 3 3 4 10 12 -2 12
10 Plymouth 10 4 0 6 12 18 -6 12
11 Northampton 9 3 1 5 8 11 -3 10
12 Huddersfield 10 3 1 6 14 19 -5 10
13 Bolton 9 2 4 3 7 12 -5 10
14 Port Vale 10 2 3 5 8 12 -4 9
15 Wigan 10 1 6 3 11 16 -5 9
16 Mansfield 10 2 3 5 9 14 -5 9
17 Peterboro 9 3 0 6 9 15 -6 9
18 Leyton Orient 10 3 0 7 16 23 -7 9
19 Wycombe 10 1 5 4 7 10 -3 8
20 Rotherham 10 2 2 6 6 12 -6 8
21 Doncaster 10 2 2 6 8 18 -10 8
22 Reading 9 1 4 4 11 14 -3 7
23 Blackpool 10 2 1 7 7 13 -6 7
24 Exeter 10 2 0 8 5 12 -7 6

Reading   Luton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Huddersfield 20 7 13 1.6 1.5 8 4 8 32 30 28
2 13 Leyton Orient 20 8 12 1.6 1.6 7 4 9 32 33 25
3 19 Peterboro 19 7 12 1.2 1.4 7 1 11 23 27 22
4 1 Cardiff 19 8 11 1.9 1.1 13 2 4 36 20 41
5 2 Bradford 19 9 10 1.5 0.9 10 7 2 28 18 37
6 6 Stockport 19 9 10 1.4 1.3 9 5 5 26 24 32
7 8 Barnsley 17 7 10 1.8 1.4 8 4 5 30 24 28
8 10 AFC Wimbledon 19 9 10 1.2 1.4 8 3 8 23 26 27
9 15 Rotherham 20 10 10 1.0 1.2 6 6 8 20 24 24
10 20 Doncaster 20 10 10 1.0 1.5 6 4 10 20 30 22
11 3 Lincoln 20 11 9 1.4 1.1 10 5 5 28 21 35
12 7 Luton 20 11 9 1.2 1.2 8 5 7 24 25 29
13 12 Wycombe 20 11 9 1.3 1.1 6 7 7 26 21 25
14 16 Mansfield 19 10 9 1.2 1.3 6 5 8 23 24 23
15 17 Burton 19 10 9 0.8 1.3 6 5 8 16 24 23
16 21 Plymouth 20 11 9 1.1 1.6 7 1 12 21 32 22
17 23 Blackpool 20 11 9 1.1 1.5 5 5 10 22 30 20
18 4 Bolton 19 12 7 1.4 0.9 9 7 3 27 17 34
19 14 Northampton 19 12 7 0.9 1.1 7 3 9 18 20 24
20 18 Reading 19 12 7 1.1 1.3 5 7 7 21 24 22
21 24 Port Vale 19 12 7 0.7 1.2 3 6 10 13 23 15
22 11 Wigan 19 13 6 1.2 1.1 6 8 5 22 21 26
23 22 Exeter 19 13 6 0.9 1.1 6 2 11 18 20 20
24 5 Stevenage 18 13 5 1.2 0.7 10 4 4 22 13 34
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Cardiff 10 1 9 2.6 1.4 8 0 2 26 14 24
2 2 Bradford 10 4 6 1.7 0.9 7 2 1 17 9 23
3 9 Huddersfield 10 4 6 1.8 1.1 5 3 2 18 11 18
4 12 Wycombe 10 4 6 1.9 1.1 5 2 3 19 11 17
5 15 Rotherham 10 4 6 1.4 1.2 4 4 2 14 12 16
6 19 Peterboro 10 4 6 1.4 1.2 4 1 5 14 12 13
7 23 Blackpool 10 4 6 1.5 1.7 3 4 3 15 17 13
8 3 Lincoln 10 5 5 1.8 0.9 7 2 1 18 9 23
9 4 Bolton 10 5 5 2.0 0.5 7 3 0 20 5 24
10 8 Barnsley 8 3 5 2.2 1.4 5 1 2 18 11 16
11 17 Burton 10 5 5 0.6 1.4 3 2 5 6 14 11
12 20 Doncaster 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 4 2 4 12 12 14
13 6 Stockport 10 6 4 1.1 1.2 4 3 3 11 12 15
14 13 Leyton Orient 10 6 4 1.6 1.0 4 4 2 16 10 16
15 16 Mansfield 9 5 4 1.6 1.1 4 2 3 14 10 14
16 21 Plymouth 10 6 4 0.9 1.4 3 1 6 9 14 10
17 24 Port Vale 9 5 4 0.6 1.2 1 3 5 5 11 6
18 7 Luton 10 7 3 1.0 1.0 4 3 3 10 10 15
19 10 AFC Wimbledon 9 6 3 1.1 0.8 4 2 3 10 7 14
20 14 Northampton 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 4 2 4 10 9 14
21 18 Reading 10 7 3 1.0 1.0 4 3 3 10 10 15
22 22 Exeter 9 6 3 1.4 0.9 4 2 3 13 8 14
23 11 Wigan 9 7 2 1.2 0.6 5 2 2 11 5 17
24 5 Stevenage 8 7 1 1.1 0.4 5 2 1 9 3 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Leyton Orient 10 2 8 1.6 2.3 3 0 7 16 23 9
2 9 Huddersfield 10 3 7 1.4 1.9 3 1 6 14 19 10
3 10 AFC Wimbledon 10 3 7 1.3 1.9 4 1 5 13 19 13
4 6 Stockport 9 3 6 1.7 1.3 5 2 2 15 12 17
5 7 Luton 10 4 6 1.4 1.5 4 2 4 14 15 14
6 19 Peterboro 9 3 6 1.0 1.7 3 0 6 9 15 9
7 8 Barnsley 9 4 5 1.3 1.4 3 3 3 12 13 12
8 16 Mansfield 10 5 5 0.9 1.4 2 3 5 9 14 9
9 20 Doncaster 10 5 5 0.8 1.8 2 2 6 8 18 8
10 21 Plymouth 10 5 5 1.2 1.8 4 0 6 12 18 12
11 2 Bradford 9 5 4 1.2 1.0 3 5 1 11 9 14
12 3 Lincoln 10 6 4 1.0 1.2 3 3 4 10 12 12
13 5 Stevenage 10 6 4 1.3 1.0 5 2 3 13 10 17
14 11 Wigan 10 6 4 1.1 1.6 1 6 3 11 16 9
15 14 Northampton 9 5 4 0.9 1.2 3 1 5 8 11 10
16 15 Rotherham 10 6 4 0.6 1.2 2 2 6 6 12 8
17 17 Burton 9 5 4 1.1 1.1 3 3 3 10 10 12
18 18 Reading 9 5 4 1.2 1.6 1 4 4 11 14 7
19 12 Wycombe 10 7 3 0.7 1.0 1 5 4 7 10 8
20 22 Exeter 10 7 3 0.5 1.2 2 0 8 5 12 6
21 23 Blackpool 10 7 3 0.7 1.3 2 1 7 7 13 7
22 24 Port Vale 10 7 3 0.8 1.2 2 3 5 8 12 9
23 1 Cardiff 9 7 2 1.1 0.7 5 2 2 10 6 17
24 4 Bolton 9 7 2 0.8 1.3 2 4 3 7 12 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51